2015 Alberta general election

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2015 Alberta general election
← 2012 May 5, 2015 2019 →
← 
87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout57.0%[1]
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Rachel Notley Brian Jean Jim Prentice
Party New Democratic Wildrose Progressive Conservative
Leader since October 18, 2014 March 28, 2015 September 6, 2014
Leader's seat Edmonton-Strathcona Fort McMurray-Conklin
Calgary-Foothills
(disclaimed re-election)
Last election 4 seats, 9.85% 17 seats, 34.28% 61 seats, 43.97%
Seats before 4 5 70
Seats won 54 21 9[a]
Seat change Increase50 Increase16 Decrease61
Popular vote 604,518 360,511 413,610[b]
Percentage 40.62% 24.22% 27.79%
Swing Increase30.77pp Decrease10.06pp Decrease16.17pp
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader David Swann Greg Clark
Party Liberal Alberta Party
Leader since February 1, 2015 September 21, 2013
Leader's seat Calgary-Mountain View Calgary-Elbow
Last election 5 seats, 9.89% 0 seats, 1.31%
Seats before 5 0
Seats won 1 1
Seat change Decrease4 Increase1
Popular vote 62,153 33,221
Percentage 4.18% 2.23%
Swing Decrease5.71pp Increase0.92pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is a first-past-the-post election, seat totals are not determined by total popular vote, but instead by results in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Jim Prentice
Progressive Conservative

Premier after election

Rachel Notley
New Democratic

The 2015 Alberta general election was held on May 5, following a request of Premier Jim Prentice to the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta Donald Ethell to dissolve the Legislative Assembly on April 7. This election elected members to the 29th Alberta Legislature. It was only the fourth time in provincial history that saw a change of governing party, and was the last provincial election for both the Alberta Progressive Conservative and Wildrose parties, which merged in 2017 to form the United Conservative Party (although each ran a token candidate in the 2019 election).

The provincial Election Act fixed the election date to a three-month period between March 1 and May 31 in the fourth calendar year after the preceding election day – in this case, April 23, 2012. However, the act does not affect the powers of the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislature before this period.[2]

As a result of the election, the Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP) were elected to a majority government under leader Rachel Notley. The NDP formed government for the first time in Alberta history since the NDP's founding in the early 1960s.

The 2015 election is sometimes called the "Orange Chinook", a reference to the province's dramatic swing to the NDP, the NDP's orange colour and the weather shifts occasioned by strong Chinook winds that southern Alberta commonly experiences.[3][4]

The NDP win ousted the PCs, who were reduced to third place in seats. Prentice resigned as PC leader and MLA for

Calgary-Foothills on election night.[5]

The Progressive Conservatives (PCs) had a majority in the

outgoing Assembly and had won every provincial election since the 1971 election, making them the longest-serving provincial government in Canadian history – being in office for 44 years. This was only the fourth change of governing party in Alberta since becoming a province in 1905, and one of the worst defeats a provincial government has suffered in Canada. 31 PC MLAs lost re-election to the legislature, the largest number in one election in Alberta history. It also marked the first time in almost 80 years that a left-of-centre political party had formed government in Alberta since the defeat of the United Farmers of Alberta in 1935 and the Depression-era radical monetary reform policies of William Aberhart's Social Credit government.[6]

The Wildrose Party under leader

Official Opposition, gaining four seats since 2012 despite winning 81,814 fewer votes and a 10.1% lower share of the popular vote than in the previous election. The Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta Party each won a single seat with Alberta Party leader Greg Clark becoming the party's first MLA. The Alberta Liberal Party lost four seats, only returning interim leader David Swann
to the Legislative Assembly.

Following the election, Notley and her cabinet were sworn in on May 24.[7]

Overall, across the province, 1,488,248 valid votes were cast in this election.[8]

Background

Main article:
28th Alberta Legislative Assembly

In the

official opposition for the first time, while the other two parties in the Assembly, the Alberta Liberal Party and Alberta New Democratic Party (NDP), both held official party status with five and four seats respectively.[9] On September 4, 2014, the PCs became the longest serving political dynasty in Canadian history, at 43 years, 5 days.[10]

Prentice, who succeeded former premier and interim leader of the Progressive Conservatives Dave Hancock in September 2014, was not obligated to call an election until 2016. However, seeking a new mandate to pass his budget, he asked Lieutenant Governor Donald Ethell to dissolve the legislature on April 7. In accordance with Canadian constitutional practice, Ethell granted the request, beginning a month long campaign.[11] The early election call was criticized by some as unethical, as it violated the fixed election dates specified in the Elections Act, but it was constitutionally valid and followed the general practice of the reserve powers of the Crown, specifically the constitutional convention of following the advice of the premier.[12]

Results

The NDP received the most votes (more votes than any other party) overall and in 54 districts (more than half the districts), though did not receive a majority of the vote overall nor in many districts. It received 40.6 percent of the vote and captured 62 percent of the seats in the Legislature.

Due to First-past-the-post voting, the NDP swept the Edmonton seats, won a majority of the seats in Calgary and just less than half of seats in rural Alberta.[13] NDP MLAs were elected in all 21 Edmonton districts, 15 of the 26 Calgary districts and 18 of the 40 districts outside the major cities.[14]

NDP candidates received over 50% of the votes in each Edmonton riding as well as the ridings of Sherwood Park, St. Albert and Lethbridge-West. All opposition (non-NDP) candidates received less than half the votes in the riding where they ran, except for the Wildrose candidates in Cypress-Medicine Hat, Strathmore-Brooks and Olds-Disbury, each of whom captured a majority of the district votes.

The election produced some very close races and small leads for some winning candidates. In Calgary Glenmore the winning candidate won with a lead of six votes over her leading contender. In Calgary McCall an NDP candidate won with less than 30 percent of the vote; in Calgary Shaw an NDP candidate won with but 31 percent of the vote; in Calgary South-East a PC won with only 32.5 percent of the votes cast.

