2016 London mayoral election

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2016 London mayoral election
← 2012 5 May 2016 2021 →
Turnout45.3% Increase 7.2 pp
 
Candidate Sadiq Khan Zac Goldsmith Siân Berry
Party Labour Conservative Green
First round vote 1,148,716 909,755 150,673
Percentage 44.2% 35.0% 5.8%
Second round vote 1,310,143 994,614 Eliminated
Percentage 56.8% 43.2% Eliminated

Results of the election by borough, displaying first preferences. Darker shades indicate a stronger voteshare, while lighter shades indicate a weaker voteshare

Mayor before election

Boris Johnson
Conservative

Elected Mayor

Sadiq Khan
Labour

The 2016 London mayoral election was held on 5 May 2016 to elect the Mayor of London, on the same day as the London Assembly election. It was the fifth election to the position of mayor, which was created in 2000 following a referendum in Greater London. The election used a supplementary vote system.

The election was won by the Member of Parliament (MP) for Tooting, Sadiq Khan, a member of the Labour Party, who polled 56.8% of the votes in the head-to-head second round of voting over the MP for Richmond Park, Zac Goldsmith, a member of the Conservative Party. Goldsmith was more than 25% ahead of the next candidate in the first round of voting, as part of a record field of twelve candidates. Of the twelve candidates only Khan, Goldsmith, and Green Party candidate Siân Berry achieved the requisite 5% minimum first round vote share to retain their deposit.[1]

This was the first election to not feature either of the two previous holders of the office, Ken Livingstone and Boris Johnson, who had run against each other in 2008 and 2012. Johnson, as incumbent mayor, had chosen not to stand for re-election for a third term in office, having been elected as the Conservative Party MP for Uxbridge and South Ruislip at the 2015 general election. The campaign was dominated by the personal battle between Goldsmith and Khan, and their contrasting class and ethnic backgrounds.[2] Through his victory, Khan became the second Labour Party mayor of London after Livingstone, and the first Muslim mayor of a European Union capital city.[3]

The campaign of Goldsmith was marred by accusations of Islamophobia. Senior Muslim figures within the Conservative Party supported the accusations while the

alleged Islamophobia in the Conservative party.[4]

Results

Results by assembly constituency
Result by electoral ward

The first announcement of the first round results indicated that Khan was leading.[5] However, this count was later retracted, and official results were delayed pending counting errors that reportedly misattributed "hundreds" of votes. When the full result, including second preference, votes was announced at about 00:30, Khan had increased his lead over Goldsmith.[5]

Mayor of London election 5 May 2016 [6]
Party Candidate 1st round 2nd round
 First round votes  Transfer votes 
Total Of round Transfers Total Of round
Labour Sadiq Khan 1,148,716 44.2% 161,427 1,310,143 56.8%
Conservative Zac Goldsmith 909,755 35.0% 84,859 994,614 43.2%
Green Siân Berry 150,673 5.8%
Liberal Democrats Caroline Pidgeon 120,005 4.6%
UKIP Peter Whittle 94,373 3.6%
Women's Equality Sophie Walker 53,055 2.0%
Respect George Galloway 37,007 1.4%
Britain First Paul Golding 31,372 1.2%
CISTA
Lee Harris
20,537 0.8%
BNP David Furness 13,325 0.5%
Independent Prince Zylinski 13,202 0.5%
One Love
Ankit Love 4,941 0.2%
Labour gain from Conservative

There were a total of 2,596,961 valid votes and 49,871 rejected votes in the first round, a turnout of 45.3%. In the second round a further 381,862 had not declared a valid second preference, with a further 2,381 rejected for other reasons.[6][7]

Background

The outgoing mayor of London, Boris Johnson. The 2016 mayoral election was the first in which the incumbent mayor did not stand for re-election.

