2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary
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Results by county Clinton: 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% Sanders: 40-50% 50-60% |
The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of
On the same day, the
Clinton's landslide was fueled by support from retirees,[2] and Jewish[2] and Latino[3] voters in South Florida.
Debates and forums
March 2016 debate in Miami
On March 9, 2016, the Democratic Party held an eighth presidential debate at
Opinion polling
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Official Primary results | March 15, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 64.4% |
Bernie Sanders 33.3% |
Other 2.3% |
ARG[4]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
|
March 11–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 37% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
Quinnipiac[5]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
March 8–13, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 60% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
Public Policy Polling[6]
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
|
March 11–12, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 11% |
CBS News/YouGov[7]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
|
March 9–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 4% |
Florida Atlantic University[8]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
March 8–11, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 59% |
Bernie Sanders 31% |
Others / Undecided 10% |
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[9]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
March 4–10, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
WTSP/Mason-Dixon[10]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
|
March 7–9, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 68% |
Bernie Sanders 23% |
Others / Undecided 9% |
Quinnipiac[11]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
March 2–7, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 6% |
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[12]
Margin of error: ± 3.4%
|
March 4–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 30% |
Others / Undecided 9% |
CNN/ORC[13]
Margin of error: ± 6.0%
|
March 2–6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Bernie Sanders 34% |
Others / Undecided 5% |
Wash Post/Univision[14]
Margin of error: ± 6.0%
|
March 2-5, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Others / Undecided 10% |
University of North Florida[15]
Margin of error: ± 3.7%
|
February 22–27, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 54% |
Bernie Sanders 24% |
Others / Undecided 22% |
Public Policy Polling[16]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
February 24–25, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 57% |
Bernie Sanders 32% |
Others / Undecided 11% |
Gravis Marketing[17]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
February 24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 42% |
|
Quinnipiac[18]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
|
February 21–24, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 59% |
Bernie Sanders 33% |
Others / Undecided 8% |
Florida Southern College[19]
Margin of error: ± 4.0%
|
January 30 – February 6, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Others / Undecided 31% |
Florida Atlantic University[20]
Margin of error: ± 5.0%
|
January 15–18, 2016 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Bernie Sanders 26% |
Martin O'Malley 2% Not Reported |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic University[20]
Margin of error: ± 5.2%
|
November 15–16, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Bernie Sanders 22% |
Martin O'Malley 4% Other 4.5% Undecided 3.7% |
Bay News 9/ News13[21]
Margin of error: ± 3.9%
|
October 28 – November 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Bernie Sanders 24% |
