Economy of New Zealand
OECD | |
Country group | |
---|---|
Statistics | |
Population | 5,223,100 (June 2023 estimate)[4] |
GDP | |
GDP rank | |
GDP growth | |
GDP per capita | |
GDP by sector |
|
7.3% (June 2022)[8] | |
Population below poverty line | 11.0% (relative, 2014)[9] |
33.9 medium (2019)[10] | |
Labour force | |
Labour force by occupation |
|
Unemployment | |
Average gross salary | NZ$5,882 / $3,456 monthly[14] (2022) |
NZ$4,698 / $2,759 monthly[15][16] (2022) | |
Main industries | Food processing, Agriculture, Forestry, Wool, Tourism, Financial Services |
External | |
Exports | $72.8 billion (FY 2022/23)[17] |
Export goods | Dairy products, meat, logs and wood products, fruit, wine, machinery and equipment, fish and seafood |
Main export partners |
|
Imports | $88.8 billion (FY 2022/23)[17] |
Import goods | Petroleum, vehicles, machinery and equipment, electronics, textiles, plastics |
Main import partners |
|
FDI stock | |
Fitch:[21]
| |
$10.02 billion (June 2023 est.)[22] | |
. |
The economy of New Zealand is a
The major capital market is the
History
For many years New Zealand's economy was built on a narrow range of agricultural products, such as wool, meat and dairy. These products became New Zealand's staple and most valuable exports, underpinning the success of the economy, from the 1850s until the 1970s.
In the 1960s, prices for these traditional exports declined, and in 1973 New Zealand lost its preferential trading position with the United Kingdom when the latter joined the European Economic Community. Partly as a result, from 1970 to 1990, the relative New Zealand GDP per capita adjusted for purchasing power declined from about 115% of the OECD average to 80%.[32]
Between 1984 and 1993, New Zealand changed from a somewhat closed and centrally controlled economy to one of the most open economies in the OECD.[33] In a process often referred to in New Zealand as Rogernomics, successive governments introduced policies which dramatically liberalised the economy.
In 2005, the World Bank praised New Zealand as the most business-friendly country in the world.[34][35] The economy diversified and by 2008, tourism had become the single biggest generator of foreign exchange.[36]
Early years
Prior to European settlement and colonisation of New Zealand,
Sheep farming began in the Wairarapa but soon spread up and down the east coast from Southland to the East Cape once rudimentary roads and transport became available. Much of the land used for farming was taken or leased from Māori. Sheep numbers grew quickly and by the mid-1850s, there were already a million sheep in New Zealand; by the early 1870s, there were 10 million.[29] Wool became the first staple export, initially exported from the Wellington settlement in the late 1850s, although unrefrigerated meat and dairy products were exported as far as Australia.[29]
In the 1870s, Julius Vogel was periodically both colonial treasurer and premier. He viewed New Zealand as a "Britain of the South Seas"[40] and began the development of infrastructure in New Zealand investing heavily in roads, railways, telegraphs and bridges funded by public borrowing.[41] Progress slowed after the collapse of the City of Glasgow Bank in 1878 which led to a contraction in credit from London, the centre of the world's financial system at the time. Economic activity was depressed for some years afterwards, until refrigeration was introduced in 1882.[31] This enabled New Zealand to start exporting meat and other frozen products to the United Kingdom. Refrigeration transformed and shaped the development of the economy but, in the process, established New Zealand's economic dependence on Britain.
The success of refrigeration was directly related to the growth and development of farming in the country. In the 19th century, the bulk of economic activity was in the South Island of New Zealand. From around 1900, dairy farming became increasingly viable in areas which were less suitable for sheep, particularly in Northland, the Waikato and Taranaki. As dairying developed, the North Island slowly became more important to the economy.[42] Britain led on to be the sole market for meat and animal products in New Zealand, owing to the increase in its land cultivation and farming. The dairy farming can therefore be seen as a response to the powerful market demands in Europe, transforming not only New Zealand's countryside, economy and production techniques, but also causing migration in order to create the needed supply of dairy farming.[43]
20th century
The
By the mid-20th century, pastoral-farming products made up more than 90% of New Zealand's exports,[42] 65% of which was going to Britain in the 1950s. Having a secure market with guaranteed prices also enabled New Zealand to impose high tariffs on imported goods from other countries. Tough import controls gave local manufacturers the ability to produce similar products locally, broaden the base of jobs available in New Zealand and still compete against higher priced imports.
This prosperity continued up to 1955 at which point Britain stopped giving New Zealand guaranteed prices for its exports.[46] From then on, what New Zealand received was dictated by the free market. As a result, during the 1950s and 1960s the country's standard of living began to slip as the export sector was no longer able to pay for the level of imported goods required to meet the country's growing consumerism.
