Opinion polling for the 2012 South Korean presidential election

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This article is a list of

First Past the Post
. The polls are ordered by date, with the newest at the top.

General election

Two-candidate race

Park Geun-hye vs. Ahn Cheol-soo

Poll source Date Sample size Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri
Independent
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[1]
 27–28 July 2012 1,000 44.9 48.8 3.9
Gallup[2] 23–27 July 2012 1,520 42 42 0
Realmeter[3] 23–27 July 2012 3,750 44.2 48.4 4.2
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 49.3 45.2 4.1
Realmeter[5] 16–20 July 2012 3,750 47.7 44.8 2.9
OhMyNews/Research View[6]
 16–17 July 2012 1,000 48.7 46.5 2.2
Realmeter[7] 25–29 June 2012 3,750 49.0 43.8 5.2
Realmeter[8] 18–22 June 2012 3,750 49.2 44.3 4.9
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 June 2012 3,000 48.6 45.6 3.0
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 800 53.5 43.7 9.8
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,750 48.5 44.7 3.8
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 910 51.9 43.0 8.9
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,750 48.8 43.9 4.9
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,750 47.6 45.6 2.0
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,500 51.3 40.7 10.6
Chosun Ilbo / Media Research[16]
 2–6 May 2012 1,000 47.2 42.1 5.1
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,000 47.9 45.7 2.2
Gallup[18] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 1,272 47.0 37.0 10.0
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,750 47.1 46.9 0.2
Realmeter[20] 16–20 April 2012 3,750 49.2 45.0 4.2
Realmeter[21] 12–13 April 2012 1,500 47.9 44.8 3.1
JoongAng Ilbo / Gallup[22][23] 12–13 April 2012 800 45.1 35.9 9.2
Realmeter[24] 6–10 February 2012 3,750 41.3 49.5 8.2
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 40.4 51.5 11.1

Park Geun-hye vs. Kim Doo-kwan

Poll source Date Sample size Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 68.5 20.6 47.9

Park Geun-hye vs. Moon Jae-in

Poll source Date Sample size Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 56.6 35.0 11.6
OhMyNews/Research View[6] 16–17 July 2012 1,000 50.8 41.0 9.8
Realmeter[9] 29 May – 1 Jun 2012 3,000 52.5 38.6 13.9
Hankyoreh /Korea Society Opinion Institute[10] 26–27 May 2012 61.0 33.5 27.5
Realmeter[11] 21–25 May 2012 3,750 52.6 37.9 14.7
JoongAng Ilbo[12] 15 May 2012 910 57.6 33.3 24.3
Realmeter[13] 14–18 May 2012 3,750 52.0 37.5 14.5
Realmeter[14] 7–11 May 2012 3,750 51.9 38.2 13.7
Realmeter[15] 7–8 May 2012 1,500 55.7 36.3 19.4
Realmeter[17] 30 Apr – 4 May 2012 3,000 52.4 38.0 14.4
Realmeter[19] 23–27 April 2012 3,750 50.9 40.3 10.6
Realmeter[24] 6–10 February 2012 3,750 44.3 43.0 1.3
Realmeter[25] 30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 3,750 44.4 44.9 0.5
Donga Ilbo[25]
 24 January 2012 46.7 38.4 8.3

Park Geun-hye vs. Sohn Hak-kyu

Poll source Date Sample size Margin
Park (%)
Saenuri
DUP
JoongAng Ilbo[4] 19–21 July 2012 2,000 67.4 23.9 43.5

