Carbon dioxide removal
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is a process in which carbon dioxide (CO2) is removed from the atmosphere by deliberate human activities and durably stored in geological, terrestrial, or ocean reservoirs, or in products.[3]: 2221 This process is also known as carbon removal, greenhouse gas removal or negative emissions. CDR is more and more often integrated into climate policy, as an element of climate change mitigation strategies.[4][5] Achieving net zero emissions will require first and foremost deep and sustained cuts in emissions, and then—in addition—the use of CDR ("CDR is what puts the net into net zero emissions"[6]). In the future, CDR may be able to counterbalance emissions that are technically difficult to eliminate, such as some agricultural and industrial emissions.[7]: 114
CDR includes methods that are implemented on land or in aquatic systems. Land-based methods include
As of 2023, CDR is estimated to remove around 2 gigatons of CO2 per year.[10] This is equivalent to about 4% of the greenhouse gases emitted per year by human activities.[11]: 8 There is potential to remove and sequester up to 10 gigatons of carbon dioxide per year by using those CDR methods which can be safely and economically deployed now.[11] However, quantifying the exact amount of carbon dioxide removed from the atmosphere by CDR is difficult.
Definition
Part of a series on the |
Carbon cycle |
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Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is defined by the IPCC as: "Anthropogenic activities removing CO2 from the atmosphere and durably storing it in geological, terrestrial, or ocean reservoirs, or in products. It includes existing and potential anthropogenic enhancement of biological or geochemical sinks and direct air capture and storage, but excludes natural CO2 uptake not directly caused by human activities."[3]: 2221
Synonyms for CDR include greenhouse gas removal (GGR),[12] negative emissions technology,[11] and carbon removal.[13] Technologies have been proposed for removing non-CO2 greenhouse gases such as methane from the atmosphere,[14] but only carbon dioxide is currently feasible to remove at scale.[12] Therefore, in most contexts, greenhouse gas removal means carbon dioxide removal.
The term geoengineering (or
Categories
CDR methods can be placed in different categories that are based on different criteria:[7]: 114
- Role in the carbon cycle (land-based biological; ocean-based biological; geochemical; chemical); or
- Timescale of storage (decades to centuries; centuries to millennia; thousand years or longer)
Concepts using similar terminology
CDR can be confused with carbon capture and storage (CCS), a process in which carbon dioxide is collected from point-sources such as gas-fired power plants, whose smokestacks emit CO2 in a concentrated stream. The CO2 is then compressed and sequestered or utilized.[16] When used to sequester the carbon from a gas-fired power plant, CCS reduces emissions from continued use of the point source, but does not reduce the amount of carbon dioxide already in the atmosphere.
Role in climate change mitigation
Use of CDR reduces the overall rate at which humans are adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.
After
Critique and risks
Critics point out that CDR must not be regarded as a substitute for the required cuts in greenhouse gas emissions. Oceanographer David Ho formulated it like this in 2023 "We must stop talking about deploying CDR as a solution today, when emissions remain high—as if it somehow replaces radical, immediate emission cuts.[6]
Reliance on large-scale deployment of CDR was regarded in 2018 as a "major risk" to achieving the goal of less than 1.5 °C of warming, given the uncertainties in how quickly CDR can be deployed at scale.[21] Strategies for mitigating climate change that rely less on CDR and more on sustainable use of energy carry less of this risk.[21][22]
The possibility of large-scale future CDR deployment has been described as a moral hazard, as it could lead to a reduction in near-term efforts to mitigate climate change.[20]: 124 [11] However, the 2019 NASEM report concludes: "Any argument to delay mitigation efforts because NETs will provide a backstop drastically misrepresents their current capacities and the likely pace of research progress."[11]
CDR is meant to complement efforts in hard-to-abate sectors rather than replace mitigation. Limiting climate change to 1.5°C and achieving net-zero emissions would entail substantial carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from the atmosphere by the mid-century, but how much CDR is needed at country level over time is unclear. Equitable allocations of CDR, in many cases, exceed implied land and carbon storage capacities. Many countries have either insufficient land to contribute an equitable share of global CDR or insufficient geological storage capacity.[23]
Experts also highlight social and ecological limits for carbon dioxide removal, such as the land area required. For example, the combined land requirements of removal plans as per the global Nationally Determined Contributions in 2023 amounted to 1.2 billion hectares, which is equal to the combined size of global croplands.[24]
Permanence
Forests,
Biomass, such as trees, can be directly stored into the Earth's subsurface.
