Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency

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Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after President Nayib Bukele took office on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador,[1][2][3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history[4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent.[5][6]

Presidential approval rating

Polling aggregates
Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating
  Approves
  Disapproves
  Unsure/No Opinion
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Approves Disapproves Unsure Lead Ref.
Cid-Gallup 6–13 Nov 2023 1,200 92.0 6.0 2.0 86.0 [7]
TResearch Jun 2023 1,000 92.9 5.3 1.8 87.6 [8]
TResearch May 2023 1,000 91.5 7.2 1.3 84.3 [8]
TResearch Apr 2023 1,000 90.7 7.0 2.3 83.7 [8]
TResearch Mar 2023 1,000 89.2 9.2 1.6 80.0 [8]
TResearch Feb 2023 1,000 87.6 10.1 2.3 77.5 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica Feb 2023 1,500 91.0 6.9 2.1 84.1 [9]
Cid-Gallup 16–27 Jan 2023 1,200 90.0 4.0 6.0 86.0 [10]
TResearch Jan 2023 1,000 84.8 11.5 3.7 73.3 [8]
TResearch Dec 2022 1,000 80.1 14.8 5.1 65.3 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica 16–21 Nov 2022 – 87.8 9.5 2.5 78.3 [11]
TResearch Nov 2022 1,000 81.6 13.9 4.5 67.7 [8]
TResearch Oct 2022 1,000 83.7 12.0 4.3 71.7 [8]
TResearch Sept 2022 1,000 82.0 13.2 4.8 68.8 [8]
TResearch Aug 2022 1,000 83.8 8.1 8.1 75.7 [8]
TResearch Jul 2022 1,000 82.7 8.9 8.4 73.8 [8]
TResearch Jun 2022 1,000 80.7 10.9 8.4 69.8 [8]
Funda Ungo Jun 2022 – 89.0 6.7 4.3 82.3 [12]
CIESCA 30 May 2022 1,338 91.6 3.2 5.2 88.4 [13]
Cid-Gallup 26 Jan 2022 1,200 84.0 12.0 4.0 72.0 [14]
Funda Ungo Nov–Dec 2021 – 84.5 10.1 5.4 82.3 [12]
La Prensa Gráfica 24–29 Nov 2021 1,520 85.1 11.7 3.2 73.4 [15]
La Prensa Gráfica 18–24 Aug 2021 1,506 84.7 12.3 2.9 72.4 [16]
Cid-Gallup 18 Aug 2021 1,200 87.0 11.0 2.0 76.0 [17]
CIESCA 24 May 2021 – 94.0 6.0 0.0 88.0 [18]
La Prensa Gráfica 13–22 May 2021 1,103 86.5 9.1 4.3 77.4 [19]
Cid-Gallup 2–10 Mar 2021 1,200 96.0 3.0 1.0 93.0 [20]
Cid-Gallup 25 Nov–10 Dec 2020 1,200 89.0 10.0 2.0 79.0 [21]
Funda Ungo Nov–Dec 2020  – 91.1 6.2 2.7 84.9 [12]
Cid-Gallup 7–16 Nov 2020 1,200 96.0 – – – [22]
La Prensa Gráfica 11–22 May 2020 1,406 92.5 5.4 2.1 87.1 [23]
La Prensa Gráfica 28 Feb 2020 – 85.9 10.4 3.7 75.5 [24]
La Prensa Gráfica 10 Sept 2019 – 90.4 0.4 9.2 90.0 [25]

