2012 phenomenon
New Age beliefs |
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Various astronomical alignments and numerological formulae were proposed for this date. A
Scholars from various disciplines quickly dismissed predictions of cataclysmic events as they arose. Mayan scholars stated that no
Mesoamerican Long Count calendar
December 2012 marked the conclusion of a
Unlike the 260-day tzolkʼin still used today among the Maya, the Long Count was linear rather than cyclical, and kept time roughly in units of 20: 20 days made a uinal, 18 uinals (360 days) made a tun, 20 tuns made a kʼatun, and 20 kʼatuns (144,000 days or roughly 394 years) made up a bʼakʼtun. Thus, the Maya date of 8.3.2.10.15 represents 8 bʼakʼtuns, 3 kʼatuns, 2 tuns, 10 uinals and 15 days.[19][20]
Apocalypse
There is a strong tradition of "world ages" in Maya literature, but the record has been distorted, leaving several possibilities open to interpretation.
Objections
Coe's interpretation was repeated by other scholars through the early 1990s.
Several prominent individuals representing Maya of Guatemala decried the suggestion that the world would end with the 13th bʼakʼtun. Ricardo Cajas, president of the Colectivo de Organizaciones Indígenas de Guatemala, said the date did not represent an end of humanity but that the new cycle "supposes changes in human consciousness". Martín Sacalxot, of the office of Guatemala's Human Rights Ombudsman (Procurador de los Derechos Humanos), said that the end of the calendar has nothing to do with the end of the world or the year 2012.[38]
Prior associations
The European association of the Maya with
In the 1900s, German scholar Ernst Förstemann interpreted the last page of the Dresden Codex as a representation of the end of the world in a cataclysmic flood. He made reference to the destruction of the world and an apocalypse, though he made no reference to the 13th bʼakʼtun or 2012 and it was not clear that he was referring to a future event.[40] His ideas were repeated by archaeologist Sylvanus Morley,[41] who directly paraphrased Förstemann and added his own embellishments, writing, "Finally, on the last page of the manuscript, is depicted the Destruction of the World ... Here, indeed, is portrayed with a graphic touch the final all-engulfing cataclysm" in the form of a great flood. These comments were later repeated in Morley's book, The Ancient Maya, the first edition of which was published in 1946.[39]
Maya references to bʼakʼtun 13
It is not certain what significance the classic Maya gave to the 13th bʼakʼtun.[42] Most classic Maya inscriptions are strictly historical and do not make any prophetic declarations.[42] Two items in the Maya classical corpus do mention the end of the 13th bʼakʼtun: Tortuguero Monument 6 and La Corona Hieroglyphic Stairway 12.
Tortuguero
The Tortuguero site, which lies in southernmost Tabasco, Mexico, dates from the 7th century AD and consists of a series of inscriptions mostly in honor of the contemporary ruler Bahlam Ahau. One inscription, known as Tortuguero Monument 6, is the only inscription known to refer to bʼakʼtun 13 in any detail. It has been partially defaced; Sven Gronemeyer and Barbara MacLeod have given this translation:
tzuhtzjo꞉m uy-u꞉xlaju꞉n pik |
It will be completed the 13th bʼakʼtun. |
Very little is known about the god Bʼolon Yokteʼ. According to an article by Mayanists Markus Eberl and Christian Prager in British Anthropological Reports, his name is composed of the elements "nine", ʼOK-teʼ (the meaning of which is unknown), and "god". Confusion in classical period inscriptions suggests that the name was already ancient and unfamiliar to contemporary scribes.