Multiple-candidate race

Candidate
Ahn
Cheol-soo 		Chung
Dong-young 		Chung
Mong-joon 		Chung
Sye-kyun 		Chung
Un-chan 		Kim
Doo-kwan 		Kim
Moon-soo 		Lee
Hoi-chang 		Moon
Jae-in 		Park
Geun-hye 		Rhyu
Si-min 		Sohn
Hak-kyu
Realmeter[9]
29 May – 1 Jun 2012 		22.1% 1.7% 2.1% – – 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 13.8% 40.4% 1.7% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[10]
26–27 May 2012 		22.6% 1.5% 2.4% – – 1.7% 1.9% – 11.1% 43.0% 2.7% 1.9%
Realmeter[26]
21–25 May 2012 		19.9% 2.2% 3.1% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.1% 13.7% 40.5% 3.2% 3.0%
JoongAng Ilbo[12]
15 May 2012 		23.3% 1.1% 2.5% – – 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 9.9% 39.3% 1.1% 2.0%
Realmeter[13]
14–18 May 2012 		20.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 1.4% 13.4% 41.9% 2.4% 3.2%
Realmeter[14]
7–11 May 2012 		23.8% 1.7% 2.9% – 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 12.3% 40.3% 2.0% 3.4%
Media Research[16][27]
1–6 May 2012 		22.0% 0.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 1.6% 9.6% 35.8% 1.5% 1.5%
Realmeter[19]
30 Apr – 4 May 2012 		22.2% 2.3% 2.8% – 1.0% 2.1% 2.5% 1.7% 13.5% 40.0% 2.1% 3.2%
Realmeter[19]
23–27 Apr 2012 		24.0% 1.3% 2.4% – 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 1.8% 13.1% 40.3% 2.5% 3.6%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[28]
21 April 2012 		23.8% 0.9% 1.3% – – 0.6% 2.6% 0.9% 11.1% 40.6% 1.2% 1.6%
Realmeter[20]
16–20 Apr 2012 		23.9% 1.3% 1.8% – 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 13.5% 42.1% 2.6% 3.5%
Realmeter[29]
12–13 Apr 2012 		20.7% 2.0% 1.8% 1.1% 1.3% – 1.5% 2.4% 16.5% 42.5% 2.3% 3.2%
Realmeter[30]
2–6 Apr 2012 		18.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 2.5% – 2.7% 1.9% 19.1% 36.6% 3.1% 3.2%
Korea Society Opinion Institute[31]
31 March 2012 		17.2% 2.1% 1.1% – – 0.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.3% 36.2% 1.8% 2.4%
Realmeter[24]
6–10 Feb 2012 		20.8% 2.4% 2.5% 0.8% 2.6% – 2.8% 2.6% 19.4% 31.3% 3.1% 3.1%
Realmeter[25]
30 Jan – 3 Feb 2012 		21.1% – – – – – 3.2% – 19.3% 31.2% 3.6% 4.7%

Saenuri primary

Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Sang-soo Chung Mong-joon Chung Un-chan Kim Moon-soo Lee Jae-oh Park Geun-hye Yim Tae-hee
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] 21 April 2012 800 – 5.2% 0.4% 3.1% 0.2% 83.4% –

DUP primary

Poll source Date Sample size Ahn Cheol-soo Chung Dong-young Chung Sye-kyun Kim Doo-kwan Moon Jae-in Sohn Hak-kyu
Hankyoreh/Korea Society Opinion Institute[28] 21 April 2012 800 2.3% 5.4% 2.4% 3.6% 43.4% 15.5%