The position of mayor of London was created in 2000 after a referendum in London.[8] The mayor has a range of responsibilities covering policing, transport, housing, planning, economic development, arts, culture and the environment, controlling a budget of around £17 billion per year.[9] Mayors are elected for a period of four years, with no limit to the number of terms served.[10]

Prior to the 2016 election, there had been two mayors since the position's creation. The outgoing mayor, Boris Johnson of the Conservative Party was elected mayor in 2008, defeating incumbent Labour Party mayor Ken Livingstone. Johnson was re-elected, again ahead of Livingstone, in the 2012 election.[11] Neither Livingstone nor Johnson stood in 2016, making it the first London mayoral election that Livingstone did not contest,[12] and the first time a mayor had chosen not to defend their position.[13]

Since the previous mayoral vote, Labour had taken the majority of London votes and seats at the 2015 General Election, despite the Conservative Party winning the vote nationally.[12] Ten further candidates contested the election;[12] of these the UK Independence Party (UKIP) (8.1%), the Liberal Democrats (7.7%, 1 seat) and the Green Party (4.7%) had been the most popular parties in London at the 2015 election.[14]

Electoral system

The election used a supplementary vote system, in which voters express a first and a second preference of candidates.[15]

  • If a candidate receives over 50% of the first preference vote the candidate wins.
  • If no candidate receives an overall majority, i.e., over 50% of first preference votes, the top two candidates proceed to a second round and all other candidates are eliminated.
  • The first preference votes for the remaining two candidates stand in the final count.
  • Voters' ballots whose first and second preference candidates are eliminated are discarded.
  • Voters whose first preference candidates have been eliminated and whose second preference candidate is in the top two have their second preference votes added to the count.

This means that the winning candidate has the support of a majority of voters who expressed a preference among the top two.[16]

All

Irish, Commonwealth and European Union citizens) living in London aged 18 or over on 5 May 2016 were entitled to vote in the mayoral election. Those who were temporarily away from London (for example, away working, on holiday, in student accommodation or in hospital) were also entitled to vote in the mayoral election. The deadline to register to vote in the election was midnight on 19 April 2016.[17] However, the Electoral Commission warned that thousands of transient renters were not eligible to vote.[18]

Candidates and their selection processes

2016 London mayoral election is located in Greater London
The elected mayor governs Greater London
London Mayoral Election 2016 Candidates
Party Candidate
Green Party of England and Wales Siân Berry
British National Party David Furness
Respect Party George Galloway
Britain First Paul Golding
Conservative Party Zac Goldsmith[19]
Cannabis Is Safer Than Alcohol
Lee Harris
Labour Party Sadiq Khan[20]
One Love Party Ankit Love
Liberal Democrats Caroline Pidgeon
Women's Equality Party Sophie Walker
UK Independence Party Peter Whittle
Independent John Zylinski

The nomination period for mayoral candidates was from 21 to 31 March 2016. Confirmation of candidates occurred after nominations closed, which revealed a record number of candidates for a London Mayoral election[21] Among other requirements, candidates had to: be over 18; submit the signatures of 330 supporters (ten from each borough); pay a £10,000 deposit, refundable to candidates receiving more than 5% of first choice votes; and not have been sentenced to a prison term of three months or more in the previous five years.[22] [n 1] The full list of candidates was released on 1 April 2016, though many parties had gone through extensive selection processes prior to this.[24]

Conservative Party

Zac Goldsmith, Conservative candidate

Seven people registered to be the candidate for the

Stephen Greenhalgh, businessman and Deputy Mayor for Policing and Crime;[25] and Syed Kamall, academic, Chairman of the European Conservatives and Reformists, and an MEP for London.[25]

Election Political result Candidate Party Votes % ±%
Conservative Party Candidate Selection
Stephen Greenhalgh
Conservative8649.4
Andrew Boff Conservative3724.0

Goldsmith, a member of the prominent

aristocratic background was commented on, particularly in contrast to Khan's working-class roots, though some suggested this could have given Goldsmith an advantage.[38]

Labour Party

Sadiq Khan, Labour candidate

Eight politicians registered an interest in becoming the

Harrow West; and Christian Wolmar, journalist, author, and railway historian.[39]

Khan was elected to Parliament as MP for

Shadow Cabinet as Shadow Secretary of State for Justice in 2010, a post from which he resigned after the 2015 General Election and Miliband's resignation as Labour leader.[42]