Based on observations of modern Maya rituals, Gronemeyer and MacLeod claim that the stela refers to a celebration in which a person portraying Bolon Yokteʼ Kʼuh was wrapped in ceremonial garments and paraded around the site.[46][47] They note that the association of Bolon Yokteʼ Kʼuh with bʼakʼtun 13 appears to be so important on this inscription that it supersedes more typical celebrations such as "erection of stelae, scattering of incense" and so forth. Furthermore, they assert that this event was indeed planned for 2012 and not the 7th century.[48] Mayanist scholar Stephen Houston contests this view by arguing that future dates on Maya inscriptions were simply meant to draw parallels with contemporary events, and that the words on the stela describe a contemporary rather than a future scene.[49]
La Corona
In April–May 2012, a team of archaeologists unearthed a previously unknown inscription on a stairway at the La Corona site in Guatemala. The inscription, on what is known as Hieroglyphic Stairway 12, describes the establishment of a royal court in Calakmul in 635 AD, and compares the then-recent completion of 13 kʼatuns with the future completion of the 13th bʼakʼtun. It contains no speculation or prophecy as to what the scribes believed would happen at that time.[50]
Dates beyond bʼakʼtun 13
Maya inscriptions occasionally mention predicted future events or commemorations that would occur on dates far beyond the completion of the 13th bʼakʼtun. Most of these are in the form of "distance dates"; Long Count dates together with an additional number, known as a Distance Number, which when added to them makes a future date. On the west panel at the
Another example is Stela 1 at Coba which marks the date of creation as 13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.13.0.0.0.0, or nineteen units above the bʼakʼtun. According to Linda Schele, these 13s represent "the starting point of a huge odometer of time", with each acting as a zero and resetting to 1 as the numbers increase.[35][c] Thus this inscription anticipates the current universe lasting at least 2021×13×360 days,[26] or roughly 2.687×1028 years; a time span equal to 2 quintillion times the age of the universe as determined by cosmologists. Others have suggested that this date marks creation as having occurred after that time span.[26][53]
In 2012, researchers announced the discovery of a series of Maya astronomical tables in
New Age beliefs
Many assertions about the year 2012 form part of
Origins
In 1975, the ending of bʼakʼtun 13 became the subject of speculation by several New Age authors, who asserted it would correspond with a global "transformation of consciousness". In Mexico Mystique: The Coming Sixth Age of Consciousness, Frank Waters tied Coe's original date of 24 December 2011[d] to astrology and the prophecies of the Hopi,[65] while both José Argüelles (in The Transformative Vision)[66] and Terence McKenna (in The Invisible Landscape)[67][68] discussed the significance of the year 2012 without mentioning a specific day. Some research[69] suggests that both Argüelles and McKenna were heavily influenced in this regard by the Mayanism of American author William S. Burroughs, who first portrayed the end of the Mayan Long Count as an apocalyptic shift of human consciousness in 1960's The Exterminator.[70]
In 1983, with the publication of
In 2001, Robert Bast wrote the first online articles regarding the possibility of a doomsday in 2012.
Galactic alignment
There is no significant astronomical event tied to the Long Count's start date. Chief among these ideas is the astrological concept of a "galactic alignment".
Precession
In the
Similarly, the Sun's December
Mysticism
Mystical speculations about the precession of the equinoxes and the Sun's proximity to the center of the Milky Way appeared in Hamlet's Mill (1969) by Giorgio de Santillana and Hertha von Deschend. These were quoted and expanded upon by Terence and Dennis McKenna in The Invisible Landscape (1975).
Adherents to the idea, following a theory first proposed by
Criticism
Astronomers such as David Morrison argue that the galactic equator is an entirely arbitrary line and can never be precisely drawn, because it is impossible to determine the Milky Way's exact boundaries, which vary depending on clarity of view. Jenkins claimed he drew his conclusions about the location of the galactic equator from observations taken at above 11,000 feet (3,400 m), an altitude that gives a clearer image of the Milky Way than the Maya had access to.[73] Furthermore, since the Sun is half a degree wide, its solstice position takes 36 years to precess its full width. Jenkins himself noted that even given his determined location for the line of the galactic equator, its most precise convergence with the center of the Sun already occurred in 1998, and so asserts that, rather than 2012, the galactic alignment instead focuses on a multi-year period centered in 1998.[94][95][96]
