Talk:Opinion polling for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election/Archive 1

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Archive 1

Should the line for Smer-SD be split?

​​​​​​​Between the sixth and seventh polls listed in the graph, Voice – Social Democracy (HLAS-SD) was formed as a split from Direction – Social Democracy (Smer-SD). Currently, there is a smooth curve between these two polls on the graph for Smer-SD, although it is clear that HLAS-SD siphoned off a significant amount of Smer-SD's support (which dropped from 19% to 11%). Thus, I think that the graph should use two separate lines for Smer-SD to show this discontinuity. Any thoughts on this? If you agree with me, does anyone know how to do this technically? Thanks, Ezhao02 (talk) 19:06, 25 February 2021 (UTC)

Basic rules

As I saw, with each poll there are several edits by various editors because there is no consensus on poll agencies and events. First of all, there are 5 agencies publishing their polls. Focus and AKO are the most cited polls which are registered in international marketing research associations. Usually, their polls are ordered by

RTVS. However, they started with opinion polls on political parties only in recent months and these polls are note cited by other major media. Polis is not member and its background is unknown for several years, however, their polls are published by last major television broadcaster - TV JOJ
, however, not cited by other major media.

My suggestion is:

  • Use: AKO, Focus, Median SK;
  • No-use: Actly, Polis.

For major events, there was already short discussion between me and another editor. I agree not to use changes of leadership, mergers, dissolutions, splits and similar. However, government crisis is event which might lead to early election and public opinion is changing rapidly - in this case, increase of

SaS
which was increasing for several months, another decrease of PM party. Therefore, I suggest to label at least start and end of government crisis. Resignations are not needed anymore - crisis ended with new government which satisfied two conditions given on its start.

Madeinslovakia (talk) 18:48, 11 April 2021 (UTC)

Loss of data

I've just discovered this edit in late August 2021 which merged the table of percentages with the table of seats. This is not a bad idea in itself. But in the process, User:Igec133 chose to remove smaller parties as part of the "clean-up": SNS, DV, SPOLU and MV.

I strongly disagree that we should remove data related to smaller parties. This is not noise. Minor parties may rise in the polls, which in retrospect would make past data meaningful. They may have been historically important. Also, analysts may be interested in transfers between parties, be they major or minor.

Below is the table as it was before the loss of data. Kahlores (talk) 23:50, 12 October 2021 (UTC)

