2010 Colombian presidential election

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2010 Colombian presidential election
← 2006 30 May 2010 (first round)
20 June 2010 (second round)		 2014 →
Turnout49.30% (first round)
44.35% (second round)
 
Nominee Juan Manuel Santos Antanas Mockus
Party
Party of the U
 Green Party
Running mate Angelino Garzón Sergio Fajardo
Popular vote 9,028,943 3,587,975
Percentage 69.13% 27.47%
Second round results by department
President before election

Álvaro Uribe
Colombia First

Elected President

Juan Manuel Santos

Party of the U

This article is part of a series on the
Politics of
Colombia
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  • President of the Council of State
    Jaime Enrique Rodríguez
Elections
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Foreign relations

Presidential elections were held in

Green Party
. Santos won the election with 69% of the votes.

Candidates

Government group

In 2002, Álvaro Uribe of the

Carlos Gaviria of the Alternative Democratic Pole with a distant 22 per cent.[3]

In 2007, Luis Guillermo Giraldo, leader of the pro-Uribe

Andrés Felipe Arias, two of the closest Uribe allies, were seeking nomination by the Conservative Party.[3]
Sanín was nominated.

Opposition group

Two of the opposition candidates were

Rafael Pardo of the Liberal Party and Gustavo Petro of the Alternative Democratic Pole.[3] Álvaro Leyva, a Uribe opponent, was seeking the presidential nomination by the Conservative Party.[3]

On 2 October 2009, the

Green Party was officially created.[3] It nominated its presidential candidate on a primary ballot that took place on 14 March 2010, the same day as the legislative election.[3] The contenders were three former Bogotá mayors: Enrique Peñalosa, Antanas Mockus, and Luis Eduardo Garzón. The Greens seek to be a moderate force in what they called "a polarized" political situation, calling themselves "Post-Uribists."[3] Mockus was chosen as their candidate. Former Medellín mayor Sergio Fajardo joined him as his running mate on 5 April 2010, after missing the requirements to become a presidential candidate himself.[4]

Opinion polls

First round

Date Institute Candidate Undecided
(Ns/Nr)
V. None 		Source
Rafael Pardo Gustavo Petro Germán Vargas Lleras Sergio Fajardo Juan Manuel Santos Antanas Mockus Noemí Sanín Róbinson Devia Jaime Araújo Jairo Calderón
24 March 2010 Invamer Gallup 5.1% 6.3% 6.2% 6.1% 34.2% 10.4% 23.3% 0% 0% 0% 8.4% [5]
26 March 2010 Datexco 5.5% 7.1% 6.6% 4.4% 34.1% 8.9% 21.7% 0% 0.2% 0.1% 11.4% [6]
27 March 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 4% 6% 8% 5% 36% 9% 17% 1% 0% 0% 14% [7]
27 March 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 3.4% 3.6% 6.5% 3.6% 28.6% 11.3% 21.9% 0% 0% 0% 21.1% [8]
8 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 5% 6% 3% - 37% 22% 20% 0% 0% 0% 7% [9]
9 April 2010 Datexco 5.2% 3.1% 3% - 29.5% 24.8% 16.4% 0% 0% 0% 17.2% [10]
15 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 4% 4% 2% - 36% 29% 19% 0% 1% 0% 5% [11]
16 April 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 5% 4% 3% - 30% 20% 12% 1% 5% 5% 15% [12]
22 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 5% 5% 4% - 35% 34% 12% 0% 1% 0% 3% [13]
26 April 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 3% 5% 3% - 29% 38% 11% 0% 1% 0% 10% [14]
28 April 2010 Invamer Gallup 5.7% 5.0% 3.6% - 34.2% 31.6% 16.2% 0% 0.1% 0% 3.5% [15]
29 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 3% 5% 4% - 34% 39% 11% 0% 0% 0% 4% [16]
30 April 2010 Datexco 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% - 26.7% 38.7% 9.8% 0% 0% 0% 16.3% [17]
6 May 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 3% 5% 5% - 34% 38% 11% 0% 0% 0% 4% [18]
7 May 2010 Datexco 1.4% 4.2% 3.1% - 25.2% 37.7% 6.7% 0% 0% 0% 21.7% [19]
9 May 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 4% 4% 3% - 35% 34% 8% 0% 0% 0% 12% [20]
13 May 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 3% 4% 4% - 38% 36% 9% 0% 0% 0% 6% [21]
14 May 2010 Datexco 3.1% 7.5% 4.3% - 29.3% 32.8% 5.6% 0% 0.4% 0% 13.8% [22]
19 May 2010 Invamer Gallup 3.8% 7.3% 3.8% - 37.5% 35.4% 8.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0% 3.1% [23]
20 May 2010 University of Medellin 2.4% 5.5% 3.6% - 32.9% 37.4% 8.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 6.9% [24]
20 May 2010 Centro Nacional De Consultoría 4% 5% 4% - 39% 34% 9% 0% 0% 0% 4% [25]
21 May 2010 Datexco 2% 5% 3% - 35% 34% 9% 0% 0% 0% 12% [26]
22 May 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 3% 6% 5% - 34% 32% 6% 0% 0% 0% 14% [27]

