2015 United States gubernatorial elections
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3 governorships[a] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of the results Democratic gain Republican gain Republican hold No election |
United States gubernatorial elections were held in three states in 2015 as part of the
As of 2024, this is the last time that Republicans won the governorship in Kentucky.
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals publish predictions of competitive seats. These predictions look at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assign ratings to each state, with the rating indicating the predicted advantage that a party has in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State | PVI | Incumbent[1] | Last race |
DKE Oct 29, 2015[5] |
Result | |||
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Kentucky | R+13 | Steve Beshear (term-limited) | 55.7% D | Tossup | Tilt D | Lean D | Tossup | Bevin 52.5% R (flip) |
Louisiana | R+12 | Bobby Jindal (term-limited) | 65.8% R | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Lean D (flip) | Tossup | Edwards 56.1% D (flip) |
Mississippi | R+9 | Phil Bryant | 61.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R | Bryant 66.2% R |
Race summary
State | Incumbent | Results | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Governor | Party | First elected |
Status | Candidates |
Kentucky | Steve Beshear | Democratic | 2007 | Incumbent term-limited. New governor elected. Republican gain. |
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Louisiana | Bobby Jindal | Republican | 2007 | Incumbent term-limited. New governor elected. Democratic gain. |
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Mississippi | Phil Bryant | Republican | 2011 | Incumbent re-elected.[6] |
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Closest races
States where the margin of victory was under 10%:
- Kentucky, 8.70%
Red denotes states won by Republicans.
Kentucky
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County results Bevin: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Conway: 40–50% 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Two-term incumbent Democratic
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic
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Jack Conway | 140,627 | 78.78 | |
Democratic
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Geoff Young | 37,887 | 21.22 | |
Total votes | 178,514 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican
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Matt Bevin | 70,480 | 32.91 | |
Republican
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James Comer | 70,397 | 32.89 | |
Republican
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Hal Heiner | 57,951 | 27.10 | |
Republican
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Will T. Scott | 15,365 | 7.20 | |
Total votes | 214,187 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican
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Matt Bevin | 511,374 | 52.52 | 17.23 | |
Democratic
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Jack Conway | 426,620 | 43.82 | 11.90 | |
Independent
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Drew Curtis | 35,597 | 3.66 | 5.33 | |
Total votes | 973,692 | 100.00 | |||
Democratic
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Louisiana
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Parish results Edwards: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Vitter: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Two-term incumbent Republican
Three Republicans ran for the office:
Three Democrats ran: 2011 candidate Cary Deaton,[21] Minority Leader of the Louisiana House of Representatives John Bel Edwards[13][22] and minister Jeremy Odom.[23]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic
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John Bel Edwards | 444,517 | 39.89 | |
Republican
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David Vitter | 256,300 | 23.00 | |
Republican
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Scott Angelle | 214,982 | 19.29 | |
Republican
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Jay Dardenne | 166,656 | 14.96 | |
Democratic
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Cary Deaton | 11,763 | 1.06 | |
Democratic
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S. L. Simpson | 7,420 | 0.67 | |
Independent
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Beryl Billiot | 5,694 | 0.51 | |
Independent
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Jeremy Odom | 4,756 | 0.43 | |
Independent
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Eric Orgeron | 2,248 | 0.20 | |
Total votes | 1,114,336 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Democratic
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John Bel Edwards | 646,924 | 56.11 | 27.95 | |
Republican
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David Vitter | 505,940 | 43.89 | 21.91 | |
Total votes | 1,152,864 | 100.00 | |||
Republican
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Mississippi
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County results Bryant: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% Gray: 40–50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% | |||||||||||||||||
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One-term incumbent Republican
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican
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Phil Bryant (incumbent) | 256,689 | 91.86 | |
Republican
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Mitch Young | 22,738 | 8.14 | |
Total votes | 279,427 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic
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Robert Gray | 152,087 | 50.80 | |
Democratic
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Vicki Slater | 91,104 | 30.43 | |
Democratic
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Valerie Short | 56,177 | 18.77 | |
Total votes | 299,368 | 100.00 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
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Republican
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Phil Bryant (incumbent) | 480,399 | 66.24 | ||
Democratic
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Robert Gray | 234,858 | 32.38 | ||
Reform
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Shawn O'Hara | 9,950 | 1.37 | n/a | |
Total votes | 725,207 | 100.00 | |||
Republican hold
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Notes
- ^ Alaska's governorship was held by an independent, so the number of seats held by Democrats and Republicans added up to only 49.
