Next Cantabrian regional election
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All 35 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria 18 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The next Cantabrian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 23 May 2027, to elect the 12th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
Overview
Electoral system
The
The 35 members of the Parliament of Cantabria are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally.[1][2]
Election date
The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expires four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament are fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 23 May 2027.[1][2][3]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances will not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms.[1]
Parliamentary composition
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 15 | 15 | ||
| Regionalist Parliamentary Group | PRC | 8 | 8 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 8 | 8 | ||
| Vox Parliamentary Group | Vox | 4 | 4 | ||
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allows for
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
|
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|
María José Sáenz de Buruaga | Conservatism Christian democracy |
35.78% | 15 | 
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| PRC | List |
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Miguel Ángel Revilla | Regionalism Centrism |
20.79% | 8 | 
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| PSOE | List |
.jpg)
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Pablo Zuloaga | Social democracy | 20.61% | 8 |
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| Vox | List
|
.jpg)
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Leticia Díaz | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism |
11.08% | 4 |
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Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 18 seats are required for an
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
PRC | 
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 69.9 | 42.1 (15) |
– | 33.3 (12) |
14.1 (5) |
[a] | – | 8.5 (3) |
8.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1] | 28 May–29 Jun 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 37.1 15 |
18.8 7 |
22.1 9 |
11.4 4 |
4.0 0 |
1.3 0 |
– | 15.0 |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 65.3 | 35.8 15 |
20.8 8 |
20.6 8 |
11.1 4 |
4.1 0 |
2.3 0 |
– | 15.0 |
Notes
References
- Opinion poll sources
- ^ "ElectoPanel Cantabria (2JL): el PRC continúa a la baja". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 July 2023.
- Other
- ^ a b c d Ley Orgánica 8/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Cantabria (Organic Law 8) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 18 September 2017.
- ^ a b c Ley 5/1987, de 27 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea Regional de Cantabria (Law 5) (in Spanish). 27 March 1987. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
- ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 25 November 2023.