Percentages

Date Polling
firm 		Sample
size
OĽaNO
 SMER-SD SR ĽSNS PS-SPOLU SaS ZĽ KDH
ALI
 SNS
DV
 HLAS-SD
REP
 Lead
PS
SPOLU
 MKÖ-MKS M-H
MF
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S
24 Feb 2024 Expected date of the next parliamentary election
10–15 Aug 2021 AKO[1] 1,000 9.8% 11.3% 6.6% 3.9% 8.9% 1.2% 14.7% 3.0% 6.3% 0.5% 3.3% 3.5% 1.5% 19.5% 4.5% 4.8%
6–12 Jul 2021 AKO[2] 1,000 8.8% 10.9% 7.8% 3.5% 8.4% 1.9% 13.8% 3.1% 6.2% 0.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.9% 20.8% 3.8% 7.0%
7 Jul 2021 Judgment of the Constitutional Court rejecting the realization of the opposition snap election referendum due to unconstitutionality[3]
7–11 Jun 2021 AKO[4] 1,000 9.0% 10.6% 7.8% 3.0% 8.3% 1.6% 13.9% 3.6% 5.3% 1.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.5% 21.0% 2.8% 7.1%
2–9 Jun 2021 Focus[5] 1,011 8.2% 12.0% 7.6% 4.8% 6.3% 1.5% 12.8% 3.4% 5.8% 0.5% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 21.6% 4.6% 8.8%
11–19 May 2021 Focus[6] 1,008 8.8% 11.8% 7.2% 4.9% 6.1% 1.3% 12.3% 3.5% 5.7% 0.9% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 22.4% 4.5% 10.1%
13–17 May 2021 AKO[7] 1,000 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 2.1% 8.5% 1.6% 13.8% 4.0% 5.0% 0.6% 5.3 1.6% 3.0% 22.5% 3.5% 8.7%
12–17 Apr 2021 AKO[1] 1,000 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 2.9% 8.3% 0.9% 13.8% 4.3% 4.5% 0.5% 4.2% 3.3% 3.1% 23.9% 3.1% 10.1%
31 Mar–7 Apr 2021 Focus[2] 1,001 9.2% 10.9% 7.4% 4.3% 6.2% 0.8% 11.2% 4.8% 5.7% 0.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 22.3% 4.7% 11.1%
1 Apr 2021 Appointment of the
Heger's Cabinet following the agreement of the original government partners[8]
3–28 Mar 2021 Government crisis following government SaS and ZĽ's call for the resignation of the Prime Minister Igor Matovič[9]
8–12 Mar 2021 AKO[3] 1,000 13.1% 8.7% 5.9% 4.3% 8.0% 0.3% 14.3% 4.3% 5.2% 0.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 3.0% 2.8% 24.9% — 10.6%
17–24 Feb 2021 Focus[4] 1.018 10.4% 9.2% 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 0.6% 12.9% 5.2% 4.9% 0.4% 3.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 23.0% — 10.1%
8–11 Feb 2021 AKO[5] 1,000 13.8% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 7.2% 0.7% 15.1% 5.4% 4.9% 0.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 1.6% 25.0% — 9.9%
12–19 Jan 2021 Focus[6] 1,005 10.1% 9.1% 5.1% 9.7% 5.2% 1% 13.3% 4.2% 4.4% – 3.3% 0.6% 2% 2.8% 2.1% 24.3% — 11%
17–19 Dec 2020 AKO[7] 1,000 14.2% 9% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 0.5% 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 22.8% — 6.6%
8–14 Dec 2020 Focus[8] 1,000 11% 9.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6% 0.4% 15.8% 4.4% 4.9% – 3.3% 0.8% 2% 2.7% 2.1% 20.1% — 5.1%
18–25 Nov 2020 Focus[9] 1,004 14% 9.5% 6.1% 9.6% 5.9% 1% 12.1% 4.1% 5.1% – 3.3% 0.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 19.1% — 5.1%
7–15 Oct 2020 Focus[10] 1,014 15.1% 10.5% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 0.3% 10.7% 4.8% 5.2% – 3.2% 0.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 18.7% — 3.6%
1–9 Oct 2020 AKO[11] 1,000 15.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 1.8% 13.4% 4.2% 3.0% 0.3% 2.4% 0.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 18.8% — 3.5%
26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 Focus[12] 1,022 18.4% 10.9% 9.1% 8.5% 5.9% 0.6% 9.9% 3.9% 4.5% – 3.1% 0.7% 1.7% 3.0% 1.9% 16.2% — 2.2%
7–17 Jul 2020 AKO[13] 1,000 23.5% 10.7% 6.4% 7.9% 5.2% 2.2% 9.4% 4.0% 3.0% – 2.5% – 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 16.7% — 6.8%
17–24 Jun 2020 Focus[14] 1,009 21.2% 19.0% 12.8% 9.6% 6.2% 0.8% 9.2% 3.6% 4.6% 0.3% 3.7% 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.4% — — 2.2%
14–21 May 2020 Focus[15] 1,011 22.9% 21.6% 11.2% 9.7% 6.5% 0.2% 8.0% 4.3% 4.8% – 4.2% – 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% — — 1.3%
15–19 Apr 2020 Focus[16] 1,016 24.4% 21.8% 11.5% 9.2% 7.6% 6.8% 3.2% 4.5% – 2.8% – 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% — — 2.6%
14–17 Apr 2020 AKO[17] 1,000 29.9% 18.3% 10.0% 6.4% 6.9% 0.9% 9.7% 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 0.6% 2.2% 2.2% — — 11.6%
21 Mar 2020 Appointment of the Matovič's Cabinet following the agreement of the OĽaNO, SR, SaS and ZĽ – new government partners[10]
18–21 Mar 2020 Focus[16] 1,023 23.3% 21.6% 11.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.5% 1.3% 3.4% 2.4% — — 1.7%
29 February 2020 2020 elections 25.0% 18.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.0% 6.2% 5.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.1% 3.2% 3.1% — — 6.7%
Lead
OĽaNO
 SMER-SD SR
ĽSNS
 PS
SPOLU
 SaS ZĽ KDH MF
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S M-H SNS DV
HLAS-SD
REP
MKÖ-MKS
PS-SPOLU ALI