First round
Candidate Party members Registered supporters Affiliated supporters Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sadiq Khan 17,518 33.8% 11,077 42.1% 4,331 44.1% 32,926
37.5%
Tessa Jowell 19,324 37.3% 4,442 16.9% 2,355 24.0% 26,121
29.7%
Diane Abbott 6,890 13.3% 6,216 23.6% 1,692 17.2% 14,798
16.8%
David Lammy 5,191 10.0% 2,318 8.8% 746 7.6% 8,255
9.4%
Christian Wolmar 2,195 4.2% 1,997 7.6% 537 5.5% 4,729
5.4%
Gareth Thomas
650 1.3% 241 0.9% 164 1.7% 1,055
1.2%
Second round
Candidate Party members Registered supporters Affiliated supporters Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sadiq Khan 17,665 34.2% 11,121 42.4% 4,355 44.4% 33,141
37.8%
Tessa Jowell 19,535 37.8% 4,477 17.1% 2,394 24.4% 26,406
30.1%
Diane Abbott 6,943 13.4% 6,238 23.8% 1,710 17.4% 14,891
17.0%
David Lammy 5,279 10.2% 2,353 9.0% 760 7.8% 8,392
9.6%
Christian Wolmar 2,288 4.4% 2,057 7.8% 582 5.9% 4,927
5.6%
Third round
Candidate Party members Registered supporters Affiliated supporters Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sadiq Khan 18,433 35.8% 11,835 45.6% 4,545 46.8% 34,813
40.0%
Tessa Jowell 20,064 39.0% 4,710 18.1% 2,498 25.7% 27,272
31.3%
Diane Abbott 7,323 14.2% 6,737 26.0% 1,818 18.7% 15,878
18.2%
David Lammy 5,632 10.9% 2,671 10.3% 844 8.7% 9,147
10.5%
Fourth round
Candidate Party members Registered supporters Affiliated supporters Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sadiq Khan 20,628 40.5% 12,944 50.7% 4,868 50.7% 38,440
44.7%
Tessa Jowell 21,851 43.0% 5,237 20.5% 2,697 28.1% 29,785
34.6%
Diane Abbott 8,396 16.5% 7,345 28.8% 2,043 21.3% 17,784
20.7%
Fifth round
Candidate Party members Registered supporters Affiliated supporters Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Sadiq Khan Green tickY 24,983 51.0% 17,179 73.0% 5,990 65.2% 48,152
58.9%
Tessa Jowell 24,019 49.0% 6,351 27.0% 3,203 34.8% 33,573
41.1%

Khan's selection as a candidate was seen as part of a wider move towards the left in Labour that emerged during the

Muslim religion as a potential barrier to election, after a poll (not mentioning Khan by name) suggested that 31% of Londoners would be 'uncomfortable' with a Muslim mayor.[47] Khan, who was London's first Muslim MP, argued that the election of a Muslim could encourage London to become recognised as a more cosmopolitan city.[47] While Khan had stated that he would serve a full term as MP for Tooting if he were to become mayor of London,[48] he later announced that would stand down as MP for Tooting if he were elected mayor.[49]

Green Party

Green Party candidate Siân Berry in 2005

Jenny Jones, the Green party's candidate in the 2012 election, and Natalie Bennett, leader of the Green Party of England and Wales, declined to stand for the Green nomination.[50] Six candidates were shortlisted for the nomination,[50][51] with Siân Berry, the party's candidate in the 2008 election, selected by London-based members of the Green Party.[52] Unsuccessful nominees were Jonathan Bartley (candidate for Streatham in the 2015 general election, co-founder of Ekklesia, and Work and Pensions Spokesperson for the Green Party);[50] Tom Chance (candidate for Lewisham West and Penge in the 2015 general election and Housing Spokesperson for the Greens);[50] Benali Hamdache (Equalities Spokesperson for the Green Party, and former National Health Service researcher);[50] Rashid Nix (a Camera operator and candidate for Dulwich and West Norwood in the 2015 general election);[50] and Caroline Russell (Islington Borough Councillor for Highbury East Ward since 2014 and clean air campaigner).[50]

Election Political result Candidate Party Votes % ±%
Green Party Candidate Selection
RON
~40.2

Berry joined the Green Party at age 28, and became a prominent green transport campaigner.

Camden Borough Council in 2002, and was elected to the council in May 2014.[57] Having had a variety of jobs,[56] at the time of the election she was primarily an author and worked for the Campaign for Better Transport.[57] Berry made increasing affordable housing a key policy area in her mayoral campaign,[54] through brownfield building, capping rents and preventing foreign businesses from purchasing homes.[58] She aimed to prioritise sustainability oriented policies over those that seek economic growth.[59]

