Residual income valuation

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Residual income valuation (RIV; also, residual income model and residual income method, RIM) is an approach to

shareholders' equity; residual income (RI) is then the income generated by a firm after accounting for the true cost of capital. The approach is largely analogous to the EVA/MVA based approach, with similar logic and advantages. Residual Income valuation has its origins in Edwards & Bell (1961), Peasnell (1982), and Ohlson (1995).[citation needed
]

Concept

The underlying idea is that investors

Economic profit. It is thus possible that a value deemed positive using a traditional discounted cash flow (DCF) approach may be negative here. RI-based valuation is therefore a valuable complement
to more traditional techniques.

Calculation of residual income

The cost of equity is typically calculated using the CAPM, although other approaches such as APT are also used. The currency charge to be subtracted is then simply

Equity Charge = Equity Capital x Cost of Equity,

and

Residual income = Net Income − Equity Charge.

Valuation formula

Using the residual income approach, the

value of a company's stock can be calculated as the sum of its book value
today (i.e. at time ) and the present value of its expected future residual income, discounted at the cost of equity, , resulting in the general formula:

Here various adjustments to the balance sheet book value may be required;[1] see Clean surplus accounting.

More typically, the company is assumed to achieve maturity or "constant growth", at time , and the below formulae are applied instead. [2] (Note that the value will remain identical: the adjustment is a "telescoping" device). In the first step, analysts commonly employ the Perpetuity Growth Model to calculate the terminal value — although various, more formal approaches are also applied [3] — which returns:

.

In the second step, the RI valuation is then:

.

Comparison with other valuation methods

As can be seen, the residual income valuation formula is similar to the dividend discount model (DDM) (and to other discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation models), substituting future residual earnings for dividend (or free cash) payments (and the cost of equity for the weighted average cost of capital).

However, the RI-based approach is most appropriate when a firm is not paying dividends or exhibits an unpredictable dividend pattern, and / or when it has negative free cash flow many years out, but is expected to generate positive cash flow at some point in the future. Further, value is recognized earlier under the RI approach, since a large part of the stock's intrinsic value is recognized immediately – current book value per share – and residual income valuations are thus less sensitive to terminal value.[4]

At the same time, in addition to the accounting considerations mentioned above, the RI approach will not generally hold if there are expected changes in shares outstanding or if the firm plans to bring in "new" shareholders who derive a net benefit from their capital contributions.[5]

Although EVA is similar to residual income, there will be technical differences between EVA and RI, specifically

NOPAT before the methodology may be applied.[6][7] See Economic value added § Comparison with other approaches
.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ "8.10 Application IBM Step 1: Estimating Book Value". www.ftsmodules.com. Retrieved 2 October 2018.
  2. ^ Robert F. Halsey (2001). Using the Residual-Income Stock Price Valuation Model to Teach and Learn Ratio Analysis. Issues in Accounting Education. Vol. 16, No. 2. May 2001
  3. ^ Joakim Levin and Per Olsson (2000). Terminal Value Techniques in Equity Valuation - Implications of the Steady State Assumption. SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration No 2000:7
  4. ^ Team, The AnalystNotes CFA. "December 2018 CFA Level 1: Study Session List". www.analystnotes.com. Retrieved 2 October 2018.
  5. ^ "Val22" (PDF). Retrieved 2018-10-02.
  6. ^ Martin, James R. "Management Accounting: Chapter 14". maaw.info. Retrieved 2 October 2018.
  7. ^ "EVA/Economic Profit Vs. Residual Income - AnalystForum". www.analystforum.com. 3 April 2012. Retrieved 2 October 2018.

External links and references

Primary references

Other references