2014 Texas gubernatorial election
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Turnout | 33.7% (of registered voters) 25.0% (of voting age population)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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Abbott: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Davis: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No data | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Texas |
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Government |
The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the
The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican
Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th Governor of Texas.
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Abbott, Attorney General of Texas[6]
- Lisa Fritsch, author and radio show host[7]
- Larry Kilgore, perennial candidate[8]
- Miriam Martinez, former Univision personality[9]
Withdrew
- Tom Pauken, former Texas Workforce Commissioner and former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas[10]
Declined
- David Dewhurst, Lieutenant Governor of Texas (ran for re-election and lost the party primary runoff)[11][12]
- Debra Medina, activist and candidate for Governor of Texas in 2010 (running for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[13][14]
- Rick Perry, incumbent governor of Texas[citation needed]
Endorsements
- Organizations
- Texas Municipal Police Association[15]
- Individuals
- Governor of Alaska and 2008 Republican vice presidential candidate[16]
- Organizations
- Citizens for the Republic[17]
- Individuals
- Mark Levin, talk radio host, lawyer, and author[18]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott |
Lisa Fritsch |
Larry Kilgore |
Miriam Martinez |
Tom Pauken |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 461 | ± 4.56% | 90% | 4% | 1% | 5% | — | — | — |
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 519 | ± 5.02% | 50% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | — | 42% |
Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 279 | ± 5.87% | 22% | — | 2% | 1% | 0% | — | 74% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry |
Greg Abbott |
Someone else | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 318 | ± ?% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
44% | — | 39% | 17% | ||||
UoT/Texas Tribune | May 31–June 9, 2013 | 492 | ± 5.27% | 45% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 15–24, 2013 | 549 | ± 4.18% | 49% | 17% | — | 31% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | — | 41% | 13% |
41% | 38% | — | 20% | ||||
Burnt Orange Report | May 15–16, 2012 | 462 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 35% | 7% | 16% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott | 1,224,014 | 91.48 | |
Republican | Lisa Fritsch | 59,221 | 4.42 | |
Republican | Miriam Martinez | 35,585 | 2.65 | |
Republican | Larry Kilgore | 19,055 | 1.42 | |
Total votes | 1,337,875 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Wendy Davis, state senator[20][21]
- Ray Madrigal, perennial candidate[22]
Declined
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former mayor of San Antonio[23]
- Houston[26]
- Mike Villarreal, state representative[27]
- Bill White, former Mayor of Houston and nominee for governor in 2010[29]
Endorsements
- Politicians
- Julian Castro, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former Mayor of San Antonio[30]
- Howard Dean, former Chair of the Democratic National Committee, former Governor of Vermont, candidate for President in 2004[31]
- Organizations
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Wendy Davis |
Ray Madrigal |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 263 | ± 6.04% | 87% | 13% | — | — |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Wendy Davis | 432,595 | 78.08 | |
Democratic | Ray Madrigal | 121,419 | 21.91 | |
Total votes | 554,014 | 100 |
Libertarian nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist[34]
- Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer[35]
- Kathie Glass, attorney[36]
- Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate[37]
Withdrew
- Gene Chapman, candidate for President of the United States in 2008[38][39]
- R. Lee Wrights, Vice Chair of the Libertarian National Committee and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[40][41]
Results
Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.[2]
Green nomination
Candidates
Declared
- Brandon Parmer, candidate for 2012[42]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Sarah M. Pavitt, an Army veteran and cousin of former SOCOM commander William H. McRaven, ran as a write-in candidate.[43]
Declined
- Debra Medina, activist and Republican candidate for governor in 2010 (ran unsuccessfully for Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts)[44]
General election
Debates
The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[45] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here.[46] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas."[47] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[48]
|
Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49]
|
Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Rothenberg Political Report[50] | Safe R | November 3, 2014 |
Real Clear Politics[51]
|
Likely R | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 3,987 | ± 3% | 57% | 37% | 0% | 6% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 10–19, 2014 | 866 | ± 3.6% | 54% | 38% | 8%[52] | — |
Survey Research Center | September 22–October 16, 2014 | 781 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 32% | 2%[53] | 17% |
Crosswind Communications | October 9–12, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.33% | 52% | 31% | 0% | 16% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 1–2, 2014 | 840 | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | 3% | 7% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 4,177 | ± 2% | 54% | 40% | 0% | 5% |
Texas Lyceum[permanent dead link] | September 11–25, 2014 | 666 | ± 3.8% | 49% | 40% | 4%[54] | 8% |
Benenson* | September 2–4, 2014 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 38% | — | 16% |
WPA Opinion Research^ | September 3, 2014 | ? | ± ? | 53% | 35% | — | 12% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 4,189 | ± 2% | 56% | 38% | 2% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 4–5, 2014 | 850 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 40% | 3% | 9% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 4,320 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | May 30–June 8, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 44% | 32% | 7%[55] | 17% |
