Next-generation matrix
In
The method to compute the basic reproduction ratio using the next-generation matrix is given by Diekmann et al. (1990)[3] and van den Driessche and Watmough (2002).[4] To calculate the basic reproduction number by using a next-generation matrix, the whole population is divided into compartments in which there are infected compartments. Let be the numbers of infected individuals in the infected compartment at time t. Now, the
- , where
In the above equations, represents the rate of appearance of new infections in compartment . represents the rate of transfer of individuals into compartment by all other means, and represents the rate of transfer of individuals out of compartment . The above model can also be written as
where
and
Let be the disease-free equilibrium. The values of the parts of the
and
respectively.
Here, and are m × m matrices, defined as and .
Now, the matrix is known as the next-generation matrix. The basic reproduction number of the model is then given by the eigenvalue of with the largest absolute value (the spectral radius of . Next generation matrices can be computationally evaluated from observational data, which is often the most productive approach where there are large numbers of compartments.[5]
See also
- Mathematical modelling of infectious disease
References
- ISBN 978-3-319-56432-6
- )
- S2CID 22275430.
- S2CID 17313221.
- ISBN 978-0-323-95389-4, retrieved 2023-02-28
Sources
- Ma, Zhien; Li, Jia (2009). Dynamical Modeling and analysis of Epidemics. World Scientific. OCLC 225820441.
- Diekmann, O.; Heesterbeek, J. A. P. (2000). Mathematical Epidemiology of Infectious Disease. John Wiley & Son.
- Heffernan, J. M.; Smith, R. J.; Wahl, L. M. (2005). "Perspectives on the basic reproductive ratio". J. R. Soc. Interface. 2 (4): 281–93. PMID 16849186.