Andrey Korotayev
A major contributor to this article appears to have a close connection with its subject. (March 2020) |
Andrey Korotayev | |
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HSE University (Moscow) (Moscow)Russian Academy of Sciences (Moscow) Institute for Advanced Study(Princeton) Russian State University for the Humanities |
Andrey Vitalievich Korotayev (
He is currently the Director of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at the HSE University in Moscow,[4] and a Senior Research Professor at the Center for Big History and System Forecasting of the Institute of Oriental Studies[5][6] as well as in the Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences.[7]
In addition, he is a senior research professor of the International Laboratory on Political Demography and Social Macrodynamics (PDSM) of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration,[8] as well as a full professor of the Faculty of Global Studies of the Moscow State University.[9]
He is co-editor of the journals Social Evolution & History and Journal of Globalization Studies,[10] as well as History & Mathematics[11] yearbook[12]
Together with Askar Akayev and George Malinetsky he was in 2008-2018 a coordinator of the Russian Academy of Sciences Program "System Analysis and Mathematical Modeling of World Dynamics".[13]
Education and career
Born in Moscow, Andrey Korotayev attended
Korotayev is a laureate of the Russian Science Support Foundation in "The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences" nomination (2006).[1] In 2012 he was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal[2] by the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation.
Contributions
Andrey Korotayev has made important contributions to the following fields.
Mathematical modeling and Cliodynamics
Global dynamics
In this field he has proposed one of the most convincing mathematical explanations for
The hyperbolic growth of the
He has also shown that the world urban population growth curve has also up till recently followed a quadratic-hyperbolic pattern.[18] In addition, Korotayev and his colleagues have proposed a number of forecasts of the World System development up to 2100.[16][19][20]
Social and biological macroevolution
In collaboration with
Cliodynamics and the study of the Arab Spring
In the field of cliodynamics, Korotayev has developed a number of mathematical models of interaction between the very long-term, "millennial" hyperbolic trend dynamics of social systems and the shorter-term, "secular" (that is, observed at the scale of centuries), cyclical dynamics.[25]
He has also produced a number of mathematical models describing specifically long-term political-demographic dynamics of
Of special importance is his study of the
Thus, Korotayev has demonstrated that the
Russian demographic crisis
In collaboration with
"Literacy and the Spirit of Capitalism"
Korotayev and his colleagues have demonstrated that Protestantism has indeed influenced positively the capitalist development of respective social systems not so much through the "Protestant ethics" (as was suggested by Max Weber) but rather through the promotion of literacy.[39]
World-system analysis
Andrey Korotayev claims that the present-day
In general, Korotayev and his colleagues have suggested a rather novel approach to the world-system analysis. Within this approach the main emphasis is moved to the generation and diffusion of innovations. If a society borrows systematically important technological innovations, its evolution already cannot be considered as really independent, but should rather be considered as a part of a larger evolving entity, within which such innovations are systematically produced and diffused. The main idea of the world-system approach was to find the evolving unit. The basic idea was that it is impossible to account for the evolution of a single society without taking into consideration that it was a part of a larger whole. However, traditional world-system analysis concentrated on bulk-good movements, and core – periphery exploitation, somehow neglecting the above-mentioned dimension. However, according to Korotayev, the information network turns out to be the oldest mechanism of the World System integration, and remained extremely important throughout its whole history, remaining important up to the present. It seems to be even more important than the core – periphery exploitation (for example, without taking this mechanism into consideration it appears impossible to account for such things as the demographic explosion in the 20th century, whose proximate cause was the dramatic decline of mortality, but whose main ultimate cause was the diffusion of innovations produced almost exclusively within the World System core). This also suggests a redefinition of the World System core. Within the approach in question the core is not the World System zone, which exploits other zones, but rather the World System core is the zone with the highest innovation donor/recipient ratio, the principal innovation donor.[42]
Korotayev suggests that the hyperbolic trend observed for the world population growth after 10000 BCE does appear to be primarily a product of the growth of the World System.Articles from journals The presence of the
Great Divergence and Great Convergence