Liberal Democrats

Caroline Pidgeon, Liberal Democrat candidate

The

Bethnal Green and Bow at the 2015 general election; Marisha Ray, a former councillor in Islington; and Paul Reynolds, former councillor.[61][62] Of the remaining candidates, Duwayne Brooks OBE, former councillor in Lewisham, withdrew due to his commitments to a review of police stop and search powers.[62] This left Caroline Pidgeon, leader of the Liberal Democrats on the London Assembly,[63][64] as the only remaining candidate. She was selected, winning 90% of the 3669 votes on a 39% turnout, against the option to Re-Open Nominations,[65][66] as announced on 17 September 2015.[67]

Pidgeon graduated from the

MBE for public service.[70] Pidgeon promised to focus on housing, affordable childcare, air pollution and public transport.[71] She emphasised the need to ensure that workers can live in the city by using rent control and reducing public transport costs.[71]

UK Independence Party

The UK Independence Party (UKIP) candidate was chosen via a selection committee, unlike previous mayoral candidate selections that had been made by London-based party members.[72] The supposed favourite for selection among party members was Suzanne Evans, UKIP Deputy Chairman, former Interim Leader, Welfare Spokesman and candidate for Shrewsbury and Atcham in the 2015 general election.[73] Press such as The Spectator speculated that the decision had been moved to a committee to allow for the selection of national party leader Nigel Farage's preferred candidate, Peter Whittle, Culture Spokesman and candidate for Eltham in the 2015 general election.[72][73] UKIP claimed that the changed selection process was intended to produce a candidate with the potential for receiving the most votes.[72] Whittle was eventually selected, and announced as the candidate at the UKIP party conference on 26 September 2015.[74][75] No shortlist was released but others who had stated their intention to stand had included: Alan Craig, former leader of and mayoral candidate in 2008 for the Christian Peoples Alliance, and UKIP candidate for Brent North in the 2015 general election; Peter Harris, candidate for Dagenham and Rainham in the 2015 general election; Richard Hendron, LGBT activist and candidate for Brentford and Isleworth in the 2015 general election;[73][76] Elizabeth Jones, candidate for Dartford in the 2015 general election;[51] David Kurten, candidate for Camberwell and Peckham in the 2015 general election;[citation needed] Winston McKenzie, perennial candidate and UKIP candidate for Croydon North in the 2015 general election;[51] and Shneur Odze, former Hackney councillor.[77]

Whittle was born in

think-tank in 2006.[74] He became UKIP's cultural spokesperson in 2013[75] and stood for Eltham at the 2015 general election, receiving 15% of the vote.[78] Whittle became the first the openly LGBT candidate selected by any party as a mayor of London candidate.[79] Whittle confirmed his support the UK's exit from the European Union, stating that this would not damage London's financial industries.[74] He pledged to work to ensure that workers can afford to live in London, and opposes further expansion of Heathrow Airport.[74]

Other candidates

Withdrawn candidates

Several independents or candidates from minor parties announced an intention to stand but did not appear on the final list of nominees. The candidate with the highest profile was

Celebrity Big Brother described as the English Democrats candidate,[98] but was not nominated for the election. McKenzie submitted nomination forms, but they were rejected for being incomplete and containing "duplicate signatures".[23] On 8 April 2016 it was confirmed that McKenzie would be standing in a borough council by-election in Croydon to be held on the same day as the mayoral election.[99]

Other candidates who were reported to be intending to stand but did not later appear on the nomination list include Jonathan Silberman for the Communist League,[100] and independent candidate Rosalind Readhead.[24][101] Lindsey Garrett was announced for Something New,[102] but later withdrew.[103]

Media and debates

The BBC debate on 18 April between the five leading candidates was chaired by Andrew Neil

A series of debates, hustings and other events were arranged over the course of the campaign. The first major debate was hosted by the LSE on 28 January and attended by Berry, Goldsmith, Khan, Pidgeon and Whittle.[104] Housing and transport were major topics of the debate, with Martin Hosick of MayorWatch impressed by the performances of Pidgeon and Whittle.[105] Through February and early March a series of sponsored debates on key topics took place, including two on housing,[106][107] one on technology,[108] and one covering green issues.[109]