Polling on the gang crackdown

Further information: Salvadoran gang crackdown
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Support Oppose Unsure Lead Ref.
TResearch Jun 2023 1,000 92.4 5.1 2.5 87.3 [8]
TResearch May 2023 1,000 91.2 6.5 2.3 84.7 [8]
TResearch May 2023 1,000 90.9 6.6 2.5 84.3 [8]
CIESCA May 2023 – 92.21 5.30 2.49 86.91 [26]
TResearch Apr 2023 1,000 89.4 8.2 2.4 81.2 [8]
TResearch Mar 2023 1,000 88.9 10.6 0.5 78.3 [8]
Funda Ungo 1–6 Mar 2023 500 85.6 – – – [27]
TResearch Feb 2023 1,000 85.2 12.2 2.6 83.0 [8]
Cid-Gallup Feb 2023 – 92.0 – – – [28]
TResearch Jan 2023 1,000 82.1 13.9 4.0 68.2 [8]
TResearch Dec 2022 1,000 78.3 16.7 5.0 61.6 [8]
TResearch Nov 2022 1,000 79.1 15.9 5.0 63.2 [8]
TResearch Oct 2022 1,000 80.8 14.1 5.1 66.7 [8]
TResearch Sept 2022 1,000 79.7 15.2 5.1 64.5 [8]
UCA Sept 2022 – 75.9 – – – [29]
Cid-Gallup 5 Sept 2022 1,200 91.0 6.0 1.0 85.0 [30]
TResearch Aug 2022 1,000 83.5 13.9 2.6 69.6 [8]
TResearch Jul 2022 1,000 82.6 14.7 2.7 67.9 [8]
TResearch Jun 2022 1,000 74.6 16.3 9.1 58.3 [8]
CIESCA 30 May 2022 1,338 90.1 7.1 2.8 83.03 [31]

2024 re-election polling

Further information: 2024 Salvadoran general election
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size 		Would support Would not support Undecided Lead Ref.
Iudop-UCA 11–29 Nov 2023 1,512 69.9 24.3 5.8 45.6 [32]
TResearch Jun 2023 1,000 90.9 8.8 0.3 82.1 [8]
CEC-UFG 27 May–1 Jun 2023 1,334 75.6 12.5 11.9 63.1 [33]
CIESCA May 2023 – 91.85 5.36 2.79 86.49 [34]
TResearch May 2023 1,000 90.4 9.3 0.3 81.1 [8]
TResearch Apr 2023 1,000 91.2 7.5 1.3 83.7 [8]
TResearch Mar 2023 1,000 92.6 6.2 1.2 86.4 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica 15–24 Feb 2023 1,500 68.0 13.0 19.0 55.0 [35]
TResearch 14–16 Feb 2023 1,000 93.9 5.7 0.4 88.2 [8]
CEC-UFG 4–8 Feb 2023 1,263 62.2 19.0 18.8 43.2 [36]
TResearch Jan 2023 1,000 92.7 5.9 1.4 86.8 [8]
TResearch Dec 2022 1,000 93.7 4.8 1.5 88.9 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica 16–21 Nov 2022 1,520 64.6 17.9 17.5 46.7 [37]
TResearch Nov 2022 1,000 94.1 4.5 1.4 89.6 [8]
CEC-UFG 27–31 Oct 2022 1,227 74.7 12.8 12.5 61.9 [38]
CEC-UFG 27–31 Oct 2022 1,227 77.2 11.0 11.8 66.2 [38]
TResearch Oct 2022 1,000 94.8 3.9 1.3 90.9 [8]
TResearch 17–19 Sept 2022 1,000 94.3 4.4 1.4 89.9 [39]
CIESCA 18 Sept 2022 25,623 88.3 11.7 – 76.6 [40]
CEC-UFG 10–14 Sept 2022 1,231 58.9 23.1 15.0 35.8 [41]
CEC-UFG 26 May 2022 – 72.2 – – – [42]

