2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary

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2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary

← 2008 May 3, 2016 (2016-05-03) 2020 →
 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 44 39
Popular vote 335,074[1] 303,705
Percentage 52.46% 47.54%

Election results by county.

The 2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary took place on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Republican Party held their own Indiana primary on the same day. Other primaries were not held that day.

Opinion polling

List of polls

Delegate count: 83 Pledged, 9 Unpledged

Winner
Bernie Sanders
Primary date
May 3, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Official Primary Results May 3, 2016 Bernie Sanders
52.5%
Hillary Clinton
47.5%
ARG[2]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 400

April 27–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
51%
Bernie Sanders
43%
Others / Undecided
6%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[3]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 645

April 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
46%
Others / Undecided
4%
IPFW/Mike Downs Center[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

April 13–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
40%
Others / Undecided
5%
IPFW/Downs Center[5]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

April 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton
54%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Others / Undecided
5%
CBS/YouGov[6]

Margin of error: ± 8.2%
Sample size: 439

April 20–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton
49%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Others / Undecided
7%
FOX News[7]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 603

April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
42%
Others / Undecided
12%
WTHR News[8]

Margin of error: ± 4.47%
Sample size: 500

April 18–21, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Others / Undecided
7%

Results

Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 335,074 52.46% 44 0 44
Hillary Clinton 303,705 47.54% 39 7 46
Uncommitted 0 2 2
Total 638,779 100% 83 9 92
Source: The Green Papers - Official Primary Results

Analysis

Sanders managed a five-percentage point upset win in Indiana, despite not leading in a single poll ahead of the primary. He won men 57-43, tied women with Clinton 50-50, beat Clinton 68-32 among

Independents 72-28 and won across all income levels. Clinton performed best with African Americans
who she won 74-26, and older voters who she won 60-40.

Sanders performed well statewide in Indiana, winning most of the rural counties. He performed well in

Terre Haute
.

Clinton won

Chicago Metropolitan Area, and performed well in Southern Indiana along the Ohio River with neighboring Kentucky
.

References

  1. ^ The Green Papers - Official Primary Results
  2. ^ "American Research Group, Inc". Retrieved April 29, 2016.
  3. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll May 2016 Indiana Questionnaire" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
  4. ^ "1) Cruz Ahead in Indiana 2) Clinton Leads 3) Young Edging Stutzman but Many Yet to Decide" (PDF). Retrieved April 30, 2016.
  5. ^ "IPFW poll: Hoosiers like Clinton". Retrieved April 29, 2016.
  6. ^ "Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana". CBS News. April 24, 2016. Retrieved April 24, 2016.
  7. ^ "Fox News Poll: Indiana Presidential Primaries". Fox News. April 22, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.
  8. ^ "Exclusive WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton have small leads in Indiana, overall tight race". WTHR News. April 22, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.