The next broad debate, with the same five candidates as the LSE debate, in the campaign came on LBC on 22 March.[110] During April, further debates occurred, with the first on 12 April a head-to-head between Goldsmith and Khan on behalf of City A.M.[111] The issue of Goldsmith's campaign was raised, with Khan accusing Goldsmith of running a negative campaign and Goldsmith accusing Khan of hiding behind the label of Islamophobia.[112] The topics of housing, transport and job-creation were all key points in the debate.[113] The BBC hosted a debate with the five major candidates broadcast on BBC One in London on 18 April. The Guardian noted an absence of any clear winner, with Khan and Goldsmith focused on each other, Berry and Pidgeon offering very similar policies and Whittle distinct but with no chance of victory.[114] Similarly, The Spectator said that there had been a lukewarm response to policy statements from all candidates.[115] A second head to head took place on 21 April chaired by Kirsty Wark at the Royal Geographical Society on behalf of the Evening Standard.[116] Once again, housing, security and transport were key themes in the debate.[116]

Several national and London-based publications endorsed candidates. The

The Financial Times, which was critical of both leading candidates.[123]

Campaign

Before October 2015

Early campaigning began with the process of major parties selecting candidates, after the 2015 General Election. The first party candidate to be announced was Lindsey Garrett of the Something New party on 18 May,[102] though she later decided not to stand.[124] The major parties all declared candidates in September.[51] Early issues that were highlighted by multiple candidates included:[125]

  • Rising costs of house buying and renting,[126] alongside a shortage in social housing.[127] Candidates such as Berry and Pidgeon promised a rent cap,[128] while both Goldsmith and Khan argued for increased home building.[45][129] Caroline Pidgeon spoke out in favour of increased use of rent-to-buy loans.[130]
  • Public transport costs and the ongoing development of London's transport infrastructure, including Crossrail.[131] Goldsmith made infrastructure a major part of his campaign, emphasising increased rail capacity.[129] Khan promised to freeze bus and rail fares.[132]
  • Bus transport, where Goldsmith promised to allow electric cars into bus lanes,[133] and said that busses needed to be electrified and more efficient.[129] Khan promised a new bus ticket that would be valid for an hour.[134]
  • Cycling was supported by both Berry and Pidgeon.[135] Goldsmith said he would judge Cycle Superhighways by their effect.[136] Khan said he would continue to invest in them.[137]
  • Expansion of London's airports: Khan, Goldsmith, Pidgeon and Berry were all signatories to a letter vowing to use all possible powers to try and stop expansion at Heathrow,[138] though Khan argued instead for the expansion of Gatwick Airport.[139] Whittle also came out against Heathrow's expansion.[74]
  • Crime and police reform.[127] Both Khan and Goldsmith highlighted rising hate crimes,[140] with Goldsmith and Pidgeon both also pledging to tackle violent and knife crime.[127][141] Berry pledged to increase resources into London's Violence Against Women and Girls Strategy.[142]
  • Environment.[143] Several of the candidates, including Berry[52] and Goldsmith,[144] are long-standing environmental campaigners. Berry put sustainability at the centre of her campaign,[59] while Goldsmith linked environmentalism more closely to economic growth,[144] and Khan pledged a range of green policies, including a programme to plant over 2 million trees in London while mayor.[145]

Early campaign: October 2015 – February 2016

Transport costs on London's Underground system (pictured) were a key early issue in the campaign

The final polls from before the announcement of candidates gave Labour a four-point lead over the Conservative Party.[146] From early in the campaign, the contest was presumed to be between the Labour and Conservative candidates, with both expected to comfortably reach the second round of voting.[147] While Goldsmith – who was the last of the main candidates to be announced, on 3 October 2015 – was widely anticipated to be the Conservative candidate,[148] Khan's selection was more of a surprise.[149]

The first months of the campaign were dominated by the heightened terrorist threat in London, following a series of successful and planned attacks by

Islamic State in 2015, particularly the November 2015 Paris attacks and a lone knife attack at Leytonstone tube station in on 6 December.[150] Khan's comments on how British Muslims might respond to the Paris attacks raised positive comments from both supporters and opponents.[151][152] A subsequent leaflet distributed by Goldmsith's campaign team described Khan as "divisive and radical", comments that Labour claimed were an attempt to associate Khan with radical Islam.[153][154] The Conservative Party rejected the accusation, claiming that Khan was "playing the race card".[155]

Elsewhere in the campaign, transport remained a major issue.

