2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election

2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election

← 2015 28 October 2020 (2020-10-28) – 7 November 2020 (2020-11-07) 2025 →
All 243 seats in the Bihar Legislative Assembly 122 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	57.29% (0.38%)
Majority party Minority party Third party   Leader Tejashwi Yadav Sanjay Jaiswal Nitish Kumar Party RJD BJP JD(U) Alliance MGB NDA NDA Leader since 2017 2019 2005 Leader's seat Raghopur (Won) Did Not Contest MLC Last election 80 53 71 Seats won 75 74 43 Seat change 5 21 28 Popular vote 9,738,855 8,202,067 6,485,179 Percentage 23.11% 19.46% 15.39% Swing 4.79% 4.96% 1.44%   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   Leader Madan Mohan Jha Dipankar Bhattacharya Akhtarul Iman Party INC CPI(ML)L AIMIM Alliance MGB MGB GDSF Leader since 2019 1996 2015 Leader's seat Did not contest Did Not Contest Amour (Won) Last election 27 3 0 Seats won 19 12 5 Seat change 8 9 5 Popular vote 3,995,319 1,333,682 523,279 Percentage 9.48% 3.16% 1.24% Swing 2.82% 1.66% 1.03%
National Democratic Alliance : 125 seats   Mahagathbandhan : 110 seats   Others : 8 seats
Map of election results
Chief Minister before election Nitish Kumar JD(U) Elected Chief Minister Nitish Kumar JD(U)

The Bihar Legislative Assembly election was held in three phases through October–November to elect members to the Seventeenth

The election was held in three phases for a total of 243 seats:- the first for 71 seats on 28 October 2020, the second for 94 seats on 3 November 2020, and the third for the remaining 78 seats on 7 November 2020. The counting of votes began on 10 November 2020 and the incumbent National Democratic Alliance emerged as the winner with 125 elected MLAs, whereas the principal opposition coalition of Mahagathbandhan won 110 seats.^[1] Other minor coalitions and parties won 7 seats while only 1 newly elected MLA was an independent.^[2]

After the elections, the incumbent Chief Minister Nitish Kumar was elected as the leader of the National Democratic Alliance in Bihar and was sworn in again as Chief Minister, whereas two new deputy Chief Ministers, Tarkishore Prasad and Renu Devi were inducted to the new ministry.^[3] On the other side, Tejashwi Yadav was elected Leader of the Opposition, and also leader of the Mahagathbandhan alliance. Later Vijay Kumar Sinha was elected the new Speaker of the Bihar Legislative Assembly.^[4]

Background

Outlined in Article 168 of the

In the previous election, an alliance of three Major Parties consisting of Janata Dal (United), Rashtriya Janata Dal and Indian National Congress named as Mahagathbandhan won against its primary opposition, the Bharatiya Janata Party led National Democratic Alliance. However, in 2017, the Janata Dal (United) Chief Minister Nitish Kumar left the Mahagathbandhan and joined the National Democratic Alliance.^[7] While Nitish Kumar remained the Chief Minister, Sushil Kumar Modi of the Bharatiya Janata Party replaced Tejashwi Yadav as the Deputy Chief Minister.

Issues

The main issue was that of the jobs and the economy. Bihar, for a long time, has been an economically backward state and sends large numbers of migrant laborers to cities across the country. Due to the coronavirus pandemic lockdown, thousands of migrant laborers were forced to return to their home states due to lack of work, and Bihar was one of the most affected by the ensuing humanitarian crisis. Many of these workers blamed the current government for not having jobs for them in the first place, and not providing jobs when the lockdown started. There was also a significant anti-incumbency wave against Nitish, who had been CM for 15 years.^[8]

The

Issues such as the lack of employment, alleged politicisation of flood relief in the aftermath of the 2019 Bihar floods and alleged inability of the state government to handle the COVID-19 pandemic were expected to be made an election issue by the opposition parties.^[10][11] The limited digital connectivity in Bihar and the migrant crisis were among the issues which may have had an impact on campaigning and poll outcomes.^[11][12]