Together with Leonid Grinin he has also made a significant contribution to the current Great Divergence debate.[45] As is noted by Jack Goldstone, the "new view, carefully presented and rigorously modeled by Grinin and Korotayev, provides a richer and more nuanced version of the "Great Divergence," bridging many of the differences between the traditional and California viewpoints. Yet they go further. Amazingly, by building a model using human capital (education), global population growth, and regional productivity, they show how both the Great Divergence and the recent "Great Convergence" (the economic catching up of developing countries) are phases of the same process of global modernisation."[46] In addition, Korotayev's research has revealed a close coupling between phases of global demographic transition and phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence.[47]
Kondratieff waves
Note also his research on Kondratiev waves in the world GDP dynamics that, employing spectral analysis, has confirmed their presence at an acceptable level of statistical significance.[48]
He has also detected Kondratieff waves in the global dynamics of invention activities.[49]
General theory of social macroevolution
In addition, it appears necessary to maintain that Korotayev's theory of the
Cross-cultural studies
From a complexity perspective Korotayev's establishes a key point, that of the bifurcations of social and
Matrilocal vs. patrilocal residence
One of his particular contributions in this field is connected with the classical anthropological issue of determinants of
Myths, genes, and deep history
Korotayev was also one of the pioneers (together with his colleagues) of the study of correlation between spatial distributions of folklore-mythological motifs[53] and genetic markers,[54] as well as linguistic and sociostructural characteristics, and produced in this area significant results with respect to the deep history reconstruction.[55] As is noticed by Julien d'Huy et al., "Korotayev and Khaltourina[56] showed statistical correlation between spatial distributions of mythological motifs and genetic markers, considerably above the 4,000 km... Such correlations allow us to reconstruct in detail the mythology... brought to the New World from South Siberia by three Paleolithic migration waves".[57]
Unilineal descent and Christianization
Korotayev studies variables that are usually regarded as the main causes of the decline of
Sociopolitical systems in the Middle East and Africa
Origins of parallel-cousin marriage and the Afrasian Instability Zone
Yemeni Studies
Korotayev has made a special contribution in this field by detecting principal trends in the evolution of Yemeni cultures through application of quantitative methods to the analysis of mass
African Studies
Korotayev and his colleagues have also made significant contributions to the study of political-demographic dynamics in
Origins of Islam
Korotayev has also done (together with his colleagues Vladimir Klimenko and Dmitry Proussakov) a significant contribution to the study of the origins of
The decades of fighting which led to the destruction of the most of the Arabian kingdoms and
According to Korotayev, the Monotheist "Rahmanist" prophets appear to have represented a supratribal authority just of the type many
Select publications
Korotayev has written over 35 books and 370 articles dealing with his research interests [4]. These include
- Ancient Yemen (Oxford University Press, 1995);
- Pre-Islamic Yemen. Wiesbaden: Harrassowitz, 1996;
- World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: A Cross-cultural Perspective (Edwin Mellen Press, 2004);
- Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth (KomKniga/URSS, 2006, with Artemy Malkov and Daria Khaltourina);
- Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends (KomKniga/URSS, 2006, with Artemy Malkov and Daria Khaltourina);
- Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective (Springer, 2015, with Leonid Grinin).
- Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery (Springer, 2016, with Leonid Grinin and Arno Tausch).
- Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives (Springer, 2019, with Leonid Grinin and Arno Tausch)
Among his more important journal articles are
- "Origins of Islam". Acta Orientalia Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae 53/3–4 (1999): 243–276 (with Vladimir Klimenko and Dmitry Proussakov),
- "Regions Based on Social Structure: A Reconsideration". Current Anthropology 41/5 (October 2000): 668–690 (with Alexander Kazankov),
- Evolutionary Agent-Based Model of Pre-State Warfare Patterns: Cross-Cultural Tests. World Cultures 15/1 (2004): 28–36 (with Mikhail Burtsev).
- A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution in the Journal of World Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93.
- Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered. Journal of American Folklore 119 (2006): 472–520.
- The World System Urbanization Dynamics: A quantitative analysis in History & Mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies (Ed. by Peter Turchin, Leonid Grinin et al., p. 44–62. Moscow: KomKniga, 2006),
- Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions. World Futures, Volume 65, Issue 7 October 2009, pages 477–506 (with Leonid Grinin),
- A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis. Structure and Dynamics. 2010. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57 (with Sergey Tsirel),
- Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis Forecasts the Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April – June 2011 // Structure and Dynamics 4/3 (2010): 1–11 (with Askar Akayev, Alexey Fomin, and Sergey Tsirel),
- Korotayev, Andrey; Zinkina, Julia; Bogevolnov, Justislav (2011). "Kondratieff waves in global invention activity (1900–2008)". Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 78 (7): 1280. .
- Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis. Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar 13 (2011): 139–165 (with Julia Zinkina),
- A Trap At The Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia. Cliodynamics 2/2 (2011): 276–303 (with Daria Khaltourina and others),
- Malkov, Artemy; Zinkina, Julia; Korotayev, Andrey (2012). "The origins of dragon-kings and their occurrence in society". Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications. 391 (21): 5215. .
- Globalization Shuffles Cards of the World Pack: In Which Direction is the Global Economic-Political Balance Shifting? World Futures, 70: 515–545, 2014 (with Leonid Grinin).
- Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Volume 95, June 2015, Pages 163–169 (with Jack A. Goldstone& Julia Zinkina).
- Effects of specific alcohol control policy measures on alcohol-related mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013. Alcohol and Alcoholism, 2015, 50(5), 588-601 (with Daria Khaltourina).
- Korotayev, Andrey; Issaev, Leonid; Shishkina, Alisa (2015). "Egyptian coup of 2013: an 'econometric' analysis". The Journal of North African Studies. 21 (3): 341–356. S2CID 147640479.
- Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background. Social Evolution & History. 2016. Vol. 15(2). P. 120-140.
- Great Divergence of the 18th century? Cliodynamics 9/2 (2018): 108–123.
- The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis.Journal of Big History 2/3 (2018): 71 - 118.
- GDP Per Capita and Protest Activity: A Quantitative Reanalysis. Cross-Cultural Research 52/4 (2018): 406–440.
- Economic growth, education, and terrorism: A re-analysis. Terrorism and Political Violence 33/3 (2021): 572-595.
- Education and Revolutions: Why do Revolutionary Uprisings Take Violent or Nonviolent Forms?. Cross-Cultural Research, 2023, 10693971231162231.
Edited volumes by Andrey Korotayev
- Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change (Springer, 2022).
- New Wave of Revolutions in the MENA Region. A Comparative Perspective (2022).
- The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective (Springer, 2020)
- History & Mathematics: Big History Aspects (2019).
- Evolution: Evolutionary Trends, Aspects, and Patterns (2019).
- Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Global Evolution, Historical Globalistics and Globalization Studies (2017)
- History & Mathematics: Economy, Demography, Culture, and Cosmic Civilizations (2017).
- Political Demography & Global Ageing (2015).
- Evolution: From Big Bang to Nanorobots. Moscow: Uchitel, 2015.
- Trends and Cycles, Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, 2014.
- Teaching & Researching Big History: Exploring a New Scholarly Field, International Big History Association, 2014.
- Kondratieff Waves: Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2012. <co-editor, with Leonid Grinin and Tessaleno Devezas; in English>
- Evolution: A Big History Perspective. Volgograd: 'Uchitel' Publishing House, 2011. ISBN 978-5-7057-2905-0 <co-editor, with Leonid Grininand Barry Rodrigue; in English>.
- Evolution: Cosmic, Biological, and Social / Edited by R. L. Carneiro, A. V. Korotayev, F. Spier. Volgograd, Uchitel 2011.
- Forecasting and Modeling of Crises and World Dynamics. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor, with Askar Akayev and Georgy Malinetsky; in Russian>.
- System Monitoring of Global and Regional Risks. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Evolution: Problems and Discussions. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- History and Mathematics. Evolutionary Historical Macrodynamics. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Causes of the Russian Revolution. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- System Monitoring. Global and Regional Development. Moscow: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2010 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- History and Mathematics. Processes and Models. М.: URSS, 2009 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Political Aspects of Modernity / Ed. by L. E. Grinin, D. D. Beliaev, A. V. Korotayev. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in English>.
- Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Ancient and Medieval Cultures/ Ed. by L. E. Grinin, D. D. Beliaev, A. V. Korotayev. Moscow: LIBROCOM/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in English>.
- Problems of Mathematical History. Historical Reconstruction, Forecasting, Methodology. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Problems of Mathematical History. Mathematical Modeling of Historical Processes. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Problems of Mathematical History. Basics, Information Resources, Data Analysis. М.: LIBROCOM /URSS, 2008. С. 235–245 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- History and Mathematics. Models and Theories. Moscow: LKI/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Alcohol Catastrophe. Moscow: LENAND/URSS, 2008 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Interethnic Relations in Contemporary Tanzania. The 2005 Field Season of the Russian Multidisciplinary Expedition in the United Republic of Tanzania. Moscow: Institute for African Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, 2007 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- History & Mathematics: Analyzing and Modeling Global Development. Moscow: URSS, 2006 <co-editor; in English>.
- History & Mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies. Moscow: URSS, 2006 <co-editor; in English>.
