2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary
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Results by county: Clinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% |
Elections in Ohio |
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The 2016 Ohio Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Ohio as one of the Democratic Party's primaries prior to the 2016 presidential election.
The same day, the
Clinton handily won the primary, putting her upset Rust Belt loss in Michigan behind her.[1] She earned congressional endorsements from Reps. Tim Ryan, Joyce Beatty, Marcia Fudge and Sen. Sherrod Brown, while Sanders earned one Ohio backer, Rep. Marcy Kaptur.[2]
Background
By the time Ohio held its primaries, voters from 21 states and two territories already cast their vote for the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. As of the March 12 elections, Hillary Clinton was projected to have earned 775 pledged delegates to Bernie Sanders' 552.[3] Clinton gained significant victories in the Southern United States, often described as her "firewall",[4] including landslide victories in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia.[5][6] Meanwhile, Bernie Sanders gained victories in the Midwestern United States,[7] where Ohio resides, including an upset victory in neighboring Michigan on March 8.[8][9] After the fact, Sanders' campaign took advantage of the momentum gained from the Michigan win, by targeting Illinois, Missouri and Ohio in the March 15 elections, hoping to repeat the same result. Sanders stated that "Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign."[10]
Before the Michigan primaries, Clinton and Sanders had debated over economic policies relating to the industrial midwest states and the so-called "
Controversy
Ohio is one of at least seventeen states that has laws allowing voters who are 17 years of age, but will be 18 by the time of the
Debates and forums
March 13, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio
The ninth forum was held at 8:00 pm EDT on March 13, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and aired on CNN.[27]
March 14, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio and Springfield, Illinois
The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of
Opinion polling
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 56.1% |
Bernie Sanders 43.1% |
Other 0.8% |
ARG[28]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
|
March 12–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Bernie Sanders 45% |
Others / Undecided 3% |
Monmouth[29]
Margin of error: ± 5.6%
|
March 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 54% |
Bernie Sanders 40% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
Quinnipiac[30]
Margin of error: ± 4.2%
|
March 8–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 51% |
Bernie Sanders 46% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
Public Policy Polling[31]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
March 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 46% |
Bernie Sanders 41% |
Others / Undecided 13% |
CBS News/YouGov[32]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
|
March 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Bernie Sanders 43% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[33]
Margin of error: ± 4.6%
|
March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 38% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
Quinnipiac[34]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
March 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Bernie Sanders 43% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
Public Polling Policy
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 56% |
Bernie Sanders 35% |
Others / Undecided 9% |
CNN/ORC[35]
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
|
March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 63% |
Bernie Sanders 33% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
Quinnipiac University
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
February 16–20, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 40% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