Celebrity Big Brother, quickly being voted off and causing over 400 complaints to Ofcom following his negative comments about homosexuality.[98]

In February, five candidates – Pidgeon, Whittle, Khan, Berry and Goldsmith – appeared in a debate on issues surrounding technology and science at the

EU in shaping the British technological industry.[108] A few days later, a referendum on the UK's membership of the EU was announced for 23 June, the campaigning for which intersected with the mayoral election.[161] Alongside Whittle, whose UKIP party was founded with the aim of securing the UK's departure from the EU, both Goldsmith and outgoing mayor Boris Johnson announced their intention to campaign to leave the EU, in defiance of their party leader, Prime Minister David Cameron.[162][163] By contrast, Khan, Pidgeon and Berry all declared their support for remaining in the EU.[164][165] George Eaton of the New Statesman noted that research from the British Election Survey had found that voters in London (a majority-minority city), typically showed more support for the EU than voters in the UK as a whole.[163]

Official campaign: March–May 2016

In a letter intended for London's Hindu and Sikh populations, Goldsmith accused Khan, a Muslim, of wanting a "wealth tax on family jewellery".[166][167] The letters formed part of what Khan's campaign said was a racist campaigning strategy from Goldsmith,[168][169] with Goldsmith claiming that Khan was a dangerous and "deeply partisan politician".[168]

March polls for

Londonist criticised both Goldsmith and Khan for "sending substitutes" instead of appearing at hustings events across London.[167] The official campaign began on 21 March, when nominations formally opened.[172] The confirmed list of candidates was released on 1 April, revealing that 12 people in total had secured the support and financing required for a nomination.[24]

Khan's manifesto launch came early in the official campaign period, on 9 March. Focusing on housing, Khan promised for database of

council tax and increased police numbers.[177] Green issues were also a core part of his agenda,[178] with new traffic regulations to encourage cleaner vehicles and the creation of new pocket parks.[177]

Through April, the personal battle between Goldsmith and Khan continued to dominate the campaign, with Goldsmith and his campaign team repeatedly accused by Labour of racist or Islamophobic campaigning,[179][180] an accusation that they strongly denied.[181] Other candidates struggled to gain publicity and none of the major candidates were able to differentiate themselves significantly on policy.[115] On 22 April, a YouGov poll saw Khan stretch his lead over Goldsmith to 11 points in the first round, with Whittle, Berry and Pidgeon remaining very close to each other but some 25 points further behind Goldsmith, and Khan leading Goldsmith with 60% to 40% in the final round of voting.[182] On 29 April, comments by Labour MP Naz Shah and former Labour mayor of London Ken Livingstone led to both being accused of antisemitism. Livingstone had been a close ally of Khan, who quickly distanced himself from the comments before Livingstone was suspended from the Labour Party.[183] A poll released on the same day showed Khan leading Goldsmith by 20 points in the second round of voting, with no other candidates on more than 5% in the first round.[184] In the final week of the campaign, minor candidate Prince Zylinski endorsed Goldsmith.[185]

Election and count

Election day, 5 May 2016, was affected by confusion in the

City Hall,[187] was delayed following "discrepancies" with the initial count of votes, in which hundreds of votes were reportedly misallocated.[5] As the result was announced early on 7 May, outgoing mayor Boris Johnson remained in position for a further day, handing over to Khan on 8 May.[188]

Opinion polls

In the run-up to the election, several polling organisations carried out public opinion polling on voting intentions.

Graphical summaries

5 way polling

London opinion polling for the 2016 mayoral election (moving average is calculated from the last six polls)
  Khan
  Goldsmith
  Whittle
  Berry
  Pidgeon

Khan vs. Goldsmith

London opinion polling for the 2016 mayoral election between Zac Goldsmith and Sadiq Khan (moving average is calculated from the last six polls)
  Khan
  Goldsmith

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size First preference Final round
Goldsmith Khan Berry Pidgeon Whittle Galloway Others Goldsmith Khan
5 May 2016 election[189] 2,596,961 35.0% 44.2% 5.8% 4.6% 3.6% 1.4% 5.2% 43.2% 56.8%
2–4 May YouGov[190] 1,574 32% 43% 7% 6% 7% 1% 4% 43% 57%
28 Apr – 3 May ComRes[191] 1,034 36% 45% 6% 6% 4% 1% 2% 44% 56%
26 Apr – 3 May TNS[192] 1,001 33% 45% 4% 7% 5% <1% 5% 43% 57%
26 Apr – 1 May Opinium[193] 1,004 35% 48% 5% 4% 5% <1% 3% 43% 57%
21–25 Apr Survation[194] 1,010 34% 49% 3% 3% 5% 2% 4% 40% 60%
15–19 Apr YouGov[195] 1,017 32% 48% 6% 5% 7% <1% 2% 40% 60%
30 Mar – 3 Apr ComRes [196] 1,049 37% 44% 4% 7% 5% 2% 1% 45% 55%
30 Mar – 3 Apr Opinium[197] 1,015 39% 49% 3% 4% 4% 1% - 46% 54%
14–17 Mar ComRes[198] 1,011 39% 42% 6% 6% 5% 1% 1% 47% 53%
8–10 Mar YouGov[199] 1,031 36% 45% 4% 5% 7% 2% 1% 45% 55%
2–7 Mar Opinium[200] 1,011 42% 48% 3% 3% 3% 1% - 45% 55%
4–6 Jan YouGov[201] 1,156 35% 45% 5% 4% 6% 2% 2% 45% 55%