- History and Complexity Studies: Mathematical Modeling of Social Dynamics. Moscow: URSS, 2005 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- The Early State, Its Alternatives and Analogues. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2004 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- The Moscow School of Quantitative Cross-Cultural Research. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE, 2003 (Cross-Cultural Research 37/1) <co-editor; in English>.
- Alternatives of Social Evolution. Vladivostok: Dal'nauka, 2000 <co-editor; in English>.
- Civilizational Models of Politogenesis. Moscow: Inst. for Afr. Stud. Press, 2000 <co-editor; in English>.
- Alternatives Pathways to Civilization. Moscow: Logos, 2000 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Sociobiology of Ritual and Group Identity: A Homology of Animal and Human Behaviour. Moscow: Russian State University for Humanities, 1998 <co-editor; in English>.
- Alternativity of History. Donetsk: Donetskoe Otdelenie SAMI, 1992 <co-editor; in Russian>.
- Archaic Society: Key Problems of Evolutionary Sociology. Moscow: Institut istorii SSSR AN SSSR, 1991 <co-editor; in Russian>.
Notes
- ^ a b "The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences". Russian Academy of Sciences. Archived from the original on 24 December 2018. Retrieved 27 June 2006.
- ^ a b "ИТОГИ VII МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО КОНКУРСА НА СОИСКАНИЕ ЗОЛОТОЙ, СЕРЕБРЯНОЙ, БРОНЗОВОЙ МЕДАЛЕЙ И ПАМЯТНОЙ МЕДАЛИ ДЛЯ МОЛОДЫХ УЧЕНЫХ «За вклад в развитие общественных наук» от 28 апреля 2012 года". ИТОГИ VII МЕЖДУНАРОДНОГО КОНКУРСА НА СОИСКАНИЕ ЗОЛОТОЙ, СЕРЕБРЯНОЙ, БРОНЗОВОЙ МЕДАЛЕЙ И ПАМЯТНОЙ МЕДАЛИ ДЛЯ МОЛОДЫХ УЧЕНЫХ «За вклад в развитие общественных наук» от 28 апреля 2012 года. 30 September 2019. Archived from the original on 12 October 2013.
- ISBN 9789004348479. Leiden: Brill, 2018, pp. 182–183.
- ^ a b "HSE University - Moscow staff". hse.ru.
- ^ Институт Востоковедения Российской Академии Наук
- ^ Институт Востоковедения Российской Академии Наук
- ^ "Centre for Civilisational and Regional Studies | Institute for African Studies". inafran.ru.
- ^ RANEPA - First International Conference on Political Demography and Social Macro-Dynamics
- ^ "Андрей Витальевич Коротаев". Istina. Retrieved 31 December 2013.
- ISSN 2075-8103.
- ^ "History and mathematics: Historical Dynamics and Development of Complex Societies". URSS. Archived from the original on 22 July 2010. Retrieved 31 December 2013.
- ^ Almanac (together with Leonid Grinin and Arno Tausch).
- ^ Note that the analysis of log-linear oscillations in the gold price dynamics for 2003–2010 conducted by him together with Askar Akayev allowed them to forecast in November 2010 a possible start of the second wave of the global crisis in June – August 2011. See Askar Akayev, Alexey Fomin, Sergey Tsirel, and Andrey Korotayev. Log-Periodic Oscillation Analysis Forecasts the Burst of the "Gold Bubble" in April – June 2011. Structure and Dynamics 4/3 (2010): 1–11.
- ^ "2003-2004 Members, Vistors [sic] and Research Assistants | School of Historical Studies". hs.ias.edu. 6 July 2011.
- ^ Korotayev A.; Malkov A.; Khaltourina D. (2006). Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends. Moscow: URSS.
- ^ a b See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006.
- ^ See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006; Korotayev A. V. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution // Journal of World-Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93 Archived 6 July 2009 at the Wayback Machine; for a detailed mathematical analysis of this issue see A Compact Mathematical Model of the World System Economic and Demographic Growth, 1 CE – 1973 CE; for an analysis of this pattern suggested by Korotayev see, e.g., Carter, B., (2008), "Five or six step scenario for evolution?" Int. J.
Astrobiology 7 (2008) 177–182. As Francis Heylighen puts it, "an elegant example is the explanation by Korotayev of the hyperbolic growth of the world population until 1960.