Texas Tech University | April 14–17, 2014 | 454 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 25% | 6% | 15% |
Public Policy Polling | April 10–13, 2014 | 559 | ± 4.1% | 51% | 37% | — | 13% |
Emerson College Archived March 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine | March 7–12, 2014 | 494 | ± ? | 49% | 42% | — | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports | March 3–4, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 53% | 41% | 1% | 4% |
UoT/Texas Tribune | February 7–17, 2014 | 1,200 | ± 2.83% | 47% | 36% | — | 17% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–4, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 35% | — | 15% |
47% | 37% | 9% | 8% | ||||
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 40% | 34% | — | 25% |
40% | 35% | 5%[56] | 20% | ||||
Texas Lyceum | September 6–20, 2013 | 798 | ± 3.47% | 29% | 21% | — | 50% |
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 40% | — | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 34% | — | 20% |
- With Castro
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 34% | — | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 36% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Julian Castro (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 42% | — | 11% |
- With Davis
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Pauken (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UoT/Texas Tribune | October 18–27, 2013 | 1,200 | ± 3.3% | 34% | 38% | — | 28% |
33% | 36% | 6% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Wendy Davis (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 39% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 41% | — | 13% |
- With Parker
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 31% | — | 20% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 35% | — | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Annise Parker (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 52% | 35% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 47% | 40% | — | 13% |
- With White
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Abbott (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 48% | 36% | — | 16% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 39% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Rick Perry (R) |
Bill White (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | June 28–July 1, 2013 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | — | 10% |
Public Policy Polling | January 24–27, 2013 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 44% | 47% | — | 9% |
- * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
- ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Abbott | 2,796,547 | 59.27% | +4.30% | |
Democratic | Wendy Davis | 1,835,596 | 38.90% | -3.40% | |
Libertarian | Kathie Glass | 66,543 | 1.41% | -0.78% | |
Green
|
Brandon Parmer | 18,520 | 0.39% | 0.00% | |
Independent
|
Sarah M. Pavitt (write-in) | 1,062 | 0.02% | N/A | |
Total votes | 4,718,268 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- San Antonio)
- Culberson (largest municipality: Van Horn)
- Falls (largest city: Marlin)
- Foard (largest city: Crowell)
- Houston)
- Kleberg (largest municipality: Kingsville)
- La Salle (largest municipality: Cotulla)
- Reeves (largest municipality: Pecos)
- Trinity (largest city: Trinity)
See also
- 2014 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Texas
- 2014 United States Senate election in Texas
- 2014 Texas elections
References
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- ^ a b "2014 Statewide Offices List". Libertarian Party of Texas. Archived from the original on July 26, 2014. Retrieved July 15, 2014.
- ^ "Green Party of Texas - Peace * Justice * Democracy * Ecology". Retrieved October 11, 2014.
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- ^ "2014 Exit Polls - Politics - Fox News". Fox News. Retrieved November 15, 2014.
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- ^ Fernandez, Manny (November 23, 2012). "With Stickers, a Petition and Even a Middle Name, Secession Fever Hits Texas". The New York Times. Retrieved February 20, 2013.
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- ^ Stutz, Terrence. "David Dewhurst '101 percent' sure he'll seek re-election as Texas lieutenant governor | Dallasnews.com - News for Dallas, Texas - The Dallas Morning News". Dallasnews.com. Archived from the original on April 3, 2015. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
- ^ "Dewhurst affirms re-election campaign". KTRK-TV Houston. Associated Press. August 7, 2013. Archived from the original on September 11, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
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- ^ "Texas Municipal Police Association Endorses Greg Abbott". Abbott for Governor. July 29, 2013. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- ^ Mccalmont, Lucy (February 19, 2014). "Palin backs Abbott in Texas". POLITICO. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
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- ^ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist169_state.htm 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
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- ^ "First Reading". www.statesman.com. Retrieved April 24, 2013.
- ^ Kennedy, Bud (June 29, 2013). "To Kinky Friedman, a Wendy-for-governor campaign is no joke | Bud Kennedy | Fort Worth, Arlin". Star-telegram.com. Archived from the original on October 6, 2013. Retrieved October 5, 2013.
- ^ "Twitter / anniseparker: LOL. I appreciate the". Twitter.com. Retrieved July 18, 2013.
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- ^ Gonzalez, John W. (October 7, 2013). "Mayor Castro endorses Wendy Davis for governor". San Antonio Express-News. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
- ^ a b c Joseph, Cameron (October 4, 2013). "EMILY's List endorses Wendy Davis". The Hill. Retrieved October 7, 2013.
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- ^ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist170_state.htm 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
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- ^ Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- ^ Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
- ^ Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
- ^ Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
- ^ Kathie Glass (L)
- ^ "Office of the Secretary of State Race Summary Report 2014 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved August 3, 2015.