Super Tuesday, 2008

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Twenty-four states held caucuses or primary elections on Super Tuesday, 2008. Blue denotes Democratic-only contests (3), red denotes Republican-only contests (2), and purple represents contests for both parties (19). Note: American Samoa (not shown) is Democratic only.

Super Tuesday 2008,

primary elections for one or both parties on this date.[11] Furthermore, the week-long Democrats Abroad
Global Primary began on this day.

The large number of states that held elections on February 5 could have shortened the period between the first caucus in Iowa, on January 3, 2008, and the de facto selection of a party's nominee to just a few weeks.

Super Tuesday II
.

Names and prior election cycles

The name "Super Duper Tuesday" is a reference to earlier Super Tuesdays, the dates on which the largest number of presidential primaries took place. The term "Super Duper Tuesday" has been repeatedly re-coined to refer to even more states holding their primaries on this date, with the first recorded usage so far found dating back to 1985.[14] In 2004, Super Tuesday fell on March 2.[2] In 2004, the equivalent cohort of primaries, on February 3, 2004, was called "Mini-Tuesday"—only seven states held their primaries on that date.

On June 3, 2007, the name "Tsunami Tuesday"—conveying the potential of the large number of simultaneous primaries to completely change the political landscape—was mentioned[by whom?] on Meet the Press during a round-table discussion with presidential campaign strategists James Carville, Bob Shrum, Mary Matalin, and Mike Murphy.

Super Tuesday in 2008 occurred during Mardi Gras and on the day of the New York Giants Super Bowl victory parade. Voting was hampered in several states by a major tornado outbreak that killed 57 people, and competed with the primaries for the news. (Due to such influence, the outbreak was named[by whom?] after the primaries.)[15]

Scheduling

Minneapolis, Minnesota
, two days before the twenty-two state vote

As of February 2007, eight states planned to hold

Oklahoma, Utah, and West Virginia Republicans.[2][3] However to increase their importance in the candidate selection process, several states moved up their contests, which some pundits criticized as being "pure self-interest."[10]

The following states changed their elections to February 5: Alaska,[16] Arizona,[17][18] California,[3] Colorado,[17] Connecticut,[19] Georgia,[16] Idaho Democrats,[20] Illinois,[4] Kansas Democrats,[21] Massachusetts,[22][23] Minnesota,[5] Montana Republicans§,[24] New Jersey,[25] New York,[26] and Tennessee.[27]

In an attempt to keep states from moving their primary or caucus elections even earlier, the

Florida of all pledged convention delegates.[28] The Republican National Committee has reduced by half the number of convention delegates from five states: Wyoming, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, and Michigan.[29]

Response

Advocates for earlier elections point out that voters could have fewer candidates to select from with a later contest, because candidates who do not fare well in the early primaries and caucuses often drop out. Additionally, presidential campaigns spend large sums of money on advertising, hotel rooms, and campaign staff, which can be an economic boon to states holding earlier elections.[17]

Critics of the earlier polling date claim it will compress the primary campaign cycle down to a three-week national campaign where only financially well-off candidates can compete. CNN political pundit Bill Schneider states:

Those states may move up on the calendar because they want a cut of the action. They want less attention paid to small states like Iowa and New Hampshire and more attention paid to big, diverse states like Florida and California. To run in those big states, you need big money and national name recognition. Obscure contenders need not apply.[2]

Others indicate it will ultimately leave voters out of the process. In a

Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth
said:

The people who are being left out of this are the voters, especially those who aren't active in party affairs ... There won't be enough time for voters to focus on these candidates.[10]

Regardless of the number of states moving their election dates earlier and earlier, New Hampshire vigorously maintained its 'first in the nation' primary status. By New Hampshire state law, the secretary of state has sole discretion to set the date of the primary.

Secretary of State of New Hampshire for the past 31 years, did not rule out any dates for the primary election, and even intimated that "it could be this year 2007."[10]
Ultimately, however, the New Hampshire primary was held on January 8, 2008.