In many ridings the combined votes of the Progressive Conservative and the Wildrose candidates surpassed that of the NDP.

In some ridings such as Red Deer North, Spruce Grove-St. Albert, Calgary-Buffalo, Calgary-Varsity, Lethbridge East and Lethbridge West, the combined vote of the NDP and the Liberal candidates totalled more than 50 percent of the district's votes, thus overwhelming the combined vote of the Conservative and Wild Rose candidate. This also held true for Calgary Mountain View where a Liberal was elected.

In many ridings no Liberal ran, which probably aided the NDP victory in those ridings. These included Lesser Slave Lake, Peace River, Edmonton-McClung, Sherwood Park, West Yellowhead and Whitecourt.

Party Votes Seats
New Democratic 604,518
40.6%
 Increase 30.8pp
54 / 87 (62%)
Progressive Conservative 413,610
27.8%
 Decrease 16.2pp
9 / 87 (10%)
Wildrose 360,511
24.2%
 Decrease 10.1pp
21 / 87 (24%)
Liberal 62,153
4.2%
 Decrease 5.7pp
1 / 87 (1%)
Alberta Party 33,221
2.2%
 Increase 0.9pp
1 / 87 (1%)
Popular vote
New Democratic
 
 40.62%
PC
 
 27.79%
Wildrose
 
 24.22%
Liberal
 
 4.18%
Alberta Party
 
 2.23%
Others
 
 0.96%
Seats
New Democratic
 
 62.07%
Wildrose
 
 24.14%
PC
 
 11.49%
Liberal
 
 1.15%
Alberta Party
 
 1.15%
Summary of the May 5, 2015 Legislative Assembly of Alberta election results[15]
Party Party leader Number of
candidates 		Seats Popular vote*
2012
Dissol.
 		2015 % of Seats # % Change (pp)
New Democratic Rachel Notley 87 4 4 54 62.1 604,518 40.62 +30.77
Wildrose Brian Jean 86 17 5 21 24.1 360,511 24.22 –10.06
Progressive Conservative Jim Prentice 87 61 70 9 10.3 413,610 27.79 –16.17
Liberal David Swann 56 5 5 1 1.1 62,153 4.18 –5.71
Alberta Party Greg Clark 36 — — 1 1.1 33,221 2.23 +0.92
Green[16] Janet Keeping 24 — — — — 7,215 0.48 +0.09
Social Credit Len Skowronski 6 — — — — 834 0.06 +0.03
Communist Naomi Rankin 2 — — — — 182 0.01 =
Alberta First[17] Bart Hampton 1 — — — — 72 0.005 =
 
Independent
 15 — 1 — — 5,932 0.40 +0.13
  Vacant 2 1** 1.1
Total 400 87 87 87 100.0% 1,488,248 100.00%
* The total popular vote includes votes from voided
Calgary-Foothills
election.
** Incumbent Premier Jim Prentice disclaimed his victory in Calgary-Foothills.[18] According to section 139 of the Alberta Elections Act,[19] if a winning candidate disclaims their right to become an MLA before the end of the appeal period for the official results, that riding's election is declared void.
Elections to the Legislative Assembly of Alberta – seats won/lost by party, 2012–2015
Party 2012 Gain from (loss to) 2015
NDP WR PC Lib Alb
New Democratic 4 2 44 4 54
Wildrose 17 (2) 7 (1) 21
Progressive Conservative 61 (44) 1 (7) (1) 9
Liberal 5 (4) 1
Alberta Party 0 1 1
Total 87 (50) 3 (7) 52 (1) 4 (1) 86

The election resulted in a

New Democratic Party
.

The result in

recount process.[20]
On May 15, the recount determined NDP candidate Anam Kazim won the riding by six votes.

The Alberta NDP had been leading in most polls since late April. They had been expected to do well in Edmonton, which historically had been more favourable to centre-left parties and candidates than Alberta in general. However, in a result that exceeded even the most optimistic projections for the NDP, Edmonton swung dramatically to support Notley, who represents an Edmonton riding. The NDP took every seat in the city, all by very large margins (4,000 votes or more with absolute majority support). The NDP also won 15 of the 25 seats in Calgary, the power base of the PCs for most of the previous four decades. The NDP also swept the province's third and fourth-largest cities, Lethbridge and Red Deer. NDP support remained relatively lower in rural Alberta, where they won only a handful of ridings in the north of the province, as well as some rural ridings around Edmonton.[21]

Notley later said that she had known a week before the election that the NDP would win. She told the

Canadian Press that she had been sitting in a hotel room in either Calgary or Lethbridge when she saw a very credible poll showing the NDP was poised to rebound from a mere four seats in the legislature – the minimum for official party status – to an outright majority. She was stunned at first, but recovered long enough to drop her plans for a whirlwind schedule to close out the campaign. Her original plan would have not only resulted in her looking extremely haggard in her first speech as premier-elect, but would have left her without time to begin a transition.[22]

The PCs finished second in the popular vote, 53,099 votes ahead of the Wildrose. However, their caucus was decimated due to a near-total collapse in the major cities, as well as a more pronounced split in the right-of-centre vote. They were completely shut out in Edmonton, Lethbridge, and Red Deer, and lost 12 of their 20 seats in Calgary. Since the first-past-the-post system awards seats solely on the basis of plurality district contests (not by proportional representation), the PCs were knocked down to third place with 10 seats, and only two outside Calgary. This was further reduced to nine when Prentice disclaimed victory in his riding. The PCs were reduced to their smallest presence in the Legislative Assembly since 1967. With a few exceptions, their support in the cities transferred to the NDP, while their rural support moved to the Wildrose. All but three members of Prentice's cabinet were defeated.