Martin O'Malley 3% Other 2% Undecided 6% |
Saint Leo University Polling Institute[22]
Margin of error: ±6.0%
|
October 17–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 50.9% |
Joe Biden 15.2% | Bernie Sanders 13.3% Unsure/Don't Know 8.5% |
Quinnipiac University[23]
Margin of error: ± 4.8%
|
September 25 – October 5, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 43% |
Joe Biden 19% |
Bernie Sanders 19% Someone else/Undecided 13% |
Public Policy Polling[24]
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
|
September 11–13, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 18% |
Joe Biden 17% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 1% Lawrence Lessig 0% Someone else/Undecided 6% |
Gravis Marketing[25]
Margin of error: ± 4%
|
September 5–11, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 41.6% |
Joe Biden 21.4% |
Bernie Sanders 12.5% Martin O'Malley 1.5% Jim Webb 1.3% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 21.3% |
Quinnipiac University[26]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
Posted September 4, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Bernie Sanders 20% |
Joe Biden 15% Lincoln Chafee 4% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 1% Undecided 6% |
Quinnipiac University[27]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
|
August 7–18, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 48% |
Bernie Sanders 15% |
Joe Biden 11% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 6% Undecided 17% |
St Pete Polls[28]
Margin of error: ± 3.0%
|
July 18–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 55% |
Bernie Sanders 29% |
Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee <1% Unsure or someone else 13% |
Mason-Dixon[29]
Margin of error: ± 4.5%
|
July 20–23, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Bernie Sanders 17% |
Martin O'Malley 2% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Undecided 23% |
Gravis Marketing[30]
Margin of error: ± 3%
|
June 16–20, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 64.8% |
Bernie Sanders 20.6% |
Martin O'Malley 2.1% Bill De Blasio 1.7% Jim Webb 0.9% Lincoln Chafee 0.4% Unsure 9.5% |
Quinnipiac University[31]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
June 4–15, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Bernie Sanders 8% Martin O'Malley 1% Lincoln Chafee 0% Jim Webb 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 13% |
Quinnipiac University[32]
Margin of error: ± 5.3%
|
March 17–28, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 65% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 7% Bernie Sanders 3% Jim Webb 2% Martin O'Malley 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10% |
Joe Biden 42% |
Elizabeth Warren 19% |
Bernie Sanders 6% Jim Webb 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 22% | ||
Public Policy Polling[33]
Margin of error: ± 5.1%
|
March 19–22, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 58% |
Joe Biden 14% |
Elizabeth Warren 10% Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 1% Other/Undecided 11% |
[34]
Margin of error: ± 5%
|
February 24–25, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 52% |
Elizabeth Warren 14% |
Joe Biden 9% Martin O'Malley 2% Mark Warner 2% Jim Webb 2% Undecided 18% |
Quinnipiac University[35]
Margin of error: ± 5.5%
|
January 22 – February 1, 2015 | Hillary Clinton 61% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 9% Bernie Sanders 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Jim Webb 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 4% Undecided 10% |
Joe Biden 39% |
Elizabeth Warren 22% |
Bernie Sanders 3% Martin O'Malley 2% Jim Webb 2% Other 4% Wouldn't vote 5% Undecided 23% |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[36]
Margin of error: ± 4.6%
|
July 17–21, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 67% |
