2024 Punjab provincial election
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297 out of 371 seats in the Punjab Assembly[a] 186 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Registered | 73,207,896 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 56%[1] (0.6pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Map of Punjab Showing Assembly constituencies and winning parties | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Provincial elections were held in the
Background
In the 2018 election, the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) emerged as the largest party in the Provincial Assembly of Punjab after 25 independents joined it. However, the PTI was still 2 seats short of a majority. After the Pakistan Muslim League (Q) (PML(Q)) agreed to support the PTI, they formed a coalition government in the province.[8] The Pakistan Muslim League (N) (PML(N)) emerged as the second largest party and formed the opposition.
During a political crisis in Pakistan after the successful
After the floor crossing, the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) de-seated 25 dissident PTI MPAs for defection in the light of Article 63-A of the Constitution of the Islamic Republic of Pakistan on 20 May 2022.[11] Five of these MPAs were elected on reserved seats (3 for women and 2 for minorities) and new PTI MPAs were notified on these seats on 7 July.[12]
On 12 January 2023, after winning a vote of confidence the night before, Elahi sent a letter to
On 22 January 2023, Mohsin Raza Naqvi took oath as the caretaker Chief Minister of Punjab. He was nominated by the Election Commission of Pakistan (ECP) after days of deadlock between the government and the opposition over who to nominate.[16]
On 10 February 2023, after weeks of no announcement of an election date, the Lahore High Court (LHC) ordered the ECP to immediately announce the date for the elections to "ensure that [they] are held not later than ninety days as per the mandate of the Constitution".[17]
On 20 February 2023, the ECP had still not announced the date for the election. Therefore, President Arif Alvi decided to unilaterally appoint 9 April 2023 as the election date.[18]
On 1 March 2023, in a 3-2 split verdict, the Supreme Court ruled that President Alvi's order of appointing an election date was "constitutionally competent", as the Assembly was dissolved without the order of Governor Rehman. However, the verdict further stated that due to the delays in the announcement of the election date, 9 April may not be a feasible election date. Therefore, the ECP was ordered to immediately propose a date with the "minimum possible delay" to the President and after consultation, the latter shall announce a date for the election.[19][20]
As a result of the verdict, on 3 March 2023, the ECP had suggested the dates of 30 April to 7 May to President Alvi and on the same day, the latter announced that the provincial election will be held on 30 April 2023.[21]
On 22 March 2023, in violation of the Supreme Court's verdict, the ECP postponed the provincial election to 8 October 2023, stating that it had arrived at the conclusion that it could not hold the elections "honestly, justly, fairly, in a peaceful manner and in a accordance with the Constitution and law".[22]
On 25 March 2023, Sibtain Khan, the Speaker of the Provincial Assembly of Punjab, filed a constitutional petition on behalf of the PTI against the ECP's decision. Additionally, a contempt of court petition was also filed against the ECP.[23] On 4 April, the Supreme Court ruled that the ECP's decision to postpone the polls was unconstitutional and itself fixed 14 May 2023 as the new date for the election.[24]
Despite the orders of the Supreme Court, the ECP had not conducted the elections on 14 May and had instead petitioned the Supreme Court to review its 4 April decision, claiming that they "[don't] have the authority to give the date of elections".[25]
Ban on PTI from contesting as a party
On 22 December 2023, the ECP decided against letting the PTI retain its electoral symbol, arguing that the party had failed to hold intra-party elections. On 22 December, the PTI approached the Peshawar High Court (PHC) against the ECP's order and hence, a single-member bench suspended the ECP's order until 9 January 2024. On 30 December 2023, the ECP filed a review application within the PHC, and days later, a two-member bench withdrew the suspension order as it heard the case. However, on 10 January 2024, the two-member bench had declared the ECP's order to be "illegal, without any lawful authority, and of no legal effect. On 11 January, the ECP challenged this ruling in the Supreme Court, and on 13 January, a three-member bench ruled in favor of the ECP and stripped the PTI of its electoral symbol. As a consequence of this ruling, the PTI could not allot party tickets to any of its candidates. Therefore, all candidates of the party will be listed as independent candidates and each will have a different electoral symbol.[26]
Schedule
The schedule of the election was announced by the Election Commission of Pakistan on 15 December 2023.[27]
Sr no | Poll Event | Schedule |
---|---|---|
1 | Public Notice Issued by the Returning Officers | 19 December 2023 |
2 | Dates of filing Nomination papers with the Returning Officers by the candidates | 20 December 2023 to 24 December 2023 |
3 | Publication of names of the nominated candidates. | 24 December 2023 |
4 | Last date of scrutiny of nomination papers by the Returning Officer | 25 December 2023 to 30 December 2023 |
5 | Last date of filing appeals against decisions of the Returning Officer rejecting/accepting nomination papers. | 3 January 2024 |
6 | Last date for deciding of appeals by the Appellate Tribunal | 10 January 2024 |
7 | Publication of revised list of candidates | 11 January 2024 |
8 | Last date of withdrawal of candidate and publication of revised list of candidates | 12 January 2024 |
9 | Allotment of election symbol to contesting candidates | 13 January 2024 |
10 | Date of Polling and Counting of Votes | 8 February 2024 |
Electoral system
The 371 seats of the Punjab Assembly consist of 297 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-post voting system runs through single-member constituencies. 66 seats are reserved for women and 8 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.