References

  1. ^ O'Boyle, Brendan (29 April 2020). "Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  2. ISSN 0362-4331
    . Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  3. ^ Crane, Emily (22 September 2021). "El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator"". New York Post. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  4. ^ Galdámez, Eddie (9 March 2022). "Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele". elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  5. ^ Linthicum, Kate (16 May 2021). "El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  6. ^ Galdámez, Eddie (22 February 2021). "Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador". Global Voices. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  7. ^ Martínez, Verónica (17 November 2023). "92% Aprueba la Labor Presidencial de Bukele: «Un Valor Alto a Nivel Internacional», Afirma el Gerente Cid Gallup" [92% Approve Bukele's President of Work: "High Value at the International Level", Affirms Poll from Cid Gallup]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 November 2023.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj Penna C., Carlos (November 2022). "Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Años de Gobierno 93% lo Aprueba" [Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Years of Government 93% Approve]. TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2022.
  9. ^ "LPG Datos | Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación" [LPG Statistics | Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). 15 March 2023. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  10. ^ "Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia" [Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party]. El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 February 2023. Retrieved 2 February 2023.
  11. ^ Segura, Edwin (12 December 2022). "Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación" [Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2022.
  12. ^ a b c "Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022" [Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022] (PDF). Funda Ungo (in Spanish). September 2022. p. 7. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  13. ^ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%" [91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022 – via Twitter.
  14. ^ "CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management] (in Spanish). ElSalvadorgram.com. 26 January 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  15. ^ Segura, Edwin (15 November 2021). "Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval" [Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  16. ^ Segura, Edwin (3 September 2021). "Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed" [Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  17. ^ "Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación" [Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval] (in Spanish). El Mundo.sv. 18 August 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  18. ^ "Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta" [President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey]. El Salvador gram (in Spanish). Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  19. ^ Segura, Edwin (1 June 2021). "Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación" [Bukele with 86.5% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  20. ^ "98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia" [98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic] (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  21. ^ "Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión" [Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management]. 102Nueve (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  22. ^ "Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup" [Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll]. La Pagina (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  23. ^ "¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!" [90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!]. fubtolcentroamericano (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 25 May 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  24. ^ "Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación" [President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval]. Twitter (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  25. ^ "Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento" [Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent]. VOA (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 10 September 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  26. ^ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2023). "Los salvadoreños aprueban con un 92.2% el #RegimenDeExcepcion medida implementada por el gobierno del presidente @nayibbukele" [Salvadorans approve the #StateofException medium implemented by the government of president @nayibbukelewith 92.2%] (Tweet). Retrieved 30 May 2023 – via Twitter.
  27. ^ Magaña, Yolanda (27 March 2023). "Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta" [Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
  28. ^ Renteria, Nelson; Kinosian, Sarah (15 February 2023). "El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets". Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  29. ^ Murphy, Matt (4 December 2022). "El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown". BBC News. Reuters. Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  30. ^ "La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad" [The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security]. Cid-Gallup (in Spanish). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  31. ^ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas" [90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 September 2022 – via Twitter.
  32. ^ Magaña, Yolanda (6 December 2023). "70% Avala que Bukele haya Presentado Candidatura Presidencial: Encuesta UCA" [70% Support Bukele Has Presented a Presidential Candidacy: UCA Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 December 2023.
  33. ^ Villarroel, Gabriela (6 June 2023). "El 75.6% Apoya la Reelección de Bukele de 2024, Según Encuesta de la UFG" [75.6% Support the Re-Election of Bukele in 2024, According to Poll from UFG]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  34. ^ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (31 May 2023). "Tercera entrega: Los salvadoreños aprueban la reelección del presidente @nayibbukele en un 91.85%" [Third poll: Salvadorans approve the re-election of president @nayibbukele with 91.85%.] (Tweet). Retrieved 31 May 2023 – via Twitter.
  35. ^ Rentiera, Nelson (14 March 2023). "Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Re-Election, Poll Shows". Reuters. San Salvador, El Salvador. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  36. ^ Magaña, Yolanda (16 February 2023). "62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG" [62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  37. ^ Segura, Edwin (14 December 2022). "LPG Datos | Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial" [LPG Statistics: | Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2022.
  38. ^ a b Magaña, Yolanda (10 November 2022). "Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG" [Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 November 2022.
  39. ^ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (21 September 2022). "Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 – via Twitter.
  40. ^ "88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele" [88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election]. Contrapunto.com.sv (in Spanish). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  41. ^ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (30 September 2022). "Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022 – via Twitter.
  42. ^ Genoves, Alessia (26 May 2022). "Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG" [72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection]. Contra Punto (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 17 October 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
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