User:Breister/sandbox
The FairTax is the name given by the authors of a
--- This should go in tax details ---
--- This should go in a Pros and Cons section ---
The plan's supporters believe that a consumption tax would have a positive effect on
Legislative overview and history
First introduced into the
--- This paragraph duplicates much of the opening article paragraph, need to figure out if we can skip the duplication --- The Fair Tax Act is designed to replace all
Linder first introduced the Fair Tax Act (H.R. 2525) on July 14, 1999 to the
To become law, the bill will need to be included in a final version of tax legislation from the
Tax details
Tax rate and rebate
As defined in the legislation, the tax rate is 23% for the first year. This percentage is based on the total amount paid including the tax ($23 out of every $100 spent in total). This would be equivalent to a 30% traditional U.S. sales tax ($23 on top of every $77 spent—$100 total).[7] The rate would then be automatically adjusted annually based on federal receipts in the previous fiscal year.[27] With the rebate taken into consideration, the FairTax would be progressive on consumption,[2] but would also be regressive on income at higher income levels (as consumption falls as a percentage of income).[8][28] Opponents argue this would accordingly decrease the tax burden on high income earners and increase it on the middle class.[7][22] Supporters contend that the plan would effectively tax wealth, increase purchasing power,[29][30] and decrease tax burdens by broadening the tax base.
Effective tax rate (Individual/Household)
The
Tax collection
The tax would be levied once at the final retail sale for personal consumption on new goods and services. A good would be considered "used" and not taxable if a consumer already owns it before the FairTax takes effect or if the FairTax has been paid previously on the good, which may be different than the item being sold previously.
Tax impact
The tax would be levied on all U.S. retail sales for personal consumption on new
Monthly tax rebate
One adult household | Two adult household | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Family Size |
Annual Consumption Allowance |
Annual Prebate |
Monthly Prebate |
Family Size |
Annual Consumption Allowance |
Annual Prebate |
Monthly Prebate |
1 person | $10,890 | $2,505 | $209 | couple | $21,780 | $5,009 | $417 |
and 1 child | $14,710 | $3,383 | $282 | and 1 child | $25,600 | $5,888 | $491 |
and 2 children | $18,530 | $4,262 | $355 | and 2 children | $29,420 | $6,767 | $564 |
and 3 children | $22,350 | $5,141 | $428 | and 3 children | $33,240 | $7,645 | $637 |
and 4 children | $26,170 | $6,019 | $502 | and 4 children | $37,060 | $8,524 | $710 |
and 5 children | $29,990 | $6,898 | $575 | and 5 children | $40,880 | $9,402 | $784 |
and 6 children | $33,810 | $7,776 | $648 | and 6 children | $44,700 | $10,281 | $857 |
and 7 children | $37,630 | $8,655 | $721 | and 7 children | $48,520 | $11,160 | $930 |
The annual consumption allowance is based on the 2011 DHHS Poverty Guidelines as published in the Federal Register, January 20, 2011, p. 3638. There is no marriage penalty as the couple gets twice the amount that a single adult receives. For each additional child above 7, add $3,820 to the annual consumption allowance, $878 to the annual rebate, and $73 to the monthly rebate amount. The annual consumption allowance is the amount of spending that is "untaxed" under the FairTax. Note: Alaska and Hawaii have different poverty levels and would have different FairTax rebate amounts. |
Under the FairTax,
Opponents of the plan criticize this tax rebate due to its costs. Economists at the
The
Presentation of tax rate
Sales and income taxes behave differently due to differing definitions of tax base, which can make comparisons between the two confusing. Under the existing individual income plus employment (Social Security; Medicare; Medicaid) tax formula, taxes to be paid are included in the base on which the tax rate is imposed (known as
The FairTax
Revenue neutrality
A key question surrounding the FairTax is whether the tax has the ability to be revenue-neutral; that is, whether the tax would result in an increase or reduction in overall federal tax revenues. Economists, advisory groups, and political advocacy groups disagree about the tax rate required for the FairTax to be truly revenue-neutral. Various analysts use different assumptions, time-frames, and methods resulting in dramatically different
A 2006 study published in
In contrast to the above studies,
Distribution of tax burden
The FairTax's effect on the distribution of taxation or tax incidence (the effect on the distribution of economic welfare) is a point of dispute. The plan's supporters argue that the tax would broaden the tax base, that it would be progressive, and that it would decrease tax burdens and start taxing wealth (reducing the economic gap).[29][52] Opponents argue that a national sales tax would be inherently regressive and would decrease tax burdens paid by high-income individuals.[7][53] Households at the lower end of the income scale spend almost all their income, while households at the higher end are more likely to devote a portion of income to saving; households at the extreme high end of consumption often finance their purchases out of savings, not income.[8][36] Income earned and saved would not be taxed until spent under the proposal.