Britain applied to join the European Economic Community (EEC) in 1961, but was vetoed by the French. The government of Keith Holyoake reacted by attempting to diversify New Zealand's export markets, signing the first free trade agreement (Australia New Zealand Free Trade Agreement) in 1965,[47] and opening new diplomatic posts in Hong Kong, Jakarta, Saigon, Los Angeles and San Francisco.[30] Britain applied again to join the EEC in 1967, and entered into negotiations for membership in 1970. Holyoake's deputy and successor, Jack Marshall, (briefly Prime Minister in 1972) negotiated continued access for New Zealand exports to the United Kingdom under the so-called "Luxembourg Agreement".[48]
Britain gained full membership of the EEC on 1 January 1973, and all trade agreements with New Zealand came to an end, except the Luxembourg Agreement.[48] By the end of that year, only 26.8% of New Zealand's exports were to Britain.[49] This had a significant effect on the standard of living. In 1953, New Zealand had the third highest standard in the world. By 1978, it had dropped to 22nd place.[46]
Having lost unrestricted access to its traditional market, New Zealand continued to search for alternative export markets and diversify its economy. The Government of Norman Kirk, who succeeded Marshall, put greater emphasis on expanding New Zealand's trade, especially with South East Asia. Following the Yom Kippur War in October 1973, an oil embargo was put in place by the Middle Eastern oil exporters, leading to the 1973 oil crisis. This compounded New Zealand's dire economic situation further. Inflation greatly increased as the cost of transport and imported goods soared, causing standards of living to decline.[50]
Think Big
Following the
Other projects included the Clyde Dam on the Clutha River, which was built to meet a growing demand for electricity, and the expansion of the New Zealand Steel plant at Glenbrook.[51]
The Tiwai Point Aluminium Smelter, which opened in 1971, was also upgraded as part of the Think Big strategy and now brings in approximately NZ$1 billion in exports every year.[52]
Unfortunately for New Zealand, most of these projects only came on line at the same time as oil prices dropped during the 1980s oil glut. The price of crude went from more than US$90 a barrel in 1980, to about US$30 a few years later. Because these Think Big projects required massive borrowing to get started, public debt soared from $4.2 billion in 1975 when Muldoon became prime minister to $21.9 billion when he left office nine years later. Inflation remained rampant, averaging 11% in the 1980s.[50] Once Labour came to power in 1984, many of these projects were sold to private industry as part of a wider sale of state-assets.[51]
The Muldoon Government did make some moves towards deregulation however. For example, in 1982 it removed the transport licensing restrictions on road carriers carting goods more than 150 km, and turned the Railways Department into a statutory corporation.
Rogernomics
Between 1984 and 1993, New Zealand underwent radical economic reform, moving from what had probably been the most protected, regulated and state-dominated system of any capitalist democracy to an extreme position at the open, competitive, free-market end of the spectrum.[53]
The
The new Government was faced with an exchange rate crisis the day after it was elected. Speculators expected the change of government to result in a 20% devaluation of the
Financial markets were deregulated and tariffs on imported goods lowered and phased out. At the same time subsidies to many industries, notably agriculture, were removed or significantly reduced. Income and company taxes were reduced and the top
The wage and price freeze of the early eighties coupled with the removal of financial restrictions and a lack of investment opportunities, led to a speculative bubble on New Zealand's sharemarket, sharemarket crash of 1987, in which New Zealand's sharemarket shed 60% from its 1987 peak, and taking several years to recover.[56][57]
Inflation continued to be a major problem afflicting the New Zealand economy. Between 1985 and 1992, inflation averaged 9% per year and the economy was in recession.
The Labour Party was greatly divided over Rogernomics, especially following the 1987 sharemarket crash and its effect on the economy, which slumped along with the rest of the world into recession in the early 1990s. The National Party was returned to power at the 1990 general election and Ruth Richardson became minister of finance under Prime Minister Jim Bolger. The new Government was again thrown a major economic challenge, with the then state-owned Bank of New Zealand needing a bail-out to stay operational.
Richardson's first budget in 1991, nicknamed the 'Mother of all Budgets',[61] attempted to address constant fiscal deficits and borrowing by cutting state spending. Unemployment and social welfare benefits were cut and 'market rents' were introduced for state houses – in some cases tripling the rents of low-income people.[62] Richardson also introduced user-pays requirements in hospitals and schools.[61] These reforms became known derisively as Ruthanasia.
By this time, New Zealand's economy faced serious social problems; the number of New Zealanders estimated to be living in poverty grew by at least 35% between 1989 and 1992;
Deregulation also created a business-friendly regulatory framework which has benefited those able to take advantage of it. A 2008 survey in The Heritage Foundation and The Wall Street Journal ranked New Zealand 99.9% in "Business freedom", and 80% overall in "Economic freedom", noting that it takes, on average, only 12 days to establish a business in New Zealand, compared with a worldwide average of 43 days.[67]
Deregulation has also been blamed for other significant negative effects. One of these was the leaky homes crisis, whereby the loosening up of building standards (in the expectation that market forces would assure quality) led to many thousands of severely deficient buildings, mostly residential homes and apartments, being constructed over a period of a decade. The costs of fixing the damage has been estimated at over NZ$11 billion (as at 2009[update]).[68]
21st century
Unemployment continued to fall from 1993 to 1994 fiscal year, until the onset of the 1997 Asian financial crisis again pushed the rate higher.[69] By 2016 the unemployment rate decreased to 5.3 percent, the lowest level in 7 years.[70]
Between 2000 and 2007, the New Zealand economy expanded by an average of 3.5% a year driven primarily by private consumption and the buoyant housing market. During this period, inflation averaged only 2.6% a year, within the Reserve Bank's target range of 1% to 3%.
