2024 United States gubernatorial elections
| |||||||||||||
13 governorships 11 states; 2 territories | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| |||||||||||||
Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican New Progressive incumbent Nonpartisan No election |
United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in
The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.
This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democrats will be running for re-election.
Partisan composition
Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats. Republicans are defending two governorships in states that Joe Biden won in 2020 (New Hampshire and Vermont) while Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump won in 2020 (North Carolina).[1]
Election predictions
Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.
Most election predictors use:
- "tossup": no advantage
- "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
- "lean": slight advantage
- "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
- "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State | PVI | Incumbent | Last race |
||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware | D+7 | John Carney (term-limited) |
59.5% D | Solid D | Solid D | Safe D | Safe D |
Indiana | R+11 | Eric Holcomb (term-limited) |
56.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Missouri | R+10 | Mike Parson (term-limited) |
57.1% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Montana | R+11 | Greg Gianforte | 54.4% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
New Hampshire | D+1 | Chris Sununu (retiring) |
57.0% R | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
North Carolina | R+3 | Roy Cooper (term-limited) |
51.5% D | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
North Dakota | R+20 | Doug Burgum (retiring) |
65.8% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Utah | R+13 | Spencer Cox | 63.0% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Vermont | D+16 | Phil Scott | 69.2% R | Solid R | Solid R | Likely R | Likely R |
Washington | D+8 | Jay Inslee (retiring) |
56.6% D | Likely D | Likely D | Likely D | Safe D |
West Virginia | R+22 | Jim Justice (term-limited) |
63.5% R | Solid R | Solid R | Safe R | Safe R |
Race summary
States
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaware | John Carney | Democratic | 2016 | 59.5% D | Term-limited |
|
Indiana | Eric Holcomb | Republican | 2016 | 56.5% R | Term-limited |
|
Missouri | Mike Parson | Republican | 2018[a] | 57.1% R | Term-limited |
|
Montana | Greg Gianforte | Republican | 2020 | 54.4% R | Running |
|
New Hampshire | Chris Sununu | Republican | 2016 | 57.0% R | Retiring[10] |
|
North Carolina | Roy Cooper | Democratic | 2016 | 51.5% D | Term-limited |
|
North Dakota | Doug Burgum | Republican | 2016 | 65.8% R | Retiring[16] |
|
Utah | Spencer Cox | Republican | 2020 | 63.0% R | Running |
|
Vermont | Phil Scott | Republican | 2016 | 69.2% R | Eligible |
|
Washington | Jay Inslee | Democratic | 2012 | 56.6% D | Retiring[21] |
|
West Virginia | Jim Justice | Republican | 2016[b] | 63.5% R | Term-limited |
|
Territories
State | Governor | Party | First elected | Last race | Status | Candidates |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Samoa | Lemanu Peleti Mauga | Nonpartisan/Democratic[c] | 2020 | 60.3% | Eligible |
|
Puerto Rico | Pedro Pierluisi | New Progressive[d] | 2020
|
32.9% PNP | Running |
|
Delaware
Indiana
Former Republican
Missouri
Montana
On June 13, 2023, Republican state representative Tanner Smith launched a primary challenge to Gianforte.[47]
New Hampshire
Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023 he announced he would not seek re-election.[48] Former acting governor Chuck Morse and former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte have announced their campaigns for the Republican nomination.[49][11] Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns has expressed interest in running.[50] In the Democratic primary, former Manchester mayor Joyce Craig[51] and Executive Council of New Hampshire member Cinde Warmington[52] have declared their candidacies.
North Carolina
| |||||||||||
|
North Dakota
On the other side, State senator Merrill Piepkorn has announced his candidacy for the Democratic Nomination.
Utah
Vermont
Washington
West Virginia
Candidates in the Republican primary include former state delegate Moore Capito,[66] businessman Chris Miller,[67] state attorney general Patrick Morrisey,[68] and secretary of state Mac Warner.[69] Huntington mayor Steve Williams has declared he will run in the Democratic primary.[70][71]
Territories
American Samoa
Puerto Rico
See also
Notes
- ^ Parson took office in 2018 after his predecessor (Eric Greitens) resigned. He was subsequently elected in the 2020 Missouri gubernatorial election.
- ^ Governor Jim Justice was originally elected as a Democrat before switching back to a Republican in 2017. Justice won re-election as a Republican in 2020.[27]
- ^ The governor of American Samoa is elected on a non-partisan basis, although individuals do affiliate with national parties, in Mauga's case with the Democratic Party.