In the model, population growth is initially modeled by a traditional logistic growth
equation, where population N starts by growing exponentially but then slows
down until it reaches the maximum value expressed by the carrying capacity of the
environment. This carrying capacity is proportional to the overall productivity of
technology, i.e. its ability to extract from the natural environment the resources
necessary for survival. In a second equation, the growth of technological productivity is considered to be proportional to the technology that is already there
(simple exponential growth), but also to the population number, under the simple
assumption that more individuals will discover more innovations. The authors shows that the two equations together produce a hyperbolic growth curve that mimics the observed historical growth of world population with a surprising accuracy (explaining over 99% of the variation for the period 500 BC–1962)" (ISBN 978-1-135-97764-1.).
- ISBN 5-484-01002-0. P. 44-62
- ^ Korotayev A., Zinkina J. On the structure of the present-day convergence. Campus-Wide Information Systems. Vol. 31 No. 2/3, 2014, pp. 139–152
- ^ a b Zinkina J., Korotayev A. Explosive Population Growth in Tropical Africa: Crucial Omission in Development Forecasts (Emerging Risks and Way Out). World Futures 70/2 (2014): 120–139.
- .
- PMID 18677962.
- ^ The 21st Century Singularity and its Big History Implications: A re-analysis. Journal of Big History 2/3 (2018): 71 - 118.
- ^ The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective (Springer, 2021)
- ^ Korotayev, Andrey V.; Malkov, Artemy S.; Khaltourina, Daria A. (9 October 2006). "Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends" – via escholarship.org.
- ^ ISBN 5-484-00560-4.
- ^ Korotayev, Andrey. "Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis // Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar 13 (2011): 139–169" – via academia.edu.
- ^ http://polit.ru/article/2013/06/29/revolutions/; see also Egyptian coup of 2013: an ‘econometric’ analysis. The Journal of North African Studies. 2016. Vol. 21 (3). P. 341–356.
- S2CID 36149423.
- – via academia.edu.
- ^ "Андрей Коротаев: Арабская весна как триггер глобального фазового перехода? - ПОЛИТ.РУ". polit.ru.
- ^ Population Dynamics and Internal Warfare: A Reconsideration Archived 3 June 2016 at the Wayback Machine. Social Evolution & History 5/2 (2006): 112–147.
- ISBN 5-484-00560-4; note that these findings are relevant for the preindustrial social systems only.
- ^ Kohler, Timothy A., and Charles Reed. Explaining the Structure and Timing of Formation of Pueblo I Villages in the Northern U.S. Southwest. In Sustainable Lifeways: Cultural Persistence in an Ever-changing Environment, edited by Naomi F. Miller, Katherine M. Moore, and Kathleen Ryan, pp. 150–179. University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, 2012.
- ^ See, e.g., Egyptian Revolution: A Demographic Structural Analysis. Entelequia. Revista Interdisciplinar 13 (2011): 139–169.
- ^ Korotayev, A., Malkov, S., & Grinin, L. (2014). A trap at the escape from the trap? Some demographic structural factors of political instability in modernizing social systems. History & Mathematics, 4, 201-267.
- Khaltourina D. Russian Demographic Crisis in Cross-National Perspective. Russia and Globalization: Identity, Security, and Society in an Era of Change. Ed. by D. W. Blum. Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2008. P. 37-78; Khaltourina, D. A., & Korotayev, A. V. 'Potential for alcohol policy to decrease the mortality crisis in Russia', Evaluation & the Health Professions, vol. 31, no. 3, Sep 2008. pp. 272–281; Khaltourina, Daria, and Andrey Korotayev. "Effects of Specific Alcohol Control Policy Measures on Alcohol-Related Mortality in Russia from 1998 to 2013." Alcohol and Alcoholism (2015): agv042 [dead link].
- ^ Critical 10 Years. Demographic Policies of the Russian Federation: Successes and Challenges. – Moscow: Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, 2015. P. 101-123..
- ISBN 5-484-00414-4 [1] (Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism" Archived 17 July 2011 at the Wayback Machine). P.87-91.
- ^ "Characterizing Literacy". SAGE Publications Inc. 14 January 2020.
- ISBN 5-484-00414-4 [2] (Chapter 6: Reconsidering Weber: Literacy and "the Spirit of Capitalism" Archived 17 July 2011 at the Wayback Machine). P.88-91.
- ^ ISBN 5-484-00414-4.
- ^ "Review of Social Macroevolution: Genesis and Transformation of the World System by Leonid Grinin and Andrey Korotayev". Social Studies. Retrieved 31 December 2013.
- ISBN 5-484-00414-4; Korotayev A. Compact Mathematical Models of World System Development, and How they can Help us to Clarify our Understanding of Globalization Processes // Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Modeling Global Change / Edited by George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas, and William R. Thompson. London: Routledge, 2007. P. 133-160.
