2011 Madrilenian regional election

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2011 Madrilenian regional election
← 2007 22 May 2011 2015 →
All 129 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
65 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered4,622,750 3.7%
Turnout2,993,235 (65.9%)
1.4 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Esperanza Aguirre Tomás Gómez Gregorio Gordo
Party PP
PSOE
 IUCM–LV
Leader since 16 October 2002 27 July 2007 20 March 2009
Last election 67 seats, 53.3% 42 seats, 33.6% 11 seats, 8.9%
Seats won 72 36 13
Seat change 5 6 2
Popular vote 1,548,306 786,297 287,707
Percentage 51.7% 26.3% 9.6%
Swing 1.6 pp 7.3 pp 0.7 pp
  Fourth party
 
Leader Luis de Velasco
Party UPyD
Leader since 23 October 2010
Last election Did not contest
Seats won 8
Seat change 8
Popular vote 189,055
Percentage 6.3%
Swing New party
President before election

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

Elected President

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

The 2011 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 9th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 129 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election was won by the People's Party (PP), which had formed the regional government since the 1995 election. Overall, the PP under incumbent President Esperanza Aguirre won 72 seats, although the party's overall vote share decreased. In contrast, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) under former Mayor of Parla Tomás Gómez had their worst result in terms of votes and seats up until that date. The third largest party, United Left (IU), polled their highest share of the vote since 1995, whereas Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD), a party formed after the 2007 election, surpassed the 5% threshold and entered the Assembly for the first time.

Overview

Electoral system

The

Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Madrilenians abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] All members of the Assembly of Madrid were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. The Assembly was entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000.[1][3]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Assembly being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 22 May 2011.[1][3][4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution.[5] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for

federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PP
List
 Esperanza Aguirre Conservatism
Christian democracy 		53.29% 67 checkY
PSOE
List
  • Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
    (PSOE)
Tomás Gómez Social democracy 33.57% 42 ☒N
IUCM–LV
List
 Gregorio Gordo Socialism
Communism 		8.86% 11 ☒N
UPyD
List
 Luis de Velasco Social liberalism
Radical centrism 		New party ☒N

Campaign

Election debates

2011 Madrilenian regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[a]  
PP PSOE IUCM–LV Audience Ref.
8 May Telemadrid Víctor Arribas P
Aguirre 		P
Gómez 		P
Gordo 		6.4%
(175,000) 		[6]
[7]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 27 May 2007 to 22 May 2011, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 65 seats were required for an

absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid
(61 until 1 January 2010).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Assembly of Madrid election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 1,548,306 51.73 –1.56 72 +5
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
(PSOE) 		786,297 26.27 –7.30 36 –6
United Left of the Community of Madrid–The Greens (IUCM–LV) 287,707 9.61 +0.75 13 +2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 189,055 6.32 New 8 +8
Ecolo–Greens (Ecolo)1 29,116 0.97 –0.14 0 ±0
Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB) 19,220 0.64 New 0 ±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals
(PACMA) 		15,897 0.53 +0.30 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 10,330 0.35 +0.18 0 ±0
The Phalanx (FE) 6,424 0.21 +0.12 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) 5,656 0.19 +0.05 0 ±0
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) 4,879 0.16 New 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 3,935 0.13 +0.07 0 ±0
Spanish Alternative (AES) 3,690 0.12 –0.05 0 ±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG) 3,435 0.11 +0.06 0 ±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL) 3,169 0.11 New 0 ±0
Castilian Party (PCAS) 1,722 0.06 New 0 ±0
Centre and Democracy Forum (CyD) 1,639 0.05 New 0 ±0
Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) 1,300 0.04 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 71,458 2.39 +0.66
Total 2,993,235 129 +9
Valid votes 2,993,235 98.32 –1.23
Invalid votes 51,114 1.68 +1.23
Votes cast / turnout 3,044,349 65.86 –1.45
Abstentions 1,578,401 34.14 +1.45
Registered voters 4,622,750
Sources[8][9]
Footnotes:
  • 1 Ecolo–Greens results are compared to The Greens totals in the 2007 election.
Popular vote
PP
 
 51.73%
PSOE
 
 26.27%
IUCM–LV
 
 9.61%
UPyD
 
 6.32%
Others
 
 3.69%
Blank ballots
 
 2.39%
Seats
PP
 
 55.81%
PSOE
 
 27.91%
IUCM–LV
 
 10.08%
UPyD
 
 6.20%

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators[10] sorted by order of election.

Aftermath

Government formation

Further information: Third government of Esperanza Aguirre

Investiture processes to elect the President of the Community of Madrid required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 48 hours later requiring of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If none of such majorities were achieved, successive candidate proposals could be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.[1]

Investiture
Esperanza Aguirre (PP)
Ballot → 15 June 2011
Required majority → 65 out of 129 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (72)
72 / 129
No
57 / 129
Abstentions
0 / 129
Absentees
0 / 129
Sources[8]

2012 investiture

Further information: Government of Ignacio González

On 17 September 2012, Esperanza Aguirre announced her resignation as President of the Community of Madrid, being succeeded by Ignacio González.