- ^ Pierluisi affiliates with the Democratic Party on the national level.
References
- ^ Coleman, J. Miles (2023-01-19). "2024 Governors Races: A First Look – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved 2024-02-19.
- ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- Inside Elections. Retrieved January 20, 2023.
- Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. 2023-07-22. Retrieved 2023-07-23.
- ^ a b c d "Candidate List". Delaware Department of Elections. Retrieved February 29, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i "Candidate Information". Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o "UNOFFICIAL Candidate Filing List". Missouri Secretary of State. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e "Federal Primary 2024". Montana Secretary of State. February 22, 2024.
- ^ "Gov. Chris Sununu decides against run for reelection". WMUR9. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ a b Richards, Charlene (24 July 2023). "Former GOP Senator Kelly Ayotte announces bid for New Hampshire governor". NBC News. Retrieved 24 July 2023.
- WMUR. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Tasolides, Justin (19 June 2023). "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". Spectrum News. Retrieved 19 June 2023.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2023). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-06-01.
- ^ a b c d "2024 Primary Candidate List By Contest - Federal and State Only (PDF)". North Carolina State Board of Elections. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
- ^ a b "North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum says he won't seek a third term as governor". WCVB5. January 22, 2024. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ a b c "2024 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List". North Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved March 20, 2024.
- ^ "Coachman running for governor as independent".
- ^ a b c d e f "2024 Candidate Filings". The Office of the Lieutenant Governor of Utah. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
- ^ Stolk, Babette (2024-01-05). "Middlebury educator and consultant Esther Charlestin announces run for governor". VTDigger. Retrieved 2024-01-08.
- ^ "WA Gov. Jay Inslee won't seek reelection for fourth term". The Seattle Times. May 1, 2023. Retrieved May 1, 2023.
- ^ Sowersby, Shauna (November 12, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved November 15, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "PRIMARY 2024". Washington Secretary of State. May 6, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f Frisk, Garrett (November 10, 2023). "Bob Ferguson Is Likely To Be Washington's Next Governor. Who Stands in His Way?". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
- ^ Vander Stoep, Isabel (May 17, 2023). "Liquor License Reapplication Denied for Chehalis Restaurant That Flouted COVID Closure Orders". The Chronicle. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
Still, as optimistic as ever, Khan now has her sights set elsewhere: the governor's office...she intends to run as a Republican in 2024.
- KING 5. Retrieved 7 July 2023.
- ^ Tatum, Sophie; Bradner, Eric; Merica, Dan (August 4, 2017). "Jim Justice of West Virginia governor announces plan to switch parties - CNN Politics". CNN.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "2024 Candidate Listing". West Virginia Secretary of State. Retrieved January 8, 2024.
- ^ "Doctor anuncia su candidatura a la gobernación de manera independiente". Metro.Pr. November 15, 2023. Retrieved November 19, 2023.
- ^ Primera, Hora (March 9, 2023). "¡Gracias!". Primera Hora (in Spanish). Retrieved March 9, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Pierluisi calienta motores para las elecciones del 2024". Noticel (in Spanish). Retrieved 2022-10-19.
- ^ "Ada Norah Henriquez buscará la gobernación de manera independiente". Telemundo Puerto Rico (in Spanish). 2023-12-28. Retrieved 2024-01-01.
- ^ Pérez Méndez, Osman (January 2, 2023). "Dalmau cataloga candidatura de médico a comisionado residente como 'un acto de generosidad y desprendimiento'". Primera Hora (in Spanish). Retrieved January 4, 2023.
- ^ "Alcalde de San Sebastián confirma que aspirará a la gobernación por el Proyecto Dignidad". Metro. October 3, 2023. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- El Nuevo Dia. November 8, 2023. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
- El Nuevo Dia(in Spanish). Retrieved January 31, 2024.
- ^ "Juan Zaragoza confirma que aspirará a la gobernación". Telemundo Puerto Rico (in Spanish). 13 September 2022. Retrieved 2022-10-19.
- ^ "U.S. Senator Mike Braun launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
- ^ "Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
- ^ "Former state official announces 2024 gubernatorial run 3 years ahead of Election Day". Indy Star. May 6, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ Dwyer, Karla (10 July 2023). "Curtis Hill, the former Indiana attorney general, to run for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 10 July 2023.