The death of the former Lok Janshakti Party president and union cabinet minister, Ram Vilas Paswan on 8 October 2020 was also speculated to have an effect on the prospects of the competing parties.^[13] It was reported that the

On 25 September, Election Commission of India announced the dates for Bihar Assembly elections.[15]

Poll Event	Phase
	I	II	III
Constituencies	71	94	78
Map of constituencies and their phases
Date of Issue of Notification	1 October 2020	9 October 2020	13 October 2020
Last Date for filling nomination	8 October 2020	16 October 2020	20 October 2020
Scrutiny of nomination	9 October 2020	17 October 2020	21 October 2020
Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination	12 October 2020	19 October 2020	23 October 2020
Date of Poll	28 October 2020	3 November 2020	7 November 2020
Date of Counting of Votes	10 November 2020
Source: Election Commission of India

Parties and Alliances

National Democratic Alliance

The National Democratic Alliance in Bihar is the ruling political group headed by the chief minister Nitish Kumar and comprising primarily the Janata Dal (United) and the Bharatiya Janata Party in the legislative assembly.^[16]

In the previous election, the alliance was led by the Bharatiya Janata Party alongside three smaller allies namely the Lok Janshakti Party, the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha, while the Janata Dal (United) had contested as part of the current opposition Mahagathbandan.^[17][18] In 2017, the Janata Dal (United) switched alliance which caused the Mahagathbandan government to fall and the National Democratic Alliance came to power.^[19] In 2018, two of the partners, the Rashtriya Lok Samata Party and the Hindustani Awam Morcha left the alliance.^[20][21]

During the campaigning phase in August 2020, the alliance was re-joined by the Hindustani Awam Morcha which held one seat in the legislature.^[22] Later, the alliance was also joined in by the Vikassheel Insaan Party in October 2020.^[23] The campaign however faced problems with persistent attacks on the Janata Dal (United) by the Lok Janshakti Party.^[24][25] Chirag Paswan, the leader of the party in the state was called to Delhi to negotiate with the national leadership of the Bharatiya Janata Party, in the end the Lok Janshakti Party quit the alliance stating that they would contest all seats against the Janata Dal (United) but not against the Bharatiya Janata Party.^[26][27] Following the development, several notable leader of the Bharatiya Janata Party including the state vice president and 2 sitting legislators joined the Lok Janshakti Party to contest against Janata Dal (United) candidates.^[28][29] Later during the campaigning period in October 2020, the Bharatiya Janata Party officially cut ties with the Lok Janshakti Party stating that the National Democratic Alliances in Bihar consisted of the four parties.^[30][31][32]

According to political analysts the Lok Janshakti Party was unlikely to make any electoral gains but would act as spoilers for the Janata Dal (United) candidates,^[33] the development was suggested to have been orchestrated by the Bharatiya Janata Party to gain leverage over the Janata Dal (United) by reducing its final tally.^[38] The Bharatiya Janata Party at the time re-asserted that Nitish Kumar would remain the chief ministerial face of the alliance.^[39][40]

Both the Lok Janshakti Party and the Janata Dal (United) are expected to hold sway among certain sections of

The Janata Dal (United) though relied upon its core voters by giving importance to its Luv-Kush equation in ticket distribution, also gave good representation to the forward castes and EBCs. For 115 seats which it contested 17 forward caste were given party tickets while the Koeri and Kurmi candidates got 17 and 7 seats respectively. The EBCs on the other hand contested on 21 seats out of 115.^[43]

No.	Party	Flag	Symbol	Photo	Leader	Seats contested
1.	Janata Dal (United)				Nitish Kumar	115[44]
2.	Bharatiya Janata Party				Sanjay Jaiswal[45]	110[46]
3.	Vikassheel Insaan Party				Mukesh Sahani	11[46]
4.	Hindustani Awam Morcha				Jitan Ram Manjhi	7
Parties part of the National Democratic alliance at the center but not in state
5.	Lok Janshakti Party[47][48]				Chirag Paswan	134

Mahagathbandhan

The Mahagathbandhan is the main opposition political coalition comprising primarily the United Progressive Alliance members Rashtriya Janata Dal and Indian National Congress along with left–wing parties such as CPI and CPI (M).^[49][50]