BW Community Research Institute
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
February 11–20, 2016 | Bernie Sanders 45% |
Hillary Clinton 44% |
Others / Undecided 11% |
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± ?%
|
January 12–14, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 53% |
Bernie Sanders 37% |
Not sure 10% |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[36]
Margin of error: ± 4.9%
|
September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 40% |
Joe Biden 21% |
Bernie Sanders 19% |
Undecided 11% |
Quinnipiac University[37]
Margin of error: ± 5.2%
|
August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 47% |
Bernie Sanders 17% |
Joe Biden 14% |
Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 6%, Undecided 12% |
Quinnipiac University[38]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
June 4–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 60% |
Joe Biden 13% |
Bernie Sanders 10% |
Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Jim Webb 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 11% |
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.2%
|
June 4–7, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 13% |
Michael Bloomberg 7% |
Lincoln Chafee 2%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Not sure 13% |
Quinnipiac University
Margin of error: ± 5.4%
|
March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 54% |
Elizabeth Warren 14% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Martin O'Malley 3%, Bernie Sanders 3%, Jim Webb 2%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 12% |
Joe Biden 34% |
Elizabeth Warren 25% |
Martin O'Malley 5% |
Bernie Sanders 5%, Jim Webb 2%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 24% | ||
Quinnipiac University
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
|
January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 51% |
Elizabeth Warren 14% |
Joe Biden 7% |
Bernie Sanders 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 0%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 15% |
Joe Biden 28% |
Elizabeth Warren 24% |
Bernie Sanders 7% |
Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Other 4%, Wouldn't vote 5%, Undecided 28% |
Results
Ohio Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Hillary Clinton | 696,681 | 56.12% | 81 | 14 | 95 |
Bernie Sanders | 535,395 | 43.13% | 62 | 1 | 63 |
Rocky De La Fuente | 9,402 | 0.76% | |||
Uncommitted | — | 2 | 2 | ||
Total | 1,241,478 | 100% | 143 | 17 | 160 |
Source: The Green Papers |
Ohio Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Delegates available | Votes | Delegates | |||||
Clinton | Sanders | De La Fuente | Total | Qualified total | Clinton | Sanders | ||
1 | 4 | 42,600 | 29,747 | 272 | 72,619 | 72,347 | 2 | 2 |
2 | 4 | 39,061 | 30,597 | 483 | 70,141 | 69,658 | 2 | 2 |
3 | 12 | 59,740 | 43,898 | 302 | 103,940 | 103,638 | 7 | 5 |
4 | 4 | 29,317 | 25,831 | 677 | 55,825 | 55,148 | 2 | 2 |
5 | 4 | 32,068 | 32,279 | 544 | 64,891 | 64,347 | 2 | 2 |
6 | 4 | 32,611 | 27,413 | 1,545 | 61,569 | 60,024 | 2 | 2 |
7 | 4 | 33,596 | 27,823 | 745 | 62,164 | 61,419 | 2 | 2 |
8 | 4 | 26,463 | 21,879 | 413 | 48,755 | 48,342 | 2 | 2 |
9 | 8 | 55,401 | 42,141 | 680 | 98,222 | 97,542 | 5 | 3 |
10 | 4 | 41,641 | 31,089 | 350 | 73,080 | 72,730 | 2 | 2 |
11 | 17 | 91,235 | 43,124 | 382 | 134,741 | 134,359 | 12 | 5 |
12 | 4 | 38,046 | 34,109 | 352 | 72,507 | 72,155 | 2 | 2 |
13 | 8 | 56,933 | 45,981 | 1,055 | 103,969 | 102,914 | 4 | 4 |
14 | 4 | 43,317 | 33,627 | 537 | 77,481 | 76,944 | 2 | 2 |
15 | 4 | 33,764 | 32,516 | 516 | 66,796 | 66,280 | 2 | 2 |
16 | 4 | 40,888 | 33,341 | 549 | 74,778 | 74,229 | 2 | 2 |
Total | 93 | 696,681 | 535,395 | 9,402 | 1,241,478 | 1,232,076 | 52 | 41 |
PLEO | 19 | 11 | 8 | |||||
At Large | 31 | 18 | 13 | |||||
Gr. Total | 143 | 81 | 62 | |||||
Total vote | 56.12% | 43.13% | 0.76% | 100.00% | 99.24% | |||
Source: Ohio Secretary of State Presidential Preference Primary Precinct Level Official Results (Democrat) |
Results by county
County[39] | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adams | 56.8% | 877 | 41.3% | 638 |