- ^ Herron, Arika (May 4, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick is running for governor — as a Democrat". Axios Indianapolis.
- ^ "Mike Kehoe passes on 2022 Senate run to focus on 2024 Missouri governor's race". Missouri Independent. March 22, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
- ^ Shorman, Jonathan (April 6, 2023). "Missouri's top election official Jay Ashcroft launches Republican campaign for governor". The Kansas City Star.
- ^ "Democrat Crystal Quade shows off roller derby skills in Missouri governor campaign launch video". AP News. 2023-07-09. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Anthony, Michael (January 17, 2024). "Governor Greg Gianforte to seek reelection". KFYR-TV. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ^ Larson, Seaborn (13 June 2023). "Freshman GOP Rep. announces run for governor". Independent Record.
- ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2023-07-19.
- ^ "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". spectrumlocalnews.com. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- better source needed]
- ^ Sexton, Adam (2023-07-11). "Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (2023-06-01). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved 2023-07-20.
- ^ Schneider, Elena (January 18, 2023). "North Carolina AG Josh Stein launches bid for governor". Politico.
- ^ Schoenbaum, Hannah (September 12, 2023). "Former North Carolina justice enters Democratic primary for governor in 2024". Associated Press.
- ^ Craver, Richard (March 25, 2023). "'Uniquely qualified': Winston-Salem native and NC Treasurer Dale Folwell will run for governor". The Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved March 25, 2023.
- ^ Mikkelsen, Emily; Stamps, Brayden (22 April 2023). "Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson announces run for governor at cloudy Ace Speedway rally". Fox 8. Retrieved 22 April 2023.
- ^ MacPherson, James (November 8, 2022). "North Dakota voters OK term limits for governor, legislators". St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Associated Press. Archived from the original on November 10, 2022. Retrieved November 20, 2022.
- ^ "A North Dakota governor running for president? You betcha". NBC News. 2023-05-26. Retrieved 2023-05-27.
- ^ McKellar, Katie (April 21, 2022). "Are Utah Republicans mad at Gov. Cox for transgender veto? Let political chips fall, he says". Deseret News. Retrieved April 25, 2022.
Cox has said he does intend to run for reelection in 2024. On Thursday, he told reporters he stands by his pledge to only serve two terms.
- ^ Kinzel, Bob (2023-10-19). "If Gov. Phil Scott runs for reelection, he will remain a Republican". Vermont Public. Retrieved 2023-11-13.
- ^ Furtado, David (2023-05-01). "Governor Inslee announces he will not seek re-election". KEPR. Retrieved 2023-05-01.
- ^ Withycombe, Claire (2023-06-01). "What to know about state Sen. Mark Mullet as he joins race for WA governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ Gutman, David; Brunner, Jim (2023-05-02). "WA Attorney General Bob Ferguson announces campaign for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
- ^ "Dave Reichert wants to be state's 'servant' as governor". king5.com. July 7, 2023. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Sowersby, Shauna (November 11, 2022). "Controversial Richland school board member announces bid for Washington governor in 2024". The Olympian. Retrieved May 3, 2024.
- ^ McElhinny, Brad (2022-11-29). "Moore Capito, whose name likely rings a bell, says he's running for West Virginia governor". WV MetroNews. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- The Intelligencer. Wheeling-News Register. Retrieved December 24, 2021.
- ^ "AG Morrisey announces 2024 run for Governor". WDTV. 2023-04-04. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "W.Va. Secretary of State Mac Warner announces he will run for governor". WCHS. 2023-01-10. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ Nolting, Mike (April 5, 2023). "Huntington mayor eyes run for governor as 'a climb worth taking'". West Virginia MetroNews.
- ^ "Steve Williams becomes 1st Democrat to enter West Virginia governor's race". Associated Press. September 4, 2023. Retrieved September 4, 2023.
- ^ Fa’asau, Asi Andrew (April 10, 2024). "Lemanu/ La'apui campaign for the 2024 gubernatorial election officially opens". Samoa News. Retrieved April 21, 2024.
- ^ a b Fa’asau, Asi Andrew (March 25, 2024). "Pulu Ae Ae, Jr confirms his run for Lt. Governor with Pula Nikolao Pula". Samoa News. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ Annesley, Rhonda (March 5, 2024). "2024 HOPE: Pula T.I. Nikolau Pula becomes the first to announce his candidacy for Governor". Samoa News. Retrieved April 5, 2024.