The Wildrose had its legislative caucus greatly reduced in 2014 when then-leader and Leader of the Official Opposition Danielle Smith and all but 5 Wildrose MLAs crossed the floor to sit with the governing PCs. In the 2015 general election, the party rebounded to 21 seats and retained Official Opposition status. All of their gains were in rural ridings taken from the PCs, and they failed to win a seat in Edmonton or Calgary.

Greg Clark, leader of the Alberta Party, won the first ever seat for his party in the Legislative Assembly. He won the seat of Calgary-Elbow.

For the first time the NDP won a majority of seats in Calgary, taking 15 of the city's 26 seats. This centre-left success was deepened by a Liberal candidate and an Alberta Party candidate also scoring wins in that city. Such had not happened since 1921, when Labour candidates and Independents took seats there.[23]

Results by riding

Bold indicates cabinet members, and party leaders are italicized. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.

Colour band in gulley indictes winner of the election.

All results are sourced from Elections Alberta.[24]

Northern Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater Jeff Johnson
5,016 - 29.9% 		Travis Olson
4,973 - 29.6% 		Colin Piquette
6,797 - 40.5% 		Jeff Johnson
Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock Maureen Kubinec
4,876 - 26.6% 		Glenn van Dijken
7,206 - 39.3% 		Tristan Turner
6,232 - 34.0% 		Maureen Kubinec
Bonnyville-Cold Lake Craig Copeland
3,594 - 30.4% 		Scott Cyr
5,452 - 46.2% 		Josalyne Head
2,136 - 18.1% 		Rob Fox
628 - 5.3% 		Genia Leskiw†
Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley Rhonda Clarke-Gauthier
2,766 - 28.8% 		Kelly Hudson
3,147 - 32.8%
Margaret McCuaig-Boyd

3,692 - 38.4% 		Hector Goudreau†
Fort McMurray-Conklin Don Scott
1,502 - 22.3% 		Brian Jean
2,950 - 43.9% 		Melinda Hollis
204 - 3.0% 		Ariana Mancini
2,071 - 30.8% 		Don Scott
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Mike Allen
2,486 - 25.9% 		Tany Yao
3,835 - 40.0% 		Robin Le Fevre
345 - 3.6% 		Stephen Drover
2,915 - 30.4% 		Mike Allen
Grande Prairie-Smoky Everett McDonald
4,968 - 30.8% 		Todd Loewen
5,343 - 33.2% 		Kevin McLean
787 - 4.9% 		Todd Russell
5,009 - 31.1% 		Everett McDonald
Grande Prairie-Wapiti Wayne Drysdale
6,229 - 35.6% 		Laila Goodridge
4,175 - 23.8% 		Mary Dahr
5,062 - 28.9% 		Rory Tarant
2,048 - 11.7% 		Wayne Drysdale
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills Darrell Younghans
3,004 - 24.4% 		David Hanson
4,763 - 38.7% 		Catherine Harder
4,214 - 34.2% 		Brian Deheer (
Green
)
339 - 2.8% 		Shayne Saskiw†
Lesser Slave Lake Pearl Calahasen
1,944 - 21.5% 		Darryl Boisson
3,198 - 35.3% 		Danielle Larivee
3,915 - 43.2% 		Pearl Calahasen
Peace River
Frank Oberle

3,529 - 36.4% 		Nathan Steinke
1,979 - 20.4% 		Debbie Jabbour
3,821 - 39.4% 		Sherry Hilton
376 - 3.9% 		Frank Oberle

Central Edmonton

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Tony Caterina
2,524 - 15.5% 		Stephanie Diacon
1,248 - 7.6% 		Tomi Yellowface
359 - 2.2% 		Deron Bilous
12,049 - 73.8% 		Owais Siddiqui
147 - 0.9% 		Deron Bilous
Edmonton-Calder Thomas "Tom" Bradley
3,222 - 17.8% 		Andrew Altimas
1,565 - 8.6% 		Amit "Sunny" Batra
527 - 2.9% 		David Eggen
12,837 - 70.7% 		David Eggen
Edmonton-Centre Catherine Keill
2,228 - 13.5% 		Joe Byram
772 - 4.7% 		Laurie Blakeman[c]
4,199 - 25.4% 		David Shepherd
8,983 - 54.4% 		Greg Keating (Ind.)
295 - 1.8%
Rory Joe Koopmans (Ind.)
40 - 0.2% 		Laurie Blakeman
Edmonton-Glenora Heather Klimchuk
3,145 - 17.3% 		Don Koziak
1,394 - 7.6% 		Karen Sevcik
553 - 3.0% 		Sarah Hoffman
12,473 - 68.4% 		Chris Vilcsak
463 - 2.5%
Green
)
195 - 1.1% 		Heather Klimchuk
Edmonton-Gold Bar David Dorward
4,147 - 18.6% 		Justin J. James
1,422 - 6.4% 		Ronald Brochu
702 - 3.2% 		Marlin Schmidt
15,349 - 68.9% 		Cristina Stasia
662 - 3.0% 		David Dorward
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood Jonathan Weiqun Dai
1,778 - 12.0% 		Joshua Loeppky
967 - 6.5% 		Matthew R. Smith
494 - 3.3% 		Brian Mason
11,555 - 78.1% 		Brian Mason
Edmonton-Mill Creek Gene Zwozdesky
3,848 - 23.9% 		Saqib Raja
1,365 - 8.5% 		Harpreet Gill
1,896 - 11.8% 		Denise Woollard
9,025 - 55.9% 		Gene Zwozdesky
Edmonton-Mill Woods
 Sohail Quadri
2,920 - 19.1% 		Baljit Sall
1,437 - 9.4% 		Roberto Maglalang
850 - 5.6% 		Christina Gray
9,930 - 64.9% 		Aura Leddy (Ind.)
129 - 0.8%
Naomi Rankin
(Communist)
44 - 0.3% 		Sohail Quadri
Edmonton-Riverview Steve Young
3,732 - 19.3% 		Ian Crawford
1,350 - 7.0% 		Donna Wilson
1,416 - 7.3% 		Lori Sigurdson
12,108 - 62.8% 		Brandon Beringer
487 - 2.5% 		Sandra Wolf Lange (
Green
)
135 - 0.7%
Glenn Miller (Ind.)
59 - 0.3% 		Steve Young
Edmonton-Rutherford Chris LaBossiere
3,940 - 22.5% 		Josef Pisa
1,644 - 9.4% 		Michael Chan
741 - 4.2% 		Richard Feehan
11,214 - 63.9% 		Fred Horne†
Edmonton-Strathcona Shelley Wegner
2,242 - 13.6% 		Steve Kochan
658 - 4.0% 		Rachel Notley
13,592 - 82.4% 		Rachel Notley

