Endorsements in the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
2016 U.S. presidential election | |
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Republican Party | |
Democratic Party | |
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This is a list of notable
Early endorsements were correlated with the success candidates achieved in caucuses and primaries, for elections from 1980 through 2004.[1][2] (See the UCLA School of Political Parties.) Historically, there has been a correlation ("76% of the eventual vote percentage")[3] between the percentage of political endorsements from sitting and former elected officials earned by a Republican candidate in the first half of the year prior to a presidential election (for the purposes of this article, January–June, 2015), with the percentage of votes cast for that candidate in Republican primaries during the first half of the election year (i.e., January–June, 2016).
The value of political endorsements varies, depending on whom they are from, when they are given, and other factors. Endorsements from politicians who live in states with early primaries are highly sought after.[4] So are endorsements from governors, federal senators, and federal representatives.[3] Endorsements from people from the candidate's home state are less valuable, unless multiple candidates from that state are running.[3] The impact of celebrity endorsements of political candidates is less clear, but can increase general election turnout,[5] or increase fundraising totals and media exposure.[6]
Donald Trump (won presidency)
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Donald Trump endorsements
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)
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Jeb Bush endorsements
Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Background: Dr.
Ben Carson endorsements
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Chris Christie endorsements
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
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Ted Cruz endorsements
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)
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Carly Fiorina endorsements
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)
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Jim Gilmore endorsements
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
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Lindsey Graham endorsements
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
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Mike Huckabee endorsements
Bobby Jindal (withdrawn)
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Bobby Jindal endorsements
John Kasich (withdrawn)
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John Kasich endorsements
George Pataki (withdrawn)
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George Pataki endorsements
Rand Paul (withdrawn)
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Rand Paul endorsements
Rick Perry (withdrawn)
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Rick Perry endorsements
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
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Marco Rubio endorsements
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
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Rick Santorum endorsements
Scott Walker (withdrawn)
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Scott Walker endorsements
Endorsement withholding
The intentional withholding of an endorsement (aka "negative endorsement") is a relevant and important category for this topic. At a minimum, it represents the loss of an endorsing entity for a candidate. It also represents the introduction of a minimum threshold. The editorial department of the
See also
References
- ^ Martin Cohen; David Karol; Hans Noel; John Zaller (2008). The Party Decides: Presidential Nominations Before and After Reform. University of Chicago Press.
- ^ Aaron Bycoffe (August 3, 2015). "The Endorsement Primary". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved 2015-08-05.
- ^ a b c Harry Enten (15 June 2015). "Pols And Polls Say The Same Thing: Jeb Bush Is A Weak Front-Runner". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ "Race is on for 2016 endorsements". The Hill. 21 April 2015. Retrieved 2015-05-04.
- ^ Craig Garthwaite; Timothy Moore (2 April 2012). "The Oprah Effect". Kellogg Insight.
- ^ Streib, Lauren (November 2012). "Most Valuable Celebrity Political Endorsements: Jay-Z & More (PHOTOS)". The Daily Beast.
- ^ Robert Costa (March 11, 2016). "Ben Carson backs Trump, saying combative billionaire has 'cerebral' side". Washington Post.
- ^ LoBianco, Tom; Preston, Mark (February 10, 2016). "Chris Christie suspends campaign, source says". CNN. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
- Jeremy Diamond; Jake Tapper; Phil Mattingly & Stephen Collinson (February 26, 2016). "Chris Christie endorses Donald Trump". CNN.
- ^ Tina Nguyen (September 23, 2016). "What On Earth Is Ted Cruz Doing?; A few theories as to why Cruz, who once called Donald Trump a "serial philanderer" and "pathological liar," just endorsed the G.O.P. nominee". vanityfair.com. Vanity Fair. Retrieved September 27, 2016.
- ^ "Carly Fiorina". Twitter. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
- ^ Bradner, Eric (February 10, 2016). "Carly Fiorina ends presidential bid". CNN. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
- ^ "Rick Perry endorses Ted Cruz". Politico.
- ^ Rosemary O'Hara (March 4, 2016). "Why we can't endorse Trump, Rubio, Cruz or Kasich". The Sun-Sentinel.