2004 United States Senate election in Arkansas
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County results Lincoln: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Holt: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Arkansas |
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The 2004 United States Senate election in Arkansas took place on November 2, 2004 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln won re-election to a second term in office despite President George W. Bush winning the state on the same ballot. As of 2023[update], this was the last time Democrats won the Class 3 Senate seat from Arkansas or that Arkansas elected a female to the U.S. Senate.
Background
Incumbent Democrat Blanche Lincoln ran for re-election. Lincoln won re-election over Republican State Senator Jim Holt while President George W. Bush carried the state with almost the same margin of victory.
The Democratic Party held
Democrats had an overwhelming majority of registered voters, the
Republican primary
Candidates
- Rosemarie Clampitt, retired actress[2]
- Jim Holt, State Senator
- Andy Lee, Benton County Sheriff
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Holt | 37,254 | 68.9% | |
Republican | Andy Lee | 10,709 | 19.8% | |
Republican | Rosemarie Clampitt | 6,078 | 11.3% | |
Total votes | 54,041 | 100.0% |
General election
Candidates
- Blanche Lincoln (D), Incumbent U.S. Senator
- Jim Holt (R), State Senator
Campaign
Lincoln was a popular incumbent. In March, she had an approval rating of 55%.[4] Lincoln called herself an advocate for rural America, having grown up on a farm herself. Holt was from Northwest Arkansas, and was also living on a farm.[5] Holt was widely known as a long shot. By the end of June, he had raised just $29,000, while Lincoln had over $5 million cash on hand.[6]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 28, 2004
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]
|
Safe D | November 1, 2004 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Blanche Lincoln (D) |
Jim Holt (R) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA | October 31 – November 1, 2004 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 53% | 43% | 4% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Blanche Lincoln (Incumbent) | 580,973 | 55.90% | |
Republican | Jim Holt | 458,036 | 44.07% | |
Write-in | 340 | 0.03% | ||
Total votes | 1,039,349 | 100.0% |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Cleburne (Largest city: Heber Springs)
- Lonoke (Largest city: Cabot)
- Montgomery (Largest city: Mount Ida)
- Pike (Largest city: Glenwood)
- Pope (Largest city: Russellville)
- Saline (Largest city: Benton)
- Scott (Largest city: Waldron)
- Stone (Largest city: Mountain View)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Union (Largest city: El Dorado)
- Washington (Largest city: Fayetteville)
See also
- 2004 United States Senate elections
- 2002 United States Senate election in Arkansas
- 2008 United States Senate election in Arkansas
Notes
- ^ Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- user-generated source]
- ^ "Blytheville Native Launches U.S. Senate Bid". kait8.com. March 31, 2004. Archived from the original on April 6, 2015. Retrieved December 26, 2009.
- ^ David Leip. "2004 Senatorial Republican Primary Election Results - Arkansas". uselectionatlas.org.
- ^ "John J. Miller on U.S. Senate & Election 2004 on National Review Online". Archived from the original on March 9, 2012. Retrieved September 4, 2010.
- ^ "Sen. Lincoln Visits with Constituents in Region 8". kait8.com. 2 July 2004. Archived from the original on 1 December 2017. Retrieved 4 September 2010.
- ^ "Can Republicans hold on to the Senate?". NBC News. August 11, 2004.
- ^ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 2004. Retrieved May 2, 2021.