Arnon Mishkin

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Arnon Mishkin
Born
Arnon Absalom Mishkin

c. 1955 (age 68–69)
New York City, U.S.
EducationYale University (BA)
Harvard University (MBA)
Occupation(s)Political consultant, pollster
Political partyDemocratic
Spouse
Susan Ellen Fine
​
(m. 1986)​
Children2

Arnon Absalom Mishkin (born c. 1955) is an American

Tom Bradley. Mishkin worked as a partner at the Boston Consulting Group and the Mitchell Madison Group, and now operates his own consultancy firm known as Mishkin Associates.[1] Since 1998, he has been consultant for Fox News as part of their Decision Desk, and has led it since 2008, including the 2008, 2012, 2016 and 2020 United States presidential elections. In 2021, Mishkin also served as a fellow at the Harvard Institute of Politics.[2]

Early life and education

Mishkin was born to Eliezer A. Mishkin and Esther Rubin in Brooklyn, New York.

moved back in during 1944, Rubin left Lithuania through Eastern Europe to Mandate Palestine, where she married Eliezer Mishkin.[3] After relocating to the United States she became a social worker, leading the Washington Heights office of Selfhelp Community Services.[4] and volunteering for YIVO. Mishkin told B’nai Jeshurun in 2001 that his grandparents and many other family members were murdered in the Holocaust.[3] Mishkin has a brother, Jonathan Mishkin.[4]

Mishkin graduated from Phillips Academy in Andover, Massachusetts. He earned a Bachelor of Arts degree from Yale University and a Master of Business Administration from Harvard Business School.[5][6]

Career

Polling and consultancy

Mishkin got his start in politics working in

Mike Bloomberg
.

Aside from his work for political candidates, Mishkin also worked in

information age became to gather momentum.[5] The 2000 United States presidential election which eventually saw the election of George W. Bush was controversial, with Florida undecided on the night; it eventually went to the Supreme Court with Bush v. Gore. On the night of the election, John Prescott Ellis, Bush's cousin, headed up the Fox News Decision Desk, but subsequently stood down in the aftermath and was replaced by Mishkin who had worked as part of his team.[5]

Mishkin, kept his role low profile until an on-air controversy during the 2012 United States presidential election.[5] The controversy over the Fox News Decision Desk calling the closely contested state of Ohio early for Obama, played out on air as the commentator Karl Rove objected and anchor Megyn Kelly walked off set to Mishkin's operation room, confronting him on the confidence of his call, to which Mishkin confirmed "99.95 percent".[5] Eric Bolling, former Fox Business host, claimed that Mishkin and his team were highly dismissive of Donald Trump's chances to beat Hillary Clinton during the 2016 United States presidential election, though Mishkin himself has disputed this.[5] During the election itself, Mishkin cast his vote for Hillary Clinton as a supporter of the Democratic Party.[8][9]

2020 presidential election

Main article: 2020 United States presidential election

Arnon Mishkin maintained his position at the head of the team running the Fox News Decision Desk for the

exit polls, alongside the Associated Press.[5] Mishkin's model has been supported by other pollsters such as Ariel Edwards-Levy of HuffPost.[5]

On election night in November 2020, Mishkin's team called Arizona for Biden before any other major news outlet.[12][13][14] Bret Baier, a Fox host for the election, questioned the call on air and pushed Mishkin to declare that he was 100% certain, to which Mishkin answered in the affirmative and had been considering announcing it for 30 minutes.[13][15] The call was disputed by President Trump, who was reported by news outlets to be "furious" and in his speech to the nation the following morning, where he refused to concede a number of states and the election in general, specifically mentioned Fox News and Arizona, dismissing "the gentleman who called it".[13] Mishkin's call ended up being correct, although the margin of Biden's victory in Arizona was quite narrow (10,457 votes).

Personal life

Mishkin married Susan Ellen Fine, the vice president of development for Olympia and York Properties, in November 1986.

Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Boston.[4] The couple has two daughters: Allison and Pamela Mishkin.[3] The Mishkins have attend the B'nai Jeshurun synagogue in Manhattan since the late 1980s.[3] According to the Jewish Telegraphic Agency, Mishkin is a registered member of the Democratic Party in New York.[7]

Filmography

  • Best Evidence: The Research Video (1990)

References

  1. ^ "Politics & Polls #207: The Fox News Analyst Who Will Call the 2020 Election (Arnon Mishkin)". Princeton School of Public and International Affairs. October 28, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  2. ^ "Arnon Mishkin". The Institute of Politics at Harvard University. Retrieved 2022-12-28.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h "Growing Up With a Shadow" (PDF). B’nai Jeshurun. 2001. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  4. ^ a b c d e "Susan E. Fine Weds Arnon A. Mishkin". NY Times. November 23, 1986. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p "Trump Wants to Discredit the Election. This Nerd Could Stop Him". NY Times. September 27, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  6. ^ "Mishkin Associates - Biographies". mishkinconsulting.com. Retrieved 2021-01-03.
  7. ^ a b "A Jewish Democrat helms Fox News' 'decision desk.' He infuriated Trump by calling Arizona for Biden early". JTA. September 27, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  8. ^ "US media companies prepare for messy election night". Financial Times. October 29, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  9. ^ a b "Fox News Decision Desk Chief Arnon Mishkin 'May Be the Last Bulwark Against the Most Frightening Prophecies of Electoral Insanity'". AdWeek. September 28, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  10. ^ "The Fox News Decision Desk Controls the Fate of American Democracy". Slate. September 24, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  11. ^ "Meet Arnon Mishkin, the Fox News analyst who will call the winner of the election for the network". Chicago Tribune. October 19, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  12. ^ "Fox News Made a Big Call in Arizona, Buoying Biden and Angering Trump". NY Times. November 4, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  13. ^ a b c Wilensky, David A. M. (November 4, 2020). "Meet the Jewish Democrat at Fox News' 'decision desk,' the man who called Arizona for Biden early". JWeekly. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  14. ^ "Fox News doubles down on calling Arizona for Biden – video". The Guardian. November 4, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.
  15. ^ "Fox News Anchor Grills Network's Own Expert on Calling Arizona for Biden: 'You're 100% Sure?'". The Wrap. November 4, 2020. Retrieved November 5, 2020.

External links

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