Current and potential scale
As of 2023, CDR is estimated to remove about 2 gigatons of CO2 per year, almost entirely by low-tech methods like reforestation and the creation of new forests.[10] This is equivalent to 4% of the greenhouse gases emitted per year by human activities.[11]: 8 A 2019 consensus study report by NASEM assessed the potential of all forms of CDR other than ocean fertilization that could be deployed safely and economically using current technologies, and estimated that they could remove up to 10 gigatons of CO2 per year if fully deployed worldwide.[11] In 2018, all analyzed mitigation pathways that would prevent more than 1.5 °C of warming included CDR measures.[21]
Some mitigation pathways propose achieving higher rates of CDR through massive deployment of one technology, however these pathways assume that hundreds of millions of hectares of cropland are converted to growing
Methods
Overview listing based on technology readiness level
The following is a list of known CDR methods in the order of their technology readiness level (TRL). The ones at the top have a high TRL of 8 to 9 (9 being the maximum possible value, meaning the technology is proven), the ones at the bottom have a low TRL of 1 to 2, meaning the technology is not proven or only validated at laboratory scale.[7]: 115
- Afforestation/ reforestation
- Soil croplands and grasslands
- coastal wetlandrestoration
- Agroforestry, improved forest management
- Biochar carbon removal (BCR)
- Direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS)
- Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS)
- Enhanced weathering (alkalinity enhancement)
- seagrass beds)
- Ocean fertilization, ocean alkalinity enhancement that amplifies the oceanic carbon cycle
The CDR methods with the greatest potential to contribute to climate change mitigation efforts as per illustrative mitigation pathways are the land-based biological CDR methods (primarily afforestation/reforestation (A/R)) and/or bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). Some of the pathways also include direct air capture and storage (DACCS).[7]: 114
Afforestation, reforestation, and forestry management
Trees use photosynthesis to absorb carbon dioxide and store the carbon in wood and soils.[13] Afforestation is the establishment of a forest in an area where there was previously no forest.[18]: 1794 Reforestation is the re-establishment of a forest that has been previously cleared.[18]: 1812 Forests are vital for human society, animals and plant species. This is because trees keep air clean, regulate the local climate and provide a habitat for numerous species.[27]
As trees grow they absorb CO2 from the atmosphere and store it in living biomass, dead organic matter and soils. Afforestation and reforestation – sometimes referred to collectively as 'forestation' – facilitate this process of carbon removal by establishing or re-establishing forest areas. It takes forests approximately 10 years to ramp- up to the maximum sequestration rate.[28]: 26–28
Depending on the species, the trees will reach maturity after around 20 to 100 years, after which they store carbon but do not actively remove it from the atmosphere.[28]: 26–28 Carbon can be stored in forests indefinitely, but the storage can also be much more short-lived as trees are vulnerable to being cut, burned, or killed by disease or drought.[28]: 26–28 Once mature, forest products can be harvested and the biomass stored in long-lived wood products, or used for bioenergy or biochar. Consequent forest regrowth then allows continuing CO2 removal.[28]: 26–28
Risks to deployment of new forest include the availability of land, competition with other land uses, and the comparatively long time from planting to maturity.[28]: 26–28
Agricultural practices (carbon farming)
Carbon farming is a set of agricultural methods that aim to store carbon in the soil, crop roots, wood and leaves. The overall goal of carbon farming is to create a net loss of carbon from the atmosphere.[29] This is done by increasing the rate at which carbon is sequestered into soil and plant material. One option is to increase the soil's organic matter content. This can also aid plant growth, improve soil water retention capacity[30] and reduce fertilizer use.[31] Sustainable forest management is another tool that is used in carbon farming.[32]
Agricultural methods for carbon farming include adjusting how
Bioenergy with carbon capture & storage (BECCS)
Biochar carbon removal (BCR)
Biochar is created by the pyrolysis of biomass, and is under investigation as a method of carbon sequestration. Biochar is a charcoal that is used for agricultural purposes which also aids in
Direct air capture with carbon sequestration (DACCS)
Marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR)
