CVoter

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Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research, or CVoter, is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in Delhi, India.[1]

History

Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.[1][2]

Clients

CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,

UTV Software Communications), Sahara Samay (owned by Sahara India Pariwar), Jain TV, Asianet, ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.[5][6] Studies have included market research,[7][8] conflict resolution research,[9] and opinion polls.[10][11][12]

2022 State Elections

Goa

Opinion polls
Date Published Polling agency Lead Remarks
NDA UPA AAP
AITC+
 Others
7 February 2022 ABP News C-voter[13] 14-18 10-14 4-8 3-7 0-2 0-8 Hung
10 January 2022 ABP News C-voter[14] 19-23 4-8 5-9 2-6 0-4 10-18 Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News C-Voter[15] 17-21 4-8 5-9 6-10 7-15 Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News C-voter[16] 19-23 2-6 3-7 8-12 7-15 Hung
8 October 2021 ABP News C-voter[17] 24-28 1-5 3-7 4-8 16-24 BJP majority
3 Sept 2021 ABP News C-voter[18] 22-26 3-7 4-8 3-7 14-22 BJP majority
10 March 2022 Election results 20 12 2 2 4 8 Hung
Exit polls
Polling agency Lead Remarks
NDA UPA AAP
AITC+
 Others
ABP-CVoter[19] 13-17 12-16 1-5 5-9 0-2 0-1 Hung
Election results 20 12 2 2 4 8 Hung

Manipur

Opinion polls
Date Published Polling agency Lead Remarks
INC BJP NPF Others
10 January 2022 ABP News C-Voter[20] 22-26 23-27 2-6 5-9 0-5 Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News C-Voter[21] 23-27 29-33 2-6 0-2 2-10 Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News C-Voter[22] 20-24 25-29 4-8 3-7 1-9 Hung
8 October 2021 ABP News C-Voter[23] 21-25 26-30 4-8 1-5 1-9 Hung
3 September 2021 ABP News C-Voter[24] 18-22 32-36 2-6 0-4 10-18 BJP majority
10 March 2022 Election results 5 32 5 18 14 NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agency Lead Remarks
BJP INC NPP NPF Others
ABP News-CVoter[25] 23-27 12-16 10-14 3-7 2-6 7-15 Hung
Election results 32 5 7 5 11 21 NDA majority

Punjab

Opinion Polls
Date published Polling agency Lead Remarks
UPA AAP SAD+ NDA Others
7 February 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[26] 24-30 55-63 20-26 3-11 0-2 25-39 Hung
10 January 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[27] 37-43 52-58 17-23 1-3 0-1 9-21 Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[28] 39-45 50-56 17-23 0-3 0-1 5-16 Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[29] 42-50 47-53 16-24 0-1 0-1 0-11 Hung
8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[30] 39-47 49-55 17-25 0-1 0-1 2-16 Hung
4 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[31] 38-46 51-57 16-24 0-1 0-1 5-19 Hung
19 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[32] 43-49 51-57 12-18 0-3 0-5 2-14 Hung
10 March 2022 Election results 18 92 4 2 1 74 AAP Majority
Exit polls
Polling agency Lead Remarks
UPA AAP SAD+ NDA Others
ABP News - C Voter[33] 22-28 51-61 20-26 7-13 1-5 23-39 Hung
Election results 18 92 4 2 1 74 AAP Majority

Uttar Pradesh

Opinion polls
Polling agency NDA Lead Remarks
Date Published SP+ BSP UPA Others
18 March 2021 ABP-CVoter[34][35] 284-294 54-64 33-43 1-7 10-16 220-240 NDA majority
3 September 2021 ABP-CVoter[36] 259-267 109-117 12-16 3-7 6-10 142-158 NDA majority
8 October 2021 ABP-CVoter[37] 241-249 130-138 15-19 3-7 0-4 103-119 NDA majority
13 November 2021 ABP-CVoter[38] 213-221 152-160 16-20 6-10 NA 53-69 NDA majority
11 December 2021 ABP-CVoter[39] 212-224 151-163 12-24 2-10 2-6 49-73 NDA majority
10 January 2022 ABP-CVoter[40] 223-235 145-157 8-16 3-7 4-8 66-90 NDA majority
10 March 2022 Election results 273 125 1 2 2 178 NDA majority
Exit polls
NDA Lead Remarks
SP+ BSP UPA Others
ABP News - CVoter[41] 228-244 132-148 13-21 4-8 NA 80-112 NDA majority
Election results 273 125 1 2 2 178 NDA majority