Joe Biden 8% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 11% |
Public Policy Polling[37]
Margin of error: ± 6.2%
|
June 6–9, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 66% |
Elizabeth Warren 8% |
Joe Biden 7% Cory Booker 5% Andrew Cuomo 4% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone else/Undecided 9% |
Quinnipiac University[38]
Margin of error: ± 4.4%
|
April 23–28, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 11% |
Elizabeth Warren 6% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Other 1% Wouldn't vote 3% Undecided 13% |
Quinnipiac University[39]
Margin of error: ± 4.3%
|
January 22–27, 2014 | Hillary Clinton 64% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Elizabeth Warren 5% Andrew Cuomo 1% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 16% |
Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | Other |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac University[40]
Margin of error: ± 4.2%
|
November 12–17, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 70% |
Joe Biden 9% |
Elizabeth Warren 4% Andrew Cuomo 2% Martin O'Malley 1% Mark Warner 1% Other 2% Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 10% |
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 5.7%
|
March 15–18, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 62% |
Joe Biden 12% |
Andrew Cuomo 5% Elizabeth Warren 3% Martin O'Malley 1% Brian Schweitzer 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Deval Patrick 0% Someone Else/Undecided 14% |
Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ± 4.9%
|
January 11–13, 2013 | Hillary Clinton 65% |
Joe Biden 15% |
Andrew Cuomo 4% Elizabeth Warren 4% Deval Patrick 1% Mark Warner 1% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% Martin O'Malley 0% Brian Schweitzer 0% Someone Else/Undecided 11% |
Andrew Cuomo 22% |
Elizabeth Warren 15% |
Deval Patrick 5% Martin O'Malley 4% Kirsten Gillibrand 3% Mark Warner 2% Brian Schweitzer 1% Someone Else/Undecided 48% |
Results
Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Hillary Clinton | 1,101,414 | 64.44% | 141 | 24 | 165 |
Bernie Sanders | 568,839 | 33.28% | 73 | 2 | 75 |
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) | 38,930 | 2.28% | |||
Uncommitted | — | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
Total | 1,709,183 | 100% | 214 | 32 | 246 |
Source: The Green Papers, Florida Division of Elections - Official Primary Results |
Results by district
Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Delegates | Votes Clinton | Votes Sanders | Votes Qualified | Clinton delegates | Sanders delegates | |
1 | 3 | 26987 | 18497 | 45484 | 2 | 1 | |
2 | 6 | 50190 | 34073 | 84263 | 4 | 2 | |
3 | 4 | 32070 | 27974 | 60044 | 2 | 2 | |
4 | 4 | 33920 | 22765 | 56685 | 2 | 2 | |
5 | 6 | 55855 | 18639 | 74494 | 4 | 2 | |
6 | 5 | 37995 | 24443 | 62438 | 3 | 2 | |
7 | 5 | 37410 | 26795 | 64205 | 3 | 2 | |
8 | 5 | 39384 | 24376 | 63760 | 3 | 2 | |
9 | 5 | 40609 | 19880 | 60489 | 3 | 2 | |
10 | 5 | 38011 | 22213 | 60224 | 3 | 2 | |
11 | 5 | 38061 | 21590 | 59651 | 3 | 2 | |
12 | 5 | 35498 | 23172 | 58670 | 3 | 2 | |
13 | 6 | 44121 | 29707 | 73828 | 4 | 2 | |
14 | 6 | 49146 | 23617 | 72763 | 4 | 2 | |
15 | 5 | 32793 | 20712 | 53505 | 3 | 2 | |
16 | 6 | 43921 | 25856 | 69777 | 4 | 2 | |
17 | 4 | 29899 | 17045 | 46944 | 3 | 1 | |
18 | 6 | 42804 | 20620 | 63424 | 4 | 2 | |
19 | 4 | 31958 | 17235 | 49193 | 3 | 1 | |
20 | 7 | 61998 | 15761 | 77759 | 6 | 1 | |
21 | 7 | 57723 | 22100 | 79823 | 5 | 2 | |
22 | 6 | 49602 | 22209 | 71811 | 4 | 2 | |
23 | 6 | 44510 | 19974 | 64484 | 4 | 2 | |
24 | 8 | 59274 | 13893 | 73167 | 6 | 2 | |
25 | 3 | 24897 | 9287 | 34184 | 2 | 1 | |
26 | 4 | 32069 | 14148 | 46217 | 3 | 1 | |
27 | 4 | 30709 | 12258 | 42967 | 3 | 1 | |
Total | 140 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 93 | 47 | |
PLEO | 28 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 18 | 10 | |
At Large | 46 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 30 | 16 | |