There is no clear evidence that the classic Maya were aware of precession. Some Maya scholars, such as Barbara MacLeod,[47] Michael Grofe,[97] Eva Hunt, Gordon Brotherston, and Anthony Aveni,[98] have suggested that some Mayan holy dates were timed to precessional cycles, but scholarly opinion on the subject remains divided.[34] There is also little evidence, archaeological or historical, that the Maya placed any importance on solstices or equinoxes.[34][99] It is possible that only the earliest among Mesoamericans observed solstices,[100] but this is also a disputed issue among Mayanists.[34][99] There is also no evidence that the classic Maya attached any importance to the Milky Way; there is no glyph in their writing system to represent it, and no astronomical or chronological table tied to it.[101]
Timewave zero and the I Ching
"Timewave zero" is a
McKenna expressed "novelty" in a computer program which produces a waveform known as "timewave zero" or the "timewave". Based on McKenna's interpretation of the King Wen sequence of the I Ching, an ancient Chinese book on divination,[67] the graph purports to show great periods of novelty corresponding with major shifts in humanity's biological and sociocultural evolution. He believed that the events of any given time are resonantly related to the events of other times, and chose the atomic bombing of Hiroshima as the basis for calculating his end date of November 2012.[106] When he later discovered this date's proximity to the end of the 13th bʼakʼtun of the Maya calendar, he revised his hypothesis so that the two dates matched.[63]
The 1975 first edition of The Invisible Landscape referred to 2012 (but no specific day during the year) only twice. In the 1993 second edition, McKenna employed Sharer's date[d] of 21 December 2012 throughout.[63][103]
Novelty theory has been criticized for "rejecting countless ideas presumed as factual by the scientific community", depending "solely on numerous controversial deductions that contradict empirical logic", and encompassing "no suitable indication of truth", with the conclusion that novelty theory is a pseudoscience.[107]
Doomsday theories
The idea that the year 2012 presaged a world cataclysm, the end of the world, or the end of
Other alignments
Some people interpreted the galactic alignment apocalyptically, claiming that its occurrence would somehow create a combined
Some believers in a 2012 doomsday used the term "galactic alignment" to describe a different phenomenon proposed by some scientists to explain a pattern in
A third suggested alignment was some sort of planetary
Geomagnetic reversal
Another idea tied to 2012 involved a
Most scientific estimates say that geomagnetic reversals take between 1,000 and 10,000 years to complete,
A solar maximum does affect satellite and cellular phone communications.[127] David Morrison attributed the rise of the solar storm idea to physicist and science popularizer Michio Kaku, who claimed in an interview with Fox News that a solar peak in 2012 could be disastrous for orbiting satellites, and to NASA's headlining a 2006 webpage as "Solar Storm Warning", a term later repeated on several doomsday pages.[108]
On 23 July 2012, a massive, potentially damaging,
Planet X/Nibiru
Some believers in a 2012 doomsday claimed that a planet called Planet X, or Nibiru, would collide with or pass by the Earth. This idea, which had appeared in various forms since 1995, initially predicted Doomsday in May 2003, but proponents abandoned that date after it passed without incident.
Other catastrophes
Author Graham Hancock, in his book Fingerprints of the Gods, interpreted Coe's remarks in Breaking the Maya Code[132] as evidence for the prophecy of a global cataclysm.[133] Filmmaker Roland Emmerich later credited the book with inspiring his 2009 disaster film 2012.[134]
Other speculations regarding doomsday in 2012 included predictions by the Web Bot project, a computer program that purports to predict the future by analyzing Internet chatter. Commentators have rejected claims that the bot is able to predict natural disasters, as opposed to human-caused disasters like stock market crashes.[135]
The 2012 date was also loosely tied to the long-running concept of the photon belt, which predicted a form of interaction between Earth and
Some media outlets tied the fact that the red supergiant star Betelgeuse would undergo a supernova at some point in the future to the 2012 phenomenon.[138] While Betelgeuse was certainly in the final stages of its life, and would die as a supernova, there was no way to predict the timing of the event to within 100,000 years.[139] To be a threat to Earth, a supernova would need to be no further than 25 light years from the Solar System. Betelgeuse is roughly 600 light years away, and so its supernova would not affect Earth.[140] In December 2011, NASA's Francis Reddy issued a press release debunking the possibility of a supernova occurring in 2012.[141]
Another claim involved
Public reaction