Campaign
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf
Joining of former PML(Q) MPAs
A day after the Assembly was dissolved, the
On 21 February 2023, after failing in his attempts to merge the PML(Q) with the PTI, Elahi, along with all other nine former PML(Q) MPAs, joined the PTI.[29]
General campaign
The PTI announced that it would start its election campaign on 8 March 2023. Imran Khan, the former Prime Minister and the Chairman of the PTI, stated that party workers will start arranging corner meetings and rallies across all districts of Punjab. Khan also said that he will suggest solutions to problems caused by the incumbent PDM-led federal government.[30][31]
On 8 March 2023, the PTI attempted to start its campaign by taking out a rally from Khan's residence at Zaman Park to Data Darbar. However, just prior to the start of the rally, a ban on public gatherings was imposed in the provincial capital of Lahore and dozens were taken into police custody for violating the ban. Due to the increased violence, Khan called off the rally. One PTI worker, Ali Bilal, also lost his life in the violence, with Khan claiming the Punjab police had murdered Bilal.[32]
On 12 March 2023, Khan once more announced to hold a rally in Lahore but a ban on public gatherings by the PTI was again imposed in the city. The PTI was finally allowed to hold the rally on 13 March 2023 starting from Khan's residence at Zaman Park to Data Darbar. Moreover, in his address to thousands of party workers and rally attendees, Khan announced that the party would hold a grand "power show" at the Minar-e-Pakistan on 19 March.[33][34][35]
On 19 March, the Pakistan Muslim League (Z), a minor political party based in Bahawalnagar, was merged into the PTI by its president, Ijaz-ul-Haq, the son of the former President of Pakistan Zia-Ul-Haq.[36]
On 23 March, the
On 25 March, after two postponements, the PTI held its public rally at the Minar-e-Pakistan. Imran Khan had delivered a lengthy speech where he outlined a 10-point programme which he said would pull Pakistan out of its economic crisis. This programme included policies such as promoting tourism, expanding the minerals sector, reintroducing welfare programs, and enlarging the tax net.[38]
On 20 April, the PTI had finalised a list candidates for most of the 297 constituencies of the Provincial Assembly.[39]
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | PTI | PML(N) | PPP
|
TLP | Other | Ind. | Lead | Sample size |
Undecideds & Non-voters[c] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:#DCDCDC;" data-sort-type="number" | |||||||||||
Gallup Pakistan | 30 June 2023 | 41% | 28% | 4% | 6% | -- | 13% | 3,500 | N/A[d] | ||
PA | 14 January 2023 | The snap election called by ECP is postponed by Central Government to coincide with General Elections on 8 Feb 2024
| |||||||||
NA | 11-12 April 2022 | Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion | |||||||||
IPOR (IRI) | 21 March 2022 | 34% | 42% | 6% | 2% | 16% | 8% | ~1,900 | N/A[d] | ||
Gallup Pakistan | 31 January 2022 | 35% | 43% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 8% | ~3,100 | 31% | |
IPOR (IRI) | 9 January 2022 | 31% | 46% | 5% | 3% | 15% | 15% | 2,035 | N/A[d] | ||
IPOR (IRI) | 11 November 2020 | 26% | 39% | 5% | 2% | 27% | 1% | 13% | 1,089 | N/A[d] | |
2018 Elections | 25 July 2018 | ECP | 33.6% | 31.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 18.8% | 1.9% | 33,218,101 | N/A |
Results
Result by Party
Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General | Reserved | Total | +/− | |||||||||
Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | Independents joined | Total | Women | Non-Muslims | ||||
Pakistan Muslim League (N) | 137 | 21 | 158 | 36 | 5 | 199 | 35 | |||||
Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf[b] | 116[40] | 113 | 113 | 71 | ||||||||
Pakistan People’s Party
|
10 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 6 | |||||||
Pakistan Muslim League (Q) | 8 | 8 | 2 | 10 | ||||||||
Istehkam-e-Pakistan Party | 1 | 3[41] | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||||||
Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
Pakistan Muslim League (Z) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
Independents
|
22[40] | 1 | 1 | 3 | ||||||||
Others | ||||||||||||
Total | 100% | 297 | 296 | 66 | 8 | 371 | ||||||
Valid votes | ||||||||||||
Invalid votes | ||||||||||||
Votes cast/ turnout | ||||||||||||
Abstentions | ||||||||||||
Registered voters | 73,207,896 | |||||||||||
Election Postponed in PP-266[42] | ||||||||||||
Source: Election Commission of Pakistan[43] |
Results by Region
Region | Seats | PTI [b] | PML(N) | PML(Q) | PPP
|
IPP | IND | Others | Election Postponed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Punjab
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Central Punjab | 180 | 69 | 90 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
South Punjab | 93 | 36 | 34 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 297 | 116 | 137 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 1 |
Results by division
Division | Seats | PTI [b] | PML(N) | PML(Q) | PPP
|