Seat projections

Date Polling
firm
OĽaNO
 SMER-SD SR
ĽSNS
 PS SaS ZĽ KDH
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S[a] M-H HLAS-SD
Govt.
 Opp.
10–15 Aug AKO[11] 19 22 13 – 17 29 – 12 – 38 61 89
6–12 Jul 2021 AKO[12] 17 21 15 – 17 27 – 12 – 41 59 91
7–11 Jun 2021 AKO[13] 17 20 14 – 15 26 – 10 9 39 57 93
2–9 Jun 2021 Focus[14] 15 23 14 – 12 24 – 11 10 41 53 97
11–19 May 2021 Focus[15] 18 24 15 – 12 25 – 11 – 45 58 92
13–17 May 2021 AKO[16] 18 18 13 – 16 25 – 9 – 41 56 94
12–17 Apr 2021 AKO[1] 21 19 15 – 17 29 – – – 49 65 85
31 Mar–7 Apr 2021 Focus[2] 18 21 14 – 12 21 – 11 10 43 53 97
8–12 Mar 2021 AKO[3] 24 16 11 – 15 27 – 10 – – – 47 62 88
17–24 Feb 2021 Focus[4] 20 17 10 12 13 24 10 – – – – 44 64 86
8–11 Feb 2021 AKO[5] 26 16 9 – 14 28 10 – – – – 47 73 77
12–19 Jan 2021 Focus[4] 20 18 10 19 10 26 – – – – – 47 56 94
17–19 Dec 2020 AKO[7] 26 17 11 11 12 30 – – – – – 43 67 83
8–14 Dec 2020 Focus[8] 21 19 10 16 12 31 – – – – – 41 62 88
18–25 Nov 2020 Focus[9] 26 18 11 18 11 22 – 9 – – – 35 59 91
7–15 Oct 2020 Focus[10] 27 19 13 18 10 20 – 9 – – – 34 60 90
1–9 Oct 2020 AKO[11] 29 16 17 16 12 25 – – – – – 35 71 79
26 Aug–2 Sept 2020 Focus[12] 35 21 17 16 11 19 – – – – – 31 71 79
7–17 Jul 2020 AKO[13] 44 20 12 15 10 18 – – – – – 31 74 76
17–24 June 2020 Focus[14] 41 37 25 18 12 17 – – – – – — 83 67
14–21 May 2020 Focus[15] 43 41 21 18 12 15 – – – – – — 79 71
15–19 Apr 2020 Focus[16] 45 40 21 17 14 13 – – – – – — 79 71
14–17 Apr 2020 AKO[17] 56 34 18 12 12 18 – – – – — 92 58
18–21 Mar 2020 Focus[16] 47 43 23 15 – 12 10 – – – — 92 58
29 February 2020 2020 elections 53 38 17 17 – 13 12 – – – — 95 55
Govt.
 Opp.
OĽaNO
 Smer–
SD 		Sme Rodina
Kotlebovci–
ĽSNS
 PS SaS Za ľudí KDH
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S[a] Most–Híd Hlas–
SD