Around the world instability was developing in the finance sector. This reached a peak in September 2008 when
Finance company collapses (2006–2012)
Uncertainty began to dominate the global financial and economic environment. Business and consumer confidence in New Zealand plummeted as dozens of finance companies collapsed.
In an attempt to stimulate the economy, the Reserve Bank lowered the Official Cash Rate (OCR) from a high of 8.25% (July 2008) to an all-time low of 2.5% at the end of April 2009.[71]
Fortunately for New Zealand, the recession was relatively shallow compared to many other nations in the OECD, it was sixth least affected out of the 34 member
nations with negative real GDP growth totaling 3.5%.
"Rock star" economy
In 2013, the economy grew 3.3%. HSBC chief economist for Australia and New Zealand, Paul Bloxham, was so impressed that he predicted New Zealand's growth would outpace most of its peers, and he described New Zealand as the "rock star economy of 2014".[82] Another financial commentator said the New Zealand dollar was the "hottest" currency of 2014.[83] Only three months later, the New Zealand Productivity Commission expressed concern about low living standards and problems affecting the long-term drivers of growth. Paul Conway, Director of Economics and Research at the Productivity Commission, wrote: "New Zealand's broad policy settings should generate GDP per capita 20 per cent above the OECD average, but the actual result is more than 20 per cent below average. We may be punching above our weight, but that's only because we are in the wrong weight division!"[84] In August, Bloxham admitted that "the sharp decline in dairy prices over the last six months has clouded the outlook somewhat".[85] In December however Bloxham stated that he thought the New Zealand economy would continue to grow strongly.[86]
In 2014 increased attention was paid to the growing gap between rich and poor. In The Guardian, Max Rashbrook said policies implemented by both Labour and National governments have increased inequality. He claims that for twenty years outrage "has been muted", but "Alarm bells are finally beginning to sound. Recent polling shows three-quarters of New Zealanders think theirs is no longer an egalitarian country".[87]
2020–22 recession
New Zealand recorded its first case of COVID-19 on 28 February 2020. In response to the pandemic, the country closed its borders to everyone except New Zealand citizens and residents on 19 March, and went into full (Level 4) lockdown from 26 March to 27 April, followed by a partial (Level 3) lockdown from 28 April to 13 May.
The border closure combined with the lockdowns saw the retail, accommodation, hospitality, and transport sectors experiencing major declines. On 17 September 2020, New Zealand officially entered a recession, with the country's gross domestic product retracting by 12.2% in the June quarter.[88][89][90] The GDP rebounded 14% in the September quarter to leave a 2.2% year-on-year retraction.[91]
After successfully containing the virus, the New Zealand economy had sharp growth in what is known as a V-shaped recovery and ended the year with an overall economic expansion of 0.4%, better than the predicted 1.7% contraction.[92] Unemployment also dropped to 4.9% in December 2020, down from a peak Covid effected rate of 5.3% in September.[93]
By 23 September 2021, the Restaurant Association's Chief executive Marisa Bidois estimated that about 1,000 hospitality businesses nationwide had been forced to close as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to the loss of 13,000 jobs. In response, the Association lobbied the Government for Government for continued wage subsidies and incentives to boost customer rates.[94] On 13 November 2021, the Bay of Plenty Times reported that 26,774 companies had been liquidated during the first eight months of 2021.[95]
On 27 January 2022, New Zealand's inflation rate hit a 30-year record high of 5.9% at the end of 2021. According to figures released by Statistics New Zealand, the rising cost of construction, petrol and rents pushed the consumer price index up 1.4 per cent between October and December 2021. Statistics NZ also recorded a two percent increase in household utilities expenses, which was fuelled by the rising costs of new dwellings (which rose by 16% from 2020) and a 30 percent hike in fuel prices (from NZ $1.87 per litre to $2.45 per litre). Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern attributed the sharp inflation rate to rising crude oil prices overseas. By contrast, the opposition National Party leader Christopher Luxon and Finance spokesperson Simon Bridges attributed rising inflation to the Government's alleged "wasteful" spending.[96]
On 1 February 2022, an annual report released by the
Overview
New Zealand has also had persistent
Despite New Zealand's persistent current-account deficits, the balance on external goods and services has generally been positive. In FY 2014, export receipts exceeded imports by NZ$3.9 billion.[99] There has been an investment income imbalance or net outflow for debt-servicing of external loans. In FY 2014, New Zealand's investment income from the rest of the world was NZ$7 billion, versus outgoings of NZ$16.3 billion, a deficit of NZ$9.3 billion.[99] The proportion of the current-account deficit that is attributable to the investment income imbalance (a net outflow to the Australian-owned banking sector) grew from one third in 1997 to roughly 70% in 2008.[101]
Taxation
At the national level the
The
The cuts in income tax were estimated to reduce revenue by $2.46 billion.[104] To compensate, the National government raised GST from 12.5% to 15%.[105] Treasury figures show that top income-earners in New Zealand pay between 6% and 8% of their income on GST. Those at the bottom end, earning less than $356 a week, spend between 11% and 14% on GST. Based on these figures, The New Zealand Herald predicted that putting GST up to 15% would increase living costs for the poor more than twice as much as for the rich.[106]
