2024 Thurrock Council election

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2024 Thurrock Council election

← 2023 2 May 2024 (2024-05-02) 2025 →

17 out of 49 seats to Thurrock Council
25 seats needed for a majority
  First party Second party
 
Leader Andrew Jefferies John Kent
Party Conservative Labour
Leader's seat Ockendon
Grays Thurrock
Last election 26 seats, 32.4% 19 seats, 45.1%
Seats before 23 19

  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Neil Speight[a] Eugene McCarthy
Party Independent Green
Leader's seat Stanford-le-Hope West N/A
Last election 3 seats, 10.0% 0 seats, 0.2%
Seats before 7[b] 0

Wards of Thurrock Council

Leader
before election

Andrew Jefferies
Conservative

Leader after election

TBD

The 2024 Thurrock Council election is due to be held on 2 May 2024 to elect a third of the members of Thurrock Council in Essex, England. It will be held on the same day as other local elections across England, including the 2024 Essex police and crime commissioner election.

Background

At the previous council election in May 2023, the Labour opposition led by John Kent made gains against the incumbent Conservative administration led by Mark Coxshall.[1][2] Labour gained five seats, increasing its total share of seats in the council to 19. The Conservatives, now having 26 seats, retained control of the council but saw their majority reduced to three. The Thurrock Independents lost two seats but held one, leaving them with a single councillor. The election also returned three independents not affiliated to any party.[3][4] Coxshall lost his seat in the election, and later in the month the council elected Conservative Andrew Jefferies as the new leader of the council.[2][5] The election followed the council's declaration of effective bankruptcy in September 2022, which left it in £1.5 billion of debt.[4][6]

In July 2023, Conservative councillor Sue Sammons left her party to become an independent in protest of its decision to cut local bus services. This action left the Conservatives with a majority of two on the council.[7] In the same month, the Thurrock Independents de-registered as a political party.[8] The make-up of the council now consisted of five seats being held by independents, 19 held by Labour and 25 held by the Conservatives.[7] The independents in the council later organised themselves into a single group, the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors (NPAIC),[9][10] with councillor Neil Speight as their leader[11] and spokesman.[12][13] NPAIC candidates are running in this election as independents.[14]

In February 2024, it was revealed that the Conservative administration was considering an increase in

school transport among other measures.[15]

The Conservative administration put forward its economic proposals in its budget for 2024–2025, which was voted on by councillors in March 2024. Conservative councillors were

Election

Electoral system

The election is due to be held on 2 May 2024, the same day as other

ward, with the candidate winning the most votes securing the seat.[21] Electors in Thurrock will also be able to vote in the 2024 Essex police and crime commissioner election which is being held on the same day.[22]

Under Thurrock Council's current electoral system, elections to the council are held annually every three in four years, with a third of its 49 councillors elected to represent one of its 20 wards for a term of four years at each election.[23] As such, three wards will not be contested this year, including Stifford Clays, Little Thurrock Rectory, and Tilbury Riverside and Thurrock Park. This will be the last election held under this system, as all 49 seats will be contested in elections every four years from May 2025 onwards. This reform has been implemented by the government as part of its ongoing intervention in the council following its effective bankruptcy in 2022.[24][25]

Campaign

The Labour Party and the Conservative Party will stand in every ward at the election.

North Stifford and Chafford Hundred; according to independent councillor Fraser Massey this council election has the most independent candidates in Thurrock's recent history.[26] The ward of Orsett, traditionally a safe seat for the Conservatives, has also attracted attention for a three-way contest between former Conservative councillor David Van Day, former Labour mayor and councillor Carl Morris and independent councillor Jack Duffin, who was expelled from the Conservative Party earlier in the year and has secured the support of prominent local Conservative activist Brian Little.[33]

Opinion polls

Dates
conducted
Pollster Client Area Con Lab
Lib Dems
Green Reform Ind & others Lead
14–29 April 2024 YouGov N/A Thurrock 36.4% 52.4% 0% 1.8% 0% 9.4% 16

