2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election
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| Turnout | 68.7% | ||||||||||||
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 Results by Party Federation. | |||||||||||||
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The 2023 Portuguese Socialist Party leadership election was held on 15 and 16 December 2023.[1] The leadership ballot was called after Prime Minister and Socialist Party Secretary-General António Costa resigned from office on 7 November 2023.[2] The winner of this election led the Socialist Party into the 2024 legislative election.
The declared candidates included the former Infrastructure and Housing Minister Pedro Nuno Santos, who represented the leftist faction of the party and wants to build upon the legacy of António Costa, Internal Administration Minister José Luís Carneiro, who represented the moderate faction and a continuation of Costism, and Daniel Adrião, a longtime critic of Costa as Secretary-General, who represented a rupture.
Even with the candidates claiming the contrary, this leadership election was viewed as another ideological dispute to decide what direction the party and the country should take, similar to the leadership elections of 2014 between Costa and Seguro, of 2004 between José Sócrates and Manuel Alegre and of 1992 between António Guterres and Jorge Sampaio.
With a turnout rate of around 70%, Pedro Nuno Santos was elected as the new Secretary-General of the Socialist Party with almost 61% of the votes, against the 37% of José Luís Carneiro. Daniel Adrião polled below 1%.[3]
Candidates
Declared
| Name | Born | Experience | Announcement date | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
.jpg) José Luís Carneiro |
4 October 1971 (age 52) Baião |
Minister of Internal Administration (2022–2024) Member of Parliament for Braga (since 2022) Deputy Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (2019–2022) Secretary of State for Portuguese Communities (2015–2019) Mayor of Baião (2005–2015) Member of Parliament for Porto (2005; 2015–2022) |
10 November 2023 | [4] | |
,_cropped.png) Pedro Nuno Santos |
13 April 1977 (age 46) São João da Madeira |
Member of Parliament for Aveiro (since 2005) Minister of Infrastructure and Housing (2019–2023) Secretary of State for Parliament Affairs (2015–2019) Secretary-general of the Socialist Youth (2004–2008) |
13 November 2023 | [5] | |
| Daniel Adrião | 1 September 1967 (age 56) |
Member of the National Commission of the Socialist Party (since 2016) Political activist Candidate in the PS leadership elections of 2016, 2018 and 2021 |
17 November 2023 | [6] | |
Declined
- Ana Catarina Mendes – Minister of Parliamentary Affairs (2022–2024)[7]
- António José Seguro – former Secretary-general of the Socialist Party (2011–2014)[8]
- Mayor of Lisbon (2015–2021)[9](endorsed José Luís Carneiro)
- Francisco Assis – former MEP of the Socialist Party (PS) (2004–2009; 2014–2019); former mayor of Amarante (1990–1995)[10] (endorsed Pedro Nuno Santos)
- Mariana Vieira da Silva – Minister of the Presidency (2019–2024)[11]
- Marta Temido – former Minister of Health (2018–2022); chair of the Lisbon Socialist Party (since 2023)[12][13]
- President of the Eurogroup (2018–2020); former Minister of Finance (2015–2020)[14]
Notable endorsements
José Luís Carneiro
- Ministers
- Adalberto Campos Fernandes, Minister of Health (2015–2018)[15]
- António Correia Campos, Viseu (1991–2001) and Member of the European Parliament (2009–2014)[16]
- Catarina Sarmento e Castro, Minister of Justice (2022–2024) and Judge of the Constitutional Court (2010-2019)[17]
- Porto (2017-2022)[15]
- Mayor of Lisbon (2015–2021)[18]
- Jorge Lacão, Lisbon (2011–2022)[19]
- José António Vieira da Silva, Minister of Labour, Solidarity and Social Security (2015–2019)[18]