IPP | IND | Others | Election Postponed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rawalpindi | 24 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gujrat | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Gujranwala | 27 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Sargodha | 14 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mianwali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Faisalabad | 38 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Lahore | 53 | 17 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Sahiwal | 20 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Multan | 32 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Bahawalpur | 31 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Dera Ghazi Khan | 30 | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 297 | 116 | 137 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 1 |
Results by district
Division | District | Seats | PTI[b] | PML(N) | PML(Q) | PPP
|
IPP | IND | Others | Election Postponed |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rawalpindi | Attock | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Murree | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Rawalpindi | 13 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Chakwal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Jhelum | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Gujrat | Gujrat | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wazirabad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Hafizabad | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Mandi Bahauddin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Gujranwala | Sialkot | 10 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Narowal | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Gujranwala | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Sargodha | Sargodha | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Khushab | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Mianwali | Talagang | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mianwali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Bhakkar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
Faisalabad | Chiniot | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Faisalabad | 21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Toba Tek Singh | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Jhang | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Lahore | Nankana Sahib | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Sheikhupura | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Lahore | 30 | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Kasur | 10 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Sahiwal | Okara | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pakpattan | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Sahiwal | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Multan | Khanewal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Multan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Lodhran | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Vehari | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Bahawalpur | Bahawalnagar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Bahawalpur | 10 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Rahim Yar Khan | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Dera Ghazi Khan | Muzaffargarh | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kot Addu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Layyah | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Taunsa
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Dera Ghazi Khan | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
Rajanpur | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 297 | 116 | 137 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 2 | 1 |
Results by constituency
See also
- 2024 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election
- 2024 Sindh provincial election
- 2024 Balochistan provincial election
- 2024 Pakistani general election
Notes
- ^ 66 seats are reserved for women and 8 are reserved for non-Muslims filled through Proportional representation
- ^ a b c d e Running as Independent candidates
- ^ This is a column that lists the percentage of undecided voters and non-voters in certain polls that publish this data. As some polls do not publish any data whatsoever on undecided voters and non-voters, the columns with survey participants that had a preference when polled are all that is needed to reach 100%. In surveys that do include data on non-voters and undecided voters, a scaling factor is applied to the margin of error and the rest of the data (for example, if the number of undecideds and non-voters equals 20%, each party would have their vote share scaled up by a factor of 100/80 (the formula is 100/(100-UndecidedPercentage)). This is done to keep consistency between the different polls and the different types data they provide.
- ^ a b c d This poll or crosstabulation did not include any data about undecided voters or non-voters and cut them out completely from the published results.
References
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