Pollster YouGov identified Thurrock Council as one of sixteen key battleground local authorities in the 2024 local elections, possibly indicative of results in the rest of England and Wales, and therefore used multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP) polling to gauge voting intention in the borough ahead of the election.[34][35] A poll conducted from 14 April to 29 April and published on 30 April projected significant gains for the Labour Party in the borough, with the overall outcome of the election considered too close to call to predict which party would win control of the council.[34][36]

Ward results

The Statement of Persons Nominated, which details the candidates standing in each ward, was released by Thurrock Council following the close of nominations on 5 April 2023.[24][14] One candidate will be elected per ward.[22] The final results are expected to be declared overnight at around 3AM on 3 May 2024.[37]

Aveley & Uplands

Aveley & Uplands
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Augustine Chidi Ononaji
Labour Cathy Sisterson
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Belhus

Belhus
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Victoria Claire Holloway
Conservative Georgette Polley
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Chadwell St. Mary

Chadwell St. Mary
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Ngozi Alike
Conservative Charlie Taylor-Webb
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Chafford & North Stifford

Chafford & North Stifford
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Adam Carter
Labour Lynda Hilary Heath
Independent Bisi Sowunmi
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Corringham & Fobbing

Corringham & Fobbing
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent John Robert Fox
Labour James Patrick Mackinlay
Conservative Shane Ralph
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

East Tilbury

East Tilbury
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Alastair Michael Craft
Conservative Shamim Miah
Independent Sue Sammons
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Grays Riverside

Grays Riverside
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Green Daniel David Fallows
Labour Tony Fish
Conservative Bunmi Ojetola
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Grays Thurrock

Grays Thurrock
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour John George Kent
Conservative Joglur Rahman
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Little Thurrock Blackshots

Little Thurrock Blackshots
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Michael John Fletcher
Conservative Joy Redsell
Green Magun Singh
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Ockendon

Ockendon
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Ryan James Polston
Conservative Luke Spillman
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Orsett

Orsett
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative David Day
Independent Jack Sean Duffin
Labour Carl Anthony Graham Morris
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

South Chafford

South Chafford
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Green Caitlin Elizabeth Fallows
Conservative Tunde Ojetola
Labour Gary Watson
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Stanford East & Corringham Town

Stanford East & Corringham Town
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Roy Robert Jones
Labour Ajay Kapoor
Conservative George Joseph Wright
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Stanford-Le-Hope West

Stanford-Le-Hope West
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Ross James Byrne
Conservative Terry Picollo
Labour Philip George Smith
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

The Homesteads

The Homesteads
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Clifford John Holloway
Conservative Allen Mayes
Independent Lisa Jane Sargent
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

Tilbury St. Chads

Tilbury St. Chads
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Daryl Palmer
Labour Kairen Raper
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

West Thurrock & South Stifford

West Thurrock & South Stifford
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Elisabeta Ionica Gherga Blaj
Green Ri Goodyear
Labour Lee Watson
Majority
Turnout
Registered electors