In the previous election, the Mahagathbandhan formed and initially comprised the Rashtriya Janata Dal, the Janata Dal (United) and the Indian National Congress.^[17] It was able to form government following the election but the government fell when the Janata Dal (United) switched sides and joined the National Democratic Alliance.^[19] In the opposition, the alliance was joined in by smaller parties like the Rashtriya Lok Samta Party, the Hindustan Awami Morcha and the Vikassheel Insaan Party.^[51][21][52] The three parties however opted out of the alliance between August–October 2020.^[53][54][55] In September 2020, the Samajwadi Party which had contested in previous elections in Bihar without success, declared that they would not contest this time and instead support the Rashtriya Janata Dal.^[56]

In the meantime, the alliance after negotiations were joined in by the left–wing parties in Bihar; namely the Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist) Liberation, the Communist Party of India and the Communist Party of India (Marxist).^[57][58] The new arrangement was described as an experiment beyond the caste based politics in Bihar with a caste plus class strategy.^[59] The communist parties in Bihar had historically held a large presence in the state that was reduced following the Mandal Commission, the Liberation group had retained some of its former base and had emerged as the largest non alliance party in the previous election.^[60]

The seat sharing agreement was finalised on 3 October 2020 with the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha included in the alliance.^[61] On 7 October, the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha opted out of the alliance in Bihar over disagreements on seat sharing while maintaining that they will continue to uphold their alliance in the state of Jharkhand.^[62]

No.	Party	Flag	Symbol	Photo	Leader	Seats contested
1.	Rashtriya Janata Dal				Tejashwi Yadav	144[63]
2.	Indian National Congress				Madan Mohan Jha	70
3.	Communist Party of India (Marxist–Leninist)				Dipankar Bhattacharya	19
4.	Communist Party of India				Ram Naresh Pandey[64]	6
5.	Communist Party of India (Marxist)				Awadhesh Kumar Rai	4

Grand Democratic Secular Front

In the wake of the 2020 Bihar Legislative Assembly election, Upendra Kushwaha pulled the party out of the

No.	Party	Flag	Symbol	Photo	Leader	Seats contested
1.	Rashtriya Lok Samta Party				Upendra Kushwaha	104[70]
2.	Bahujan Samaj Party				Ramji Gautam	80
3.	Samajwadi Janata Dal Democratic				Devendra Prasad Yadav	25
4.	All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen				Akhtarul Iman	19
5.	Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party				Om Prakash Rajbhar	5
6.	Janvadi Party (Socialist)				Dr. Sanjay Singh Chauhan	5

Others

There are a number of other smaller parties and coalitions contesting the election,

In the meantime, the UDA which was the front led by Yashwant Sinha had reportedly fallen apart as various members of the constituent parties had defected to join the mainstream regional and national parties.^[68] Other notable parties that are contesting independent of an alliance, are the Lok Janshakti Party on 134 seats, the Loktantrik Janata Dal on 51 seats, the Shiv Sena on 30–40 seats and the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha on 7 seats.^{[26][76][77][62]}

Candidates

Surveys and polls

Seat projections

Vote Share

Election

The Chief Election Commissioner of India, Sunil Arora, announced on 25 September 2020 that the Bihar assembly election will be held from 28 October 2020, in three phases for 243 constituencies.^[90] Per the Election Commission of India, approximately 60 registered parties are to contest in the Bihar elections.^{[clarification needed][91]}

The elections were conducted amid the COVID-19 pandemic with the necessary guidelines issued by the Election Commission of India.^[92] The election will consist of both, virtual and physical campaigns. The authorities also passed the guidelines over limited people to be involved in the rallies. Due to COVID-19, the polling time will be increased by one hour and will now be from 7am to 6pm, except in Naxalite–Maoist insurgency affected areas.^[93][94] As per guidelines, maximum number of voters per polling station was reduced from 1,500 to 1,000. Arrangements were made for 7 lakh units of hand sanitisers, 46 lakh masks, 6 lakh PPE kits, 6.7 lakh face shields, and 23 lakh single use gloves.^[92]