Second round: Mockus vs. Santos

Date Institute Candidate Undecided
(Ns/Nr)
V. None 		Source
Juan Manuel Santos Antanas Mockus
15 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 49% 44% 7% [28]
16 April 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 45% 37% 18% [12]
22 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 44% 50% 6% [13]
26 April 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 37% 50% 13% [14]
28 April 2010 Invamer Gallup 42.2% 47.9% 9.9% [15]
29 April 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 42% 53% 5% [16]
30 April 2010 Datexco 29% 41.5% 29.5% [17]
6 May 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 43% 50% 7% [18]
7 May 2010 Datexco 30.5% 52% 17.5% [19]
9 May 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 41% 48% 11% [20]
13 May 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 47% 47% 6% [21]
14 May 2010 Datexco 33.6% 47.9% 17.5% [22]
May 19, 2010 Invamer Gallup 42.2% 48.5% 9.3% [23]
20 May 2010 University of Medellin 36% 41.4% 22.6% [29]
20 May 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 47% 46% 7% [25]
21 May 2010 Datexco 44% 45% 11% [30]
22 May 2010 Ipsos Napoleón Franco 40% 45% 15% [27]
3 June 2010 Centro Nacional de Consultoría 61.6% 29.8% 5.8% [31]

Conduct

On election day seven Colombian security services personnel were killed and eight were missing; parallels were drawn with FARC attacks and Santos' tenure as Defense Minister.[32]

Results

First round results by department

No candidate received an outright majority in the first round vote held on 30 May. Santos and Mockus faced one another in the runoff election on 20 June, leading to the election of Juan Manuel Santos as the next Colombian President.

Santos achieved a landslide victory, with 69 per cent of the votes.[33] Mockus got 27.51 per cent of votes.[34] This was the largest margin of victory for a president in the democratic period of Colombia's history.[35] Santos won 32 of the country's 33 electoral districts.[33] His allies have an overwhelming majority in the Colombian Congress.[33] Santos vowed to continue his predecessor's hardline stance against the country's Marxist rebels.[33] He paraphrased Isaac Newton – "If we have come far it's because we are standing on the shoulders of giants" – and said he would rid Colombia of what he described as the "nightmare of violence".[36]

The United States State Department said it was "pleased" with the election of Santos and praised the "spirited debate" before the runoff and Colombia's "longstanding commitment to democratic principles".[35]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Rafael Pardo
Colombian Liberal Party638,3024.38
Róbinson DeviaVoice of Conscience Movement31,3380.22
Jairo CalderónLiberal Opening Movement29,1510.20
Jaime AraújoAfro-Colombian Social Alliance14,8470.10
Blank votes223,9771.54444,2743.40
Total14,572,593100.0013,061,192100.00
Valid votes14,572,59398.5913,061,19298.23
Invalid votes208,4271.41235,7321.77
Total votes14,781,020100.0013,296,924100.00
Registered voters/turnout29,983,27949.3029,983,27944.35
Source: RNEC, RNEC, IFES, IFES