Corruption
New Zealand ranked 1st on the Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) of 2017 with a score of 89 out of 100.[107] In 2018 New Zealand ranked 2nd on the Corruption Perceptions Index with a score of 87 out of 100.[108] In 2019, New Zealand ranked 1st on the Corruption Perceptions Index with a score of 87 out of 100.[109] Although New Zealand is one of the least corrupt countries in the world, corruption still exists in New Zealand.[110]
Regional economies
In March 2024, Statistics New Zealand published details of the break-down of gross domestic product in the regions of New Zealand for the year ended March 2023:[111]
Region (map reference) | GDP, 2022 (NZ$ million) | Share of national GDP | GDP per capita, 2022 (NZ$) | GDP growth, 2021–22 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Northland (1) | 10,061 | 2.6% | 49,710 | +6.4% |
Auckland (2) | 148,732 | 38.2% | 86,734 | +10% |
Waikato (3) | 34,613 | 8.9% | 67,028 | +8.2% |
Bay of Plenty (4) | 22,581 | 5.8% | 64,462 | +6.2% |
Gisborne (5)
|
2,665 | 0.7% | 50,955 | +5.5% |
Hawke's Bay (6)
|
11,385 | 2.9% | 61,977 | +7% |
Taranaki (7) | 10,241 | 2.6% | 80,072 | +5.5% |
Manawatū-Whanganui (8) | 15,289 | 3.9% | 59,010 | +7.1% |
Wellington (9) | 47,465 | 12.2% | 86,805 | +6.9% |
North Island | 303,033 | 77.9% | 76,645 | +8.4% |
7,100 | 1.8% | 62,277 | +8% | |
Marlborough (12)
|
3,947 | 1.0% | 76,049 | +10.4% |
West Coast (13)
|
2,095 | 0.5% | 63,876 | +7% |
Canterbury (14)[* 2] | 47,944 | 12.3% | 72,620 | +9% |
Otago (15) | 16,755 | 4.3% | 66,700 | +9.8% |
Southland (16)
|
8,271 | 2.1% | 80,148 | +6.3% |
South Island | 86,112 | 22.1% | 70,973 | +8.8% |
New Zealand | 389,145 | 100.0% | 75,311 | +8.5% |
- ^ Nelson and Tasman are combined by Statistics New Zealand, but are separate regions.
- ^ Includes the Chatham Islands.
Unemployment
Prior to the economic shock created by Britain's decision to join the EEC in 1973, which removed the UK as New Zealand's primary market for exports,[112] unemployment in New Zealand was very low. A recession and a collapse in wool prices in 1966 led to unemployment rising by 131%, but still represented only a 0.7% percentage point increase in the unemployment rate.[113]
After 1973, unemployment became a persistent economic and social issue in New Zealand. Recessions from 1976 to 1978 and from 1982 to 1983 greatly increased unemployment again.
The percentage of the population employed has also increased in recent years, to 68.8% of all inhabitants,[when?] with full-time jobs increasing slightly, and part-time occupations decreasing in turn. The increase in the working population percentage is attributed[by whom?] to increasing wages and higher costs of living moving more people into employment.[115][failed verification] The low unemployment also had some disadvantages, with many companies unable to fill jobs.
From December 2007, mainly as a result of the
Housing affordability
Shamubeel Eaqub, formerly a principal economist at the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER), said in 2014 that thirty years prior, an average house in New Zealand cost two or three times the average household income. House prices rose dramatically in the first years of the 21st century and by 2007, an average house cost more than six times household income.[117] International surveys in 2013 showed that housing was unaffordable in all eight of New Zealand's major markets – "unaffordable" being defined as house prices which are more than three times the median regional income.[118]
Demand for property has been strongest in Auckland. In 2014 the average sales price there went from $619,136 to $696,047, a rise of 12% in that 12-month period alone.[119] In 2015, prices rose another 14%.[120] This made Auckland New Zealand's least affordable market and one of the most expensive cities in the world[121] with houses costing 8 times the average income.[118] Between 2012 and April 2016, the average Auckland home increased in price by just over two-thirds reaching $931,000 – higher than the cost of an average home in Sydney.[122]
As a result, more people are being priced out of the property market. Those on low incomes are hardest hit, affecting many
Property-analysis company CoreLogic said[when?] that 45% of house purchases in New Zealand are now made by investors who already own a home, while another 28% are made by people moving from one property to another. Approximately 8% of purchases go to overseas-based cash buyers[117] – primarily Australians, Chinese, and British – although most[quantify] economists believe that foreign investment is currently[when?] too small to have a significant effect on property prices.[128]
Whether purchases are made by New Zealanders or by foreigners, it is generally those who are already well off who are buying the bulk of properties on the market. This has had a dramatic effect on home-ownership rates by Kiwis, now[when?] at its lowest level since 1951. Even as recently as 1991, 76% of New Zealand homes were occupied by their owners. By 2013, this had reduced to 63%,[129] indicating that more and more people are having to rent.[citation needed] Raewyn Cox, chief executive of the Federation of Family Budgeting, says: "High prices and high interest rates (have) sentenced a rising number of New Zealanders to be lifetime tenants" where they are "stuck in expensive rental situations, heading towards retirement."[123]
Inequality
Between 1982 and 2011 New Zealand's gross domestic product grew by 35%. Almost half of that increase went to a small group who were already the richest in the country. During this period, the average income of the top 10% of earners in New Zealand (those earning more than $72,000)[130] almost doubled going from $56,300 to $100,200. The average income of the poorest tenth increased by 13% from $9700 to $11,000.[131]
