Atmospheric dispersion modeling

Source: Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

Atmospheric dispersion modeling is the

dispersion models are used to estimate the downwind ambient concentration of air pollutants or toxins emitted from sources such as industrial plants, vehicular traffic or accidental chemical releases. They can also be used to predict future concentrations under specific scenarios (i.e. changes in emission sources). Therefore, they are the dominant type of model used in air quality policy making. They are most useful for pollutants that are dispersed over large distances and that may react in the atmosphere. For pollutants that have a very high spatio-temporal variability (i.e. have very steep distance to source decay such as black carbon) and for epidemiological
studies statistical land-use regression models are also used.

Dispersion models are important to governmental agencies tasked with protecting and managing the ambient

Spadina Expressway
of Canada in 1971.

Air dispersion models are also used by public safety responders and emergency management personnel for emergency planning of accidental chemical releases. Models are used to determine the consequences of accidental releases of hazardous or toxic materials, Accidental releases may result in fires, spills or explosions that involve hazardous materials, such as chemicals or radionuclides. The results of dispersion modeling, using worst case

shelter in place for persons in the downwind direction. At industrial facilities, this type of consequence assessment or emergency planning is required under the U.S. Clean Air Act (CAA) codified in Part 68 of Title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations
.

The dispersion models vary depending on the mathematics used to develop the model, but all require the input of data that may include:

Many of the modern, advanced dispersion modeling programs include a

isopleths
showing areas of minimal to high concentrations that define areas of the highest health risk. The isopleths plots are useful in determining protective actions for the public and responders.

The atmospheric dispersion models are also known as atmospheric diffusion models, air dispersion models, air quality models, and air pollution dispersion models.

Atmospheric layers

Discussion of the layers in the

mesosphere
which extends from 50 km (31 mi) to about 80 km (50 mi). There are other layers above 80 km, but they are insignificant with respect to atmospheric dispersion modeling.

The lowest part of the troposphere is called the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) or the

Intertropical convergence zone
.

The ABL is of the most important with respect to the emission, transport and dispersion of airborne pollutants. The part of the ABL between the Earth's surface and the bottom of the inversion layer is known as the mixing layer. Almost all of the airborne pollutants emitted into the ambient atmosphere are transported and dispersed within the mixing layer. Some of the emissions penetrate the inversion layer and enter the free troposphere above the ABL.

In summary, the layers of the Earth's atmosphere from the surface of the ground upwards are: the ABL made up of the mixing layer capped by the inversion layer; the free troposphere; the stratosphere; the mesosphere and others. Many atmospheric dispersion models are referred to as boundary layer models because they mainly model air pollutant dispersion within the ABL. To avoid confusion, models referred to as mesoscale models have dispersion modeling capabilities that extend horizontally up to a few hundred kilometres. It does not mean that they model dispersion in the mesosphere.

Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation

The technical literature on air pollution dispersion is quite extensive and dates back to the 1930s and earlier. One of the early air pollutant plume dispersion equations was derived by Bosanquet and Pearson.[2] Their equation did not assume Gaussian distribution nor did it include the effect of ground reflection of the pollutant plume.

Sir Graham Sutton derived an air pollutant plume dispersion equation in 1947[3] which did include the assumption of Gaussian distribution for the vertical and crosswind dispersion of the plume and also included the effect of ground reflection of the plume.

Under the stimulus provided by the advent of stringent

Continuous, Buoyant Air Pollution Plumes shown below:[4][5]

where:  
= crosswind dispersion parameter
  =
= vertical dispersion parameter =
= vertical dispersion with no reflections
  =
= vertical dispersion for reflection from the ground
  =
= vertical dispersion for reflection from an inversion aloft
  =
           
           
           
= concentration of emissions, in g/m³, at any receptor located:
            x meters downwind from the
emission source point
            y meters crosswind from the emission plume centerline
            z meters above ground level
= source pollutant emission rate, in g/s
= horizontal wind velocity along the plume centerline, m/s
= height of emission plume centerline above ground level, in m
= vertical standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
= horizontal standard deviation of the emission distribution, in m
= height from ground level to bottom of the inversion aloft, in m
= the exponential function

The above equation not only includes upward reflection from the ground, it also includes downward reflection from the bottom of any inversion lid present in the atmosphere.

The sum of the four exponential terms in converges to a final value quite rapidly. For most cases, the summation of the series with m = 1, m = 2 and m = 3 will provide an adequate solution.

and are functions of the atmospheric stability class (i.e., a measure of the turbulence in the ambient atmosphere) and of the downwind distance to the receptor. The two most important variables affecting the degree of pollutant emission dispersion obtained are the height of the emission source point and the degree of atmospheric turbulence. The more turbulence, the better the degree of dispersion.

Equations[6][7] for and are:

(x) = exp(Iy + Jyln(x) + Ky[ln(x)]2)

(x) = exp(Iz + Jzln(x) + Kz[ln(x)]2)

(units of , and , and x are in meters)

Coefficient A B C D E F
Iy -1.104 -1.634 -2.054 -2.555 -2.754 -3.143
Jy 0.9878 1.0350 1.0231 1.0423 1.0106 1.0148
Ky -0.0076 -0.0096 -0.0076 -0.0087 -0.0064 -0.0070
Iz 4.679 -1.999 -2.341 -3.186 -3.783 -4.490
Jz -1.7172 0.8752 0.9477 1.1737 1.3010 1.4024
Kz 0.2770 0.0136 -0.0020 -0.0316 -0.0450 -0.0540

The classification of stability class is proposed by F. Pasquill.[8] The six stability classes are referred to: A-extremely unstable B-moderately unstable C-slightly unstable D-neutral E-slightly stable F-moderately stable

The resulting calculations for

air pollutant concentration contour map
in order to show the spatial variation in contaminant levels over a wide area under study. In this way the contour lines can overlay sensitive receptor locations and reveal the spatial relationship of air pollutants to areas of interest.