The phenomenon spread widely after coming to public notice, particularly on the Internet, and hundreds of thousands of websites made reference to it.[108] "Ask an Astrobiologist", a NASA public outreach website, received over 5,000 questions from the public on the subject from 2007,[136] some asking whether they should kill themselves, their children or their pets.[108] In May 2012, an Ipsos poll of 16,000 adults in 21 countries found that 8 percent had experienced fear or anxiety over the possibility of the world ending in December 2012, while an average of 10 percent agreed with the statement "the Mayan calendar, which some say 'ends' in 2012, marks the end of the world", with responses as high as 20 percent in China, 13 percent in Russia, Turkey, Japan and Korea, and 12 percent in the United States.[144] At least one suicide was directly linked to fear of a 2012 apocalypse,[145] with others anecdotally reported.[146] Jared Lee Loughner, the perpetrator of the 2011 Tucson shooting, followed 2012-related predictions.[147] A panel of scientists questioned on the topic at a plenary session at the Astronomical Society of the Pacific contended that the Internet played a substantial role in allowing this doomsday date to gain more traction than previous similar panics.[146]
Europe
Beginning in 2000, the small French village of
The Turkish village of Şirince, near Ephesus, expected to receive over 60,000 visitors on 21 December 2012, as New Age mystics believed its "positive energy" would aid in weathering the catastrophe.[154] Only a fraction of that number actually arrived, with a substantial component being police and journalists, and the expected windfall failed to materialise.[155]
Similarly, the pyramid-like mountain of
In Russia, inmates of a women's prison experienced "a collective mass psychosis" in the weeks leading up to the supposed doomsday, while residents of a factory town near Moscow reportedly emptied a supermarket of matches, candles, food and other supplies. The Minister of Emergency Situations declared in response that according to "methods of monitoring what is occurring on the planet Earth", there would be no apocalypse in December.[157] When asked when the world would end in a press conference, Russian President Vladimir Putin said, "In about 4.5 billion years."[158]
In December 2012, Vatican astronomer Rev. José Funes wrote in the Vatican newspaper L'Osservatore Romano that apocalyptic theories around 2012 were "not even worth discussing".[159]
Asia and Australia
In May 2011, 5,000-7,000
In China, up to a thousand members of the Christian cult
On 6 December 2012,
Mexico and Central America
On the final day of bʼakʼtun 13, residents of Yucatán and other regions formerly dominated by the ancient Maya celebrated what they saw as the dawn of a new, better era.
The fire ceremony at Tikal was held at dawn in the main plaza of the
Most of these events were organized by agencies of the Mexican and Central American governments, and their respective tourism industries expected to attract thousands of visitors.[6][168] Mexico is visited by about 22 million foreigners in a typical year. In 2012, the national tourism agency expected to attract 52 million visitors just to the regions of Chiapas, Yucatán, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and Campeche.[167] A Maya activist group in Guatemala, Oxlaljuj Ajpop, objected to the commercialization of the date. A spokesman from the Conference of Maya Ministers commented that for them the Tikal ceremony is not a show for tourists but something spiritual and personal. The secretary of the Great Council of Ancestral Authorities commented that living Maya felt they were excluded from the activities in Tikal. This group held a parallel ceremony, and complained that the date has been used for commercial gain. In addition, before the main Tikal ceremony, about 200 Maya protested the celebration because they felt excluded. Most modern Maya were indifferent to the ceremonies, and the small number of people still practising ancient rites held solemn, more private ceremonies.[6][168]
Osvaldo Gomez, a technical advisor to the Tikal site, complained that many visitors during the celebration had illegally climbed the stairs of the
South America
In Brazil, Décio Colla, the Mayor of the City of São Francisco de Paula, Rio Grande do Sul, mobilized the population to prepare for the end of the world by stocking up on food and supplies.[175][176] In the city of Corguinho, in the Mato Grosso do Sul, a colony was built for survivors of the expected tragedy.[177] In Alto Paraíso de Goiás, the hotels also made specific reservations for prophetic dates.[178]
In
On 21 December 2012, the Uritorco mountain in Córdoba, Argentina was closed, as a mass suicide there had been proposed on Facebook.[180]
United States
In the United States, sales of private underground
Cultural influence
The 2012 phenomenon was discussed or referenced by several media outlets. Several TV documentaries, as well as some contemporary fictional references to the year 2012, referred to 21 December as the day of a cataclysmic event.
The
Hundreds of books were published on the topic.