Under the initial rate, a family of four (a couple with two children) earning $25,000 and spending this on taxable goods and services would consume 100% of their income. A higher income family of four making $100,000, spending $75,000 and saving $25,000, would devote 75% of their income for the year on taxable goods and services. Therefore, according to economist William G. Gale, the percentage of income taxed is regressive.[8] However, including the rebate specified in HR25 yields a different picture. In this example, the couple with the $25,000 income would actually receive $1,016 more in rebate then they spent in taxes ($5,750 tax minus $6,767 rebate), while the couple earning $100,000 would spend $10,483 in taxes ($17,250 tax minus $6,767 rebate). When presented with an estimated effective tax rate, the low-income family above would pay a tax rate of -4.06% on the 100% of consumption (-$1,016/$25,000), whereas the higher income family would pay a tax rate of 13.9% on the 75% of consumption ($10,483/$75,000, with the other 25% untaxed until spent).[31] Thus, according to economist Laurence Kotlikoff, the effective tax rate is progressive on consumption.[2] A person spending at the poverty level would have an effective tax rate of 0%, whereas someone spending at four times the poverty level would have an effective tax rate on consumption of 17.2%.[31]
Kotlikoff states that the FairTax could make the tax system much more progressive and generationally equitable,
Gale analyzed a national sales tax (though different from the FairTax in several aspects
Predicted effects
The predicted effects of the FairTax are a source of disagreement among economists and other analysts.
Economic
- For more details on this topic, see Predicted effects of the FairTax: Economic effects
Americans For Fair Taxation states the FairTax would boost the United States economy and offers a letter signed by eighty economists, including
FairTax proponents argue that the proposal would provide tax burden visibility and reduce compliance and efficiency costs by 90%, returning a large share of money to the productive economy.
Opponents point to a study commissioned by the
Transition
- For more details on this topic, see Predicted effects of the FairTax: Transition effects
During the transition, many or most of the employees of the IRS (105,978 in 2005)[67] would face loss of employment.[43] The Beacon Hill Institute estimate is that the federal government would be able to cut $8 billion from the IRS budget of $11.01 billion (in 2007), reducing the size of federal tax administration by 73%.[43] In addition, income tax preparers (many seasonal), tax lawyers, tax compliance staff in medium-to-large businesses, and software companies which sell tax preparation software could face significant drops, changes, or loss of employment. The bill would maintain the IRS for three years after implementation before completely decommissioning the agency, providing employees time to find other employment.[11]
In the period before the FairTax is implemented, there could be a strong incentive for individuals to buy goods without the sales tax using credit. After the FairTax is in effect, the credit could be paid off using untaxed payroll. If credit incentives do not change, opponents of the FairTax worry it could exacerbate an existing consumer debt problem.[68] Proponents of the FairTax state that this effect could also allow individuals to pay off their existing (pre-FairTax) debt more quickly,[3] and studies suggest lower interest rates after FairTax passage.[59]
Individuals under the current system who accumulated savings from ordinary income (by choosing not to spend their money when the income was earned) paid taxes on that income before it was placed in savings (such as a Roth IRA or CD). When individuals spend above the poverty level with money saved under the current system, that spending would be subject to the FairTax. People living through the transition may find both their earnings and their spending taxed.[69] Critics have stated that the FairTax would result in unfair double taxation for savers and suggest it does not address the transition effect on some taxpayers who have accumulated significant savings from after-tax dollars, especially retirees who have finished their careers and switched to spending down their life savings.[37][69] Supporters of the plan argue that the current system is no different, since compliance costs and "hidden taxes" embedded in the prices of goods and services cause savings to be "taxed" a second time already when spent.[69] The rebate would supplement accrued savings, covering taxes up to the poverty level. The income taxes on capital gains, estates, social security and pension benefits would be eliminated under FairTax. In addition, the FairTax legislation adjusts Social Security benefits for changes in the price level, so a percentage increase in prices would result in an equal percentage increase to Social Security income.[11] Supporters suggest these changes would offset paying the FairTax under transition conditions.[3]
