File:Climate and weather analysis of Afghanistan thunderstorms (IA climatendweather109455595).pdf

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Original file(1,275 × 1,650 pixels, file size: 9.39 MB, MIME type: application/pdf, 170 pages)

Summary

Climate and weather analysis of Afghanistan thunderstorms   (Wikidata search (Cirrus search) Wikidata query (SPARQL)  Create new Wikidata item based on this file)
Author
Geis, Chad E.
image of artwork listed in title parameter on this page
Title
Climate and weather analysis of Afghanistan thunderstorms
Publisher
Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Description

Thunderstorms are a significant factor in the planning and execution of Defense (DoD) operations in Afghanistan, especially in the spring and summer. Skillful forecasting of Afghanistan thunderstorms has proven difficult, even at relatively short lead times of 24 hours or less. This has led to adverse effects on a wide range of DoD missions. One potential reason for the forecasting difficulties is a lack of understanding of the conditions that lead to static instability and thunderstorms in the elevated desert mountain environment that characterizes much of Afghanistan. Much of the thunderstorm forecasting for Afghanistan is based on forecasting methods developed for the contiguous U.S. (CONUS)--for example, the use of CONUS-based static stability indices as indicators of the potential for thunderstorm development. We have investigated methods for improving thunderstorm forecasting in and near Kabul, Afghanistan, by: (1) analyzing interannual to hourly variations in thunderstorm activity; and (2) analyzing the large-scale conditions that are favorable and unfavorable for thunderstorms. We used in situ surface and radiosonde data to characterize the local conditions associated with thunderstorm variations. Our focus was on March-May, the period with the most thunderstorm activity in Kabul. We also used global reanalysis data to analyze the large-scale conditions that are favorable and unfavorable for thunderstorm development. We developed and tested two new static stability indices for use in Kabul. We also developed a large-scale circulation index to describe the regional factors that contribute to thunderstorm variations. Finally, we identified outgoing longwave radiation anomalies that occurred in specific tropical ocean basins as potential precursors for predicting thunderstorm and nonthunderstorm events at lead times of 5-15 days.


Subjects: Forecasting; Thunderstorms; Climatology; Meteorology; Weather
Language English
Publication date September 2011
Current location
IA Collections: navalpostgraduateschoollibrary; fedlink
Accession number
climatendweather109455595
Source
Internet Archive identifier: climatendweather109455595
https://archive.org/download/climatendweather109455595/climatendweather109455595.pdf
Permission
(Reusing this file)
This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States

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Public domain
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code. Note: This only applies to original works of the Federal Government and not to the work of any individual U.S. state, territory, commonwealth, county, municipality, or any other subdivision. This template also does not apply to postage stamp designs published by the United States Postal Service since 1978. (See § 313.6(C)(1) of Compendium of U.S. Copyright Office Practices). It also does not apply to certain US coins; see The US Mint Terms of Use.

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Date/TimeThumbnailDimensionsUserComment
current18:12, 15 July 2020Thumbnail for version as of 18:12, 15 July 20201,275 × 1,650, 170 pages (9.39 MB)FEDLINK - United States Federal Collection climatendweather109455595 (User talk:Fæ/IA books#Fork8) (batch 1993-2020 #11458)
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