Delegate allocation

Democratic

Under Democratic Party rules, all delegates were awarded via proportional representation, with a minimum 15% threshold required to receive delegates. A total of 1,664 delegates were pledged by the results of the February 5 votes.

Republican

The Republican Party did not mandate a proportional representation system for delegate selection, but instead allowed each state to determine its selection process. A total of 1,069 delegates were pledged by the results of the February 5 votes.

Results

State Democratic Winner % of Popular Vote # Delegates Won [30] Republican Winner % of Popular Vote # Delegates Won Show/Place Notes
Alabama Barack Obama
56%
27 Mike Huckabee
41%
20
Alaska (C) Barack Obama
75%
9 Mitt Romney
45%
12
American Samoa¤ (C) Hillary Clinton
57%
2
Arizona Hillary Clinton
51%
31 John McCain
48%
50 (WTA for GOP.)
Arkansas Hillary Clinton
73%
27 Mike Huckabee
62%
32
California Hillary Clinton
52%
204 John McCain
44%
149
Colorado (C) Barack Obama
67%
33 Mitt Romney
57%
43
Connecticut Barack Obama
51%
26 John McCain
52%
27 (WTA for GOP.)
Delaware Barack Obama
53%
9 John McCain
45%
18 (WTA for GOP.)
Georgia Barack Obama
67%
59 Mike Huckabee
34%
69 (WTA for GOP.)
Idaho (C) Barack Obama
79%
15
Illinois Barack Obama
65%
104 John McCain
47%
55
Kansas (C) Barack Obama
74%
23
Massachusetts Hillary Clinton
56%
55 Mitt Romney
51%
22
Minnesota (C) Barack Obama
66%
48 Mitt Romney
42%
38
Missouri Barack Obama
49%
36 John McCain
33%
58 (WTA for GOP.)
Montana§ (C) Mitt Romney
38%
25
New Jersey Hillary Clinton 54% 59 John McCain 55% 52 (WTA for GOP.)
New Mexico (C) Hillary Clinton 49% 14
New York Hillary Clinton 57% 139 John McCain 51% 101 (WTA for GOP.)
North Dakota (C) Barack Obama 61% 8 Mitt Romney 36% 8
Oklahoma Hillary Clinton 55% 24 John McCain 37% 32
Tennessee Hillary Clinton 54% 40 Mike Huckabee 34% 21
Utah Barack Obama 57% 14 Mitt Romney 88% 36 (WTA for GOP.)
West Virginia Mike Huckabee 52% 18 (WTA for GOP.)

Democrats

Number of contests won Number of delegates won[31]
Barack Obama 13 847
Hillary Clinton 10 834
Popular vote Percentage of popular vote[31]
Hillary Clinton 8,081,748 46%
Barack Obama 7,987,274 45%

Republicans

Number of states won Number of delegates won[citation needed]
John McCain 9 602
Mitt Romney 7 201
Mike Huckabee 5 152
Ron Paul 0 10
Popular Vote Percentage of popular vote[citation needed]
John McCain 3,992,066 42%
Mitt Romney 3,267,634 34%
Mike Huckabee 1,902,820 20%
Ron Paul 434,093 5%

See also

Notes

Popular Vote Percentages reflect the percentage within each party, not state overall total votes cast.