Uttarakhand

Opinion polls
Date Polling agency Lead Remarks
NDA UPA AAP Others
7 February 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[42] 31-37 30-36 2-4 0-1 0-7 Hung
10 January 2022 ABP News - C-Voter[43][44] 31-37 30-36 2-4 0-1 0-7 Hung
11 December 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[45] 33-39 29-35 1-3 0-1 0-10 Hung
12 November 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[46] 36-40 30-34 0-2 0-1 2-10 BJP majority
8 October 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[47] 42-46 21-25 0-4 0-2 17-25 BJP majority
3 September 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[48] 44-48 19-23 0-4 0-2 21-29 BJP majority
18 March 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[49] 24-30 32-38 2-8 0-9 2-14 Hung
10 March Election results 47 19 0 4 28 NDA majority
Exit polls
Polling agency Lead Remarks
NDA UPA AAP Others
C-Voter[50]
 26-32 32-38 0-2 3-7 0-12 Hung
Election results 47 19 0 4 28 NDA majority

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)

Assam

Poll type Date published Polling agency Lead Ref.
NDA Mahajot Others
Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News- CVoter 58-71 53-66 0-5 Hung [51]
Times Now-CVoter 65 59 2 6 [52]
Opinion poll 24 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [53]
ABP News- CVoter 65-73 52-60 0-4 5-21 [54]
15 March 2021 ABP News- CVoter 64-72 52-60 0-2 4-20 [55]
8 March 2021 Times Now-CVoter 67 57 2 10 [56]
27 February 2021 ABP News- CVoter 68-76 47-55 0-3 13-29 [57]
18 January 2021 ABP News- CVoter 73-81 41-49 0-4 24-40 [58]
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead Ref.
NDA
 Mahajot Independent
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 75 50 1 25 [59]

Kerala

Type of polls Date published Polling agency Lead Ref.
LDF
 UDF
NDA
Opinion Poll 24 March 2021 Mathrubhumi–CVoter 73–83 56–66 0–1 2–12 [60]
Times Now–CVoter 77 62 1 6 [61]
19 March 2021 Mathrubhumi News–CVoter 75-83 (79) 55–60 (57) 0–2 (1) 4–12 (8) [62]
15 March 2021 ABP News–CVoter 77–85 54–62 0–2 6–14 [63]
8 March 2021 Times Now–CVoter 82 56 1 11 [64]
27 February 2021 ABP News–CVoter 83–91 47–55 0–2 12–20 [65]
18 January 2021 ABP News–CVoter 81–89 41–47 0–2 10–18 [66]
Exit polls 29 April 2021 Times Now / ABP - C-Voter 71 - 77 62 - 68 0 - 2 1 - 6 [67]
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead Ref.
LDF
 UDF
NDA
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 99 41 0 58 [67]

Tamil Nadu

Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day
Type of Poll Date published Polling agency Lead
DMK+
AIADMK+
AMMK+
 MNM+ NTK Others [a]
Opinion Poll 24 Mar 21 Times Now - CVoter[68] 177 49 3 3 – 2 128
15 Mar 21 ABP News - CVoter[69] 161 - 169 53 - 61 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 3 - 7 100 - 116
8 Mar 21 Times Now- CVoter[70] 158 65 – – – – 88- 104
27 Feb 21 ABP News- CVoter[71] 154 - 162 58 - 66 1 - 5 2 - 6 – 5 - 9 88- 104
18 Jan 21 ABP News- CVoter[72] 158 - 166 60 - 68 2 - 6 0 - 4 – 0 - 4 90 - 106
Exit polls 29 Apr 21 ABP/Times Now - CVoter[73][74] 160 - 172 58 - 70 0 - 4 0 - 2 0 - 3 90 - 114
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead
DMK+
AIADMK+
AMMK+
 MNM+ NTK Others [a]
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 159 75 0 0 0 84

