Kaya identity
The Kaya identity is a mathematical
carbon intensity (emissions per unit of energy consumed).[1][2] It is a concrete form of the more general I = PAT equation[3] relating factors that determine the level of human impact
on climate. Although the terms in the Kaya identity would in theory cancel out, it is useful in practice to calculate emissions in terms of more readily available data, namely population, GDP per capita, energy per unit GDP, and emissions per unit energy. It furthermore highlights the elements of the global economy on which one could act to reduce emissions, notably the energy intensity per unit GDP and the emissions per unit energy.
Overview
The Kaya identity was developed by Japanese energy economist Yoichi Kaya.I=PAT formula that describes the factors of environmental impact.
Kaya identity is expressed in the form:
Where:
- F is global CO2 emissions from human sources
- P is global population
- G is world GDP
- E is global energy consumption[4]
And:
- G/P is the GDP per capita
- E/G is the energy intensity of the GDP
- F/E is the emission intensity of energy
Use in IPCC reports
The Kaya identity plays a core role in the development of future emissions
global warming.[3]
Other uses
- Joseph J. Romm disputed the validity of Gates' arguments, as well as clarifying the key idea behind the identity.[5]
See also
- Eco-economic decoupling
- Eco-efficiency
- Eco-sufficiency
- Global carbon reward
- Industrial ecology
- I=PAT
- Life cycle analysis
References
- ^ ISBN 9280809113.
- .
- ^ a b Nakicenovic, Nebojsa; Swart, Rob, eds. (2000). "Chapter 3: Scenario Driving Forces, 3.1. Introduction". IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios.
- ^ "The "Kaya Identity"". PennState Department of Meteorology. Meteo 469, From Meteorology to Mitigation: Understanding Global Warming. Retrieved 27 November 2015.
- ^ Why Bill Gates’ Math Error About Climate Change Matters ThinkProgress May 2, 2016.
External links
- Jancovici, Jean-Marc. "What is Kaya's equation?". jancovici.com. Retrieved 2022-08-29.
- Pendergast, Duane. "Beyond Kyoto - greenhouse gas sink management". www.computare.org. Retrieved 2022-08-29.
- "RealClimate: Make your own forecasts of future energy, carbon emissions, and climate". RealClimate. June 22, 2005. Retrieved 2022-08-29.
- "Online KAYA IDENTITY Calculator". climatemodels.uchicago.edu. Retrieved 2022-08-29.
- Pielke, Jr., Roger (29 August 2022). "What should the "average CEO" do on ESG related to carbon emissions?". rogerpielkejr.substack.com. Retrieved 2022-08-29.