See also

References

  1. ^ Maximiliano Herrera. "Electoral Calendar- world elections,US elections,presidential election,world parties". Mherrera.org. Retrieved 23 June 2010.
  2. ^ Markey, Patrick (26 February 2010). "Colombia's Uribe blocked from re-election". Reuters. Retrieved 26 February 2010.
  3. ^
    Angus Reid Global Monitor
    . March 14, 2010.
  4. ^ "Santos, Sanín Could Go to Run-off in Colombia: Angus Reid Global Monitor". Angus-reid.com. Archived from the original on 12 April 2010. Retrieved 23 June 2010.
  5. ^ La Opinión, ed. (24 March 2010). "Primera gran encuesta de medios sobre intención de voto para las próximas elecciones presidenciales". Archived from the original on 7 July 2011. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  6. ^ El Tiempo, ed. (26 March 2010). "Juan Manuel Santos, con 34,1 por ciento, encabeza encuesta de Datexco; Noemí Sanín lo sigue con 21,7".
  7. ^ Revista Semana, ed. (27 March 2010). "El Partidor". Archived from the original on 13 April 2010. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  8. ^ Revista Poder, ed. (27 March 2010). "¿Santos vs. Noemí en segunda vuelta?". Archived from the original on 18 January 2012. Retrieved 4 April 2010.
  9. ^ Revista Semana, ed. (8 April 2010). "Mockus supera a Sanín en encuesta del Centro Nacional de Consultoría". Archived from the original on 11 April 2010. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  10. ^ Diario El Tiempo, ed. (9 April 2010). "Nuevo Opinómetro de Datexco revela que Santos y Mockus disputarían la segunda vuelta".
  11. ^ Diario El Espectador, ed. (15 April 2010). "Nueva encuesta presidencial revela que Mockus está a sólo 7 puntos de Santos". Archived from the original on 18 April 2010. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  12. ^ a b Revista Semana, ed. (16 April 2010). "Habría segunda vuelta Santos – Mockus, según Gran Encuesta". Archived from the original on 19 April 2010. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  13. ^ a b CM&, ed. (22 April 2010). "GRAN ENCUESTA CM&: Antanas Mockus ganaría la Presidencia si la segunda vuelta fuera mañana".
  14. ^ a b Semana, ed. (26 April 2010). "Mockus 38% – Santos 29%, en primera; Mockus 50% – Santos 37%, en segunda". Archived from the original on 30 April 2010. Retrieved 27 April 2010.
  15. ^ a b Caracol Televisión, ed. (28 April 2010). "Santos ganaría en primera vuelta y Mockus, en segunda". Archived from the original on 1 May 2010. Retrieved 30 April 2010.
  16. ^ a b Noticiero CM&, ed. (29 April 2010). "Candidato Antanas Mockus encabeza nueva encuesta de CM& y el Centro Nacional de Consultoría".
  17. ^ a b El Tiempo, ed. (30 April 2010). "Mockus tendría el 41,5% de intención de voto en segunda vuelta y Santos el 29%, según Datexco".
  18. ^ a b El Espectador, ed. (6 May 2010). "Nueva encuesta da a Mockus una ventaja de cuatro puntos sobre Santos".
  19. ^ a b W Radio, ed. (7 May 2010). "Antanas Mockus con un 37,7% encabeza intención de voto, revela encuesta de Datexco". Archived from the original on 9 October 2011. Retrieved 8 May 2010.
  20. ^ a b Semana, ed. (9 May 2010). "¡Empatados!". Archived from the original on 10 May 2010. Retrieved 9 May 2010.
  21. ^ a b CM&, ed. (13 May 2010). "Nueva gran encuesta presidencial CM& – Centro Nacional de Consultoría". Archived from the original on 7 July 2011. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
  22. ^ a b Caracol Radio, ed. (14 May 2010). "Nueva encuesta de Datexco mantiene en primer lugar a Mockus".[permanent dead link]
  23. ^ a b El Tiempo, ed. (19 May 2010). "Santos, con el 37,5%, y Mockus, con el 35,4%, encabezan intención de voto: encuesta Invamer Gallup".
  24. ^ El Espectador, ed. (20 May 2010). "Segunda Encuesta Elecciones Presidenciales 2010".
  25. ^ a b El Tiempo, ed. (20 May 2010). "Santos 39%; Mockus 34%, según la más reciente encuesta del centro Nacional de Consultoría".
  26. ^ El Tiempo, ed. (21 May 2010). "Empate técnico entre Santos, con el 35%, y Mockus, con el 34%, revela sondeo de Datexco".
  27. ^ a b El Espectador, ed. (22 May 2010). "Santos ganador en primera vuelta mientras Mockus lo haría en la segunda".
  28. ^ Diario El Pais, ed. (15 April 2010). "Según nueva encuesta, Mockus está a siete puntos de Santos".[permanent dead link]
  29. ^ El Espectador, ed. (20 May 2010). "Encuesta de la Universidad de Medellín da como ganador a Mocku".
  30. ^ El Tiempo, ed. (21 May 2010). "Empate técnico entre Santos, con el 35%, y Mockus, con el 34%, revela sondeo de Datexco".
  31. ^ AFP, ed. (3 June 2010). "Los sondeos dan una victoria aplastante de Santos en las elecciones de Colombia".
  32. ^ "Police killed on Colombia poll day - Americas". Al Jazeera English. 29 May 2010. Retrieved 23 June 2010.
  33. ^ a b c d Hennigan, Tom (22 June 2010). "Landslide win for Santos in Colombian election". The Irish Times. Irish Times Trust. Retrieved 22 June 2010.
  34. ^ Xuequan, Mu (20 June 2010). "Santos elected as new president of Colombia". Xinhua News Agency. Archived from the original on 6 November 2012. Retrieved 20 June 2010.
  35. ^ a b "U.S. is 'pleased' with Colombia's new president-elect Santos". The Hindu. 22 June 2010. Retrieved 22 June 2010.
  36. Business Week. Archived from the original
    on 29 May 2012. Retrieved 21 June 2010.
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