Investiture
Ignacio González (PP)
Ballot → 26 September 2012
Required majority → 65 out of 129 checkY
Yes
  • • PP (72)
72 / 129
No
53 / 129
Abstentions
0 / 129
Absentees
4 / 129
Sources[8]

Notes

  1. ^ Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Mayoría absoluta del PP en Comunidad y Ayuntamiento y UPyD accede a las instituciones". Telemadrid (in Spanish). 22 May 2011. Archived from the original on 2 April 2015. Retrieved 26 May 2020.
  2. ^ "El PP blinda sus feudos". La Razón (in Spanish). 16 May 2011. Archived from the original on 16 September 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  3. ^ "Esperanza Aguirre seguiría imbatible y UPyD podría entrar en la Asamblea de Madrid". ForoCoches (in Spanish). 16 May 2011.
  4. ^ "El PSOE se hunde en Madrid mientras el PP aumenta su mayoría absoluta". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2011.
  5. ^ "El PP aumenta su mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad de Madrid (El País)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 2 May 2011. Archived from the original on 4 May 2011.
  6. ^ "El PP amplía su mayoría absoluta en Madrid". COPE (in Spanish). 28 April 2011. Archived from the original on 1 May 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  7. ^ "El escándalo del 'caso Gürtel' no pasa factura electoral a Aguirre". Público (in Spanish). 2 May 2011. Archived from the original on 26 August 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  8. ^ "El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta en la Comunidad de Madrid y en Sevilla". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 2 May 2011.
  9. ^ "Encuesta de TNS para Antena 3 y Onda Cero. Elecciones 22M. Expectativas electorales en la Comunidad de Madrid" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 2 May 2011. Archived from the original on 26 June 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  10. ^ "Los cuatro inexpugnables". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 2011-04-26.
  11. ^ "Esperanza Aguirre conseguiría su tercera mayoría absoluta, más amplia que las dos anteriores". ForoCoches (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  12. ^ "El PP logrará más de la mitad de los votos". ABC (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
  13. ^ "Esperanza Aguirre arrasaría en la Comunidad de Madrid". El Correo (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
  14. ^ "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.[permanent dead link]
  15. ^ "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas y municipales, 2011. Comunidad de Madrid y Ciudad de Madrid (Estudio nº 2871. Marzo-Abril 2011)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 May 2011.
  16. ^ "Rajoy se vuelca a por su billete a la Moncloa". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
  17. ^ "El PSOE madrileño cosecharía el peor resultado de su historia". Intereconomía (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 10 May 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  18. ^ "IU crece a costa del PSOE en la Comunidad de Madrid (La Gaceta)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  19. ^ "Esperanza Aguirre arrasa al 'Invictus' Tomás Gómez". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  20. ^ "El Mundo 25-27 de Abril 2011". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
  21. ^ "El PP de Aguirre bate récord y dobla al PSM de Gómez". La Razón (in Spanish). 28 February 2011. Archived from the original on 17 December 2011. Retrieved 1 March 2015.
  22. ^ "El PP lograría la mayoría absoluta más holgada de su historia en la Comunidad de Madrid (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 28 February 2011. Archived from the original on 3 March 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  23. ^ "Aguirre supera el triunfo histórico de 2007". La Razón (in Spanish). 7 February 2011. Archived from the original on 14 March 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  24. ^ "UPyD podría irrumpir con 6 escaños en la Asamblea de Madrid (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 7 February 2011. Archived from the original on 8 February 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  25. ^ "El PP aumenta su mayoría en la Comunidad de Madrid y gana al PSOE por 24,7 puntos". ABC (in Spanish). 13 January 2011.
  26. ^ "Aguirre arrasa otra vez y aumenta su ventaja con el PSOE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 January 2011.
  27. ^ "Esperanza Aguirre conserva la mayoría absoluta y Tomás Gómez mejora". El País (in Spanish). 9 December 2010.
  28. ^ "Aguirre arrasa a Tomás Gómez". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 October 2010.
  29. ^ "El tirón electoral de Trinidad Jiménez supera al de Gómez". El País (in Spanish). 12 September 2010.
  30. ^ "La apuesta de Zapatero se hunde y Aguirre refuerza su mayoría absoluta". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 June 2010.
  31. ^ "Caso electoral histórico en más comunidades autónomas (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 1 June 2010. Archived from the original on 2010-10-21. Retrieved 2021-08-08.
  32. ^ "Aguirre mejora su imagen de líder". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2010.
  33. ^ "Aguirre pierde ventaja". Público (in Spanish). 19 April 2010. Archived from the original on 21 May 2011.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  34. ^ "El PP repetiría mayoría absoluta tanto en Madrid como en Valencia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 November 2009.
  35. ^ "La situación política y económica actual". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 November 2009.
  36. ^ "El PP de Madrid lograría hoy la mayoría absoluta pese a los escándalos". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2009.
Other
  1. ^ a b c d e Ley Orgánica 3/1983, de 25 de febrero, de Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad de Madrid (Organic Law 3) (in Spanish). 25 February 1983. Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  2. ^ Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. ^ a b c Ley 11/1986, de 16 de diciembre, Electoral de la Comunidad de Madrid (Law 11) (in Spanish). 16 November 1986. Retrieved 22 February 2017.
  4. ^ a b Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  5. ^ Ley 5/1990, de 17 de mayo, reguladora de la facultad de disolución de la Asamblea de Madrid por el Presidente de la Comunidad (Law 5) (in Spanish). 17 May 1990. Retrieved 14 September 2017.
  6. ^ "Gordo, Gómez y Aguirre intervendrán el mismo tiempo en el debate de Telemadrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 May 2011. Retrieved 6 May 2023.
  7. ^ "Unos 175.000 madrileños siguieron el debate, cuyo pico de audiencia fue el cara a cara Gómez-Aguirre". Europa Press (in Spanish). 9 May 2011. Retrieved 6 May 2023.
  8. ^ a b c "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid (1983-2021)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 October 2021.
  9. ^ "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid 2011" (PDF) (in Spanish). Boletín Oficial de la Comunidad de Madrid. 17 June 2011. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
  10. ISSN 1989-4791
    .
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