References

  1. ^ a b Hřích, Václav (20 April 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – APRÍL 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 20 April 2021.
  2. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 11 April 2020. Retrieved 2021-04-11.
  3. ^ a b Hřích, Václav (15 March 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – MAREC 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  4. ^ a b c "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  5. ^ a b Hřích, Václav (12 February 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – FEBRUÁR 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  6. ^ "Hlas sa šplhá k 25 percentám. OĽaNO má 10 percent, spor premiéra so Sulíkom už pripravil o preferencie aj SaS" (PDF). dennikn.sk. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  7. ^ a b Hřích, Václav (21 December 2020). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – DECEMBER 2020" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  8. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  9. ^ a b "Prieskum: Z konfliktu SaS a OĽaNO ťaží Sulík, rastie aj Pellegriniho Hlas". SME.sk (in Slovak). 29 November 2020. Retrieved 29 November 2020.
  10. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 18 October 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  11. ^ a b "Prieskum: Pellegriniho Hlas prvýkrát predbehol OĽaNO, výrazne rastie SaS". Slovensko (in Slovak). 2020-10-14. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  12. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 9 June 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  13. ^ a b "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR –JÚL2020po 100 dňoch novej vlády" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  14. ^ a b "S Pellegrinim aj bez neho. Exkluzívny prieskum ukazuje, ako by nová strana zamiešala preferenciami". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2020-06-28. Retrieved 2021-03-27.
  15. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 24 May 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  16. ^ a b c d "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 19 April 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  17. ^ a b "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
Hi, Kahlores
The problem with the previous table was that, as you can see, it was extremely recombined, incoherent, confusing.
As for merging % and chairs, this solution comes from an article on Spanish polls. Polls in Slovakia are primarily made and based on % and seats are only a subsequent mathematical result.
As for the smaller parties, only parties that are not parliamentary or did not reach even 3% in polls were removed. A similar solution is used for German, Austrian, Ukrainian, etc. polls where you have the ´´others´´ box and you also don't have micro parties there.
--Igec133 (talk) 14:59, 13 October 2021 (UTC)
Hi Igec133,
I understand your first arguments (the layout was complex, and the tables redundant), however, what defines a "small" party is arbitrary. 3% is still close to the 5% threshold. Many parties can fall below the threshold for some time (currently ZL', L'SNS and ALI, according to AKO), and rise later. Also, a minor party at 3% can still pump votes from a major party, and thus play a major role.
Another problem on your table is that we can't sort polls by pollster, which makes comparisons uneasy. If you want to know how to do it, look at the wikicode of the previous table. There's a sortable class for the table, unsortable class for the party names, and data-sort-value="2021-04-01" attributes on each framework date cell, to ensure proper sorting.
Kahlores (talk) 15:15, 13 October 2021 (UTC)
@Kahlores and Igec133: Other poll pages dont care how much % the party gets but how often and I agree with Kahlores 3% are close enough to 5% Braganza (talk)
@Igec133: the "others" column isnt on the Austrian & German poll pages because we think we should ignore small parties but rather the pollster themselves ignore them Braganza (talk) 08:20, 4 February 2022 (UTC)

Polis

@Igec133: why do you reversed my edits? Braganza (talk) 22:08, 8 January 2022 (UTC)