Suburban Edmonton

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Edmonton-Castle Downs Thomas Lukaszuk
4,182 - 23.1% 		Gerrit Roosenboom
1,383 - 7.6% 		Todd Ross
880 - 4.9% 		Nicole Goehring
11,689 - 64.5% 		Thomas Lukaszuk
Edmonton-Decore Janice Sarich
2,847 - 18.4% 		Dean R. Miller
1,289 - 8.3% 		Bradley Lawrence Whalen
691 - 4.5% 		Chris Nielsen
10,531 - 67.9% 		Trey Capnerhurst (
Green
)
150 - 1.0% 		Janice Sarich
Edmonton-Ellerslie Harman Kandola
3,549 - 19.8% 		Jackie Lovely
2,499 - 13.9% 		Mike McGowan
839 - 4.7% 		Rod Loyola
11,034 - 61.6% 		Naresh Bhardwaj§
Edmonton-Manning
 Gurcharan Garcha
2,599 - 15.1% 		Atiq Rehman
1,475 - 8.6% 		Adam Mounzer
776 - 4.5% 		Heather Sweet
12,376 - 71.8% 		Peter Sandhu§
Edmonton-McClung David Xiao
4,408 - 25.9% 		Steve Thompson
2,373 - 14.0% 		Lorne Dach
9,412 - 55.4% 		John Hudson
808 - 4.8% 		David Xiao
Edmonton-Meadowlark Katherine O'Neill
3,924 - 22.8% 		Amber Maze
1,972 - 11.5% 		Dan Bildhauer
1,507 - 8.8% 		Jon Carson
9,796 - 57.0% 		Raj Sherman†
Edmonton-South West Matt Jeneroux
6,316 - 27.8% 		Cole Kander
2,290 - 10.1% 		Rudy Arcilla
1,199 - 5.3% 		Thomas Dang
12,352 - 54.4% 		Krishna Tailor
543 - 2.4% 		Matt Jeneroux
Edmonton-Whitemud Stephen Mandel
7,177 - 32.2% 		Chad Peters
1,423 - 6.4% 		Steven Townsend
629 - 2.8% 		Bob Turner
12,805 - 57.4% 		Kathryn Jackson (
Green
)
182 - 0.8%
John Baloun (Ind.)
73 - 0.3% 		Stephen Mandel
Sherwood Park Cathy Olesen
5,655 - 25.9% 		Linda Osinchuk
4,815 - 22.1% 		Annie McKitrick
11,365 - 52.0% 		Cathy Olesen
St. Albert Stephen Khan
6,340 - 27.9% 		Shelley Biermanski
2,858 - 12.6% 		Bill Alton
778 - 3.4% 		Marie Renaud
12,220 - 53.9% 		Trevor Love
493 - 2.2% 		Stephen Khan

West Central Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Drayton Valley-Devon Diana J. McQueen
5,182 - 30.5% 		Mark Smith
6,284 - 37.0% 		Katherine Swampy
4,816 - 28.4% 		Connie Jensen
416 - 2.5% 		Jennifer R. Roach (
Green
)
276 - 1.6% 		Diana McQueen
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Kerry Towle
5,136 - 28.0% 		Don MacIntyre
7,829 - 42.7% 		Patricia Norman
4,244 - 23.1% 		Danielle Klooster
1,135 - 6.2% 		Kerry Towle
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Wade Bearchell
5,274 - 26.3% 		Nathan Cooper
10,692 - 53.4% 		Glenn R. Norman
3,366 - 16.8% 		Jim Adamchick
685 - 3.4% 		Bruce Rowe†
Red Deer-North Christine Moore
3,836 - 22.7% 		S.H. "Buck" Buchanan
4,173 - 24.7% 		Michael Dawe[d]
3,262 - 19.3% 		Kim Schreiner
4,969 - 29.4% 		Krystal Kromm
683 - 4.0% 		Mary Anne Jablonski†
Red Deer-South Darcy Mykytyshyn
5,414 - 27.6% 		Norman Wiebe
4,812 - 24.6% 		Deborah Checkel
738 - 3.8% 		Barb Miller
7,024 - 35.9% 		Serge Gingras
1,035 - 5.3% 		Ben Dubois (
Green
)
274 - 1.4%
Patti Argent (Ind.)
232 - 1.2%
William Berry (Ind.)
60 - 0.3% 		Cal Dallas†
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Tammy Coté
5,296 - 31.8% 		Jason Nixon
6,670 - 40.1% 		Hannah Schlamp
2,791 - 16.8% 		Joe Anglin (Ind.)
1,871 - 11.3% 		Joe Anglin
Spruce Grove-St. Albert Rus Matichuk
6,362 - 25.6% 		Jaye Walter
4,631 - 18.7% 		Reg Lukasik
916 - 3.7% 		Trevor Horne
11,546 - 46.5% 		Gary Hanna
1,081 - 4.4% 		Brendon Greene (
Green
)
269 - 1.1% 		Vacant
Stony Plain Ken Lemke
4,944 - 25.7% 		Kathy Rondeau
5,586 - 29.1% 		Mike Hanlon
657 - 3.4% 		Erin Babcock
7,268 - 37.8% 		Sandy Simmie
538 - 2.8% 		Matt Burnett (
Green
)
220 - 1.1% 		Ken Lemke
West Yellowhead
 Robin Campbell
3,433 - 32.3% 		Stuart Taylor
3,055 - 28.8% 		Eric Rosendahl
4,135 - 38.9% 		Robin Campbell
Whitecourt-Ste. Anne George VanderBurg
4,721 - 31.1% 		John Bos
4,996 - 33.0% 		Oneil Carlier
5,442 - 35.9% 		George VanderBurg