Statistics New Zealand, which keeps track of income disparity using the P80/20 ratio, confirms the increase in income inequality. The ratio shows the difference between high household incomes (those in the 80th percentile) and low household incomes (those in the 20th percentile). The inequality ratio increased between 1988 and 2004, and decreased until the onset of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008, increasing again to 2011 and then declining again from then. By 2013 the disposable income of high-income households was more than two-and-a-half times larger than that of low-income households.[132] Highlighting the disparity, the top 1% of the population now[when?] owns 16% of the country's wealth[citation needed] – the richest at one point 5% owned 38%[133] – while half the population, including beneficiaries and pensioners, earn less than $24,000.[130]
Superannuation
New Zealand has a universal
Because of the growing number of elderly becoming eligible, superannuation costs rose from $7.3 billion a year in 2008 to $10.2 billion in 2014.[135] In 2011 there were twice as many children in New Zealand as elderly (65 and over); by 2051 there are projected to be 60% more elderly than children. In the ten years from 2014, the number of New Zealanders over the age of 65 was projected to grow by about 200,000.[136]
This poses a significant problem for superannuation. The government gradually increased the age of eligibility from 61 to 65 between 1993 and 2001.[137] In that year the Labour Government of Helen Clark introduced the New Zealand Superannuation Fund (known as the "Cullen Fund" after Minister of Finance Michael Cullen) to part-fund the superannuation scheme into the future. As at October 2014, the fund managed NZ$27.11 billion, 15.9% of which it invested within New Zealand.[138]
In 2007 the same Government introduced a new individual saving-scheme, known as KiwiSaver. KiwiSaver principally targets growing people's retirement savings, but younger participants can also use it to save a deposit for their first home. The scheme is voluntary, work-based and managed by private-sector companies called "KiwiSaver providers". As of 2014[update] KiwiSaver had 2.3 million active members (60.9% of New Zealand's population under 65). NZ$4 billion was contributed annually, and a total of NZ$19.1 billion has been contributed since 2007.[139]
Consumption
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New Zealanders see themselves as first-world consumers with first-world tastes and habits - mitigated only slightly by the country's remoteness from main global producers.
Infrastructure
According to the National Infrastructure Unit of the Treasury, New Zealand "...continues to face challenges to its infrastructure; all forms of infrastructure are long-term investments, and change does not come about easily or quickly."[140] A report prepared for the Association of Consulting and Engineering New Zealand in 2020 claimed that there was an infrastructure deficit of $75 billion (about one quarter of GDP), following decades of under-investment that began in the 1980s.[141]
Transport
New Zealand's transport infrastructure is "generally well developed."[142]
Road network
The New Zealand state highway network consists of 11,000 km of road, with 5981.3 km in the
Railway network
The railway network is owned by
Airways
There are seven international airports and twenty-eight domestic airports.
Seaports
New Zealand has 14 international seaports.[142]
Telecommunications
Present-day telecommunications in New Zealand include telephony, radio, television, and internet usage. A competitive telecommunications market has seen mobile prices drop to some of the lowest in the OECD.[146] The copper wire and fibre cable networks are mostly owned by Chorus Limited, a publicly listed company. Chorus wholesales services to retail providers (such as Spark). In the mobile sector, there are three operators: Spark, One NZ and 2degrees.
Internet
New Zealand has a high rate of internet use. As of October 2014[update], there are 1,916,000 broadband connections and 65,000 dial-up connections in New Zealand, of which 1,595,000 are residential and 386,000 are business or government.[147] The majority of connections are digital subscriber line over phone lines.
The Government has two plans to bring
Gigabit internet (1000 Mbit/s download speeds) was made available to the entire Ultra-Fast Broadband (UFB) footprint on 1 October 2016, in an announcement from Chorus.[149]
A$300 million Rural Broadband Initiative (RBI) has also been introduced by the Government, with the aim to bring broadband of at least 5 Mbit/s to 86% of rural customers by 2016.[150]
Energy
From 1995 to 2013, the energy intensity of the economy per unit of GDP declined by 25 percent.[151] A contributing factor is the growth of relatively less energy-intensive service industries.[152] New Zealand will be potentially among the main winners after the global transition to renewable energy is completed; the country is placed very high – no. 5 among 156 countries – in the index of geopolitical gains and losses after energy transition (GeGaLo Index).[153]
Electricity
The
The 83% share of renewable energy sources[155] makes New Zealand one of the most sustainable economies in terms of electricity generation;[156] in terms of total energy consumption in the New Zealand economy, this represents the 30% that comes from renewable sources.[157] New Zealand suffers from a geographical imbalance between electricity production and consumption. The most substantial electricity generation (both existing and as remaining potential) is located on the South Island and to a lesser degree in the central North Island, while the main demand (which is continuing to grow) is in the northern North Island, particularly the Auckland Region. This requires electricity to be transmitted north through a power grid which is reaching its capacity more often.