Full table, updated

transcluded from: User:Kahlores/sandbox/Slovakia

Polling
firm 		Date Sample
size
OĽaNO
 SMER-SSD SR ĽSNS PS-SPOLU SaS ZĽ KDH
ALI
 SNS
DV
 HLAS-SD
REP
 Others Lead
PS
SPOLU
 MKÖ-MKS M-H
MF
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S
AKO[17] 7–14
Jul 2022 		1,000 9.2%
16 		14.6%
25 		6.0%
10 		1.5%
0 		9.8%
17 		14.7%
26 		2.2%
0 		7.2%
12 		1.8%
0 		1.1%
0 		4.1%
0 		1.5%
0 		20.0%
35 		5.4%
9 		8.3% 5.3%
6 Jul 2022 SaS terminated the coalition agreement between the government parties.
Focus[18] 20–27
Jun 2022 		1,005 7.1%
13 		14.4%
26 		7.6%
14 		3.3%
0 		9.1%
17 		1.0%
0 		9.6%
18 		2.1%
0 		6.7%
12 		1.8%
0 		4.1%
0 		4.0%
0 		1.2%
0 		20.5%
38 		6.8%
12 		8.7%[b] 6.1%
AKO[19] 7–10
Jun 2022 		1,000 8.5%
15 		14.8%
26 		5.7%
10 		1.8%
0 		9.9%
17 		14.3%
25 		2.2%
0 		7.3%
13 		1.9%
0 		1.9%
0 		4.2%
0 		20.2%
35 		5.2%
9 		8.2% 5.4%
Focus[20] 25–31
May 2022 		1,008 8.1%
15 		14.9%
27 		5.6%
10 		2.8%
0 		9.1%
17 		1.1%
0 		11.1%
20 		3.1%
0 		6.5%
12 		1.1%
0 		3.7%
0 		3.7%
0 		1.4%
0 		20.3%
37 		6.8%
12 		8.0% 5.4%
AKO[21] 10–16
May 2022 		1,000 10.7%
18 		13.5%
24 		6.1%
10 		1.1%
0 		9.7%
17 		14.3%
25 		2.1%
0 		7.7%
13 		2.0%
0 		2.4%
0 		4.0%
0 		1.5%
0 		18.2%
32 		6.2%
11 		8.0%[c] 3.9%
Polis
Slovakia[22] 		18–23
Apr 2022 		1,003 7.8%
13 		17.9%
31 		7.2%
12 		3.1%
0 		5.7%
10 		0.5%
0 		13.2%
23 		1.0%
0 		5.3%
9 		6.1%
11 		3.1%
0 		2.8%
0 		17.9%
31 		6.0%
10 		8.8%[d] Tie
AKO[23] 5–11 Apr 2022 1,000 8.9%
16 		14.5%
26 		6.6%
12 		3.0%
0 		8.7%
15 		0.6%
0 		14.0%
25 		2.0%
0 		6.5%
11 		2.1%
0 		2.6%
0 		3.9%
0 		0.9%
0 		18.9%
34 		6.2%
11 		8.1%[e] 4.4%
Focus[24] 30 Mar–6 Apr 2022 1,007 8.1%
15 		15.1%
28 		7.5%
14 		4.5%
0 		7.3%
14 		0.6%
0 		10.3%
19 		2.5%
0 		6.3%
12 		1.6%
0 		4.4%
0 		3.6%
0 		1.9%
0 		19.0% 6.9%
13 		8.1% 3.9%
Median[25] 1–3 Mar 2022 1,000 10.7% 14.1% 6.7% 2.3% 11.0% 1.6% 13.2% 2.8% 6.8% 2.9% 1.1% 2.0% 14.1% 7.0% 8.4% Tie
Focus[26] 22 Feb–1 Mar 2022 1,003 7.8%
14 		15.6%
29 		6.3%
12 		3.8%
0 		8.1%
15 		12.0%
22 		2.7%
0 		6.0%
11 		4.6%
0 		3.8%
0 		1.1%
0 		18.5%
34 		7.0%
13 		7.6% 2.9%
AKO[27] 8–14 Feb 2022 1,000 8.0%
14 		14.5%
26 		6.9%
12 		2.5%
0 		8.7%
16 		1.2%
22 		14.2%
0 		2.3%
0 		7.2%
13 		0.3%
0 		4.1%
0 		3.8%
0 		1.2%
0 		17.5%
31 		6.9%
12 		7.2%[f] 3.0%
Median[28] 27 Jan–1 Feb 2022 1,006 9.5% 15.6% 5.7% 4.1% 10.6% 0.9% 13.5% 2.5% 5.0% 3.4% 3.3% 13.5% 5.6% 11.0% 2.1%
Focus[29] 19–26 Jan 2022 1,017 8.0%
14 		16.3%
30 		6.1%
11 		4.3%
0 		8.3%
15 		0.7%
0 		11.1%
21 		3.0%
0 		5.8%
11 		4.4%
0 		3.9%
0 		17.8%
33 		7.8%
14 		7.1% 1.5%
AKO[30] 10–17 Jan 2022 1,000 9.3%
17 		13.8%
25 		6.5%
12 		2.9%
0 		8.5%
15 		0.8%
0 		14.2%
25 		2.2%
0 		6.0%
11 		0.5%
0 		4.0%
0 		3.6%
0 		2.0%
0 		18.0%
33 		6.2%
11 		8.4%[g] 3.8%
AKO[31] 7–12 Dec 2021 1,000 9.0%
16 		13.7%
25 		6.5%
12 		3.4%
0 		8.6%
15 		13.9%
25 		2.4%
0 		6.0%
11 		3.7%
0 		3.6%