East Central Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Battle River-Wainwright Blake Prior
5,057 - 31.2% 		Wes Taylor
6,862 - 42.3% 		Ron Williams
500 - 3.1% 		Gordon Naylor
3,807 - 23.5% 		Vacant
Drumheller-Stettler Jack Hayden
5,388 - 33.9% 		Rick Strankman
7,570 - 47.7% 		Emily Shannon
2,927 - 18.4% 		Rick Strankman
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Jacquie Fenske
5,527 - 28.3% 		Joe Gosselin
3,959 - 20.2% 		Peter Schneider
475 - 2.4% 		Jessica Littlewood
8,983 - 45.9% 		Derek Christensen
324 - 1.7% 		Allison Anderson (
Green
)
285 - 1.5% 		Jacquie Fenske
Lacombe-Ponoka Peter Dewit
5,018 - 27.6% 		Ron Orr
6,502 - 35.7% 		Doug Hart
5,481 - 30.1% 		Tony Jeglum
1,206 - 6.6% 		Rod Fox§
Leduc-Beaumont George Rogers
6,225 - 28.3% 		Sharon Smith
6,543 - 29.7% 		Shaye Anderson
8,321 - 37.8% 		Bert Hoogewoonink
612 - 2.8% 		Josh Drozda (
Green
)
301 - 1.4% 		George Rogers
Strathcona-Sherwood Park Dave Quest
6,623 - 30.1% 		Rob Johnson
5,286 - 24.0% 		Estefania Cortes-Vargas
9,376 - 42.6% 		Lynne Kaiser
721 - 3.3% 		Dave Quest
Vermilion-Lloydminster Richard Starke
5,935 - 47.4% 		Danny Hozack
4,171 - 33.3% 		Saba Mossagizi
2,428 - 19.4% 		Richard Starke
Wetaskiwin-Camrose Verlyn Olson
5,951 - 34.7% 		Bill Rock
3,685 - 21.5% 		Bruce Hinkley
7,531 - 43.9% 		Verlyn Olson

Central Calgary

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Calgary-Acadia Jonathan Denis
4,602 - 29.0% 		Linda Carlson
4,985 - 31.4% 		Nicholas Borovsky
765 - 4.8% 		Brandy Payne
5,506 - 34.7% 		Jonathan Denis
Calgary-Buffalo Terry Rock
3,738 - 28.1% 		Leah Wamboldt
1,351 - 10.2% 		David Khan
3,282 - 24.7% 		Kathleen Ganley
4,671 - 35.1% 		Sabrina Lee Levac (
Green
)
263 - 2.0% 		Kent Hehr†
Calgary-Cross Rick Hanson
4,501 - 35.3% 		Moiz Mahmood
2,060 - 16.2% 		Manjot Singh Gill
1,194 - 9.4% 		Ricardo Miranda
4,602 - 36.1% 		Peter Meic (
Green
)
236 - 1.9%
Katherine Le Rougetel (Ind.)
143 - 1.1% 		Yvonne Fritz†
Calgary-Currie Christine Cusanelli
4,577 - 24.7% 		Terry DeVries
3,769 - 20.3% 		Shelley Wark-Martyn
1,441 - 7.8% 		Brian Malkinson
7,387 - 39.8% 		Tony Norman
1,006 - 5.4% 		Nelson Berlin (
Green
)
373 - 2.0% 		Christine Cusanelli
Calgary-East Moe Amery
3,971 - 28.3% 		Ali Waissi
3,633 - 25.9% 		Naser Al-Kukhun
806 - 5.7% 		Robyn Luff
5,506 - 39.2% 		Bonnie Devine (Communist)
138 - 1.0% 		Moe Amery
Calgary-Elbow Gordon Dirks
6,254 - 30.3% 		Megan Brown
1,786 - 8.7% 		John Roggeveen
565 - 2.7% 		Catherine Welburn
3,256 - 15.8% 		Greg Clark
8,707 - 42.2% 		Larry R. Heather (Social Credit)
67 - 0.3% 		Gordon Dirks
Calgary-Fish Creek Richard Gotfried
6,198 - 32.9% 		Blaine Maller
5,568 - 29.6% 		Jill Moreton
6,069 - 32.2% 		Allison Wemyss
850 - 4.5% 		Martin Owen (Social Credit)
148 - 0.8% 		Heather Forsyth†
Calgary-Fort Andy Bao Nguyen
3,204 - 22.7% 		Jeevan Mangat
3,003 - 21.3% 		Said Abdulbaki
476 - 3.4% 		Joe Ceci
7,027 - 49.8% 		Vic Goosen
410 - 2.9% 		Wayne Cao†
Calgary-Glenmore Linda Johnson
7,015 - 33.2% 		Chris Kemp-Jackson
5,058 - 23.9% 		David Waddington
1,345 - 6.4% 		Anam Kazim
7,021 - 33.2% 		Terry Lo
719 - 3.4% 		Linda Johnson
Calgary-Klein Kyle Fawcett
4,878 - 26.8% 		Jeremy Nixon
4,206 - 23.0% 		David Gamble
1,104 - 6.0% 		Craig Coolahan
8,098 - 44.3% 		Noel Keough
Green
)
0 - 0.0% 		Kyle Fawcett
Calgary-Mountain View Mark Hlady
4,699 - 23.9% 		Terry Wong
2,070 - 10.5% 		David Swann
7,204 - 36.7% 		Marc Andrew Chikinda
5,673 - 28.9% 		David Swann
Calgary-Varsity Susan Billington
5,700 - 30.2% 		Sharon Polsky
2,598 - 13.8% 		Pete Helfrich
1,862 - 9.9% 		Stephanie McLean
8,297 - 43.9% 		Carl Svoboda (
Green
)
424 - 2.2% 		Donna Kennedy-Glans†

