David Firth (statistician)

David Firth
David Firth
Born	22 December 1957 (age 66); Wakefield, United Kingdom
Alma mater	University of Cambridge (BA); Imperial College London (MSc, PhD);
Known for	Bias-reduced maximum likelihood estimates; Election exit-polling; Quasi variances;
Awards	Guy Medal (bronze, 1998) (silver, 2012); John M Chambers Statistical Software Award (2007); Fellow of the British Academy (2008);
	Scientific career
Fields	Statistics
Institutions	Imperial College London; University of Texas at Austin; University of Southampton; University of Oxford; Nuffield College, Oxford; University of Warwick;
Thesis	Quasi-likelihood estimation: Efficiency and other aspects (1987)
Doctoral advisor	David Roxbee Cox
Website	warwick.ac.uk/dfirth

David Firth

Emeritus Professor in the Department of Statistics at the University of Warwick.^[1]

Education

Firth was born and went to school in Wakefield.^[1] He studied Mathematics at the University of Cambridge^[1] and completed his PhD in Statistics at Imperial College London,^[1] supervised by Sir David Cox.^[2]

Research

Firth is known for his development of a general method

statistical models. The method has seen application in a wide variety of research fields, especially with logistic regression analysis where the reduced-bias estimates also have reduced variance and are always finite;^[5] the latter property overcomes the frequently encountered problem of separation, which causes maximum likelihood estimates to be infinite. The original paper published in 1993^[3] has been cited more than 4000 times according to Google Scholar

.

Together with a PhD student, Renée de Menezes, Firth also established the generality of the method of quasi variances, a device for summarizing economically the estimated effects of a categorical predictor variable in a statistical model.^[7]^[8]

Applied work

Firth developed (in collaboration with John Curtice) a new statistical approach to the design and analysis of election-day exit polls for UK General Elections. The new methods have been used at UK General Elections since 2005 to produce the widely broadcast close-of-polls forecast of seats in the House of Commons.^[6]

Awards and honours

Firth was elected as a

generalized linear models) in R

.

He is a former Editor of the Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B (Statistical Methodology).

References

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o "FIRTH, Prof. David". Who's Who. Vol. 2022 (online Oxford University Press ed.). A & C Black. (Subscription or UK public library membership required.)
^ ^a ^b David Firth at the Mathematics Genealogy Project
^
JSTOR 2336755
.

doi:10.1093/biomet/asp055
.

^
doi:10.1093/biomet/asaa052
.

^
S2CID 16758864
.

^
S2CID 120695908
.

^
doi:10.1093/biomet/91.1.65
.

External links

Official website

Google Scholar profile

v
t
e
Guy Medallists
Gold Medallists

Charles Booth
(1892)

Robert Giffen (1894)

Jervoise Athelstane Baines (1900)

Francis Ysidro Edgeworth (1907)

Patrick G. Craigie (1908)

G. Udny Yule (1911)

T. H. C. Stevenson (1920)

A. William Flux (1930)

A. L. Bowley (1935)

Major Greenwood (1945)

R. A. Fisher (1946)

A. Bradford Hill (1953)

E. S. Pearson (1955)

Frank Yates (1960)

Harold Jeffreys (1962)

Jerzy Neyman (1966)

M. G. Kendall (1968)

M. S. Bartlett (1969)

Harald Cramér (1972)

David Cox (1973)

G. A. Barnard (1975)

Roy Allen (1978)

D. G. Kendall (1981)

Henry Daniels (1984)

Bernard Benjamin (1986)

Robin Plackett (1987)

Peter Armitage (1990)

George E. P. Box (1993)

Peter Whittle (1996)

Michael Healy (1999)

Dennis Lindley (2002)

John Nelder (2005)

James Durbin (2008)

C. R. Rao (2011)

John Kingman (2013)

Bradley Efron (2014)

Adrian Smith (2016)

Stephen Buckland (2019)

David Spiegelhalter (2020)

Nancy Reid (2022)

Silver Medallists

John Glover (1893)

Augustus Sauerbeck (1894)

A. L. Bowley (1895)

F. J. Atkinson (1897)

C. S. Loch (1899)

Richard Crawford (1900)

Thomas A. Welton (1901)

R. H. Hooker (1902)

Yves Guyot (1903)

D. A. Thomas (1904)

R. H. Rew (1905)

W. H. Shaw (1906)

N. A. Humphreys (1907)

Edward Brabrook (1909)

G. H. Wood (1910)

R. Dudfield (1913)

S. Rowson (1914)

S. J. Chapman (1915)

J. S. Nicholson (1918)

J. C. Stamp (1919)

A. William Flux (1921)

H. W. Macrosty (1927)

Ethel Newbold (1928)

H. E. Soper (1930)

J. H. Jones (1934)

Ernest Charles Snow (1935)