- Maria de Belém Roseira, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Lisbon (2000–2015), Minister for Equality (1999–2000), Minister of Health (1995-1999), President of the Socialist Party (2011–2014) and candidate in the 2016 Portuguese presidential election[20]
- Members of the Assembly of the Republic
- António Lacerda Sales, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Leiria (2015–2024); Secretary of State for Health (2019–2022)[21]
- Minister of National Defense (2009–2011), Minister of Parliamentary Affairs (2005–2009), Minister of Culture (2001–2002), Minister of Education (2000–2001)[22]
- Bragança Federation of the Socialist Party[23]
- Leiria (since 2022), president of the Socialist Parliamentary Caucus (since 2022) and Secretary of State of Internationalization (2017-2022)[24]
- Faro (since 1999)[23]
- Viseu (since 2019)[23]
- Évora (2019–2024), Minister of Agriculture (1998–2002, 2015–2019) and Member of the European Parliament (2004–2014)[25]
- Setúbal (2005–2024)[15]
- Lisbon (2015–2024) and Mayor of Vila Franca de Xira (1998–2013)[15]
- Paula Custódio Reis, Castelo Branco (2022–2024)[16]
- Paulo Pisco, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Europe (since 1999)[26]
- Pedro Cegonho, Lisbon (2019–2024)[15]
- Lisbon (2019–2024)[16]
- MEPs
- Évora (1995–2014)[27]
- Mayors
- Antero Barbosa, Mayor of Fafe (since 2021)[18]
- Basílio Horta, Mayor of Sintra (since 2013), Vice Prime Minister (1981), Minister of Commerce (1978, 1980-1983), Candidate in the 1991 Portuguese presidential election and founding member of the CDS – People's Party[18]
- Joaquim Barreto, Braga (since 2015) and mayor of Cabeceiras de Basto (1993–2013)[28]
- Leopoldo Rodrigues, Mayor of Castelo Branco (since 2021)[18]
- Nuno Vaz Ribeiro, Mayor of Chaves (since 2017)[23]
- Paulo Arsénio, Mayor of Beja (since 2017)[18]
- Paulo Cafôfo, Mayor of Funchal (2013–2019) and Secretary of State for Portuguese Communities (since 2022)[23]
- Rui Solheiro, Secretary-general of the Portuguese National Association of Municipalities (since 2013), Mayor of Viana do Castelo (1995–2002)[25]
- Individuals
- Tony Carreira, singer and musician[29]
Pedro Nuno Santos
- Ministers
- Ana Abrunhosa, Minister of Territorial Cohesion (2019–2024)[30]
- Duarte Cordeiro, Minister of the Environment and Climate Action (2022–2024) and Chair of the Lisbon Urban Area Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Setúbal (2002–2015)[32]
- João Marques Costa, Minister of Education (2022–2024)[30]
- Porto (2005–2011)[30]
- Maria do Céu Antunes, Minister of Agriculture (2019–2024) and Mayor of Abrantes (2009–2019)[30]
- Marina Gonçalves, Minister of Housing (2023–2024)[30]
- Members of the Assembly of the Republic
- Santarém (since 2022) and Minister for the Modernization of the State and Public Administration (2019–2022)[32]
- Porto (2015–2024)[33]
- Carlos João Pereira, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Madeira (since 2015)[33]
- Lisbon (since 1987), Vice President of the Assembly of the Republic (since 2015), Member of the European Parliament (2004–2014) and Mayor of Sintra (1994–2002)[34]
- Francisco César, Member of the Assembly of the Republic for Azores (since 2022)[32]
- Hugo Costa, Santarém Federation of the Socialist Party[35]
- Lisbon (since 2011)[36]
- João Paulo Rebelo, Viseu (2015–2024)[32]
- Porto (since 2015) and Deputy Secretary-General of the Socialist Party (since 2022)[33]
- Luís Graça,
- Lisbon (2002–2009) and for Coimbra (1975–2002) and candidate in the 2006 and 2011 Portuguese presidential election[37]
- Lisbon (since 2019)[33]
- Lisbon (since 2019) and Secretary General of the Socialist Youth (since 2020)[32]
- Nelson Brito, Lower Alentejo Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Patrícia Faro, Porto (since 2022)[33]
- Pedro Delgado Alves, Lisbon (since 2011)[33]