Allen | 56.6% | 3,670 | 42.1% | 2,730 |
Ashland | 49.1% | 1,451 | 49.5% | 1,465 |
Ashtabula | 54.9% | 5,320 | 43.9% | 4,256 |
Athens | 38.2% | 3,533 | 61.2% | 5,663 |
Auglaize | 51.0% | 1,031 | 47.1% | 952 |
Belmont | 53.1% | 3,982 | 43.5% | 3,263 |
Belmont | 58.3% | 1,562 | 39.8% | 1,067 |
Butler | 53.4% | 12,874 | 46.0% | 11,102 |
Carroll | 51.4% | 1,084 | 46.2% | 976 |
Champaign | 51.9% | 1,226 | 46.6% | 1,099 |
Clark | 58.7% | 7,107 | 40.5% | 4,905 |
Clermont | 49.4% | 5,642 | 50.0% | 5,710 |
Clinton | 48.5% | 909 | 50.3% | 942 |
Columbiana | 52.6% | 4,106 | 45.8% | 3,573 |
Coshocton | 53.6% | 1,358 | 44.5% | 1,128 |
Crawford | 51.4% | 1,344 | 43.6% | 1,141 |
Cuyahoga | 63.2% | 125,914 | 36.3% | 72,297 |
Darke | 54.2% | 1,246 | 43.4% | 999 |
Defiance | 50.6% | 1,507 | 48.2% | 1,435 |
Delaware | 57.9% | 9,552 | 41.8% | 6,891 |
Erie | 55.3% | 5,449 | 43.6% | 4,299 |
Fairfield | 55.3% | 6,408 | 43.8% | 5,074 |
Fayette | 58.3% | 760 | 40.9% | 533 |
Franklin | 55.3% | 84,654 | 44.4% | 67,855 |
Fulton | 48.7% | 1,480 | 50.3% | 1,528 |
Gallia | 47.7% | 945 | 48.8% | 966 |
Geauga | 54.0% | 4,171 | 45.5% | 3,516 |
Greene | 49.4% | 6,672 | 50.0% | 6,759 |
Guernsey | 53.0% | 1,440 | 45.2% | 1,228 |
Hamilton | 59.5% | 57,687 | 40.2% | 38,956 |
Hancock | 44.9% | 2,062 | 54.2% | 2,490 |
Hardin | 52.6% | 771 | 45.7% | 669 |
Harrison | 53.2% | 818 | 43.8% | 674 |
Henry | 50.0% | 977 | 48.7% | 952 |
Highland | 55.2% | 1,119 | 43.1% | 873 |
Hocking | 52.3% | 1,204 | 46.0% | 1,060 |
Holmes | 48.8% | 561 | 48.5% | 558 |
Huron | 50.9% | 2,036 | 47.7% | 1,907 |
Jackson | 58.3% | 1,010 | 40.1% | 694 |
Jefferson | 54.7% | 4,328 | 42.3% | 3,353 |
Knox | 48.5% | 1,902 | 50.6% | 1,987 |
Lake | 54.3% | 12,506 | 44.9% | 10,351 |
Lawrence | 55.4% | 2,654 | 41.6% | 1,994 |
Licking | 53.3% | 6,785 | 45.9% | 5,849 |
Logan | 49.6% | 1,012 | 48.9% | 998 |
Lorain | 56.1% | 21,144 | 42.9% | 16,154 |
Lucas | 56.9% | 32,137 | 42.7% | 24,111 |
Madison | 56.8% | 1,225 | 42.8% | 923 |
Mahoning | 59.3% | 21,000 | 39.7% | 14,066 |
Marion | 56.9% | 2,585 | 42.0% | 1,909 |
Medina | 53.1% | 7,913 | 46.3% | 6,888 |
Meigs | 49.9% | 800 | 47.2% | 757 |
Mercer | 53.5% | 1,037 | 44.4% | 860 |
Miami | 53.2% | 3,155 | 45.6% | 2,706 |
Monroe | 48.1% | 1,191 | 45.9% | 1,138 |
Montgomery | 59.4% | 33,352 | 40.1% | 22,538 |
Morgan | 56.2% | 566 | 42.7% | 430 |
Morrow | 52.1% | 1,164 | 46.3% | 1,035 |
Muskingum | 56.6% | 3,066 | 42.4% | 2,299 |
Noble | 53.9% | 522 | 41.7% | 404 |
Ottawa | 55.4% | 2,566 | 43.4% | 2,012 |
Paulding | 55.8% | 723 | 41.7% | 540 |
Perry | 56.7% | 1,465 | 41.4% | 1,070 |
Pickaway | 55.6% | 2,097 | 43.2% | 1,631 |
Pike | 56.8% | 1,336 | 40.3% | 949 |
Portage | 49.0% | 8,665 | 50.2% | 8,877 |
Preble | 52.2% | 1,176 | 46.4% | 1,046 |
Putnam | 45.3% | 811 | 52.3% | 936 |
Richland | 55.5% | 5,225 | 43.3% | 4,080 |
Ross | 57.2% | 3,582 | 41.4% | 2,595 |
Sandusky | 53.4% | 2,866 | 45.7% | 2,456 |
Scioto | 53.7% | 3,499 | 44.6% | 2,903 |
Seneca | 49.6% | 2,081 | 49.2% | 2,064 |
Shelby | 52.3% | 1,284 | 45.2% | 1,110 |
Stark | 56.5% | 21,515 | 42.6% | 16,235 |
Summit | 56.6% | 38,874 | 42.9% | 29,451 |
Trumbull | 53.9% | 17,903 | 44.4% | 14,726 |
Tuscarawas | 51.6% | 4,479 | 46.3% | 4,019 |
Union | 50.8% | 1,580 | 48.3% | 1,501 |
Van Wert | 51.9% | 710 | 45.4% | 621 |
Vinton | 49.5% | 515 | 47.7% | 496 |
Warren | 53.3% | 6,970 | 46.3% | 6,054 |
Washington | 50.5% | 2,557 | 47.6% | 2,411 |
Wayne | 51.3% | 3,448 | 48.0% | 3,225 |
Williams | 45.8% | 1,007 | 52.6% | 1,156 |
Wood | 45.8% | 6,108 | 53.7% | 7,165 |
Wyandot | 49.7% | 661 | 48.6% | 647 |
Total | 56.5% | 679,266 | 42.7% | 513,549 |
Analysis
Clinton received a commanding win in the Ohio primary which mirrored her
In terms of political ideology, Clinton swept all groups:
Clinton swept most counties in the state, winning urban areas 61–38, suburban areas 63–36, and rural areas by a modest 51–48. Clinton won in the Cleveland area 63–35, in Northern Ohio 57–43, in the Ohio Valley and Western Ohio 52–47, in the Columbus area 52–47, and in Cincinnati/Dayton, 55–45.[40]
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