R. G. Hawtrey (1936)

E. C. Ramsbottom (1938)

L. Isserlis (1939)

H. Leak (1940)

M. G. Kendall (1945)

Harry Campion (1950)

F. A. A. Menzler (1951)

M. S. Bartlett (1952)

J. O. Irwin (1953)

L. H. C. Tippett (1954)

D. G. Kendall (1955)

Henry Daniels (1957)

G. A. Barnard (1958)

E. C. Fieller (1960)

D. R. Cox (1961)

P. V. Sukhatme (1962)

George E. P. Box (1964)

C. R. Rao (1965)

Peter Whittle (1966)

Dennis Lindley (1968)

Robin Plackett (1973)

James Durbin (1976)

John Nelder (1977)

Peter Armitage (1978)

Michael Healy (1979)

M. Stone (1980)

John Kingman (1981)

Henry Wynn (1982)

Julian Besag (1983)

J. C. Gittins (1984)

A. Bissell (1985)

W. Pridmore (1985)

Richard Peto (1986)

John Copas (1987)

John Aitchison (1988)

F. P. Kelly (1989)

David Clayton (1990)

R. L. Smith (1991)

Robert Nicholas Curnow (1992)

A. F. M. Smith (1993)

David Spiegelhalter (1994)

B. W. Silverman (1995)

Steffen Lauritzen (1996)

Peter Diggle (1997)

Harvey Goldstein (1998)

Peter Green (1999)

Walter Gilks (2000)

Philip Dawid (2001)

David Hand (2002)

Kanti Mardia (2003)

Peter Donnelly (2004)

Peter McCullagh (2005)

Michael Titterington (2006)

Howell Tong (2007)

Gareth Roberts (2008)

Sylvia Richardson (2009)

Iain M. Johnstone (2010)

P. G. Hall (2011)

David Firth (2012)

Brian Ripley (2013)

Jianqing Fan (2014)

Anthony Davison (2015)

Nancy Reid (2016)

Neil Shephard (2017)

Peter Bühlmann (2018)

Susan Murphy (2019)

Arnaud Doucet (2020)

Håvard Rue (2021)

Paul Fearnhead (2022)

Bronze Medallists

William Gemmell Cochran (1936)

R. F. George (1938)

W. J. Jennett (1949)

Peter Armitage (1962)

James Durbin (1966)

F. Downton (1967)

Robin Plackett (1968)

M. C. Pike (1969)

P. G. Moore (1970)

D. J. Bartholomew (1971)

G. N. Wilkinson (1974)

A. F. Bissell (1975)

P. L. Goldsmith (1976)

A. F. M. Smith (1977)

Philip Dawid (1978)

T. M. F. Smith (1979)

A. J. Fox (1980)

S. J. Pocock (1982)

Peter McCullagh (1983)

Bernard Silverman (1984)

David Spiegelhalter (1985)

D. F. Hendry (1986)

Peter Green (1987)

S. C. Darby
(1988)

S. M. Gore
(1989)

Valerie Isham (1990)

M. G. Kenward (1991)

C. Jennison (1992)

Jonathan Tawn (1993)

R. F. A. Poultney (1994)

Iain M. Johnstone (1995)

J. N. S. Matthews (1996)

Gareth Roberts (1997)

D. Firth (1998)

P. W. F. Smith

J. Forster (1999)

J. Wakefield (2000)

Guy Nason (2001)

Geert Molenberghs (2002)

Peter Lynn (2003)

Nicola Best (2004)

Steve Brooks (2005)

Matthew Stephens (2006)

Paul Fearnhead (2007)

Fiona Steele (2008)

Chris Holmes (2009)

Omiros Papaspiliopoulos (2010)

Nicolai Meinshausen (2011)

Richard Samworth (2012)

Piotr Fryzlewicz (2013)

Ming Yuan (2014)

Jinchi Lv (2015)

Yingying Fan (2017)

Peng Ding (2018)

Jonas Peters (2019)

Rachel McCrea (2020)

Pierre E. Jacob (2021)

Rajan Shah (2022)

Authority control databases: Academics

Google Scholar

MathSciNet

Mathematics Genealogy Project

ORCID

ResearcherID

Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=David_Firth_(statistician)&oldid=1217701679"

[whoswho-1] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k ^l ^m ⁿ ^o "FIRTH, Prof. David". Who's Who. Vol. 2022 (online Oxford University Press ed.). A & C Black. (Subscription or UK public library membership required.)

[mathgene-2] David Firth at the Mathematics Genealogy Project

[Bka1993-3] 
JSTOR 2336755
.

[Bka2009-4] :10.1093/biomet/asp055
.

[Bka2021-5] 
doi:10.1093/biomet/asaa052
.

[JRSS2008-6] 
S2CID 16758864
.

[SocMeth2003-7] 
S2CID 120695908
.

[Bka2004-8] 
doi:10.1093/biomet/91.1.65
.

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