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size First preference Final round
Goldsmith Khan Berry Pidgeon Whittle Galloway Others Goldsmith Khan
18–21 Nov YouGov[202] 1,008 38% 42% 5% 5% 6% - 3% 47% 53%
6–8 Oct YouGov[203] 1,178 - - - - - - - 49% 51%

Before confirmation of candidates

These polls were conducted before candidate details were finalised. Some show hypothetical match-ups between Zac Goldsmith and prospective Labour candidates, and others show the results of a generic question about which party a voter would support in the Mayoral election.

Unnamed party candidates

Date Firm Sample Conservative Labour Green Lib Dem
UKIP
Respect
12–15 Aug 2015 Survation[204] 1,007 35% 44% 7% 5% 4% 2%

Zac Goldsmith vs Sadiq Khan

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Goldsmith Khan
10–12 Aug 2015 YouGov[205] 1,153 54% 46%
2 July 2015 YouGov[205] ? 53% 47%
8–11 June 2015 YouGov[205] 1,236 50% 50%

Zac Goldsmith vs Tessa Jowell

Date Firm Sample Goldsmith Jowell
10–12 Aug 2015 YouGov[205] 1,153 47% 53%
2 July 2015 YouGov[205] ? 43% 57%
8–11 June 2015 YouGov[205] 1,236 42% 58%

Aftermath

As the first results were announced, several Conservative Party politicians, including

Sayeeda Warsi, denounced Zac Goldsmith's campaign,[206][207] while writers such as left-wing columnist Owen Jones once again described it as "racist".[208] Khan's win was described as a highlight for Labour on a day when the party had lost 19 councillors in the English local elections and fallen to third place, behind the Conservatives, in the Scottish parliament election.[209] However, in the subsequent days, Khan distanced himself from Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn's election strategy, amidst rumours of a party rift.[210] Khan subsequently supported Corbyn's opponent, Owen Smith, in the 2016 Labour Party leadership election.[211]

In his victory speech, Khan said that his victory represented a victory for "hope over fear"

Green Party candidate Sian Berry, who finished third ahead of Pidgeon and Whittle, received the largest number of second-preference votes of any candidate with 468,318 votes representing 21% of the total.

D'Hondt allocation, but a 5% threshold denied her the seat. By contrast, former MP George Galloway's 1.2% of the vote was seen as something of a humiliation and a symptom that his Respect Party was struggling to function;[217] Respect did indeed deregister from the Electoral Commission within 4 months of the election.[218]

Khan formally resigned from his position as MP for Tooting on 9 May, triggering a by-election,[219] which was held on 16 June.[220] On 16 June, Rosena Allin-Khan won the by-election in Tooting, with an increased majority.[221] A few months after the election, Goldsmith also pledged to resign as an MP if the government were to announce plans to build a third runway at Heathrow Airport.[222] Following the decision to build the runway, Goldsmith stood-down as MP for Richmond Park, triggering a by-election, in which Goldsmith stood as an independent candidate.[223] On 1 December 2016, Goldsmith saw his 23,000 majority overturned in the by-election by Sarah Olney of the Liberal Democrats, who achieved a 30% swing. Goldsmith's loss put down to his stance in favour of Britain's exit from the European Union where his constituency voted to remain.[224]

In 2017, Goldsmith regained his seat by overturning Olney's 2,000 majority and winning by 45 votes.[225] However in 2019, Goldsmith lost his seat again to Olney, this time by a margin of 7,766 votes.

Notes

  1. ^ A thirteenth prospective candidate submitted nomination forms, but they were rejected for being incomplete and containing "duplicate signatures".[23]

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External links