Whereas older models rely on stability classes (see

air pollution dispersion terminology
) for the determination of and , more recent models increasingly rely on the
Monin-Obukhov similarity theory
to derive these parameters.

Briggs plume rise equations

The Gaussian air pollutant dispersion equation (discussed above) requires the input of H which is the pollutant plume's centerline height above ground level—and H is the sum of Hs (the actual physical height of the pollutant plume's emission source point) plus ΔH (the plume rise due to the plume's buoyancy).

Visualization of a buoyant Gaussian air pollutant dispersion plume

To determine ΔH, many if not most of the air dispersion models developed between the late 1960s and the early 2000s used what are known as the Briggs equations. G.A. Briggs first published his plume rise observations and comparisons in 1965.[9] In 1968, at a symposium sponsored by CONCAWE (a Dutch organization), he compared many of the plume rise models then available in the literature.[10] In that same year, Briggs also wrote the section of the publication edited by Slade[11] dealing with the comparative analyses of plume rise models. That was followed in 1969 by his classical critical review of the entire plume rise literature,[12] in which he proposed a set of plume rise equations which have become widely known as "the Briggs equations". Subsequently, Briggs modified his 1969 plume rise equations in 1971 and in 1972.[13][14]

Briggs divided air pollution plumes into these four general categories:

  • Cold jet plumes in calm ambient air conditions
  • Cold jet plumes in windy ambient air conditions
  • Hot, buoyant plumes in calm ambient air conditions
  • Hot, buoyant plumes in windy ambient air conditions

Briggs considered the trajectory of cold jet plumes to be dominated by their initial velocity momentum, and the trajectory of hot, buoyant plumes to be dominated by their buoyant momentum to the extent that their initial velocity momentum was relatively unimportant. Although Briggs proposed plume rise equations for each of the above plume categories, it is important to emphasize that "the Briggs equations" which become widely used are those that he proposed for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes.

In general, Briggs's equations for bent-over, hot buoyant plumes are based on observations and data involving plumes from typical combustion sources such as the flue gas stacks from steam-generating boilers burning fossil fuels in large power plants. Therefore, the stack exit velocities were probably in the range of 20 to 100 ft/s (6 to 30 m/s) with exit temperatures ranging from 250 to 500 °F (120 to 260 °C).

A logic diagram for using the Briggs equations[4] to obtain the plume rise trajectory of bent-over buoyant plumes is presented below:

where:  
Δh = plume rise, in m
F  = buoyancy factor, in m4s−3
x = downwind distance from plume source, in m
xf = downwind distance from plume source to point of maximum plume rise, in m
u = windspeed at actual stack height, in m/s
s  = stability parameter, in s−2

The above parameters used in the Briggs' equations are discussed in Beychok's book.[4]

See also

Atmospheric dispersion models

List of atmospheric dispersion models provides a more comprehensive list of models than listed below. It includes a very brief description of each model.

Result of an atmospheric dispersion modeling using AERMOD
2016 HYSPLIT map
3D dynamic FEM air pollution transport model - concentration field on ground level
3D dynamic FEM air pollution transport model - concentration field on perpendicular surface

Organizations

Others

References

  1. ^ Fensterstock, J.C. et al., "Reduction of air pollution potential through environmental planning"[permanent dead link], JAPCA, Vol.21, No.7, 1971.
  2. ^ Bosanquet, C.H. and Pearson, J.L., "The spread of smoke and gases from chimneys", Trans. Faraday Soc., 32:1249, 1936
  3. ^ Sutton, O.G., "The problem of diffusion in the lower atmosphere", QJRMS, 73:257, 1947 and "The theoretical distribution of airborne pollution from factory chimneys", QJRMS, 73:426, 1947
  4. ^ .
  5. .
  6. .
  7. ^ Hanna, Steven (1982). "Handbook on Atmospheric Diffusion". U.S. Department of Energy Report.
  8. ^ W, Klug (April 1984). Atmospheric Diffusion (3rd Edition). F. Pasquill and F. B. Smith. Ellis Horwood, (John Wiley & Sons) Chichester, 1983 (3rd ed.). New York: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society.
  9. ^ Briggs, G.A., "A plume rise model compared with observations", JAPCA, 15:433–438, 1965
  10. ^ Briggs, G.A., "CONCAWE meeting: discussion of the comparative consequences of different plume rise formulas", Atmos. Envir., 2:228–232, 1968
  11. ^ Slade, D.H. (editor), "Meteorology and atomic energy 1968", Air Resources Laboratory, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, 1968
  12. ^ Briggs, G.A., "Plume Rise", USAEC Critical Review Series, 1969
  13. ^ Briggs, G.A., "Some recent analyses of plume rise observation", Proc. Second Internat'l. Clean Air Congress, Academic Press, New York, 1971
  14. ^ Briggs, G.A., "Discussion: chimney plumes in neutral and stable surroundings", Atmos. Envir., 6:507–510, 1972

Further reading

Books

Introductory
Advanced

Proceedings

Guidance

External links