- Porfírio Silva, Aveiro (2015–2024)[33]
- Tiago Barbosa Ribeiro, Porto (since 2015)[38]
- MEPs
- Ana Gomes, Member of the European Parliament (2004–2019), Portuguese Ambassador to Indonesia (2000–2003) and candidate in the 2021 Portuguese presidential election[39]
- Sara Cerdas, Member of the European Parliament (since 2019)[41]
- Mayors
- Domingos Bragança, Mayor of Guimarães (since 2013)[42]
- Eduardo Vítor Rodrigues, Mayor of Porto Federation of the Socialist Party[43]
- Fredrico Castro, Mayor of Braga Federation of the Socialist Party[42]
- Gonçalo Lopes, Mayor of Leiria (since 2019)[44]
- Isilda Gomes, Mayor of Faro (2009–2011)[35]
- Jorge Sequeira, Mayor of São João da Madeira (since 2017) and Chair of the Aveiro Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Porto (2005–2017)[32]
- Luís Machado, Mayor of Santa Marta de Penaguião (since 2013) and Chair of the Vila Real Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Vítor Manuel Pereira, Mayor of Covilhã (since 2013) and Chair of the Castelo Branco Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Vítor Paulo Pereira, Mayor of Paredes de Coura (since 2013) and Chair of the Viana do Castelo Federation of the Socialist Party[31]
- Walter Chicharro, Mayor of Nazaré (2013–2024) and Chair of the Leiria Federation of the Socialist Party[45]
Declined to endorse
- Prime Ministers
- António Costa, Prime Minister of Portugal (2015–2024), Secretary-General of the Socialist Party (2014–2023) and Mayor of Lisbon (2007–2015)[46]
- Ministers
- Mariana Vieira da Silva, Minister of the Presidency (2019–2024)[47]
- Members of the Assembly of the Republic
- Coimbra (since 2022), Minister of Health (2018-2022) and Chair of the Lisbon Socialist Party (since 2023)[48]
Campaign period
Candidates' slogans
| Candidate | Original slogan | English translation | Refs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Luís Carneiro | « Por Todos. Para Todos » | "By All. For All" | [49] | |
| Pedro Nuno Santos | « Portugal Inteiro » | "Whole Portugal" | [49] | |
| Daniel Adrião | « Democracia Plena » | "Full Democracy" | [50] | |
Candidates' debates
José Luís Carneiro and Daniel Adrião proposed a series of debates between the candidates, but Pedro Nuno Santos refused to participate in any debate. Therefore, no debates between the candidates to the leadership were held.[51]
Opinion polling
All voters
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | 
|
|
Others/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuno Santos | Carneiro | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 18–27 Nov 2023 | 803 | 26 | 24 | 50 | 2 |
| CESOP–UCP | 15–24 Nov 2023 | 1,102 | 29 | 38 | 33 | 9 |
| Aximage | 18–23 Nov 2023 | 802 | 52 | 26 | 22 | 26 |
| Intercampus | 14–17 Nov 2023 | 604 | 31.7 | 28.1 | 40.2 | 3.6 |
| Aximage | 10–13 Nov 2023 | 504 | 32 | 18 | 50[a] | 14 |
| Aximage | 8–9 Nov 2023 | 516 | 30 | 9 | 61[b] | 21 |
PS voters
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
Others/ Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuno Santos | Carneiro | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 18–27 Nov 2023 | ? | 37 | 32 | 31 | 5 |
| CESOP–UCP | 15–24 Nov 2023 | ? | 39 | 34 | 27 | 5 |
| Aximage | 18–23 Nov 2023 | ? | 61 | 26 | 13 | 35 |
| Aximage | 10–13 Nov 2023 | ? | 31 | 23 | 47[c] | 8 |
Hypothetical polling
All voters
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | _Web_Summit_2018_-_Media_PMM_9339_(30136649707)_(cropped).jpg)
|
._Arrivals_Augusto_Santos_Silva_(36284887033)_(cropped).jpg)
|
|
_-_Ag%C3%AAncia_Lusa,_cropped.png)
|
|
.png)
|
Others/
Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medina | Santos Silva | Nuno Santos | Vieira da Silva | Mendes | Adão | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 10–18 Sep 2022 | 807 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 65 | 4 |
