2022 United States Senate elections in California
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Elections in California | ||||
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Two 2022 United States Senate elections in California were held concurrently on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California. There were two ballot items for the same Class 3 seat: a special election to fill the seat for the final weeks of the 117th United States Congress (ending on January 3, 2023), and a general election for a full term (beginning on the same day), starting in the 118th United States Congress.
Incumbent
This was the best performance for a Republican candidate in a California Senate election since 2010.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Alex Padilla, incumbent U.S. Senator (2021–present) and former secretary of state of California (2015–2021)[6]
Eliminated in primary
- Akinyemi Agbede, mathematician[7]
- Dan O'Dowd, founder and president of Green Hills Software and candidate for U.S. Senate in 1994[8]
- Douglas Howard Pierce, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[7]
- Obaidul Huq Pirjada, attorney[7]
- Timothy J. Ursich, doctor[7]
Declined
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative for California's 17th congressional district (2017–present) (endorsed Padilla)[9][10]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- James P. Bradley, businessman, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[7]
- Jon Elist, small business owner[7]
- Myron L. Hall, physician[7]
- Sarah Sun Liew, entrepreneur[7]
- Robert George Lucero Jr., consultant[7]
- Enrique Petris, businessman[7]
- Chuck Smith, retired law enforcement officer[7]
- Carlos Guillermo Tapia, businessman[7]
- Cordie Williams, marine veteran and doctor[7]
- Lijun Zhou, businesswoman (write-in, general election only)[11]
Withdrawn
- Elizabeth Heng, candidate for California's 16th congressional district in 2018 and former U.S. House staffer (ran in the CA-22 special election)[12][13][14]
- Yvonne R. Girard, retired government employee (died)[15]
Green Party
Eliminated in primary
Peace and Freedom Party
Eliminated in primary
- John Parker, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and Workers World nominee for President of the United States in 2004 (running as write-in for special election)[16]
No party preference
Eliminated in primary
- Daphne Bradford, entrepreneur and candidate for president in 2020[7]
- Eleanor Garcia, industrial worker (Socialist Workers Party)[7]
- Don J. Grundmann, chiropractor (Constitution Party)[7]
- Deon D. Jenkins[7]
- Irene Ratliff (write-in, both general and special elections)[11]
- Marc Alexander Roth (write-in, general election only)[11]
- Mark A. Ruzon (write-in, general election only), software engineer (American Solidarity Party)[11]
Endorsements
- Individuals
- Andrew Wakefield, former physician and anti-vaccine activist[17]
- Newspapers
- Organizations
- California Republican Party[19]
- California Pro–Life Council[20]
- Rebuild California[21]
- U.S. Senators
- U.S. Senator from California[23]
- U.S. Senator from Massachusetts[23]
- Statewide officials
- Gavin Newsom, Governor of California[23]
- Eleni Kounalakis, Lieutenant Governor of California[23]
- Shirley Weber, Secretary of State of California[24]
- Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California[24]
- State Controller of California[23]
- Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer[23]
- Ricardo Lara, California Insurance Commissioner[23]
- Tony Thurmond, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction[23]
- U.S. Representatives
- Organizations
- California Teachers Association[25]
- Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee[26]
- Equality California[27]
- NARAL Pro-Choice California[28]
- National Education Association[29]
- Newspapers
- La Opinión[30]
- The San Diego Union-Tribune[31]
- Los Angeles Times[32]
- The Fresno Bee[33]
- The Orange County Register[34]
- Marin Independent Journal[35]
- The San Luis Obispo Tribune[36]
- Stonewall Democrats clubs
- Organizations
Primary elections
Campaign
Incumbent senator
In April 2022, billionaire businessman Dan O'Dowd entered the race, launching a $650,000 ad campaign.[8] O'Dowd's goal with this ad buy, and with entering the race in the first place, was to "make computers safe for humanity"[47][48] and draw the attention of the public and politicians to the dangers of Tesla's unfinished Full Self-Driving software being rolled out to 100,000 cars on public roads.[49]
Special election blanket primary
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Daphne Bradford (NPP) |
James Bradley (R) |
Jon Elist (R) |
Myron Hall (R) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Dan O'Dowd (D) |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Timothy Ursich Jr. (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 3% | 44% | 2% | 21% |
SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 11% | 6% | 40% | 2% | 22% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,740,582 | 55.0 | |
Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,503,480 | 22.1 | |
Republican | James P. Bradley | 472,052 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Jon Elist | 403,722 | 5.9 | |
Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 226,447 | 3.3 | |
Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 191,531 | 2.8 | |
Republican | Myron L. Hall | 143,038 | 2.1 | |
No party preference
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Daphne Bradford | 112,191 | 1.6 | |
Peace and Freedom | John Parker (write-in) | 9,951 | 0.1 | |
No party preference
|
Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 12 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 6,803,006 | 100.0 |
Regular election blanket primary
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
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Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 11% | 1% | 42% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 22% |
SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 36% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 24% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 3,725,544 | 54.1 | |
Republican | Mark P. Meuser | 1,028,374 | 14.9 | |
Republican | Cordie Williams | 474,321 | 6.9 | |
Republican | Jon Elist | 289,716 | 4.2 | |
Republican | Chuck Smith | 266,766 | 3.9 | |
Republican | James P. Bradley | 235,788 | 3.4 | |
Democratic | Douglas Howard Pierce | 116,771 | 1.7 | |
Peace and Freedom | John Parker | 105,477 | 1.5 | |
Republican | Sarah Sun Liew | 76,994 | 1.1 | |
Democratic | Dan O'Dowd | 74,916 | 1.1 | |
Democratic | Akinyemi Agbede | 70,971 | 1.0 | |
Republican | Myron L. Hall | 66,161 | 1.0 | |
Democratic | Timothy J. Ursich | 58,348 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Robert George Lucero Jr. | 53,398 | 0.8 | |
Green
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James "Henk" Conn | 35,983 | 0.5 | |
No party preference
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Eleanor Garcia[c] | 34,625 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Carlos Guillermo Tapia | 33,870 | 0.5 | |
Green
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Pamela Elizondo | 31,981 | 0.5 | |
Republican | Enrique Petris | 31,883 | 0.5 | |
Democratic | Obaidul Huq Pirjada | 27,889 | 0.4 | |
No party preference
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Daphne Bradford | 26,900 | 0.4 | |
No party preference
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Don J. Grundmann[d] | 10,181 | 0.1 | |
No party preference
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Deon D. Jenkins | 6,936 | 0.1 | |
No party preference
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Mark A. Ruzon (write-in) | 206 | 0.0 | |
Republican | Lijun Zhou (write-in) | 58 | 0.0 | |
No party preference
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Irene Ratliff (write-in) | 7 | 0.0 | |
No party preference
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Marc Alexander Roth (write-in) | 1 | 0.0 | |
Total votes | 6,884,065 | 100.0 |
General elections
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[53]
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Solid D | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[54]
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Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[55]
|
Safe D | March 1, 2022 |
Politico[56] | Solid D | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[57] | Safe D | February 24, 2022 |
Fox News[58] | Solid D | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ[59] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[60] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[61] | Safe D | September 7, 2022 |
Polling
- Special election
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 59% | 35% | 6% |
SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
- Regular election
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Alex Padilla (D) |
Mark Meuser (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 60% | 35% | 5% |
USC | October 30 – November 2, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 63% | 37% | – |
ActiVote | July 22 – October 20, 2022 | 208 (LV) | ± 7.0% | 65% | 35% | – |
SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 34% | 11% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 6,559,303 | 60.89% | N/A | |
Republican | Mark Meuser | 4,212,446 | 39.11% | N/A | |
Total votes | 10,771,749 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Alex Padilla (incumbent) | 6,621,616 | 61.06% | N/A | |
Republican | Mark Meuser | 4,222,025 | 38.94% | N/A | |
Total votes | 10,843,641 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
By county
By county
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By congressional district
Padilla won 42 of 52 congressional districts in the regular election, including two that elected Republicans.[63]
See also
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 California elections
- 117th United States Congress
- List of special elections to the United States Senate
Notes
- ^ In January 2021, Padilla was appointed by Governor Gavin Newsom to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Kamala Harris, who had elected Vice President of the United States.
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Garcia is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Socialist Workers Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[51]
- ^ Grundmann is listed on the ballot as a "no party preference" candidate because the Constitution Party did not have ballot access in California at the time the ballot was printed.[52]
References
- ^ Wilson, Reid (September 28, 2021). "California rule change means Padilla faces extra election". The Hill. Archived from the original on September 28, 2021. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- ^ Willon, Phil; McGreevy, Patrick (December 22, 2020). "Alex Padilla becomes California's first Latino U.S. senator, replacing Kamala Harris". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved December 22, 2020.
- California Secretary of State. Archivedfrom the original on December 23, 2020. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
- ^ "Alex Padilla makes history as first Latino elected to U.S. Senate from California". Los Angeles Times. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ "Meet the history-makers of the 2022 midterm elections | CNN Politics". CNN. November 9, 2022.
- ^ Ting, Eric (December 23, 2020). "Alex Padilla and Shirley Weber will run in 2022. They'll likely have challengers". SF Gate.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t "Primary Election - June 7, 2022". Archived from the original on March 26, 2022. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- ^ a b Cadelago, Christopher (April 16, 2022). "He wants to destroy Elon Musk. He could end up endangering the Dems' Senate plans". Politico. Archived from the original on April 16, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Haberkorn, Jennifer (May 3, 2021). "Sen. Alex Padilla, just months into the job, has a year and a half to convince voters he should keep it". Los Angeles Times.