0 		2.2%
0 		19.0%
35 		5.9%
11 		7.9% 5.1%
Focus[32] 16–23 Nov 2021 1,005 7.9%
15 		15.0%
28 		6.1%
11 		4.8%
0 		7.7%
14 		1.0%
0 		11.5%
22 		2.1%
0 		6.1%
11 		4.4%
0 		3.6%
0 		2.1%
0 		19.2%
36 		6.8%
13 		8.4% 4.2%
AKO[33] 8–16 Nov 2021 1,000 9.7%
18 		13.0%
24 		6.8%
13 		3.5%
0 		8.7%
16 		0.9%
0 		13.6%
25 		2.2%
0 		5.4%
10 		1.0%
0 		4.2%
0 		3.6%
0 		2.3%
0 		18.5%
34 		5.6%
10 		8.8% 4.9%
Focus[34] 20–27 Oct 2021 1,009 8.4%
15 		15.5%
27 		6.3%
11 		3.8%
0 		6.9%
12 		1.1%
0 		12.2%
21 		2.8%
0 		6.1%
11 		5.2%
9 		3.3%
0 		2.2%
0 		19.3%
34 		5.5%
10 		8.0% 3.8%
Actly[35] 17–20 Oct 2021 1,006 6.8%
12 		17.7%
32 		9.4%
17 		2.4%
0 		5.9%
11 		1.0%
0 		10.5%
19 		2.8%
0 		5.9%
11 		3.9%
0 		3.1%
0 		2.0%
0 		21.0% 5.1%
9 		8.6%[h] 3.3%
AKO[36] 4–7 Oct 2021 1,000 9.2%
17 		13.8%
25 		7.4%
13 		2.3%
0 		8.6%
16 		1.2%
0 		14.5%
26 		2.1%
0 		5.9%
11 		0.5%
0 		4.5%
0 		3.6%
0 		1.8%
0 		18.2%
33 		5.0%
9 		8.5%[i] 3.7%
AKO[37] 6–13 Sep 2021 1,000 9.9%
18 		13.9%
25 		6.8%
12 		2.7%
0 		8.7%
15 		0.8%
0 		14.5%
26 		1.7%
0 		6.6%
12 		1.1%
0 		3.8%
0 		3.5%
0 		0.9%
0 		18.8%
33 		5.2%
9 		7.4%[j] 4.3%
Focus[38] 1–7 Sep 2021 1,002 8.2%
14 		14.4%
25 		6.7%
12 		4.6%
0 		7.0%
12 		11.7%
21 		2.2%
0 		6.1%
11 		5.5%
10 		18.5%
33 		6.8%
12 		8.3% 4.1%
Median[39] 31 Aug–6 Sep 2021 1,018 10.0% 12.7% 7.2% 3.3% 8.6% 12.3% 3.9% 4.8% 4.8% 16.3% 5.4% 10.7% 3.6%
AKO[40] 10–15 Aug 2021 1,000 9.8%
19 		11.3%
22 		6.6%
13 		3.9%
0 		8.9%
17 		1.2%
0 		14.7%
29 		3.0%
0 		6.3%
12 		0.5%
0 		3.3%
0 		3.5%
0 		1.5%
0 		19.5%
38 		4.5%
0 		8.2%[k] 4.8%
AKO[41] 6–12 Jul 2021 1,000 8.8% 10.9% 7.8% 3.5% 8.4% 1.9% 13.8% 3.1% 6.2% 0.7% 4.3% 3.4% 1.9% 20.8% 3.8% 7.0%
7 Jul 2021 Judgment of the Constitutional Court rejecting the realization of the opposition snap election referendum due to unconstitutionality[42]
AKO[43] 7–11 Jun 2021 1,000 9.0% 10.6% 7.8% 3.0% 8.3% 1.6% 13.9% 3.6% 5.3% 1.4% 5.2% 3.1% 2.5% 21.0% 2.8% 7.1%
Focus[44] 2–9 Jun 2021 1,011 8.2% 12.0% 7.6% 4.8% 6.3% 1.5% 12.8% 3.4% 5.8% 0.5% 5.7% 3.2% 1.3% 21.6% 4.6% 8.8%
Focus[45] 11–19 May 2021 1,008 8.8% 11.8% 7.2% 4.9% 6.1% 1.3% 12.3% 3.5% 5.7% 0.9% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 22.4% 4.5% 10.1%
AKO[46] 13–17 May 2021 1,000 9.9% 9.6% 7.4% 2.1% 8.5% 1.6% 13.8% 4.0% 5.0% 0.6% 5.3 1.6% 3.0% 22.5% 3.5% 8.7%
AKO[1] 12–17 Apr 2021 1,000 10.0% 9.2% 7.4% 2.9% 8.3% 0.9% 13.8% 4.3% 4.5% 0.5% 4.2% 3.3% 3.1% 23.9% 3.1% 10.1%
Focus[2] 31 Mar–7 Apr 2021 1,001 9.2% 10.9% 7.4% 4.3% 6.2% 0.8% 11.2% 4.8% 5.7% 0.5% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8% 22.3% 4.7% 11.1%
1 Apr 2021 Appointment of the
Heger's Cabinet following the agreement of the original government partners[47]
3–28 Mar 2021 Government crisis following government SaS and ZĽ's call for the resignation of the Prime Minister Igor Matovič[48]