Water
As of 2021, almost all of the three waters assets (drinking water, stormwater and wastewater) are owned by local councils and territorial authorities. There are currently 67 different asset-owning organisations in total.[158]
The challenges for local government include funding infrastructure deficits and preparing for large re-investments that are estimated to require $110 billion over the next 30 to 40 years.[159] There are also significant challenges in meeting statutory requirements for the safety of drinking water, and the environmental expectations for management of stormwater and wastewater. Climate change adaptation, and providing for population growth add to these challenges.
A nationwide reform programme is underway, with the intention of amalgamating the three waters assets into a small number of large regional publicly owned utilities.[158]
Trade
This section needs to be updated.(June 2023) |
New Zealand's small size and long distances from major world markets creates significant challenges in its ability to compete in global markets. In 2018, New Zealand's main trading partners were
Trade agreements
Since 1960s New Zealand has pursued free trade agreements with many countries to diversify its export markets and increase the competitiveness of New Zealand's exports to the world.[163] As well as reducing barriers to trade, Trade Agreements New Zealand has entered into are designed to ensure existing access is maintained. Trade agreements establish rules by which trade can take place and ensure regulators and officials in countries New Zealand is trading with work closely together.[163]
China
China is New Zealand's largest trading partner, buying primarily meat, dairy products and pine logs. In 2013, trade between New Zealand and China was worth NZ$16.8 billion.
Australia
Australia was New Zealand's largest bilateral trading partner in 2013, when trade between the two countries was worth NZ$25.6 billion,[161] and before China overtook Australia. Economic and trading links between Australia and New Zealand are underpinned by the "Closer Economic Relations" (CER) agreement, which allows for free trade in goods and most services. Since 1990, CER has created a single market of more than 25 million people. Australia is now the destination of 19% of New Zealand's exports, including light crude oil, gold, wine, cheese and timber, as well as a wide range of manufactured items.
The CER also creates a free labour market which allows New Zealand and Australian citizens to live and work freely in each other's country together with mutual recognition of professional qualifications. This means individuals who are registered to practise an occupation in one country can register to practise an equivalent occupation in the other country. Banking regulation and supervision are co-ordinated through the Trans-Tasman Council on Banking Supervision and there are also ongoing discussions about co-ordinating Australian and New Zealand business law.[166]
European Union
The European Union is New Zealand's third largest trading partner. A growing number of New Zealand companies use the United Kingdom as a base to supply their products to the European market.[167] However trade with the European Union is declining as demand from Asia continues to grow. The EU takes only 8% of New Zealand exports but provides around 12% of imports.[166]
In July 2014, negotiations on the Partnership Agreement on Relations and Cooperation (PARC) between New Zealand and the European Union were concluded.[168] The agreement covers the trade and economic relationship between the EU and New Zealand with a view to further liberalisation of trade and investment and acknowledges the intention of the European Union to upgrade its diplomatic presence in New Zealand with a resident ambassador.[169]
United States
The United States was New Zealand's third largest trading partner in 2013, when bilateral trade between the two countries was valued at NZ$11.8 billion,[161] and before it was overtaken by the EU. New Zealand's main exports to the United States are beef, dairy products and lamb. Imports from the US include specialised machinery, pharmaceutical products, oil and fuel. In addition to trade, there is a high level of corporate and individual investment between the two countries and the US is a major source of tourists coming to New Zealand. In March 2012, the United States had a total of $44 billion invested in New Zealand.[170] A number of US companies have subsidiary branches in New Zealand. Many operate through local agents, with some joint venture associations. The United States Chamber of Commerce is active in New Zealand, with a main office in Auckland and a branch committee in Wellington.
According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, New Zealand and the United States "share a deep and longstanding friendship based on a common heritage, shared values and interests, and a commitment to promoting a free, democratic, secure and prosperous world".[171] This common background has not translated into a free trade agreement between the two countries.[172]
Japan and other Asian economies
Japan is New Zealand's fifth largest trading partner. In the 21st century, Asian economies have been developing rapidly providing significant demand for New Zealand's exports. New Zealand also trades with Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, India and the Philippines and this now accounts for around 16% of total exports.
Relationship with Pacific Islands
The Pacific region with numerous islands is New Zealand's sixth largest trading market and is growing every year. In 2011 exports to Pacific Islands were worth over $1.5 billion up 12% on the previous year. Fiji is the biggest individual market followed very closely by Papua New Guinea, French Polynesia and New Caledonia. Goods exported to the islands include refined oil, construction materials, medicines, sheep meat, milk, butter, fruit and vegetables.[173] New Zealand also assists Pacific Islands with defence and regional security, and with management of the environment and fisheries.