Other indirect effects
- For more details on this topic, see Predicted effects of the FairTax: Other indirect effects
The FairTax would be tax free on mortgage interest up to the
If the FairTax bill were passed, permanent elimination of income taxation would not be guaranteed; the FairTax bill would repeal much of the existing
Changes in the retail economy
Since the FairTax would not tax used goods, the value would be determined by the supply and demand in relation to new goods.[76] The price differential/margins between used and new goods would stay consistent, as the cost and value of used goods are in direct relationship to the cost and value of the new goods. Because the U.S. tax system has a hidden effect on prices, it is expected that moving to the FairTax would decrease production costs from the removal of business taxes and compliance costs, which is predicted to offset a portion of the FairTax effect on prices.[3]
Value of used goods
Since the FairTax would not tax used goods, some critics have argued that this would create a differential between the price of new and used goods, which may take years to equalize.[36] Such a differential would certainly influence the sale of new goods like vehicles and homes. Similarly, some supporters have claimed that this would create an incentive to buy used goods, creating environmental benefits of re-use and re-sale.[73] Conversely, it is argued that like the income tax system that contains embedded tax cost (see Theories of retail pricing),[77] used goods would contain the embedded FairTax cost.[69] While the FairTax would not be applied to the retail sales of used goods, the inherent value of a used good includes the taxes paid when the good was sold at retail. The value is determined by the supply and demand in relation to new goods.[76] The price differential / margins between used and new goods should stay consistent, as the cost and value of used goods are in direct relationship to the cost and value of the new goods.
Theories of retail pricing
Based on a study conducted by
If businesses provided employees with gross pay (including income tax withholding and the employee share of payroll taxes),[43] Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics estimated production costs could decrease by a minimum of 11.55% (partial accommodation).[46] This reduction would be from the removal of the remaining embedded costs, including corporate taxes, compliance costs, and the employer share of payroll taxes. This decrease would offset a portion of the FairTax amount reflected in retail prices, which proponents suggest as the most likely scenario.[21] Bruce Bartlett states that it is unlikely that nominal wages would be reduced, which he believes would result in a recession, but that the Federal Reserve would likely increase the money supply to accommodate price increases.[36] David Tuerck states "The monetary authorities would have to consider how the degree of accommodation, varying from none to full, would affect the overall economy and how it would affect the well-being of various groups such as retirees."[80]
Social Security benefits would be adjusted for any price changes due to FairTax implementation.[11] The Beacon Hill Institute states that it would not matter, apart from transition issues, whether prices fall or rise—the relative tax burden and tax rate remains the same.[43] Decreases in production cost would not fully apply to imported products; so according to proponents, it would provide tax advantages for domestic production and increase U.S. competitiveness in global trade (see Border adjustability). To ease the transition, U.S. retailers will receive a tax credit equal to the FairTax on their inventory to allow for quick cost reduction. Retailers would also receive an administrative fee equal to the greater of $200 or 0.25% of the remitted tax as compensation for compliance costs,[81] which amounts to around $5 billion.