References

  1. ^ "Obama claims delegate lead". Politico.
  2. ^ a b c d e Schneider, Bill (2007-02-07). "It could all be over after 'Super Duper Tuesday'". CNN. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  3. ^ a b c Robert Yoon; Bill Schneider (2007-03-15). "California primary move creates Super-duper Tuesday". CNN. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  4. ^ a b Rick, Pearson (2007-06-21). "Illinois joins crush on Super Duper Tuesday". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved 2007-06-21.
  5. ^ a b von Sternberg, Bob (2007-07-11). "GOP moves its caucuses to Super Tuesday 2008 to gain national clout".
    Minneapolis, Minnesota. Archived from the original
    on 2007-09-01. Retrieved 2007-08-06.
  6. ^ "Mega Tuesday". Archived from the original on 2008-02-13.
  7. ^ "News Producers Gird Their Loins For 'Giga Tuesday'". The New York Observer. 23 January 2008.
  8. ^ Chuck Todd (2007-05-10). "Will Tsunami Tuesday b an Afterthought?". NBC News. Retrieved 2008-01-16.
  9. ^ GOAD, BEN (January 10, 2008). "Earlier primary gives Californians a voice". Press-Enterprise. Retrieved 2008-11-23.
  10. ^ a b c d Greene, Richard Allen (2007-05-30). "States jostle for primary power". BBC News. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  11. ^ "Presidential primary and caucus dates" (PDF). Stateline.org. Pew Research Center. 2007-08-30. p. 1. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2008-09-11. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  12. ^ a b Mooney, Brian C. (2007-08-21). "Michigan set to send slate of primaries into revision". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  13. ^ Balz, Dan (2008-01-15). "Feb. 5 Primaries to Pose A Super Test of Strategy". The Washington Post. p. A01. Retrieved 2008-01-22.
  14. ^ Barrett, Grant (2007-03-29). "Double-Tongued Dictionary entry for Super-Duper Tuesday". Retrieved 2008-01-28.
  15. ^ Saeed Ahmed; Mark Bixler; Ed Payne; Mark Preston (February 6, 2008). "Severe weather kills 23 in Arkansas, Kentucky, Tennessee". CNN. Retrieved 2008-11-23.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  16. ^ a b Kapochunas, Rachel (2007-05-30). "Georgia, Alaska Join February 5 Front-Loading Frenzy". The New York Times. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  17. ^ a b c "Earlier primary boosts Arizona in several ways". Arizona Daily Star. Tucson, Arizona. 2007-08-23. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  18. Fox News Channel
    . Retrieved 2008-01-12. The event, dubbed "Super Duper Tuesday," got more crowded this week when Arizona became the twenty-first state to announce plans to hold their primary that day.
  19. Norwich Bulletin. Norwich, Connecticut
    . 2007-08-18. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  20. ^ "Democrats re-elect chairman Stallings, change caucus date" (Press release). Idaho Democratic Party. 2007-03-05. Archived from the original on August 4, 2007. Retrieved 2007-08-06. the state central committee selected February 5, 2008, as the party's new presidential caucus date
  21. ^ a b c "State-by-state primary and caucus schedule". Campaign 2008. The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  22. ^ Maguire, Ken (2007-11-20). "Presidential Primary Appears Moving To February".
    Boston, Massachusetts. Retrieved 2007-08-31. [dead link
    ]
  23. .
  24. ^ a b Johnson, Charles (2007-12-27). "GOP Officials Outline How New Caucus Will Work". Missoulian. Missoula, Montana. Retrieved 2008-01-02.
  25. ^ Smothers, Ronald (27 February 2007). "New Jersey Moves to Join Early Presidential Primaries". The New York Times (published 2007-02-27). Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  26. ^ "New York legislature votes to move up primary". Political Ticker. CNN. 2007-03-21. Archived from the original on 2008-02-18. Retrieved 2007-06-03.
  27. ^ Dries, Bill (2007-08-17). "Repubs and Dems Fix On February 5 as State Primary Date". The Daily News. Vol. 122, no. 155. Memphis, Tennessee. Archived from the original on 2007-09-27. Retrieved 2007-08-31.
  28. ^ Martelle, Scott (2008-01-15). "Rancor runs deep among Michigan Democrats". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 2008-01-15.
  29. ^ Gruver, Mead (2008-01-13). "Republicans stripped of delegates want them back". The Boston Globe. Retrieved 2008-01-15.
  30. ^ "Super Tuesday". Archived from the original on 7 February 2008.
  31. ^ a b "Election Center 2008: Primary Results by date - Elections & Politics news from CNN.com". CNN.

External links