Because of their small size, the Pacific Islands are some of the most vulnerable environments in the world and are on the receiving end of numerous cyclones every year. When disasters occur, they often have severe social and economic effects which last for years. Since 1992, New Zealand has co-operated with Australia and France to respond to disasters in the Pacific. New Zealand provides emergency supplies and transport, funding for roading and housing and the deployment of specialists to affected areas.[174]
Through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, New Zealand also provides international aid and development funding to help stimulate sustainable economic development in underdeveloped economies. The New Zealand Aid Programme, allocated about $550m a year, is focused primarily on promoting development in the Pacific. The allocation of $550 million represents about 0.26% of New Zealand's gross national income (GNI).[175]
Foreign investment
New Zealand welcomes and encourages foreign investment, which is overseen by the Overseas Investment Office. In 2014 foreign direct investment totalled NZ$107.69 billion.[19] Between 1989 and 2013, foreign investment increased from NZ$9.7 billion to NZ$101.4 billion - a change of over 1,000%.[176] Between 1989 and 2007, foreign ownership of the New Zealand sharemarket went from 19% to 41% but has since dropped back to 33%. [citation needed]
In 2014, around 7% of all agriculturally productive land in New Zealand was foreign-owned.[34] In 2011, economist Bill Rosenberg claimed that the figure was closer to 9% when including foreign ownership of forestry land.[177] In March 2013, the financial sector, which includes the "big-four" Australian-owned banks, was worth NZ$39.3 billion - the largest share of the NZ$101.4 billion of foreign ownership of New Zealand companies at the time.[176]
Impact
Between 1997 and 2014, foreign investors made NZ$50.3 billion profit, 68% of which went overseas. The Campaign Against Foreign Control of Aotearoa (CAFCA) says this has a negative impact on the economy, arguing that when foreign investors buy up New Zealand companies, they tend to cut staff and push down wages.[34] It is also argued that growing foreign ownership has done nothing to reduce New Zealand's foreign debt. In 1984, private and public foreign debt was NZ$16 billion (NZ$50 billion in March 2013 dollars), which was less than half New Zealand's GDP at the time. By March 2013, total foreign debt stood at NZ$251 billion, well over 100% of New Zealand's GDP.[176]
Data
The following table shows the main economic indicators in 1980–2020 (with IMF staff estimates in 2021–2026). Inflation below 2% is in green.[178]
Year | GDP (bil. US$ PPP) | GDP per capita (US$ PPP) | GDP (bil. US$ nominal) | GDP per capita (US$ nominal) | GDP growth (real) | Inflation rate (%) | Unemployment (%) | Government debt in GDP (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1980 | 28.5 | 9,177.3 | 22.5 | 7,246.9 | 1.0% | 17.1% | 4.0% | n/a |
1981 | 32.2 | 10,288.8 | 23.4 | 7,503.1 | 3.0% | 15.5% | 3.9% | n/a |
1982 | 35.1 | 11,151.9 | 23.2 | 7,370.6 | 2.9% | 16.1% | 4.4% | n/a |
1983 | 36.4 | 11,464.6 | 22.5 | 7,064.3 | −0.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | n/a |
1984 | 40.4 | 12,566.6 | 22.4 | 6,960.7 | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | n/a |
1985 | 42.1 | 12,995.1 | 22.5 | 6,943.5 | 1.2% | 15.4% | 3.9% | 64.2% |
1986 | 43.8 | 13,375.0 | 27.4 | 8,373.5 | 1.8% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 68.6% |
1987 | 45.9 | 13,915.8 | 36.9 | 11,189.5 | 2.4% | 15.8% | 4.2% | 63.0% |
1988 | 47.8 | 14,354.0 | 45.5 | 13,643.7 | 0.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 54.8% |
1989 | 49.9 | 14,826.9 | 44.1 | 13,100.0 | 0.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 55.0% |
1990 | 51.8 | 15,204.8 | 45.8 | 13,439.7 | 0.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 55.5% |
1991 | 52.8 | 15,112.2 | 43.4 | 12,426.1 | −1.3% | 2.6% | 10.6% | 58.0% |
1992 | 54.4 | 15,400.8 | 41.5 | 11,754.9 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 10.7% | 58.7% |
1993 | 58.6 | 16,401.6 | 44.8 | 12,536.1 | 5.2% | 1.3% | 9.8% | 54.6% |
1994 | 63.2 | 17,452.6 | 52.9 | 14,607.5 | 5.6% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 48.9% |
1995 | 67.7 | 18,415.1 | 62.3 | 16,938.0 | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 43.5% |
1996 | 71.7 | 19,211.8 | 69.1 | 18,504.2 | 4.1% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 37.3% |
1997 | 74.8 | 19,765.5 | 68.9 | 18,214.2 | 2.5% | 1.2% | 6.9% | 34.6% |
1998 | 75.8 | 19,874.7 | 56.8 | 14,885.5 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 7.7% | 34.5% |
1999 | 80.4 | 20,955.3 | 58.9 | 15,340.1 | 4.6% | −0.1% | 7.1% | 32.0% |
2000 | 85.7 | 22,209.2 | 54.2 | 14,028.1 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 30.0% |
2001 | 89.9 | 23,132.6 | 53.1 | 13,667.8 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 28.2% |
2002 | 95.6 | 24,200.8 | 62.0 | 15,701.9 | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 26.4% |