Suburban Calgary

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Calgary-Bow Byron Nelson
5,419 - 33.0% 		Trevor Grover
3,752 - 22.8% 		Matt Gaiser
682 - 4.2% 		Deborah Drever
5,669 - 34.5% 		Jonathon Himann
459 - 2.8% 		David Reid (
Green
)
448 - 2.7% 		Alana DeLong†
Calgary-Foothills
 Jim Prentice[f]
7,163 - 40.3% 		Keelan Frey
3,216 - 18.1% 		Ali Bin Zahid
1,271 - 7.2% 		Anne Wilson
5,748 - 32.4% 		Janet Keeping (
Green
)
363 - 2.0% 		Jim Prentice
Calgary-Greenway Manmeet Bhullar
5,337 - 42.8% 		Devinder Toor
2,627 - 21.1% 		Don Monroe
4,513 - 36.2% 		Manmeet Bhullar
Calgary-Hawkwood Jason Luan
6,378 - 31.2% 		Jae Shim
4,448 - 21.7% 		Harbaksh Singh Sekhon
736 - 3.6% 		Michael Connolly
7,443 - 36.4% 		Beth Barberree
925 - 4.5% 		Polly Knowlton Cockett (
Green)
455 - 2.2%
Len Skowronski (Social Credit
)
90 - 0.4% 		Jason Luan
Calgary-Hays Ric McIver
6,671 - 38.3% 		Bob Mailloux
4,562 - 26.2% 		Shawn Emran
722 - 4.1% 		Carla Drader
5,138 - 29.5% 		Graham MacKenzie (
Green)
250 - 1.4%
Zachary Doyle (Social Credit
)
93 - 0.5% 		Ric McIver
Calgary-Lougheed Dave Rodney
5,939 - 35.0% 		Mark Mantei
4,781 - 28.2% 		Leila Keith
817 - 4.8% 		Mihai Ion
5,437 - 32.0% 		Dave Rodney
Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill Neil Brown
4,587 - 27.4% 		Kathy Macdonald
4,914 - 29.3% 		Prab Lashar
768 - 4.6% 		Karen M. McPherson
6,177 - 36.9% 		Sandy Kevin Aberdeen (
Green
)
316 - 1.9% 		Neil Brown
Calgary-McCall
 Jagdeep Kaur Sahota
2,317 - 18.2% 		Happy Mann
3,367 - 26.4% 		Avinash S. Khangura
2,224 - 17.5% 		Irfan Sabir
3,812 - 29.9% 		Burhan Khan (Ind.)
1,010 - 7.9% 		Darshan Kang†
Calgary-North West Sandra Jansen
6,320 - 32.7% 		Jeff Callaway
5,163 - 26.7% 		Neil Marion
935 - 4.8% 		Karen Mills
5,724 - 29.6% 		Chris Blatch
1,176 - 6.1% 		Sandra Jansen
Calgary-Northern Hills Teresa Woo-Paw
5,343 - 30.7% 		Prasad Panda
4,392 - 25.3% 		Harry Lin
1,000 - 5.8% 		Jamie Kleinsteuber
6,641 - 38.2% 		Teresa Woo-Paw
Calgary-Shaw Jeff Wilson
5,348 - 30.7% 		Brad Leishman
5,301 - 30.4% 		Alexander Barrow
668 - 3.8% 		Graham Sucha
5,449 - 31.2% 		Evert Smith
661 - 3.8% 		Jeff Wilson
Calgary-South East Rick Fraser
7,663 - 32.5% 		Brandon Lunty
6,892 - 29.2% 		Gladwin Gill
1,304 - 5.5% 		Mirical Macdonald
7,358 - 31.2% 		Jordan Mac Isaac (
Green
)
374 - 1.6% 		Rick Fraser
Calgary-West Mike Ellis
8,312 - 46.8% 		Gerard Lucyshyn
4,512 - 25.4% 		Mizanur Rahman
4,940 - 27.8% 		Mike Ellis
Chestermere-Rocky View Bruce McAllister
7,454 - 36.0% 		Leela Sharon Aheer
7,676 - 37.0% 		William James Pelech
3,706 - 17.9% 		Jamie Lall (Ind.)
1,093 - 5.3%
Coral Bliss Taylor (
Green
)
405 - 2.0%
Matt Grant (Ind.)
391 - 1.9% 		Bruce McAllister