There are several methods of sequestering carbon from the ocean, where dissolved carbonate in the form of carbonic acid is in equilibrium with atmospheric carbon dioxide.[8] These include ocean fertilization, the purposeful introduction of plant nutrients to the upper ocean.[43][44] While one of the more well-researched carbon dioxide removal approaches, ocean fertilization would only sequester carbon on a timescale of 10-100 years. While surface ocean acidity may decrease as a result of nutrient fertilization, sinking organic matter will remineralize, increasing deep ocean acidity. A 2021 report on CDR indicates that there is medium-high confidence that the technique could be efficient and scalable at low cost, with medium environmental risks.[45] Ocean fertilization is estimated to be able to sequester 0.1 to 1 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide per year at a cost of USD $8 to $80 per tonne.[8]
Electrochemical techniques such as electrodialysis can remove carbonate from seawater using electricity. While such techniques used in isolation are estimated to be able to remove 0.1 to 1 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide per year at a cost of USD $150 to $2,500 per tonne,[8] these methods are much less expensive when performed in conjunction with seawater processing such as desalination, where salt and carbonate are simultaneously removed.[47] Preliminary estimates suggest that the cost of such carbon removal can be paid for in large part if not entirely from the sale of the desalinated water produced as a byproduct.[48]
Costs and economics
The cost of CDR differs substantially depending on the maturity of the technology employed as well as the economics of both voluntary carbon removal markets and the physical output; for example, the pyrolysis of biomass produces biochar that has various commercial applications, including soil regeneration and wastewater treatment.[49] In 2021 DAC cost from $250 to $600 per ton, compared to $100 for biochar and less than $50 for nature-based solutions, such as reforestation and afforestation.[50][51] The fact that biochar commands a higher price in the carbon removal market than nature-based solutions reflects the fact that it is a more durable sink with carbon being sequestered for hundreds or even thousands of years while nature-based solutions represent a more volatile form of storage, which risks related to forest fires, pests, economic pressures and changing political priorities.[52] The Oxford Principles for Net Zero Aligned Carbon Offsetting states that to be compatible with the Paris Agreement: "...organizations must commit to gradually increase the percentage of carbon removal offsets they procure with the view of exclusively sourcing carbon removals by mid-century."[52] These initiatives along with the development of new industry standards for engineered carbon removal, such as the Puro Standard, will help to support the growth of the carbon removal market.[53]
Although CDR is not covered by the EU Allowance as of 2021, the European Commission is preparing for carbon removal certification and considering carbon contracts for difference.[54][55] CDR might also in future be added to the UK Emissions Trading Scheme.[56] As of end 2021 carbon prices for both these cap-and-trade schemes currently based on carbon reductions, as opposed to carbon removals, remained below $100.[57][58]
As of early 2023, financing has fell short of the sums required for high-tech CDR methods to contribute significantly to climate change mitigation. Though available funds have recently increased substantially. Most of this increase has been from voluntary private sector initiatives.
Removal of other greenhouse gases
Although some researchers have suggested methods for removing methane, others say that nitrous oxide would be a better subject for research due to its longer lifetime in the atmosphere.[62]
See also
- Biological carbon fixation – Series of interconnected biochemical reactions
- Carbon dioxide scrubber – Device which absorbs carbon dioxide from circulated gas
- Carbon-neutral fuel – Type of fuel which have no net greenhouse gas emissions
- Climate change scenario – Hypothetical representation of potential future conditions
- List of emerging technologies – New technologies actively in development
- Low-carbon economy – Economy based on energy sources with low levels of greenhouse gas emissions
- Virgin Earth Challenge – Competition for permanent removal of greenhouse gases
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External links
- Factsheet about CDR by IPCC Sixth Assessment Report WG III
- Deep Dives by Carbon180. Info about carbon removal solutions.
- The Road to Ten Gigatons - Carbon Removal Scale Up Challenge Game.
- The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal report. 2023.
- Land - the planet's carbon sink, United Nations.