Voting

The overall voter turnout in this election has been 57.05%, which is 0.39% more than the 56.66% in 2015 assembly polls. In these elections, 59.58% of females voted compared to a 54.68% voter turnout of males.^[95]

Phase 1

A total of 1,066 candidates, including 952 male and 114 female, contested in the first phase of elections from different constituencies.^[96][97] The maximum number of candidates contesting from one constituency in the first phase was being at Gaya Town with 27 candidates and the minimum at Katoria with 5 candidates in Banka district.^[97] In the constituencies voting in the first phase of elections, approximately 2.15 crore registered electors were eligible to exercise their vote, out of which around 1.12 crore were male, 1.01 crore were female and 599 were categorised as the third gender.^[96][98]

The first phase of elections recorded a voter turnout of 55.68%.^[99] The male and female voter turnout for the first phase was 56.8% and 54.4% respectively.^[100] In the previous assembly election in 2015, the voter turnout was 54.94% for these constituencies.^[99]

Phase 2

In the second phase of elections, 1463 candidates contested the elections, of which 1315 candidates were male, 147 candidates were female and 1 candidate belonged to the transgender community.^[101]

The elections was held on 3 November.^[102] Voter turnout for the 2nd phase was over 55.7%.^[103]

Phase 3

In the third phase of elections, 1094 male candidates and 110 female candidates contested the elections for 78 Seats, out of a total of 23.5 Million eligible voters for this phase total of 12.3 Million were Male and 11.2 Million were female voters.^[104]

The elections were held on 7 November 2020 and the total Voting turnout was recorded 59.94%, which was highest among all three phases.^[105]

Incidents

On 27 October 2020 a day before the first phase of the election, three

Though the LJP could win only one seat (Matihani) on its own, but it caused much harm to the NDA. Of the 54 seats where it dented margins, JD(U) was hurt the most. Data shows that on 25 seats, where JD(U) came second, LJP had more votes than the victory margin.[121]

The constituencies with higher female turnout than male, the NDA was in lead. Out of the 125 seats that NDA won, 99 were constituencies where female turnout was more than their male counterparts.^[122] About 20% of the seats, the margin of victory was less than 2.5% of the votes polled.^[123] The NDA won 21 seats with a less than 2.5% vote margin, while the Mahagathbandhan won in 22 such seats.^[123]

Map displaying constituencies won by parties

Alliance		Party		Popular vote			Seats
				Votes	%	±pp	Contested	Won	+/−
	NDA
			Bharatiya Janata Party	8,202,067	19.46%	4.96%	110	74	21
			Janata Dal (United)	6,485,179	15.39%	1.44%	115	43	28
			Vikassheel Insaan Party	639,840	1.52%	1.52%	11	4	4
			Hindustani Awam Morcha	375,564	0.89	1.41	7	4	3
	MGB
			Rashtriya Janata Dal	9,738,855	23.11%	4.79%	144	75	5
			Indian National Congress	3,995,319	9.48%	2.82%	70	19	9
			Communist Party of India (ML) Liberation	1,333,682	3.16%	1.66%	19	12	9
			Communist Party of India	349,489	0.83%	0.57%	6	2	2
			Communist Party of India (Marxist)	274,155	0.65%	0.05%	4	2	2
	GDSF
			All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen	523,279	1.24%	1.03%	20	5	5
			Bahujan Samaj Party	628,961	1.49%	0.60%	78	1	1
			Rashtriya Lok Samta Party	744,221	1.77%	0.82%	99	0	2
None			Lok Janshakti Party	2,383,457	5.66%	0.77%	135	1	1
			Independents	3,641,362	8.64%	0.76%	1299	1	3
			NOTA	706,252	1.68%	0.82%
Total				42,142,828	100.00			243
Valid votes				42,142,828	99.88
Invalid votes				51,222	0.12
Votes cast / Turnout				42,194,050	57.29
Abstentions				31,453,610	42.71
Registered voters				73,647,660

Results by District Wise

In districts adjoining Uttar Pradesh, the BJP performed better than the Mahagathbandhan, however JDU's seats declined.^[124] The NDA won in majority of the constituencies in the Champaran region.^[125]

Results by Constituency