2003 | 101.7 | 25,237.7 | 82.5 | 20,480.4 | 4.2% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 24.7% |
2004 | 109.4 | 26,745.0 | 101.6 | 24,840.2 | 4.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 22.5% |
2005 | 116.3 | 28,129.3 | 113.2 | 27,378.7 | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 20.8% |
2006 | 123.4 | 29,493.7 | 109.7 | 26,221.9 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 18.4% |
2007 | 131.1 | 31,031.6 | 134.9 | 31,909.4 | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 16.3% |
2008 | 133.4 | 31,303.9 | 135.4 | 31,759.2 | −0.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 19.0% |
2009 | 132.7 | 30,815.5 | 121.8 | 28,283.7 | −1.2% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 24.3% |
2010 | 136.6 | 31,383.4 | 145.3 | 33,379.6 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 29.7% |
2011 | 142.0 | 32,377.2 | 167.0 | 38,063.0 | 1.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 34.7% |
2012 | 144.4 | 32,733.6 | 175.0 | 39,683.4 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 6.5% | 35.7% |
2013 | 157.8 | 35,474.6 | 187.2 | 42,089.5 | 2.3% | 1.1% | 5.8% | 34.6% |
2014 | 167.2 | 36,993.7 | 200.1 | 44,282.1 | 3.7% | 1.2% | 5.4% | 34.2% |
2015 | 170.5 | 36,971.5 | 176.2 | 38,200.0 | 3.6% | 0.3% | 5.4% | 34.2% |
2016 | 185.2 | 39,266.3 | 186.0 | 39,426.7 | 3.9% | 0.6% | 5.2% | 33.4% |
2017 | 197.3 | 40,976.0 | 203.8 | 42,334.7 | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 31.1% |
2018 | 208.9 | 42,617.4 | 210.0 | 42,839.8 | 3.4% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 28.0% |
2019 | 217.8 | 43,686.0 | 210.4 | 42,210.2 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 32.0% |
2020 | 215.9 | 42,445.5 | 209.4 | 41,164.6 | −2.1% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 43.6% |
2021 | 235.0 | 45,879.6 | 247.6 | 48,349.0 | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 52.0% |
2022 | 249.5 | 48,202.1 | 267.6 | 51,706.9 | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 56.9% |
2023 | 259.7 | 49,462.1 | 282.4 | 53,795.6 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 58.5% |
2024 | 270.6 | 50,787.4 | 294.5 | 55,273.0 | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 59.0% |
2025 | 282.7 | 52,263.7 | 306.9 | 56,739.2 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 57.8% |
2026 | 295.5 | 53,833.7 | 320.0 | 58,293.3 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 55.3% |
- Industrial production growth rate
- 5.9% (2004) / 1.5% (2007)
- Household income or consumption by percentage share
- Lowest 10%: 0.3% (1991)
- Highest 10%: 29.8% (1991)
- Agriculture – products
- Wheat, barley, potatoes, pulses, fruits, vegetables; wool, beef, dairy products; fish
- Exports – commodities
- Dairy products, meat, wood and wood products, fish, machinery
- Imports – commodities
- Machinery and equipment, vehicles and aircraft, petroleum, electronics, textiles, plastics
- Electricity
- Consumption: 34.88 TWh(2006)
- Production: 38.39 TWh(2006)
- Exports: 0 kWh(2006)
- Imports: 0 kWh(2006)
- Hydro: 60% (2020)
- Geothermal: 17% (2020)
- Wind: 5% (2020)
- Fossil fuel: 17% (2020)
- Nuclear: 0% (2020)
- Other: 3.4% (2010)
- Oil
- Production: 42,160 barrels (6,703 m3) 2001 / 25,880 barrels (4,115 m3) 2006
- Consumption: 132,700 barrels (21,100 m3) 2001 / 156,000 barrels (24,800 m3) 2006
- Exports: 30,220 barrels (4,805 m3) 2001 / 15,720 barrels (2,499 m3) 2004
- Imports: 119,700 barrels (19,030 m3) 2001 / 140,900 barrels (22,400 m3) 2004
- Proven reserves: 89.62 million barrels (14,248,000 m3) January 2002
- Exchange rates
- New Zealand dollars (NZ$) per US$1 – 1.4771 (2016), 1.2652 (2012), 1.3869 (2005), 1.5248 (2004), 1.9071 (2003), 2.1622 (2002), 2.3788 (2001), 2.2012 (2000), 1.8886 (1999), 1.8632 (1998), 1.5083 (1997), 1.4543 (1996), 1.5235 (1995)
See also
- Agriculture in New Zealand
- Economy of Oceania
- Energy in New Zealand
- History of the banking sector in New Zealand
- Foreign trade of New Zealand
- Median household income in Australia and New Zealand
- Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment
- Ngai Tahu holdings and Ngāi Tahu trading enterprises
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand
- Telecommunications in New Zealand
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Further reading
- Dalziel, P. (2002). "New Zealand's Economic Reforms: An assessment". Review of Political Economy. 14 (1): 31–45. S2CID 154808716.
- Easton, B. (1994). "Economic and other ideas behind the New Zealand reforms". Oxford Review of Economic Policy. 10 (3): 78–94. .
- Evans, L.; Grimes, A.; Bryce, W.; Teece, D. (1996). "Economic Reform in New Zealand 1984–95: The Pursuit of Efficiency". Journal of Economic Literature. 34 (4): 1856–902.
- Harcourt, T. (2005). Closer Economic Relations. Australian Trade Commission Website
- Frezza, William (July 2015). New Zealand's Far-Reaching Reforms: A Case Study on How to Save Democracy from Itself. ISBN 978-9929-602-41-0.
- ISBN 1869584287.
- This article incorporates public domain material from The World Factbook (2024 ed.).