References

  1. ^ Leader and spokesman of the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors, which represents the majority of independent councillors at the time of this election.
  2. ^ Including five members of the Non-Political Alliance of Independent Councillors and two unaffiliated independents.
  1. ^ Whitehouse, Ellis (5 May 2023). "Local Elections 2023: Thurrock Council leader loses seat as Conservatives take heavy losses". EssexLive. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
  2. ^ a b "Labour resurgence in Thurrock but Tories hang on to overall control despite losing leader". Thurrock Nub News. 5 May 2023. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
  3. ^ Boakye, Kwame (5 May 2023). "Thurrock leader loses seat but Tories retain control". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
  4. ^ a b Sexton, Christine (5 May 2023). "Thurrock elections 2023: Conservatives hold despite Labour success". Thurrock Gazette. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
  5. ^ "Sue confirmed as mayor and new leader is voted in". Thurrock Nub News. 25 May 2023. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  6. ^ Jackson, J. J. (20 April 2023). "Local elections: Thurrock still battling bankruptcy". East Anglia Bylines. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  7. ^ a b "Bus decision is final straw for Tory councillor and she quits Tories". Thurrock Nub News. 13 July 2023. Retrieved 4 March 2024.
  8. ^ "Thurrock Independents [De-registered 26/07/23]". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  9. ^ a b Boakye, Kwame (4 March 2024). "Conservatives lose overall control of Thurrock". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  10. ^ a b c "Tory rebels are ousted following defiance over budget". Thurrock Nub News. 29 February 2024. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  11. ^ Webb, Caitlin (3 April 2024). "Government rejects Thurrock's bid for public inquiry into financial collapse". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 30 April 2024.
  12. ^ "Agenda and minutes: Council – Wednesday, 31st January, 2024 7.00 pm". Thurrock Council. 31 January 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  13. ^ Sexton, Christine; Speight, Neil (22 March 2024). "Thurrock Tories accused of 'weaponising racism' for political gain after leader's address to chamber". Thurrock Nub News. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  14. ^ a b "Statement of Persons Nominated: Thurrock Election of a Borough Councillor, 2024" (PDF). Thurrock Council. 5 April 2024. Retrieved 6 April 2024.
  15. ^ a b Sexton, Christine (12 February 2024). "Thurrock Council aiming to raise council tax 7.99 per cent". Thurrock Gazette. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  16. ^ Dedman, Simon (7 February 2024). "Bankrupt authority considers 8% council tax rise". BBC News. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  17. ^ Dedman, Simon (29 February 2024). "In-debt council approves 8% tax rise and cuts". BBC News. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  18. ^ a b c Dedman, Simon (1 March 2024). "Tories lose control of council after budget fallout". BBC News. Retrieved 5 March 2024.
  19. ^ "Current councillors". Thurrock Council. Retrieved 6 April 2024.
  20. ^ Stephenson, Wesley (26 March 2024). "Local elections 2024: Is there an election in my area?". BBC News. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  21. ^ "Local elections 2024: When and where are they, and who can vote?". BBC News. 30 April 2024. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  22. ^ a b "Candidates announced for Thurrock Local Elections 2024". Your Thurrock. 5 April 2024. Retrieved 6 April 2024.
  23. ^ "Thurrock Council Best Value Inspection Report" (PDF). Essex County Council. May 2023. pp. 16, 34. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  24. ^ a b "Elections and election results: Election dates". Thurrock Council. 2024. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  25. ^ Boakye, Kwame (6 October 2023). "Essex CC stood down as Thurrock's commissioner". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 28 March 2024.
  26. ^ a b c d e Sexton, Christine (15 April 2024). "Local Elections: Thurrock Council candidates". Yellow Advertiser. Retrieved 16 April 2024.
  27. ^ Rallings, Colin; Thrasher, Michael (26 March 2024). "Local elections: Councils to watch". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 16 April 2024.
  28. ^ a b c Dedman, Simon (30 April 2024). "Local elections 2024: 'Politicians need to come to us'". BBC News. Retrieved 30 April 2024.
  29. ^ Deady, Elliot (29 April 2024). "Rishi Sunak visit to DHL warehouse in south Essex today". Basildon Canvey Southend Echo. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  30. ^ Harris, John (29 April 2024). "Local elections road trip: Thurrock – Politics Weekly UK". The Guardian. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  31. ^ Paun, Akash; Fright, Matthew; Mitchell, Millie; Allen, Briony (18 April 2024). "Six things to look out for in the May 2024 local and mayoral elections". Institute For Government.
  32. ^ Belger, Tom (30 April 2024). "Inside Labour's local election campaign: Ellie Reeves on where to spend polling day and the key contests to watch". LabourList. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  33. ^ "Rebel set to fight on in Tory village stronghold". Thurrock Nub News. 19 March 2024. Retrieved 30 April 2024.
  34. ^ a b English, Patrick (30 April 2024). "Local elections 2024: YouGov MRP predicts significant Conservative losses to Labour". YouGov. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  35. ^ Boakye, Kwame (1 May 2024). "YouGov poll predicts 'signifcant gains' for Labour". Local Government Chronicle. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
  36. ^ Coates, Sam (30 April 2024). "Local elections: How key places are predicted to vote on Thursday - and what it could mean for general election".
  37. ^ "Estimated declaration times for May 2 local, mayoral and police elections". Thurrock Gazette. 12 April 2024. Retrieved 16 April 2024.