2016 Iranian legislative election
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| Turnout | 61.64% (first round)[1] 59% (second round)[2] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Composition of the Assembly following the election | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections were held in
The election was held as part of a general election which also elected members of the Assembly of Experts.[4] This election was the first time that both bodies were elected simultaneously.
There were 54,915,024 registered voters (in Iran, the voting age is 18). More than 12,000 people filed to run for office.[5] 5,200 candidates, mostly Reformists,[5] were rejected by the Guardian Council and 612 individuals withdrew.
Electoral system
The 290-seat Islamic Consultative Assembly has 285 directly elected members and five seats reserved for the
The 285 directly elected seats are elected from 196 constituencies, which are a mix of single and multi-member. In single-member constituencies the leading candidates must receive at least one-fourth of the votes in the first round. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round is held with the two highest-vote candidates. In multi-member constituencies, voters cast as many votes as there are seats available; candidates must receive votes from at least one-fourth of the voters to be elected; if not all the seats are filled in the first round of voting, a second round is held with twice the number of candidates as there are seats to be filled (or all the original candidates if there are fewer than double the number of seats).[6]
Voters must be Iranian citizens aged 18 or over, and shall not have been declared insane.
Qualifications
According to Iranian law, in order to qualify as a candidate one must:[6]
- Be an Iranian citizen
- Be a supporter of the constitution
- Be a practicing Muslim (unless running to represent one of the religious minorities in Iran)
- Not have a "notorious reputation"
- Be in good health, between the ages of 30 and 75.
A candidate will be disqualified if he/she is found to be mentally impaired, actively supporting the Shah or supporting political parties and organizations deemed illegal or been charged with anti-government activity, converted to another faith or has otherwise renounced the Islamic faith, have been found guilty of corruption, treason, fraud, bribery, is an addict or trafficker or have been found guilty of violating Sharia law.[6] Also, candidates must be literate; candidates cannot have played a role in the pre-1979 government, be large landowners, drug addicts or have convictions relating to actions against the state or apostasy. Government ministers, members of the Guardian Council and High Judicial Council are banned from running for office, as is the Head of the Administrative Court of Justice, the Head of General Inspection, some civil servants and religious leaders and any member of the armed forces.[6]
Campaigns and voting
The conservative camp also known as
The incumbent speaker Ali Larijani, declined to join the bloc because "they have not provided the necessary mechanisms for the creation of unity" and said he will run independently.[7]
The
Among opposition parties, the National Front, Nation Party and Pan-Iranist Party boycotted the elections.[11] The Freedom Movement of Iran called on voters to cast their ballots and backed reformists.[12]
Opinion polls
Which political group is best able to solve the problems of Iran? (iPOS results)[14]
Which political group is more aligned with your views? (iPOS results)[14]
- According to Payesh Online, a nationwide poll conducted by Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Hassan Rouhani", 24% approve "supporters of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad" while only 5% favor Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel and his comrades".[15]
- According to Payesh Online, results of four separate surveys taken by 'reliable institutions' including Principlists Coalition; however if the voters decide to vote for the whole Reformist list, reformists will win 29 seats out of 30 in the constituency. The IRIB poll investigating 106 seats in major cities, indicates that Principlists would win more than 80 seats.[16]
According to a poll conducted on 18 February 2016 with a ±4% margin of sampling error voters favor supporters of Hassan Rouhani among other politicians:
| Preferred | Percentage |
|---|---|
| Hassan Rouhani | 41(%)
|
| Mohammad Khatami | 21(%)
|
| Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel | 13(%)
|
| Ali Larijani | 8(%)
|
| Saeed Jalili | 4(%)
|
- A Survey by Iranian Students' Polling Agency (ISPA) on 22–23 February 2016 in 22 regions of People's Voice Coalition respectively. 22.2% prefer to vote for candidates from all lists and 13.2% don't care about lists.[17]
- Virginia-based Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS)'s poll conducted on 1–20 February 2016 via telephone interviews of 1184 Iranian adults aged 18 and older, shows a 75% and 73% tornout for the Parliamentary and the Assembly of Experts elections respectively. In Tehran, the number would be predicted between 55% and 65%.[14]
Only 30% of the voters are satisfied with their incumbent representative in the Parliament, with 28% satisfied with the overall performance of the 9th term of Majlis (2012–2016) while 43% are unsatisfied. With the rise of Hassan Rouhani's presidential approval ratings from 54% in August/September 2015 to 67% in December 2015/January 2016, more than 40% undecided voters and some 25% approval of Reformists and Moderates –that are allied under the name of Pervasive Coalition of Reformists– there is a chance of swing towards them.[14]
MPs elected
Results
The results indicate that the results would make a hung parliament with reformists having a plurality.[18] Out of 54,915,024 eligible voters, 33,847,117 voted, for a turnout of 61.64[19]
The final results are:
| Alliance | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Of total | ||||
List of Hope
|
119[18] | 41.03% | 119 / 290
| ||
| Principlists Grand Coalition | 84[18] | 28.96% | 83 / 290
| ||
People's Voice Coalition
|
10[18] | 3.44% | 11 / 290
| ||
| Independents Minor lists: Front of Prudence and Development |
65[18] | 22.41% | 65 / 290
| ||
| Endorsed by both List of Hope
|
3[18] | 1.03% | 3 / 290
| ||
| Religious minorities (reserved seats) | 5[18] | 1.73% | 5 / 290
| ||
| 119 | 10 | 75 | 84 |
| List of Hope | People's Voice | Others | Principlists |
Four seats are vacant.