Effects on tax code compliance
One avenue for non-compliance is the black market. FairTax supporters state that the
Other economists and analysts have argued that the underground economy would continue to bear the same tax burden as before.[5][84][85][86] They state that replacing the current tax system with a consumption tax would not change the tax revenue generated from the underground economy—while illicit income is not taxed directly, spending of income from illicit activity results in business income and wages that are taxed.[5][84][85]
Tax compliance and evasion
Proponents state the FairTax would reduce the number of tax filers by about 86% (from 100 million to 14 million) and reduce the filing complexity to a simplified state sales tax form.[51] The Economist reported on empirical research that supports the claim that simplified tax systems lead to greater compliance.[87] The Government Accountability Office (GAO), among others, have specifically identified the negative relationship between compliance costs and the number of focal points for collection.[88] Under the FairTax, the federal government would be able to concentrate tax enforcement efforts on a single tax. Retailers would receive an administrative fee equal to the greater of $200 or 0.25% of the remitted tax as compensation for compliance costs.[81] In addition, supporters state that the overwhelming majority of purchases occur in major retail outlets, which are very unlikely to evade the FairTax and risk losing their business licenses.[43] Economic Census figures for 2002 show that 48.5% of merchandise sales are made by just 688 businesses ("Big-Box" retailers). 85.7% of all retail sales are made by 92,334 businesses, which is 3.6% of American companies. In the service sector, approximately 80% of sales are made by 1.2% of U.S. businesses.[21]
The FairTax is a national tax, but can be administered by the states rather than a federal agency,
FairTax opponents state that compliance decreases when taxes are not
Economists from the
Underground economy
Opponents of the FairTax argue that imposing a national retail sales tax would drive transactions underground and create a vast
While many economists and tax experts support a consumption tax, problems could arise with using a retail sales tax rather than a
Personal versus business purchases
Businesses would be required to submit monthly or quarterly reports (depending on sales volume) of taxable sales and sales tax collected on their monthly sales tax return. During
FairTax movement
The creation of the FairTax began with a group of businessmen from Houston, Texas, who initially financed what has become the political advocacy group Americans For Fair Taxation (AFFT), which has grown into a large tax reform movement.[10][21] This organization, founded in 1994, claims to have spent over $20 million in research, marketing, lobbying, and organizing efforts over a ten year period and is seeking to raise over $100 million more to promote the plan.[95] AFFT includes a staff in Houston and a large group of volunteers who are working to get the FairTax enacted. Bruce Bartlett has charged that the FairTax was devised by the Church of Scientology in the early 1990s.[41] Representative John Linder told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution that Bartlett confused the FairTax movement with the Scientology-affiliated Citizens for an Alternative Tax System,[96] which also seeks to abolish the federal income tax and replace it with a national retail sales tax. Leo Linbeck, AFFT Chairman and CEO, stated "As a founder of Americans For Fair Taxation, I can state categorically, however, that Scientology played no role in the founding, research or crafting of the legislation giving expression to the FairTax."[95]
Much support has been achieved by talk radio personality
See also
Notes
- ^ a b c d e f Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 3
- ^ a b c d e f g h i Kotlikoff, 2005
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j The FairTax Book
- ^ a b c Open Letter to the President
- ^ a b c d Auerbach, 2005
- ^ a b Sipos, 2007
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o Regnier, 2005
- ^ a b c d e Gale, 1998
- ^ a b Gale, 2005
- ^ a b Linbeck statement, 2005
- ^ a b c d Fair Tax Act, 2009, Title III
- ^ a b H.R.25 108th Cosponsors
- ^ a b S.1493 108th Cosponsors
- ^ a b H.R.25 109th Cosponsors
- ^ a b S.25 109th Cosponsors
- ^ a b c H.R.25 110th Cosponsors
- ^ S.1025 110th Cosponsors
- ^ H.R.25 111th Cosponsors
- ^ S.296 111th Cosponsors
- ^ Bender, 2005
- ^ a b c d e f g Boortz and Linder, 2008
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Tax Reform Panel Report, Ch. 9
- ^ a b Davis, 2007
- ^ CBS News, 2007
- ^ Rasmussen Reports, 2009
- ^ Obama, 2008
- ^ Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 1
- ^ a b c Tuerk et al., 2007
- ^ a b c Kotlikoff and Rapson, 2006
- ^ a b c Kotlikoff and Jokisch, 2007
- ^ a b c d Walby, 2005
- ^ a b Fair Tax Act, 2009
- ^ 2011 prebate
- ^ a b c d e Rebuttal to Tax Panel Report, 2006
- ^ Bartlett, 2007
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Bartlett, 2007, Tax Notes
- ^ a b c d Yin, 2006, Fla. L. Rev.