In cinema,
The phenomenon also inspired several rock and pop music hits. As early as 1997, "
A number of brands ran commercials tied to the phenomenon in the days and months leading to the date. In February 2012, American automotive company General Motors aired an advertisement during the annual Super Bowl football game in which a group of friends drove Chevrolet Silverados through the ruins of human civilization following the 2012 apocalypse. On 17 December 2012, Jell-O ran an ad saying that offering Jell-O to the Mayan gods would appease them into sparing the world. John Verret, Professor of Advertising at Boston University, questioned the utility of tying large sums of money to such a unique and short-term event.[196]
See also
- 13 (number)
- 2011 end times prediction
- Doomsday cult
- Dreamspell
- List of topics characterized as pseudoscience
- Triskaidekaphobia
References
Notes
- ^ The number 13 plays an important role in Mesoamerican calendrics; the tzolkʼin, or sacred calendar, was divided into 13 months of 20 days each. The Mayan may cycle consisted of 13 kʼatuns. The reason for the number's importance is uncertain, though correlations to the phases of the moon and to the human gestation period have been suggested.[24][25]
- ^ The Mayan calendar, unlike the Western calendar, used a zero.[18]
- ^ a b Rather than "0.0.0.0.0", the Mayan Long Count represented the date of creation as "13.0.0.0.0"[26]
- ^ a b c d Coe's initial date was "24 December 2011". He revised it to "11 January AD 2013" in the 1980 2nd edition of his book,[30] not settling on 23 December 2012 until the 1984 3rd edition.[31] The correlation of bʼakʼtun 13 as 21 December 2012 first appeared in Table B.2 of Robert J. Sharer's 1983 revision of the 4th edition of Sylvanus Morley's book The Ancient Maya (Morley 1983, p. 603, Table B2).
Citations
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- ^ a b c "Miles llegan a Chichén Itzá con la esperanza de una nueva era mejor" [Thousands arrive to Chichén Itzá with the hope of a new better era]. La Nación (Costa Rica) (in Spanish). Agence France-Presse. 21 December 2012. Archived from the original on 21 December 2012. Retrieved 22 December 2012.
- ^ a b c d Randal C. Archibold (21 December 2012). "As Doomsday Flops, Rites in Ruins of Mayan Empire". The New York Times. Retrieved 22 December 2012.
- ^ a b c Mark Stephenson (21 December 2012). "End Of The World 2012? Not Just Yet". Huffington Post. Retrieved 22 December 2012.
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- ^ a b MacLeod 2011.
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- ^ Schele & Freidel 1990, p. 430.
- ^ Aveni 2009, p. 49.
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- ^ See in particular, chapter 6 ("The Great Cycle: Its Projected Beginning"), chapter 7 ("The Great Cycle – Its Projected End") and the Appendix, in Waters 1975, pp. 256–264, 265–271, 285
- ^ Argüelles 1975
- ^ a b McKenna and McKenna 1975
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Further reading
- Boone, Elizabeth H. (1982). Zelia Nuttall (ed.). The Book of the Life of the Ancient Mexicans, Containing an Account of Their Rites and Superstitions: An Anonymous Hispano-Mexican Manuscript Preserved at the Biblioteca Nazionale Centrale, Florence, Italy (Reprint of 1903 edition with additional commentary). Berkeley: University of California Press.
- OCLC 59432778.
- OCLC 11318551. (in Yucatec Maya and English)
- Nuttall, Zelia, ed. (1903). The Book of the Life of the Ancient Mexicans, Containing an Account of Their Rites and Superstitions: An Anonymous Hispano-Mexican Manuscript Preserved at the Biblioteca Nazionale Centrale, Florence, Italy. Berkeley, CA: University of California.
- Sharps, Matthew J.; Liao, Schuyler W.; Herrera, Megan R. (January–February 2013). "It's the End of the World and They Don't Feel Fine: The Psychology of December 21, 2012". Skeptical Inquirer. 37 (1). Retrieved 12 April 2013.
External links
- Media related to 2012 phenomenon at Wikimedia Commons
- NASA video for 22 December 2012 on YouTube
- Why The World Will Still Be Here After Dec. 21, 2012: A Public Discussion with 3 Scientists at the SETI Institute
- Academia.edu Archived 31 July 2021 at the Wayback Machine
- Dunning, Brian (25 March 2008). "Skeptoid #93: Apocalypse 2012 – The real science behind the events predicted in 2012". Skeptoid.