AKO[3] 8–12 Mar 2021 1,000 13.1% 8.7% 5.9% 4.3% 8.0% 0.3% 14.3% 4.3% 5.2% 0.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 3.0% 2.8% 24.9% — 10.6%
Focus[4] 17–24 Feb 2021 1.018 10.4% 9.2% 5.2% 6.6% 6.7% 0.6% 12.9% 5.2% 4.9% 0.4% 3.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 23.0% — 10.1%
AKO[5] 8–11 Feb 2021 1,000 13.8% 8.5% 5.1% 3.8% 7.2% 0.7% 15.1% 5.4% 4.9% 0.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 2.3% 1.6% 25.0% — 9.9%
Focus[6] 12–19 Jan 2021 1,005 10.1% 9.1% 5.1% 9.7% 5.2% 1% 13.3% 4.2% 4.4% – 3.3% 0.6% 2% 2.8% 2.1% 24.3% — 11%
AKO[7] 17–19 Dec 2020 1,000 14.2% 9% 5.7% 5.7% 6.5% 0.5% 16.2% 4.7% 4.7% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 22.8% — 6.6%
Focus[8] 8–14 Dec 2020 1,000 11% 9.8% 5.4% 8.2% 6% 0.4% 15.8% 4.4% 4.9% – 3.3% 0.8% 2% 2.7% 2.1% 20.1% — 5.1%
Focus[9] 18–25 Nov 2020 1,004 14% 9.5% 6.1% 9.6% 5.9% 1% 12.1% 4.1% 5.1% – 3.3% 0.5% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 19.1% — 5.1%
Focus[10] 7–15 Oct 2020 1,014 15.1% 10.5% 7.3% 9.8% 5.4% 0.3% 10.7% 4.8% 5.2% – 3.2% 0.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 18.7% — 3.6%
AKO[11] 1–9 Oct 2020 1,000 15.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 6.2% 1.8% 13.4% 4.2% 3.0% 0.3% 2.4% 0.2% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 18.8% — 3.5%
Focus[12] 26 Aug–2 Sep 2020 1,022 18.4%
35 		10.9%
21 		9.1%
17 		8.5%
16 		5.9%
11 		0.6%
0 		9.9%
19 		3.9%
0 		4.5%
0 		– 3.1%
0 		0.7%
0 		1.7%
0 		3.0%
0 		1.9%
0 		16.2%
31 		— 2.2%
AKO[13] 7–17 Jul 2020 1,000 23.5%
44 		10.7%
20 		6.4%
12 		7.9%
15 		5.2%
10 		2.2%
0 		9.4%
18 		4.0%
0 		3.0%
0 		– 2.5%
0 		– 1.0%
0 		1.4%
0 		2.6%
0 		16.7%
31 		— 6.8%
Focus[14] 17–24 Jun 2020 1,009 21.2%
41 		19.0%
37 		12.8%
25 		9.6%
18 		6.2%
12 		0.8%
0 		9.2%
17 		3.6%
0 		4.6%
0 		0.3%
0 		3.7%
0 		0.5%
0 		1.5%
0 		2.1%
0 		2.4%
0 		— — 2.2%
Focus[15] 14–21 May 2020 1,011 22.9%
43 		21.6%
41 		11.2%
21 		9.7%
18 		6.5%
12 		0.2%
0 		8.0%
15 		4.3%
0 		4.8%
0 		– 4.2%
0 		– 1.5%
0 		1.4%
0 		2.0%
0 		— — 1.3%
Focus[16] 15–19 Apr 2020 1,016 24.4%
45 		21.8%
40 		11.5%
21 		9.2%
17 		7.6%
14 		6.8%
13 		3.2%
0 		4.5%
0 		– 2.8%
0 		– 1.8%
0 		1.6%
0 		1.1%
0 		— — 2.6%
AKO[17] 14–17 Apr 2020 1,000 29.9%
56 		18.3%
34 		10.0%
18 		6.4%
12 		6.9%
12 		0.9%
0 		9.7%
18 		3.0%
0 		3.7%
0 		4.4%
0 		0.6%
0 		2.2%
0 		2.2%
0 		— — 11.6%
21 Mar 2020 Appointment of the Matovič's Cabinet following the agreement of the OĽaNO, SR, SaS and ZĽ – new government partners[49]
Focus[16] 18–21 Mar 2020 1,023 23.3% 21.6% 11.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.8% 5.2% 4.1% 3.5% 1.3% 3.4% 2.4% — — 1.7%
2020 elections 29 February 2020 25.0%
53 		18.3%
38 		8.2%
17 		8.0%
17 		7.0%
0 		6.2%
13 		5.8%
12 		4.7%
0 		3.9%
0 		2.1%
0 		3.2%
0 		3.1%
0 		— — 6.7%
Lead Others
OĽaNO
 SMER-SD SR
ĽSNS
 PS
SPOLU
 SaS ZĽ KDH MF
SMK-MKP
 Ö-S M-H SNS DV
HLAS-SD
REP
MKÖ-MKS
PS-SPOLU ALI
@User:Kahlores you should update it