Payam Mohseni categorized the share of seats as follows:
| Faction | % | Seats | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theocrats | 29.72 | 86 | |
| Modern Theocrats | 8.74 | 25 | |
Reformists |
34.62 | 101 | |
| Independents | 25.17 | 73 | |
| Religious minorities | 1.75 | 5 | |
| Total | 100 | 290 | |
| Source: Payam Mohseni[20] | |||
See also
- Elections in Iran
- 2016 Iranian Assembly of Experts election
- List of Iran's parliament representatives (11th term)
Notes
- Guardian councildecision.
- ^ Alireza Monadi Sefidan of People's Voice in Tabriz, Osku and Azarshahr.
References
- ^ "2016 Parliamentary Election". Retrieved 29 April 2016.
- ^ "اعلام میزان مشارکت مرحله دوم انتخابات". tabnak. Retrieved 30 April 2016.
- ^ ISBN 9781351985451.
- ^ Rafsanjani May Run for the Top Position in the Leadership Assembly Archived 2014-10-25 at the Wayback Machine Rooz, 14 July 2014
- ^ a b "Elections in Iran: The great candidate cull: Choose any candidate you like—after the mullahs have excluded reformers". The Economist. 20 February 2016. Retrieved 20 February 2016.
- ^ a b c d e Electoral system IPU
- ^ a b c d e f Katayoun Kishi (February 24, 2016). "Iran's Election Coalitions". United States Institute of Peace. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
- ^ a b c d Farideh Farhi (March 17, 2016). "The Day Tehran Shook". Middle East Research and Information Project. Retrieved April 10, 2016.
- ^ a b Arash Karami (22 February 2016). "Everything you need to know about this week's elections in Iran". Al-Monitor. Retrieved 1 March 2016.
- ^ Caitlin Shayda Pendleton, Paul Bucala (January 12, 2016). "Iran's 2016 elections: The process, the players, and the stakes". Critical Threats Project. American Enterprise Institute. Archived from the original on March 8, 2016. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
- ^ Rohollah Faghihi (February 25, 2016). "چند حزب منتقد جمهوری اسلامی: در انتخابات شرکت نمیکنیم". Radio Farda (in Persian). Retrieved March 10, 2016.
- ^ Rohollah Faghihi (February 25, 2016). "Hard-liners move to keep Iranian voters at home". Al-Monitor. Retrieved March 10, 2016.
- ^ Parisa Hafezi (28 February 2016). "Iran Top Leader Khamenei Praises High Turnout in Elections: Media". Reuters. Retrieved 1 March 2016.
- ^ a b c d "تحلیل نظرسنجی آی پز درباره مشارکت 75 درصدی مردم در انتخابات". Iran Wire (in Persian). 25 February 2016. Retrieved 25 February 2016.
- ^ "نتایج تازه ترین نظرسنجی انتخاباتی؛ صدرنشینی طرفداران روحانی- هاشمی". Payesh Online (in Persian). 15 February 2016. Retrieved 17 February 2016.
- ^ a b "نتایج نظرسنجی انتخاباتی ۴ نهاد معتبر؛ عارف، حداد و مطهری در صدر/ اصلاح طلبان در انتظار معجزه". Khabar Online (in Persian). 21 February 2016. Archived from the original on 23 February 2016. Retrieved 22 February 2016.
- ^ "طبق آخرین نظرسنجیهای رسمی اعلام شد؛ پیشتازی لیست اصلاحطلبان بر لیست اصولگرایان". Entekhab (in Persian). 25 February 2016. Retrieved 25 February 2016.
- ^ a b c d e f g "اسامی 290 نماینده مجلس دهم با گرایش سیاسیشان/ لیست امید و مستقلها پیروز هر دو مرحله انتخابات شدند", Khabaronline, 30 April 2016, archived from the original on 15 August 2016, retrieved 30 April 2016
- ^ 2016 Parliamentary Election
- ^ Mohseni, Payam (December 2016), "The 2016 Iranian Parliamentary ElectionsAnd the Future of Domestic Politics under the JCPOA" (PDF), Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (Report), Harvard Kennedy School, Page 26, Table 1: National Factional Seat Shares (%) by Election Rounds in the 10th Iranian Parliament
External links