References

  1. ^ "Ahn leading Park in latest polls". The Hankyoreh. 29 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  2. ^ "Ahn matches Park in approval ratings: poll". The Korea Times. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 2 August 2012.
  3. ^ "안철수 원장 지지율 상승세 둔화" [Rise of Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Slows Down] (in Korean). Realmeter. 30 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  4. ^ a b c d "안철수 책 나온뒤 박근혜와 지지율 변화가…" [Change in Ahn Cheol-soo's Approval Rating against Park Geun-hye After Ahn's New Book...] (in Korean). JoongAng Ilbo. 23 July 2012. Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved 3 August 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  5. ^ "출판 소식에 안철수 원장 지지율 상승" [Dean Ahn's Approval Rating Rise on the News of New Book] (in Korean). Realmeter. 23 July 2012. Retrieved 2 August 2012.
  6. ^ a b "대선 지지도, 박근혜-안철수-문재인-김두관 순 박근혜, 양자대결에서 처음으로 안철수 앞서" [Top Finishers of a Presidential Race Poll are Park Geun-hye, Ahn Cheol-soo, and Moon Jae-in. Park Surpasses Ahn for the First Time in a Two-Way Race] (in Korean). OhmyNews. 19 July 2012. Retrieved 3 August 2012.
  7. ^ "대선 양자대결 박근혜 49.0% vs 안철수 43.8%" [Presidential Race Two-Candidate Race Park Geun-hye 49.0% vs Ahn Cheol-soo 43.8%] (in Korean). Realmeter. 2 July 2012. Retrieved 11 July 2012.
  8. ^ "새누리당, 박근혜 전 위원장 지지율 소폭 하락" [Slight Drops in Approval Ratings of Saenuri Party and Park Geun-hye, the Former Acting Leader] (in Korean). Realmeter. 25 June 2012. Retrieved 11 July 2012.
  9. ^ a b c "대선 다자구도 박근혜 8주 연속 40%대 고공행진" [Park Geun-hye's approval rating in multi-candidate race shoots above 40% for eight consecutive weeks] (in Korean). Realmeter. 4 June 2012. Retrieved 4 June 2012.
  10. ^ a b c "Park still leading presidential polls". The Hankyoreh. 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  11. ^ a b "대선후보 양자대결 박근혜 48.5%•안철수 44.7%" [Two candidate poll: Park Geun-hye 48.5%, Ahn Cheol-soo 44.7%] (in Korean). Realmeter. 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  12. ^ a b c "통합진보당 쇼크…박근혜 대선 지지율 수치가!" [Unified Progressive Party's shock ... Park Geun-hye's approval rating!] (in Korean). Realmeter. 17 May 2012. Archived from the original on April 1, 2022. Retrieved 19 May 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  13. ^ a b c "통합진보당 '도로 민노당' 지지율로 하락" [Unified Progressive Party approval rating drops, 'Democratic Labour Party again'] (in Korean). Realmeter. 21 May 2012. Retrieved 21 May 2012.
  14. ^ a b c "통합진보당 총선 이후 3주 연속 내리막" [Unified Progressive Party falls for 3 consecutive weeks after election] (in Korean). Realmeter. 14 May 2012. Retrieved 18 May 2012.
  15. ^
    Seoul Sinmun
    (in Korean). Retrieved 11 May 2012.
  16. ^
    Chosun Ilbo
    (in Korean). 7 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
  17. ^ a b "경선불참 소식으로 안철수 원장 지지율 하락" [Director Ahn Cheol-soo's ratings fall on news of election absence] (in Korean). Realmeter. 7 May 2012. Retrieved 7 May 2012.
  18. OhMyNews
    (in Korean). 9 May 2012. Retrieved 11 May 2012.
  19. ^ a b c d "이명박 대통령 지지율 4주 연속 하락" [President Lee Myung-bak's approval ratings decline continuously for four weeks] (in Korean). Realmeter. 30 April 2012. Retrieved 30 April 2012.
  20. ^ a b "대선 지지율, 세대별 양극화 심각" [Presidential election poll: Generational polarization serious] (in Korean). Realmeter. 23 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  21. ^ "양자구도서 박근혜 47.9%, 안철수 44.8%" [Two-way race: Park Geun-hye 47.9%; Ahn Cheol-soo 44.8%]. Hankook Ilbo (in Korean). 16 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  22. ^ "Parties demand Ahn to decide on candidacy". Korea JoongAng Daily. 18 April 2012. Archived from the original on September 30, 2013. Retrieved 27 April 2012.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  23. ^ "[총선후 여론조사] 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%" [[Opinion poll after the legislative election] Park Geun-hye 45.1% vs. Ahn Cheol-soo 5.9%]. Views & News (in Korean). 13 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012. 박근혜 45.1% vs 안철수 35.9%
  24. ^ a b c "박근혜, 오차범위내서 문재인 다시 앞서" [Park Geun-hye again ahead of Moon Jae-in, within margin of error] (in Korean). Realmeter. 13 February 2012. Retrieved 8 May 2012.
  25. ^ a b c d "Polls ahead of presidential election show a tight race". The Hankyoreh. 7 February 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  26. ^ "통합진보당 '도로 민노당' 지지율 아래로 추락" [Unified Progressive Party approval rating plunges below Democratic Labor Party] (in Korean). 29 May 2012. Retrieved 29 May 2012.
  27. ^ "박근혜 47.2%-안철수 42.1%..양자구도서 앞서" [Park Geun-hye 47.2% - Ahn Cheol-soo 42.1% ... Ahead in two-way race] (in Korean). 7 May 2012. Retrieved 8 May 2012.
  28. ^ a b c "Most would choose Park or Ahn for president". The Hankyoreh. 23 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  29. ^ "대선 양자구도, 박근혜 처음으로 안철수 앞서" [Presidential election two-way race: Park Geun-hye first followed by Ahn Cheol-soo] (in Korean). Realmeter. 16 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  30. ^ "박근혜 지지율 2년만에 최고치, 36.6%" [Park Geun-hye's approval rating at 2-year high of 36.6%] (in Korean). Realmeter. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
  31. ^ "Poll: Park Geun-hye still leading race to presidency". The Hankyoreh. 2 April 2012. Retrieved 27 April 2012.
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