Gr. Total | 214 | 1101414 | 568839 | 1670253 | 141 | 73 | |
Total vote | 64.44% | 33.28% | 1,709,183 | ||||
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections |
Results by county
County[41] | Clinton | Votes | Sanders | Votes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Alachua | 49.2% | 17,733 | 48.8% | 17,590 |
Baker | 38.5% | 654 | 47.4% | 805 |
Bay | 52.6% | 5,209 | 41.7% | 4,131 |
Bradford | 48.7% | 1,056 | 41.8% | 908 |
Brevard | 59.7% | 31,835 | 37.7% | 20,083 |
Broward | 72.5% | 132,527 | 26.4% | 48,330 |
Calhoun | 36.2% | 437 | 45.2% | 545 |
Charlotte | 62.1% | 8,125 | 35.4% | 4,634 |
Citrus | 56.3% | 6,863 | 39.2% | 4,776 |
Clay | 57.1% | 5,345 | 39.5% | 3,698 |
Collier | 66.1% | 12,712 | 31.9% | 6,127 |
Columbia | 52.9% | 2,299 | 38.6% | 1,676 |
DeSoto | 52.6% | 987 | 38.7% | 726 |
Dixie | 40.2% | 409 | 45.1% | 459 |
Duval | 67.2% | 58,632 | 30.6% | 26,716 |
Escambia | 62.2% | 16,765 | 34.6% | 9,318 |
Flagler | 65.8% | 6,152 | 31.9% | 2,977 |
Franklin | 47.0% | 665 | 45.7% | 647 |
Gadsden | 76.4% | 7,446 | 20.0% | 1,944 |
Gilchrist | 37.5% | 428 | 50.7% | 578 |
Glades | 49.9% | 387 | 40.3% | 313 |
Gulf | 47.4% | 568 | 43.4% | 520 |
Hamilton | 54.7% | 758 | 34.6% | 479 |
Hardee | 52.7% | 529 | 39.1% | 393 |
Hendry | 60.6% | 1,156 | 33.9% | 647 |
Hernando | 59.6% | 8,882 | 37.0% | 5,512 |
Highlands | 61.4% | 3,711 | 34.0% | 2,054 |
Hillsborough | 62.8% | 68,936 | 35.1% | 38,505 |
Holmes | 28.3% | 339 | 51.7% | 619 |
Indian River | 62.4% | 6,897 | 35.5% | 3,926 |
Jackson | 53.9% | 2,798 | 35.5% | 1,840 |
Jefferson | 64.6% | 1,671 | 29.5% | 762 |
Lafayette | 30.0% | 295 | 50.9% | 501 |
Lake | 63.5% | 15,914 | 33.8% | 8,465 |
Lee | 62.7% | 27,940 | 35.0% | 15,624 |
Leon | 56.5% | 27,333 | 41.1% | 19,866 |
Levy | 50.0% | 1,570 | 43.1% | 1,354 |
Liberty | 38.0% | 316 | 47.1% | 392 |
Madison | 62.4% | 1,542 | 30.0% | 741 |
Manatee | 62.5% | 18,116 | 35.1% | 10,165 |
Marion | 62.7% | 18,220 | 34.1% | 9,892 |
Martin | 59.8% | 6,523 | 37.6% | 4,101 |
Miami-Dade | 74.7% | 129,467 | 24.3% | 42,009 |
Monroe | 55.3% | 4,830 | 42.8% | 3,739 |
Nassau | 56.2% | 2,910 | 39.8% | 2,060 |
Okaloosa | 52.0% | 4,559 | 43.1% | 3,782 |
Okeechobee | 55.2% | 1,150 | 37.6% | 784 |
Orange | 63.8% | 66,654 | 35.1% | 36,639 |
Osceola | 68.2% | 16,512 | 30.0% | 7,273 |
Palm Beach | 71.5% | 103,369 | 27.2% | 39,314 |
Pasco | 58.3% | 21,760 | 38.9% | 14,493 |
Pinellas | 60.3% | 63,699 | 37.6% | 39,742 |
Polk | 63.0% | 29,328 | 33.3% | 15,473 |
Putnam | 49.4% | 3,182 | 42.7% | 2,747 |
Santa Rosa | 49.2% | 3,938 | 45.0% | 3,602 |
Sarasota | 61.1% | 25,881 | 37.3% | 15,776 |
Seminole | 58.3% | 22,069 | 39.9% | 15,100 |
St. Johns | 57.0% | 9,734 | 40.7% | 6,953 |
St. Lucie | 66.9% | 17,554 | 30.8% | 8,091 |
Sumter | 68.1% | 7,022 | 29.3% | 3,022 |
Suwannee | 42.2% | 1,475 | 44.3% | 1,550 |
Taylor | 45.9% | 983 | 42.4% | 907 |
Union | 36.7% | 336 | 51.6% | 472 |
Volusia | 60.2% | 26,276 | 37.1% | 16,170 |
Wakulla | 48.9% | 1,659 | 42.0% | 1,424 |
Walton | 50.0% | 1,515 | 44.9% | 1,361 |
Washington | 47.1% | 858 | 42.9% | 781 |
Total | 64.4% | 1,101,414 | 33.3% | 568,839 |
Analysis
Florida was generally viewed as a state Hillary Clinton would win, given her strong performance in previous contests with older voters (who comprised 65% of the Democratic electorate in Florida, the largest in any contest) and non-white voters (who made up 52% of the electorate). Clinton won the Florida Primary by 31 points, winning older voters by a margin of 71–26, and non-white voters by a margin of 74–25. Specifically, she won Hispanic/Latino voters by a margin of 68-32 (who made up 20% of the electorate), and African American voters 81-18 (who comprised 27% of the electorate). Clinton also won white voters by a narrower margin of 53–43. She won across all income and educational attainment levels.[42]
In terms of religious affiliation, Clinton won
Clinton won in
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