- ^ a b c Marinucci, Carla (August 9, 2021). "Khanna won't challenge Padilla for Senate, ends intraparty threat from left". Politico. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
- ^ a b c d "Official Certified List of Write-In Candidates - June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. May 27, 2022. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ "FILING FEC-1503114". fec.gov. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- Fresno Bee.
- ^ Taub, David (December 17, 2021). "Heng Enters House Race Even as the Lines Keep Changing". GV Wire. Retrieved December 18, 2021.
- ^ "Yvonne For US Senate 2022". Yvonne For US Senate 2022. February 26, 2007. Retrieved June 3, 2022.
- ^ a b Winger, Richard (November 15, 2021). "Two California Ballot-Qualified Parties Will Run a Joint Campaign for Statewide Office in 2022".
- ^ Laurance, Jeremy (May 5, 2018). "Andrew Wakefield's MMR vaccine theory has been discredited for years, but he just won't go away". Independent.
- ^ "News-Press announces its election endorsements". newspress.com. October 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ Mehta, Seema (April 24, 2022). "California GOP endorses Brian Dahle for governor despite controversy over payment to party". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
- ^ "Mark Meuser's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Rebuild California Endorsements 2022 Primary Election". www.rebuildcalifornia.com. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao Marinucci, Carla; Jeremy B. White; Graph Massara; Richard Tzul (April 20, 2021). "PADILLA launches 2022 reelection bid — PELOSI defends WATERS' remarks on CHAUVIN trial — CALIFORNIA giving up on climate ambitions? — GOP leaders want border meeting with HARRIS". Politico.
- ^ a b c d e f g h Marinucci, Carla (April 22, 2021). "NEWSOM declares drought emergency — CAITLYN JENNER's spotty voting record — Quake nightmare: the HOLLYWOOD FAULT — PELOSI's Floyd speech slammed". Politico.
- ^ a b c "Alex Padilla Endorsements". alex-padilla.com. Retrieved May 9, 2021.
- ^ "Elections 2022". California Teachers Association.
- ^ "Sen. Padilla launches 2022 Senate campaign". KTXL. April 20, 2021.
- ^ "Election Center". Equality California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". NARAL Pro-Choice California. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES". Retrieved October 29, 2022.
- ^ "Por Alex Padilla para el Senado federal". La Opinión (in Spanish). May 16, 2022. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: Our recommendations for House seats in the San Diego area and for the U.S. Senate". The San Diego Union-Tribune. May 19, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: The nation needs Alex Padilla in the U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. September 29, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "This U.S. Senate candidate is hard at work for California. Voters should look no further". www.fresnobee.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsement: Alex Padilla for U.S. Senate". www.ocregister.com. August 25, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Editorial: Alex Padilla is the standout choice for U.S. Senate". www.marinij.com. September 26, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "California US Senator Alex Padilla deserves a full term". www.sanluisobispo.com. October 5, 2022. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". www.stonewalldems.org. Stonewall Democrats. Retrieved March 7, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "East Bay Stonewall - Endorsements". www.eastbaystonewalldemocrats.org. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements 2022 – Fresno Stonewall Democrats". Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsements". Harvey Milk LGBTQ Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Endorsements". San Diego Democrats for Equality. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
- ^ Deruy, Emily (January 18, 2021). "Alex Padilla: 5 things to know about California's new senator". Mercury News. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- ^ Garofoli, Joe (June 16, 2021). "Progressives fed up with Feinstein, want her to resign now". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
- ^ Garofoli, Joe (August 9, 2021). "Khanna considered challenging Padilla, but now he's endorsing him for Senate". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved August 9, 2021.
- ^ Wildermuth, John (December 19, 2020). "Can California GOP find a Senate candidate in 2022? If not, Alex Padilla could be set for years". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved February 8, 2021.
- ^ "About Dan O'Dowd - Dan O'Dowd for U.S. Senate".
- ^ Korosec, Kirsten (April 20, 2022). "Billionaire's Senate run focuses on banning 'self-driving' Tesla's". techcrunch.com.
- ^ Loveday, Steven (April 18, 2022). "Elon Musk Says Tesla's FSD Now Has over 100,000 Beta Testers". Insideevs.com.
- ^ a b "Primary Election - Statement of the Vote, June 7, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State.
- ^ Stone, Betsey (February 7, 2022). "Socialist Workers Party conference launches 2022 California campaign". The Militant. Vol. 86, no. 5. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- ^ "Political Body: Constitution Party of California" (PDF). Secretary of State of California. Sacramento. April 12, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "California Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- ^ a b "General Election - Statement of the Vote, November 8, 2022" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
- ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
- Official campaign websites