Wikipedia:Dispute resolution noticeboard/Archive 122

Source: Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.

Talk:Statewide opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016#Fix_the_map

– This request has been open for some time and must be reviewed.
Filed by Prcc27 on 04:19, 31 July 2015 (UTC).


Have you discussed this on a talk page?

Yes, I have discussed this issue on a talk page already.

Location of dispute

  • Talk:Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016#Fix the map

Users involved

Dispute overview

There were two polls conducted in Washington both within a day of each other. The PPP poll says Clinton has a 33% lead (margin of error: ± 5%) and the Gravis Marketing poll that was taken the next day says she has a 9% lead (margin of error: ± 6%). There is a map on the article that says Clinton's lead in Washington is less than 10%. But I wanted to stripe Washington with two colors to reflect that there is also another poll that says she has a 30-49% lead. The other user thinks that only the most recent poll should be used (even if it was taken the day after the second most recent poll), and striping should only be reserved for ties.

Have you tried to resolve this previously?

We've been discussing it at the article's talk page.

How do you think we can help?

I think we need you guys to weigh in on whether or not striping Washington is appropriate. Also, you guys might be able to find a way we can compromise.

Summary of dispute by Nitroxium

As explained in the talk page, the article for the democratic primaries has been following the same format as the republicans in using the most recent polls for coloring the map. Prcc27 proposes we utilize stripes on the maps to show what he considers to be "conflicting polls." However, stripes in the statewide opinion polls (Repub and democrat) are being used for virtual ties. Beyond this, saying that the two polls are conflicting would be

WP:OR
.

"First, you can't compare the results in PPP with the polls for Gravis including Elizabeth Warren. People could very easily switch from Clinton to Warren if she was an option in the primaries and there is absolutely no conflict there. Therefore, we must compare the results of PPP with the Gravis results WITHOUT Warren. In the PPP poll, she has 57% with a margin of error of 5%, meaning it could be a support of 52%. In the Gravis poll, she has a support of 45% with a margin of error of 6%, meaning it could be 51%. Likewise with Sanders, in PPP he has 24% which could be 29% and in Gravis he has 36% which could be 30%. Hence why if there was a change of 1% of support from Clinton to Sanders during the next few days (which is completely plausible), these two polls are not conflicting. I must add, the Gravis poll without Warren still includes De Blasio, which means there doesn't even have to be a 1% change of support in the next days. Clinton could have lost 2% to De Blasio in the Gravis poll. There's many possibilities."

Talk:Statewide opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016#Fix_the_map discussion

@Prcc27 and Nitroxium: I'm seeing extensive talk page discussion and am happy to take this case. I'll do a little more brushing up on the issues before asking a few questions. Thanks much, North of Eden (talk) 18:09, 31 July 2015 (UTC)

I am going to be working on concluding the English football dispute above, but once that's concluded I will give my full attention to this issue. I plan to put up some substantive comments tomorrow morning in this section. Thanks, North of Eden (talk) 22:03, 31 July 2015 (UTC)
@Prcc27 and Nitroxium: Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the basic issue is whether stripes should indicate conflicting polling results or ties between candidates. In this event, I think it's crucial to look at the Republican primary page and at precedent for this page. The same-sex marriage page may be helpful as a guide, but opinion polling on social issues and candidate polling are pretty different things. North of Eden (talk) 19:04, 1 August 2015 (UTC)
  • They are different things, but the issue the same-sex marriage map had is the same one the Democratic map has. I believe one user even said is was "fraud" to leave out conflicting polls on that map. It does take longer for a state to trend a certain way on social issues than opinion of candidates, but it's near impossible for a candidate's lead to change drastically in one day just like it is near impossible for a state to change drastically on social issues (with a few exceptions like President Obama coming out in favor of same-sex marriage) in 1 month. Just because the poll that says Clinton has a 9% lead was taken 1 day after a poll said she has a 33% lead doesn't mean her lead is less than 10%. I don't know if I'd call it "fraud" to leave out stripes for conflicting results, but it's certainly misleading- whether it's on a map for opinion polling on social issues or a map for opinion polling on candidates. It definitely won't hurt the map to provide more information- it would actually help the map. Prcc27 (talk) 20:28, 1 August 2015 (UTC)
Again, saying they are conflicting polls is
WP:OR. We are following the format the republicans use. Nitroxium (talk
) 03:34, 2 August 2015 (UTC)

@Nitroxium: Fine, but we will have to add the other users that commented on the article's talk page and the Commons talk page about proposal #2 to this dispute resolution. The original dispute is between you and me, but the #2 proposal dispute is between you, me, and 3 other users. I will wait for North of Eden to comment. But on another note, what I reverted you for has nothing to do with either dispute. That particular dispute is about what is considered a statistical tie and what is not. Do we need to have that discussion here too and ping the user to discuss here what they discussed on that matter on the Commons talk page? Prcc27 (talk) 23:53, 12 August 2015 (UTC)

  • Note I am traveling today (August 14) and tomorrow (August 15), but I will be able to give my full attention to the discussion tomorrow evening. Sorry for the delay. North of Eden (talk) 11:54, 14 August 2015 (UTC)
    • I originally started this dispute resolution because Nitroxium and I were the only ones discussing the issue and neither one of us could agree on what to do. However, since a user just weighed in on the article's talk page in favor of Nitroxium I'm willing to yield and only use the most recent poll when coloring a state (unless someone at the talk page backs me- then I will try to get consensus there). Prcc27 (talk) 05:33, 15 August 2015 (UTC)
      • @Prcc27 and Nitroxium: That sounds good. Do we still have an agreement on striping based on margins of error per Nitroxium's earlier suggestion? North of Eden (talk) 23:41, 16 August 2015 (UTC)
        • In the past few days, the disputes have been resolved, though the striping for margins of error I now have the opinion of not including them, since some reputable sources indicate that. Nitroxium (talk) 00:09, 17 August 2015 (UTC)
        • @Nitroxium: I'm a little confused; what exactly do these sources indicate? That the margins of error shouldn't be noted? North of Eden (talk) 00:59, 17 August 2015 (UTC)
          • I fell like the margin of errors should be noted because why would they be given in the first place if they weren't meant to be considered..? Prcc27 (talk) 04:28, 17 August 2015 (UTC)
            • There's no risk of
              WP:OR by striping based on margins of error; in fact, all it would do is make the map more accurate. That said, we can certainly discuss this further. I'm interested to see Nitroxium's views on this. North of Eden (talk
              ) 12:31, 17 August 2015 (UTC)

User talk:Patalexander

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Patalexander on 14:50, 31 August 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

2015 Thalys attack

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Sandra opposed to terrorism on 22:44, 30 August 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:2015 ICC_World_Twenty20_Qualifier

– Closed as failed. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Srinu523 on 19:44, 28 August 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:Alfred de_Grazia

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by 108.24.111.82 on 15:38, 2 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:Popular Republican_Union_(2007)

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by D0kkaebi on 07:52, 2 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:Direct Action_Everywhere#Edit_warring_on_this_page

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Funcrunch on 00:23, 3 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Chris Bell_(politician)

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by NicholasNotabene on 23:37, 2 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:British Pakistanis

Dispute resolved successfully. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Human3015 on 12:31, 12 August 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Talk:Awans of Pakistan

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Pixarh on 15:25, 7 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion

Flitfire

– General close. See comments for reasoning.
Filed by Cubgirl4444 on 03:31, 8 September 2015 (UTC).
Closed discussion