References
- ^ Parentheses around an incumbent's name indicates that the incumbent is retiring, possibly due to term limits.
- ^ "2015/2016 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on March 5, 2013. Retrieved December 12, 2014.
- ^ "2016 Race Ratings". Roll Call. Roll Call. Retrieved January 13, 2015.
- ^ "2016 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. UVA Center for Politics. Retrieved January 24, 2015.
- ^ "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
- ^ a b AP (January 20, 2015). "Gov. Bryant outlines priorities in State of the State". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved January 24, 2015.
- ^ Ryan Alessi (May 5, 2014). "Jack Conway set to announce 2015 ticket for governor with Rep. Sannie Overly". Mycn2.com. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ^ Bruggeman, Karyn (January 27, 2015). "Matt Bevin to Make Shock Run for Kentucky Governor". National Journal. Retrieved January 27, 2015.
- ^ Youngman, Sam. "Drew Curtis will join debate on Kentucky Sports Radio, but other fall debates look iffy". Kentucky.com. Retrieved September 29, 2015.
- ^ a b "Results" (PDF). elect.ky.gov. 2015. Retrieved 2019-11-05.
- ^ Alan Blinder (4 November 2015). "Matt Bevin, Republican, Wins Governor's Race in Kentucky - The New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved 2019-11-06.
- ^ Deslatte, Melinda (25 October 2015). "Republican David Vitter reaches Louisiana governor's runoff against Democrat John Bel Edwards". U.S. News & World Report. AP. Retrieved 26 October 2015.
- ^ a b Alford, Jeremy (May 6, 2013). "Saved by the Bel?". Gambit. Retrieved May 13, 2013.
- The Times-Picayune. Retrieved October 2, 2014.
- The Times-Picayune. Retrieved May 13, 2013.
- ^ "David Vitter Announces Run for Governor". Roll Call. January 21, 2014. Archived from the original on January 22, 2014. Retrieved January 21, 2014.
- ^ "Alexander says he may run for Louisiana governor in 2015". The Town Talk. August 13, 2013. Archived from the original on August 15, 2013. Retrieved August 15, 2013.
- ^ "Louisiana poll: Vitter edges Georges, Jindal's popularity, jobs and economy tops". Bayoubuzz.com. June 20, 2012. Retrieved February 5, 2013.
- ^ "Long weighs bid for governor in 2015". The Advocate. August 11, 2012. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved January 30, 2013.
- ^ Greater New Orleans (December 12, 2013). "Buddy Roemer to spearhead long-term policy initiative ahead of 2015 election". NOLA.com. Retrieved December 18, 2013.
- ^ WWLTV.com (July 26, 2013). "Edwards running to correct what he calls Jindal's mistakes | wwltv.com New Orleans". Wwltv.com. Archived from the original on October 19, 2013. Retrieved December 18, 2013.
- ^ Adelson, Jeff (February 10, 2013). "John Bel Edwards announces he is running for governor in 2015". The New Orleans Times-Picayune. Retrieved February 21, 2013.
- ^ "Natchitoches minister makes run for governor". KNOE.com. March 4, 2014. Archived from the original on October 28, 2014. Retrieved March 5, 2014.
- ^ "Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results".
- ^ "Louisiana Secretary of State - Election Results".
- ^ a b Pettus, Emily Wagster (August 5, 2015). "Truck Driver Wins Dem Nomination for Mississippi Governor". ABC News. AP.
- Mississippi Secretary of State. Archived from the originalon February 25, 2021. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- ^ "2015 General Election". Archived from the original on 2021-02-25. Retrieved 2021-01-29.