Southern Alberta

Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
PC Wildrose Liberal NDP Alberta Party Other
Airdrie Peter Brown
6,181 - 28.9% 		Angela Pitt
7,499 - 35.1% 		Chris Noble
6,388 - 29.9% 		Jeremy Klug
912 - 4.3% 		Jeff Willerton (Ind.)
399 - 1.9% 		Rob Anderson†
Banff-Cochrane Ron Casey
5,555 - 28.2% 		Scott Wagner
5,692 - 28.9% 		Cameron Westhead
8,426 - 42.8% 		Ron Casey
Cardston-Taber-Warner Brian Brewin
4,356 - 35.5% 		Grant Hunter
5,126 - 41.8% 		Aaron Haugen
2,407 - 19.6% 		Delbert Bodnarek
378 - 3.1% 		Gary Bikman§
Cypress-Medicine Hat Bob Olson
3,389 - 21.6% 		Drew Barnes
8,544 - 54.6% 		Eric Musekamp
528 - 3.4% 		Bev Waege
3,201 - 20.4% 		Drew Barnes
Highwood Carrie Fischer
6,827 - 33.0% 		Wayne Anderson
8,504 - 41.1% 		Leslie Mahoney
3,937 - 19.0% 		Joel Windsor
892 - 4.3% 		Martin Blake (
Jeremy Fraser (Social Credit
)
187 - 0.9% 		Danielle Smith§
Lethbridge-East Tammy L. Perlich
4,743 - 25.3% 		Kent Prestage
3,918 - 20.9% 		Bill West
1,201 - 6.4% 		Maria Fitzpatrick
8,918 - 47.5% 		Bridget Pastoor†
Lethbridge-West Greg Weadick
3,938 - 21.0% 		Ron Bain
3,063 - 16.3% 		Sheila Pyne
634 - 3.4% 		Shannon Phillips
11,144 - 59.3% 		Greg Weadick
Little Bow
 Ian Donovan
4,793 - 35.3% 		David Schneider
4,803 - 35.4% 		Helen McMenamin
377 - 2.8% 		Bev Muendel-Atherstone
3,364 - 24.8% 		Caleb Van Der Weide (Social Credit)
249 - 1.8% 		Ian Donovan
Livingstone-Macleod Evan P. Berger
6,404 - 34.7% 		Pat Stier
7,362 - 39.9% 		Alida Hess
464 - 2.5% 		Aileen Burke
4,338 - 22.9% 		Pat Stier
Medicine Hat Blake Pedersen
3,427 - 21.1% 		Val Olson
5,790 - 35.6% 		Bob Wanner
6,160 - 37.9% 		Jim Black
731 - 4.5% 		David Andrew Phillips (Ind.)
137 - 0.8% 		Blake Pedersen
Strathmore-Brooks Molly Douglass
4,452 - 27.0% 		Derek Fildebrandt
8,652 - 52.5% 		Ali Abdulbaki
200 - 1.2% 		Lynn MacWilliam
2,463 - 15.0% 		Einar B. Davison
304 - 1.8% 		Mike Worthington (
Green)
322 - 2.0%
Glen Dundas (Alberta First
)
72 - 0.4% 		Jason Hale†

Defeated incumbents

Party Name Constituency Office held at election Year elected Defeated by Party
Progressive
Conservative 		Mike Allen Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo 2012 Tany Yao Wildrose Party
Moe Amery Calgary East 1993 Robyn Luff
New Democratic Party
Pearl Calahasen Lesser Slave Lake Longest-serving MLA at dissolution 1989 Danielle Larivee
New Democratic Party
Jonathan Denis Calgary-Acadia Minister of Justice and Solicitor General 2008 Brandy Payne
New Democratic Party
Gordon Dirks Calgary-Elbow Minister of Education 2014 Greg Clark Alberta Party
Ian Donovan Little Bow 2012 Dave Schneider Wildrose Party
David Dorward Edmonton-Gold Bar Associate Minister of Aboriginal Relations 2012 Marlin Schmidt
New Democratic Party
Jacquie Fenske Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 2012 Jessica Littlewood
New Democratic Party
Matt Jeneroux Edmonton-South West 2012 Thomas Dang
New Democratic Party
Jeff Johnson Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater Minister of Seniors 2008 Colin Piquette
New Democratic Party
Linda Johnson Calgary-Glenmore 2012 Anam Kazim
New Democratic Party
Stephen Khan St. Albert
Minister of Service Alberta
 2012 Marie Renaud
New Democratic Party
Heather Klimchuk Edmonton-Glenora Minister of Human Services 2008 Sarah Hoffman
New Democratic Party
Maureen Kubinec Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock
Minister of Culture and Tourism
 2012 Glenn van Dijken Wildrose Party
Thomas Lukaszuk Edmonton-Castle Downs 2001 Nicole Goehring
New Democratic Party
Stephen Mandel Edmonton-Whitemud
Minister of Health
 2014 Bob Turner
New Democratic Party
Bruce McAllister Chestermere-Rocky View 2012 Leela Aheer Wildrose Party
Everett McDonald Grande Prairie-Smoky 2012 Todd Loewen Wildrose Party
Frank Oberle
 Peace River
Minister of Energy
, Government House Leader 		2004 Debbie Jabbour
New Democratic Party
Cathy Olesen Sherwood Park 2012 Annie McKitrick
New Democratic Party
Blake Pedersen Medicine Hat 2012 Bob Wanner
New Democratic Party
Sohail Quadri
Edmonton-Mill Woods
 2012 Christina Gray
New Democratic Party
George Rogers Leduc-Beaumont 2004 Shaye Anderson
New Democratic Party
Janice Sarich Edmonton-Decore 2008 Chris Nielsen
New Democratic Party
Don Scott Fort McMurray-Conklin Minister of Innovation and Advanced Education, Deputy House Leader 2012 Brian Jean Wildrose Party
Kerry Towle Innisfail-Sylvan Lake 2012 Don MacIntyre Wildrose Party
Jeff Wilson Calgary-Shaw 2012 Graham Sucha
New Democratic Party
Teresa Woo-Paw Calgary-Northern Hills 2008 Jamie Kleinsteuber
New Democratic Party
David Xiao Edmonton-McClung 2008 Lorne Dach
New Democratic Party
Steve Young Edmonton-Riverview 2012 Lori Sigurdson
New Democratic Party
Gene Zwozdesky Edmonton-Mill Creek Speaker 1993 Denise Woollard
New Democratic Party
Liberal Laurie Blakeman Edmonton-Centre 1997 David Shepherd
New Democratic Party
Independent Joe Anglin Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre 2012 Jason Nixon Wildrose Party

MLAs who did not run again

Progressive Conservative
Wildrose
Liberal

Timeline

2012

2013

2014

2015

Opinion polls

The following is a summary of published polls of voter intentions.