- ^ Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective (Springer, 2015, with Leonid Grinin).
- ^ "Articles from journals". sociostudies.org.
- ^ Korotayev A. et al. Phases of global demographic transition correlate with phases of the Great Divergence and Great Convergence. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. Volume 95, June 2015, Page 163.
- ^ Korotayev, Andrey V., & Tsirel, Sergey V.(2010). A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis. Structure and Dynamics. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57. Referring to this article, John A. Mathews notes: "The Russian polymath Andrey Korotayev together with his collaborator Sergey Tsirel has recently revived the study of long waves (or K-waves, after Kondratiev (Kondratieff)) by subjecting the time series to spectral analysis – thereby providing solid proof that these waves exist" (The renewable energies technology surge: A new techno-economic paradigm in the making? Working Papers in Technology Governance and Economic Dynamics. The Other Canon Foundation, Norway. 2012. No. 44. P. 6. Note 6)
- .
- ISBN 5-484-00414-4
- ^ Andrey Korotayev. "World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: a Cross-Cultural Perspective". Mellen Press. Retrieved 31 December 2013.
- S2CID 145694651..
- ^ Korotayev A., Berezkin Yu., Kozmin A., Arkhipova A.Return of the White Raven: Postdiluvial Reconnaissance Motif A2234.1.1 Reconsidered // Journal of American Folklore 119: 472–520.
- ^ See, e.g., "Midwest-Amazonian" Folklore-Mythological Parallels?. Acta Americana 14/1 (2006): 5–24; Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011; Korotayev A. et al. Which genes and myths did the different waves of the peopling of Americas bring to the New World?. History and Mathematics 6 (2017): 9-77. [3].
- S2CID 146717594.
- ^ Myths and Genes. A Deep Historical Reconstruction. Moscow: Librokom/URSS, 2011.
- ^ d'Huy, J., Le Quellec, J. L., Berezkin, Y., Lajoye, P., & Uther, H. J. (2017). Studying folktale diffusion needs unbiased dataset. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1714884114
- Sage: 132–156.
- JSTOR 3774053.
- ^ Korotayev, A.; Issaev, L.; Rudenko, M.; Shishkina, A.; Ivanov, E. (2016). "Afrasian Instability Zone and Its Historical Background". Social Evolution & History. 15 (2): 120–140.
- ^ E.g., Sabaean Cultural-Political Area: Some General Trends of Evolution. Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies. 23 (1993): 49–60.
- ^ See his Ancient Yemen, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1994; and his Pre-Islamic Yemen, Wiesbaden, Harrassowitz Verlag, 1995.
- ^ Korotayev A. V. "Were There Any Truly Matrilineal Lineages in the Arabian Peninsula?" Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies 25 (1995); pp. 83–98.
- ^ Socio-Political Conflict in the Qatabanian Kingdom? (A preliminary re-interpretation of the Qatabanic inscription R 3566). Proceedings of the Seminar for Arabian Studies 27 (1997): 141–158; this interpretation has been recognized as authoritative by the Corpus of South Arabian Inscriptions (Pisa: Edizioni Plus, 2004).
- ^ "A Trap at the Escape From The Trap? Demographic-Structural Factors of Political Instability in Modern Africa and West Asia". Cliodynamics. 2011. pp. 276–303.
- ^ Korotayev A.; Klimenko V.; Proussakov D. "Origins of Islam: Political-Anthropological and Environmental Context". Acta Orientalia Academiae Scientiarum Hungaricae. 53 (3–4): 243–276.
External links
- Article on Andrey Korotayev at InterSci Complexity wiki (with a full list of his publications till 2009)
- "Introduction to Social Macrodynamics. Models of the World System Development. Moscow: KomKniga/URSS, 2006"
- Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends at InterSci Complexity wiki
- Mellen Press' Information on Andrey Korotayev
- Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends
- Chapter 3: "A Compact Macromodel of World Economic and Demographic Growth" of Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth (Moscow, URSS, 2006)
- A Spectral Analysis of World GDP Dynamics: Kondratieff Waves, Kuznets Swings, Juglar and Kitchin Cycles in Global Economic Development, and the 2008–2009 Economic Crisis. Structure and Dynamics. 2010. Vol.4. No. 1. P.3-57 (with Sergey Tsirel).
- Andrey V. Korotayev
- Information on Andrey Korotayev at the web-site of the Institute of the Advanced Study in Princeton