- ^ Linder and Boortz, 2007
- ^ a b c d e Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 5
- ^ a b Miller, 2007
- ^ a b c d Bartlett, 2007, Wall Street Journal
- ^ Gingrich and Ferrara, 2005
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Bachman et al., 2006
- ^ a b Burton and Mastromarco, 1998
- ^ Burton and Mastromarco, 1998a
- ^ a b c d Arduin, Laffer & Moore Econometrics, 2006
- ^ Altig et al., 2001
- ^ a b c Tuerk et al., 2007
- ^ Esenwein, 2005
- ^ a b c Diamond and Zodrow, 2008
- ^ a b c d e f Kotlikoff, 2008
- ^ Tamny, 2009
- ^ a b c Taranto, 2007
- ^ Kotlikoff and Rapson, 2006
- ^ Tuerk et al., 2007
- ^ Zodrow and McClure, 2006
- ^ Giuliani, 2007
- ^ a b Vance, 2005
- ^ a b Golob, 1995
- ^ Tuerk et al., 2007
- ^ Gaver, 2006
- ^ Hodge and Atkins, 2005
- ^ Linbeck, 2006a
- ^ Linbeck, 2007
- ^ Vargas, 2005
- ^ a b c Buckley, 2008
- ^ IRS Labor Force, 2005
- ^ Household Debt, 2006
- ^ a b c d Taranto, 2007a
- ^ Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 8
- ^ Tuerck et al., 2007
- ^ Types of Bonds
- ^ a b c Gravel, 2007
- ^ Edwards, 2002
- ^ Fair Tax Act, 2009, Title IV
- ^ a b Landsburg, 1998
- ^ Forbes, 2007
- ^ Jorgenson, 1998
- ^ Boortz, 2005
- ^ a b c Tuerck, 2008
- ^ a b Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 2
- ^ McTague, 2005
- ^ Schlosser, 2004
- ^ a b c Taranto, 2007
- ^ a b c d American Enterprise Institute, 2007
- ^ Moffatt, 2006
- ^ The Economist, 2005
- ^ a b c Tuerck at el, 2007
- ^ a b Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 4
- ^ California Legislative Analyst's Office
- ^ Karvounis, 2007
- ^ a b Fox and Murray, 2005
- ^ Slemrod, 2005
- ^ Fair Tax Act, 2009, Chapter 7
- ^ a b Linbeck, 2007
- ^ Galloway, 2007
- ^ a b Boortz, 2005
- ^ Boortz, 2006
- ^ Politico, 2010
- ^ Gary Johnson 2012 Campaign Site, 2011
- ^ RedState, 2011
References
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{{cite web}}
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{{cite web}}
: Unknown parameter|coauthors=
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suggested) (help) - Tuerck, David (February 2007). "A Comparison of the FairTax Base and Rate with Other National Tax Reform Proposals" (PDF). Beacon Hill Institute. Retrieved 2007-09-09.
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suggested) (help) - Tuerck, David (September 2007). "Tax Administration and Collection Costs: The FairTax vs. the Existing Federal Tax System" (PDF). Beacon Hill Institute. Retrieved 2008-01-13.
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Further reading
- Kotlikoff, Laurence (2004). )
- McCaffery, Edward, J. (2006). Fair Not Flat: How to Make the Tax System Better and Simpler (Paperback ed.). University of Chicago Press. ISBN 0-226-55561-5.)
{{cite book}}
: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link - Zodrow, George R. (2002). United States Tax Reform in the 21st Century (Hardcover ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-80383-0.)
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External links
- FairTax.org: Americans For Fair Taxation
- H.R.25: "FairTax Act of 2011": Text of House bill H.R.25
- S.13: Fair Tax Act of 2011: Text of Senate bill S.13