Date of Polling Polling Firm Margin of Error
(19 times out of 20) 		PC Wildrose
Liberal
NDP
 Alberta Other Undecided
May 5, 2015 Election 2015 27.8 24.2 4.2 40.6 2.2 1.0
May 4, 2015 Forum Research ±3 pp 23 23 4 45 3 2
May 1–4, 2015
Insights West
 ±3.1 pp 23 27 4 42 3 2 9
Apr. 29–May 3, 2015
EKOS Research Associates
 ±3.4 pp 22.5 24.0 5.6 44.3 2.2 1.4
May 2, 2015 Forum Research ±3 pp 21 24 5 42 5 3
April 29, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.85 pp 21 26 5 44 3 14
April 27–29, 2015 Ipsos-Reid ±4.1 pp 24 26 9 37 3 1
April 25–29, 2015
EKOS Research Associates
 ±3.7 pp 23.1 21.3 6.3 42.2 4.6 2.6
April 26–28, 2015 ThinkHQ ±2.1 pp 20 27 9 39 4 1
April 26–28, 2015 Leger Marketing ±2.8 pp 30 24 6 38 1 1 16
April 25–28, 2015 Return On Insight ±3.6 pp 24 21 10 38 4
April 23, 2015 Televised leaders' debate
April 23, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.49 pp 26 32 8 31 4 21
April 22–23, 2015 Forum Research ±3 pp 20 25 7 38 6 5
April 20, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.78 pp 25 35 4 31 4 19
April 13, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.76 pp 24 31 10 30 5 23
April 7–9, 2015 Forum Research ±2 pp 27 30 12 28 2 2
April 7, 2015 Dissolution of the
28th Alberta Legislative Assembly
, campaign begins
April 7, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.78 pp 27 31 12 26 3 24
April 2–6, 2015 ThinkHQ ±2.3 pp 25 31 12 26 5 1
March 27–30, 2015
Insights West
 ±3.9 pp 31 27 14 22 2 5
March 29, 2015 Mainstreet Research ±1.8 pp 30 30 17 18 5 20
March 28, 2015 Brian Jean becomes leader of the Wildrose Party
February 13–23, 2015 Environics 46 16 18 17 4
February 1, 2015 David Swann becomes interim leader of the Liberal Party
January 26, 2015 Raj Sherman resigns as leader of the Liberal Party
December 28–30, 2014
Insights West
 42 14 19 18 7
December 21, 2014 Heather Forsyth becomes interim leader of the Wildrose Party
December 21, 2014 Mainstreet Research 44 20 14 18 4
December 17, 2014 Danielle Smith resigns as leader of the Wildrose Party, crosses the floor with 8 caucus members to the PCs
Nov. 28–Dec. 1, 2014
Insights West
 35 29 15 16 5
October 18, 2014 Rachel Notley becomes leader of the New Democratic Party
October 4–9, 2014 Lethbridge College 32.6 30.8 12.8 16.8 7.0
September 6, 2014 Jim Prentice becomes leader of the Progressive Conservative Association and Premier
Aug. 27–Sep. 2, 2014
Leger Marketing
 29 33 18 16 4
June 23–26, 2014 Leger Marketing 26 31 20 19 4
April 29, 2014 Brian Mason resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party, becomes interim leader
April 23–26, 2014
Insights West
 21 50 11 16 2
March 20, 2014 Alison Redford resigns as Premier and leader of the Progressive Conservative Association, Dave Hancock becomes interim leader and Premier
March 10–16, 2014 ThinkHQ 19 46 16 15 3 1
March 3–9, 2014
Angus Reid
 23 46 15 13 4
February 24–27, 2014 Leger Marketing 25 38 16 15 3 2
February 14–23, 2014 Environics 36 33 18 12 2
October 5–6, 2013 Lethbridge College 36.1 29.4 15.7 12.2 1.1 5.6
September 11–17, 2013 Leger Marketing 33 34 15 15 3
April 9–12, 2013 Leger Marketing 29 37 17 14 3
February 12–16, 2013 ThinkHQ 26 38 13 16 3 4
January 14–20, 2013 Leger Marketing 40 28 12 13 6
October 10–23, 2012 Environics 45 29 13 12 1
September 29–30, 2012 Lethbridge College 44.6 23.9 11.1 14.0 3.0 3.4
August 10–22, 2012 Environics 43 26 14 13 3
June 11, 2012 Forum Research 39 36 9 12 2 2
April 23, 2012 Election 2012 ±0.0 pp 44.0 34.3 9.9 9.8 1.3 0.7

Media endorsements

The following media outlets endorsed the Progressive Conservatives during the campaign:

No media endorsements were made for any of the other parties.

Footnotes

  1. Calgary-Foothills
    , voiding the election and leaving the Progressive Conservatives with 9 seats in the official results.
  2. Calgary-Foothills
  3. Green Party of Alberta
    .
  4. Green Party of Alberta
    .
  5. ^ Withdrew.
  6. ^ Prentice disclaimed his victory on election night, leaving the seat vacant.

References

References

  1. ^ "General Elections «". Archived from the original on April 13, 2019. Retrieved April 16, 2019.
  2. ^ Election Act, R.S.A. 2000, c. E-1, s. 38.1, as amended by S.A. 2011, c. 19
  3. ^ Bratt, Duane (December 25, 2015). "NDP: The year of Alberta's Orange chinook". The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on May 29, 2018. Retrieved April 5, 2018.
  4. ^ Casey, Sean (June 20, 2014). "Could the "Orange Chinook" Extend into the October Election - Federal Election Tracker by Global Public Affairs". Globalelectioninsights.ca. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved May 30, 2018.
  5. ^ "Jim Prentice resignation as MLA too fast, strategist says" Archived May 7, 2015, at the Wayback Machine. CBC News, May 6, 2015.
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  7. ^ Notley, 11 cabinet ministers to be sworn in Sunday at legislature Archived May 27, 2015, at the Wayback Machine. Edmonton Journal, May 20, 2015.
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  16. 2012
  17. 2012
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Works cited

External links

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