West Bengal

Type of poll Date published Polling agency Lead
AITC+
 BJP+
SM
 Others
Opinion Poll 24 March 2021 Times Now C-Voter [75] 152-168 104-120 18-26 0-2 32-64
15 March 2021 ABP News - C Voter[76][77][78] 150-166 98-114 23-31 3-5 36-52
8 March 2021 Times Now - C Voter[79] 146-162 99-112 29-37 0 31-63
27 February 2021 ABP News - C Voter[80][81] 148-164 92-108 31-39 1-5 40-72
18 January 2021 ABP News - CVoter[82] 158 102 30 4 56
Exit poll 29 April 2021 ABP News - C-Voter[83][84] 152-164 109-121 14-25 - 31-55
Election Results
Election Results Date published Election Results Lead
AITC+
 BJP+
SM
 Others
Election Results 2 May 2021 Election Results 215 77 1 1 138

2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News

ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey[85]

58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey [86]

Naveen country's best CM [87]

2020 Trust on Media Institutions

CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions [88][89][90][91][92]

Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds[93]

2020 Bihar elections

Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. NDA secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while MGB won 110 seats (37.23% votes).[94][95] [96][97][98]

Polling type Date Polling Agency Majority Ref
NDA MGB LJP Others
Opinion poll
24 October 2020 ABP-CVoter 135-159 77-98 5-13 13-37 [99]
12 October 2020 Times Now-CVoter 160 76 7 39 [100]
25 September 2020 ABP-CVoter 141-161 64-84 13-23 20–40 [101]
Exit poll
Times Now-CVoter 116 120 1 6 HUNG [102]
ABP News-CVoter 104-128 108-131 1-3 4-8 HUNG
Election Results 10 November 2020 125 110 1 7 NDA

2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)

May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.[103]

2016 United States elections

The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a Hillary Clinton victory in the 2016 United States presidential election.[104] When the results were declared Donald Trump won the election.

2016 United States presidential election
Agency Prediction Actual Winner Prediction accuracy
UPI/CVoter Hillary Clinton Donald Trump ☒N Wrong
Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Leading
by % 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error
UPI/CVoter[105] 1 – 7 November 2016 48.7% 46.2% 2.5 1,728 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[106] 30 October – 5 November 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[107] 29 October – 4 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[108] 28 October – 3 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[109] 27 October – 2 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[110] 26 October – 1 November 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[111] 24–30 October 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
UPI/CVoter[112] 23–29 October 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[113] 20–26 October 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[114] 19–25 October 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[115] 17–23 October 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[116] 11–17 October 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[117] 10–16 October 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[118] 7–13 October 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[119] 4–10 October 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[120] 3–9 October 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[121] 30 September – 6 October 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[122] 28 September – 4 October 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[123] 26 September – 2 October 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[124] 23–29 September 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[125] 21–27 September 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[126] 19–25 September 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[127] 12–18 September 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[128] 10–16 September 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[129] 9–15 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[130] 8–14 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[131] 7–13 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[132] 6–12 September 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[133] 5–11 September 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[134] 2–8 September 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[135] 1–7 September 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[136] 31 August – 6 September 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[137] 30 August – 5 September 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[138] 29 August – 4 September 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[139] 28 August – 3 September 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[140] 24–30 August 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[141] 23–29 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[142] 22–28 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[143] 21–27 August 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[144] 18–24 August 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[145] 17–23 August 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[146] 16–22 August 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[147] 15–21 August 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[148] 14–20 August 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[149] 11–17 August 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[150] 9–16 August 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[151] 9–15 August 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[152] 7–14 August 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[153] 7–13 August 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[154] 3–10 August 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[155] 3–9 August 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[156] 2–8 August 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[157] 1–7 August 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[158] 31 July – 6 August 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[159] 29 July – 4 August 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
UPI/CVoter[160] 27 July – 2 August 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%

2009 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for India TV showed the UPA with 189–201 seats. It gives the Congress 149–155, the DMK between 9 and 13, the NCP 12–16 and the Trinamool between 12 and 16. The poll showed the BJP-led Front getting between 183 and 195 seats. It includes the BJP (140–146), the JD (U) 17–21.[161] In the end, in 2009 Indian general election, UPA got 262 (Congress – 206) and NDA 159 (BJP – 116).

2004 Indian general elections

The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.[162][163] In the end, in 2004 Indian general election, Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138).[citation needed]

Controversy

CVoter allegedly carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.[164][165] It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. After the expose, India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.[166][167]

Notes

  1. ^ a b May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey

References

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