Cite error: There are <ref group=lower-alpha> tags or {{efn}} templates on this page, but the references will not show without a {{reflist|group=lower-alpha}} template or {{notelist}} template (see the help page).

  1. ^ Hřích, Václav (20 April 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – APRÍL 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 20 April 2021.
  2. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 11 April 2020. Retrieved 2021-04-11.
  3. ^ Hřích, Václav (15 March 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – MAREC 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  4. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  5. ^ Hřích, Václav (12 February 2021). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – FEBRUÁR 2021" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  6. ^ "Hlas sa šplhá k 25 percentám. OĽaNO má 10 percent, spor premiéra so Sulíkom už pripravil o preferencie aj SaS" (PDF). dennikn.sk. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  7. ^ Hřích, Václav (21 December 2020). "Prieskum volebných preferencií do NR SR – DECEMBER 2020" (PDF) (Press release). Bratislava. AKO. Retrieved 26 March 2021.
  8. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  9. ^ "Prieskum: Z konfliktu SaS a OĽaNO ťaží Sulík, rastie aj Pellegriniho Hlas". SME.sk (in Slovak). 29 November 2020. Retrieved 29 November 2020.
  10. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 18 October 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  11. ^ "Prieskum: Pellegriniho Hlas prvýkrát predbehol OĽaNO, výrazne rastie SaS". Slovensko (in Slovak). 2020-10-14. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  12. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 9 June 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  13. ^ "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR –JÚL2020po 100 dňoch novej vlády" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  14. ^ "S Pellegrinim aj bez neho. Exkluzívny prieskum ukazuje, ako by nová strana zamiešala preferenciami". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2020-06-28. Retrieved 2021-03-27.
  15. ^ "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 24 May 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  16. ^ a b "Press release" (PDF). www.focus-research.sk. 19 April 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
  17. ^ "Prieskum volebných preferenciído NR SR" (PDF). ako.sk. 2020. Retrieved 2021-03-31.
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