2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota
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  Thune: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Williams: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in South Dakota |
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The 2016 United States Senate election in South Dakota was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the
local elections
. The primaries were held June 7.
Incumbent Republican Senator John Thune was considered a potential 2016 presidential candidate, but decided instead to run for a third term in office.[1]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- John Thune, incumbent U.S. Senator
Declined
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Jay Williams, Chair of the Yankton County Democratic Party, former Yankton School Board member and candidate for the State House in 2010 and 2014[3][4]
Declined
- Tom Daschle, former U.S. Senator[5][6]
- Cory Heidelberger, teacher and political activist (running for State Senate)[7][8]
- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative[9][10]
- Mike Huether, Mayor of Sioux Falls[7][10]
- 1998[7]
- Sam Hurst, filmmaker and television news producer[11]
- Brendan Johnson, former United States Attorney for the District of South Dakota[9][12]
- Frank Kloucek, former state senator[13][14]
- Phil Schreck, KSFY-TV senior meteorologist[15]
- Billie Sutton, Minority Leader of the South Dakota Senate[11][16]
- 2014[17]
Constitution Party
The Constitution Party nominated Kurt Evans for Senate depending on the resolution of a ballot-access legal action, however, the party's request to place a candidate on the ballot was not granted.[18][19][20]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 13, 2016
- Complete video of debate, October 23, 2016
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Thune (R) |
Jay Williams (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 459 | ± 4.6% | 65% | 31% | 4% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31–November 6, 2016 | 435 | ± 4.6% | 64% | 31% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28–November 3, 2016 | 393 | ± 4.6% | 66% | 29% | 5% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27–November 2, 2016 | 345 | ± 4.6% | 67% | 30% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26–November 1, 2016 | 281 | ± 4.6% | 65% | 32% | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 298 | ± 4.6% | 67% | 31% | 2% |
| Nielson Brothers Polling Archived November 2, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 24–26, 2016 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 35% | 11% |
| Remington Research Group | October 19–21, 2016 | 1,115 | ± 3.0% | 57% | 36% | 7% |
| Mason-Dixon Archived October 26, 2016, at the Wayback Machine | October 18–20, 2016 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 65% | 27% | 8% |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21]
|
Safe R | November 2, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22]
|
Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[23] | Safe R | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Real Clear Politics[25]
|
Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Thune (incumbent) | 265,516 | 71.83% | -28.17% | |
| Democratic | Jay Williams | 104,140 | 28.17% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 369,656 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Oglala Lakota (largest city: Pine Ridge)
- Todd (largest city: Mission)
- Buffalo (largest city: Fort Thompson)
References
- ^ Everett, Burgess (January 14, 2015). "Thune: No 'opening' for a White House run". Politico. Retrieved January 14, 2015.
- ^ a b Russo, Mark (October 26, 2015). "Thune primary challenge? Not likely!". KELO-TV. Archived from the original on October 27, 2015. Retrieved February 15, 2016.
- ^ Sneve, Joe (February 19, 2016). "Yankton Democrat expected to challenge Thune". Argus Leader. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
- ^ Siebold, Jack (February 19, 2016). "Yankton businessman to challenge Thune". KOTA-TV. Archived from the original on February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
- ^ Mercer, Bob (March 21, 2015). "Are Democrats just a Daschle away from a revival?". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ Lawrence, Tom (January 26, 2016). "Daschle, Lott: Congress must work together". Black Hills Pioneer. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
- ^ a b c Lawrence, Tom (July 1, 2015). "Will anyone take on Thune in 2016?". Prairie Perspective. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (February 8, 2016). "Defend Voters, Support Education, Fight Corruption: Heidelberger Declares for District 3 Senate". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved February 16, 2016.
- ^ a b Levinson, Alexis (February 18, 2015). "Brendan Johnson Discusses His Future in South Dakota (Updated)". Roll Call. Archived from the original on September 14, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ a b Tupper, Seth (December 14, 2015). "Thune frolicking through another opponent-less election season". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved December 27, 2015.
- ^ a b Woster, Kevin (August 24, 2015). "Hurst for U.S. Senate in 2016? Well …". KELO-TV. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ Levinson, Alexis (March 18, 2015). "Potential Thune Challenger Bows Out". Roll Call. Archived from the original on August 16, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ Woster, Kevin (August 17, 2015). "Thune vs. Kloucek & Kolaches in 2016? Why not?". KELO-TV. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ "Dem Chances for a US Senate candidate looking even more dismal…". South Dakota War College. August 23, 2015. Retrieved August 27, 2015.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (August 31, 2015). "Epp Suggests Drafting Schreck to Challenge Thune". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved October 1, 2015.
- ^ Hendershot, Evan (February 15, 2016). "State Sen. Sutton hasn't counted out run for governor". Mitchell Daily Republic. Archived from the original on February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 19, 2016.
- ^ "Rick Weiland returns with new nonpartisan political group". Rapid City Journal. March 18, 2015. Retrieved May 20, 2015.
- ^ Winger, Richard (August 15, 2016). "U.S. District Court Won't Put Constitution Party Nominees for U.S. Senate and Legislature on South Dakota Ballot, Due to a Legal Technicality". Ballot Access News. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (August 18, 2016). "Constitution Party Still Fighting to Place Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ^ Heidelberger, Cory (September 8, 2016). "Constitution Party Definitely Not Getting Evans and Schmidt on Ballot". Dakota Free Press. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
- ^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 26, 2021.
- ^ "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
- ^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version". Daily Kos. Retrieved March 27, 2021.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- ^ "Official Canvass. 2016 General Election - November 08, 2016" (PDF). Elections. Retrieved February 5, 2023.
External links
- Official campaign websites