Cross-species transmission
This article's lead section may be too technical for most readers to understand.(August 2022) |
Cross-species transmission (CST), also called interspecies transmission, host jump, or spillover, is the
Steps involved in the transfer of pathogens to new hosts include contact between the pathogen and the host; the successful
The exact mechanisms which facilitate cross-species transmission vary by pathogen, and even for common diseases are often poorly understood. It is believed that viruses with high mutation rates are able to rapidly adapt to new hosts and thereby overcome host-specific
Pathogen transfer is most likely to occur between species which are frequently in close contact with each other. It can also occur indirectly between species with less frequent contact if facilitated by an intermediary species; for example, a
Prevalence and control
Cross-species transmission is the most significant cause of disease emergence in humans and other species. [
The authors of a study on the
A large proportion of viral pathogens that have emerged recently in humans are considered to have originated from various animal species. This is shown by several recent epidemics such as,
CST of rabies virus variants between many different species populations is a major concern of wildlife management. Introduction of these variants into non-reservoir animals increases the risk of human exposures and threatens current advances toward rabies control.[14]
Many pathogens are thought to have host specialization, which explains the maintenance of distinct
Between non-human primates and humans
Due to the close relation of
In places where contact between humans and NHPs is frequent, precautions are often taken to prevent disease transmission.
Predicting and preventing transmission between species
Prediction and monitoring are important for the study of CSTs and their effects. However, factors that determine the origin and fate of cross-species transmission events remain unclear for the majority of human pathogens.[4] This has resulted in the use of different statistical models for the analysis of CST. Some of these include risk-analysis models,[20] single rate dated tip (SRDT) models,[17] and phylogenetic diffusion models.[4] The study of the genomes of pathogens involved in CST events is very useful in determining their origin and fate.[4] This is because a pathogens genetic diversity and mutation rate are key factors in determining if it can transmit across multiple hosts. This makes it important for the genomes of transmission species to be partially or completely sequenced.[15] A change in genomic structure could cause a pathogen that has a narrow host range to become capable of exploiting a wider host range.[5] Genetic distance between different species, geographical range, and other interaction barriers will also influence cross-species transmission.[4]
One approach to risk assessment analysis of CST is to develop risk-analysis models that break the ‘‘process’’ of disease transmission into parts. Processes and interactions that could lead to cross-species disease transmission are explicitly described as a hypothetical infection chain. Data from laboratory and field experiments are used to estimate the probability of each component, expected natural variation, and margins of error.[19]
Different types of CST research would require different analysis pathways to meet their needs. A study on identification of viruses in bats that could spread to other mammals used the workflow: sequencing of genomic samples → “cleaning” of raw reads → elimination of host reads and eukaryotic contaminants → de novo assembly of the remaining reads → annotation of viral contigs → molecular detection of specific viruses → phylogenetic analysis → interpretation of data.[21]
Detecting CST and estimating its rate based on prevalence data is challenging.
Analysis
Phylogeny
The comparison of genomic data is very important for the study of cross-species transmission.
Alternative hosts can also potentially have a critical role in the evolution and diffusion of a pathogen.
Most parsimonious reconstruction (MPR)
Despite the success of parsimony reconstructions, research suggests they are often sensitive and can sometimes be prone to bias in complex models.[25] This can cause problems for CST models that have to consider many variables. Alternatives methods, such as maximum likelihood, have been developed as an alternative to parsimony reconstruction.[25]
Using genetic markers
Two methods of measuring genetic variation,
The process of using genetic markers to estimate CST rates should take into account several important factors to reduce bias. One is that the phylogenetic tree constructed in the analysis needs to capture the underlying epidemiological process generating the tree.
Bayesian analysis
Bayesian frameworks are a form of maximum likelihood-based analyses and can be very effective in cross-species transmission studies. Bayesian inference of character evolution methods can account for phylogenetic tree uncertainty and more complex scenarios, with models such as the character diffusion model currently being developed for the study of CST in RNA viruses.[2] A Bayesian statistical approach presents advantages over other analyses for tracking CST origins. Computational techniques allow integration over an unknown phylogeny, which cannot be directly observed, and unknown migration process, which is usually poorly understood.[27]
The Bayesian frameworks are also well suited to bring together different kinds of information. The BEAST software, which has a strong focus on calibrated phylogenies and genealogies, illustrates this by offering a large number of complementary evolutionary models including substitution models, demographic and relaxed clock models that can be combined into a full probabilistic model. By adding spatial reconstruction, these models create the probability of
Phylogenetic diffusion models are frequently used for phylogeographic analyses, with the inference of host jumping becoming of increasing interest.[4] The Bayesian inference approach enables model averaging over several potential diffusion predictors and estimates the support and contribution of each predictor while marginalizing over phylogenetic history.[4] For studying viral CST, the flexibility of the Bayesian statistical framework allows for the reconstruction of virus transmission between different host species while simultaneously testing and quantifying the contribution of multiple ecological and evolutionary influences of both CST spillover and host shifting.[4] One study on rabies in bats showed geographical range overlap is a modest predictor for CST, but not for host shifts.[4] This highlights how Bayesian inferences in models can be used for CST analysis.[citation needed]
See also
- Mathematical modelling of infectious disease
- Reverse zoonosis
- Spillover infection
- Vector
- Zoonosis
- Feline zoonosis
References
- ISBN 978-3-540-70961-9
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- ISBN 978-0-323-95389-4, retrieved 2023-03-02
- S2CID 248430532.
- PMID 18257987.
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- ^ ProQuest 1179633590
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- ^ S2CID 11821014
- ^ PMID 18772285
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- PMID 20808775
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- ^ S2CID 6779286
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- ^ PMID 19779555
- PMID 16701310
External links
- Theo Kypraios. "A Gentle Tutorial in Bayesian Statistics" (PDF). Retrieved 10 July 2020.
- Bayesian modeling book and examples available for downloading.
- Bayesian statistics at Wikiversity
- Smith TC (2022-04-27). "What Happens When We Give Animals Our Diseases?". Quanta Magazine.