PS voters
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
Others/
Undecided |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medina | Santos Silva | Nuno Santos | Vieira da Silva | Mendes | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 10–18 Sep 2022 | 807 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 1 |
Results
National summary
| Candidate | 15 & 16 December 2023 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ||||
| Pedro Nuno Santos | 24,219 | 60.83 | |||
| José Luís Carneiro | 14,891 | 37.40 | |||
| Daniel Adrião | 382 | 0.96 | |||
| Total | 39,492 | ||||
| Valid votes | 39,492 | 99.19 | |||
| Invalid and blank ballots | 322 | 0.81 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 39,814 | 68.65 | |||
| Registered voters | 57,993 | ||||
| Source:[52] | |||||
Results by party federation
The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.[52]
| Federation | Pedro Nuno Santos | José Luís Carneiro | Daniel Adrião | Invalid ballots |
Votes cast | Registered | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||||
| Algarve | 710 | 62.50 | 413 | 36.36 | 12 | 1.06 | 1 | 1,136 | 1,491 |
| Aveiro | 1,299 | 75.17 | 404 | 23.38 | 10 | 0.58 | 15 | 1,728 | 2,096 |
| Baixo Alentejo | 405 | 56.96 | 291 | 40.93 | 6 | 0.84 | 9 | 711 | 862 |
| Braga | 2,928 | 55.37 | 2,280 | 43.12 | 19 | 0.36 | 61 | 5,288 | 7,897 |
| Bragança | 560 | 58.82 | 373 | 39.18 | 9 | 0.95 | 10 | 952 | 1,131 |
| Castelo Branco | 549 | 58.10 | 373 | 39.47 | 5 | 0.53 | 18 | 945 | 1,123 |
| Coimbra | 1,874 | 68.80 | 800 | 29.37 | 35 | 1.28 | 15 | 2,724 | 3,506 |
| Évora | 270 | 63.08 | 145 | 33.88 | 8 | 1.87 | 5 | 428 | 534 |
| Guarda | 487 | 60.05 | 317 | 39.09 | 5 | 0.62 | 2 | 811 | 986 |
| Leiria | 611 | 58.58 | 410 | 39.31 | 13 | 1.25 | 9 | 1,043 | 1,249 |
| Lisbon: Urban Area | 3,265 | 66.85 | 1,519 | 31.10 | 61 | 1.25 | 39 | 4,884 | 7,165 |
| Lisbon: Oeste | 126 | 36.42 | 212 | 61.27 | 5 | 1.45 | 3 | 346 | 415 |
| Portalegre | 544 | 68.77 | 230 | 29.08 | 8 | 1.01 | 9 | 791 | 1,036 |
| Porto | 4,951 | 56.88 | 3,627 | 41.67 | 53 | 0.61 | 73 | 8,704 | 11,321 |
| Santarém | 752 | 70.28 | 293 | 27.38 | 16 | 1.50 | 9 | 1,070 | 1,252 |
| Setúbal | 1,382 | 66.38 | 656 | 31.51 | 27 | 1.30 | 17 | 2,082 | 2,942 |
| Viana do Castelo | 546 | 65.00 | 289 | 34.40 | 4 | 0.48 | 1 | 840 | 976 |
| Vila Real | 499 | 46.81 | 557 | 52.25 | 10 | 0.94 | 0 | 1,066 | 1,316 |
| Viseu | 1,386 | 67.68 | 635 | 31.01 | 3 | 0.15 | 24 | 2,048 | 2,478 |
| Azores | 321 | 65.91 | 165 | 33.88 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 487 | 4,677 |
| Madeira | 493 | 40.28 | 725 | 59.23 | 6 | 0.49 | 0 | 1,224 | 1896 |
| Europe | 117 | 54.67 | 77 | 35.98 | 19 | 8.88 | 1 | 214 | 892 |
| Outside of Europe | 144 | 49.32 | 100 | 34.25 | 48 | 16.44 | 0 | 292 | 752 |
See also
Notes
- ^ Mário Centeno: 21%; Other: 2%; Undecided: 27%
- ^ Fernando Medina: 19%; Carlos César: 6%; Other: 3%; Undecided: 33%
- ^ Mário Centeno: 29%; Other: 2%; Undecided: 16%
References
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- ^ "António Costa demite-se: "Obviamente"". CNN Portugal (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-07.
- ^ "Pedro Nuno Santos eleito secretário-geral do PS com 62%". sicnoticias.pt. SIC Notícias. 17 December 2020.
- ^ Renascença (2023-11-10). "José Luís Carneiro vai anunciar candidatura ao PS - Renascença". Rádio Renascença (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-10.
- ^ Demony, Catarina; Goncalves, Sergio (2023-11-13). "Portugal's youthful ex-minister joins race for premiership". Reuters. Retrieved 2023-11-14.
- ^ Nascimento, Francisco (2023-11-17). "Daniel Adrião é o terceiro candidato à liderança do PS. Conheça o crítico de Costa". TSF (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2023-11-17.
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