2024 United States presidential election in New York
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The 2024 United States presidential election in New York is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New York voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New York has 28 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The 2024 New York Democratic presidential primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 278,669 | 91.5% | 268 | 268 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 14,973 | 4.9% | |||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 10,989 | 3.6% | |||
| Total: | 302,811 | 100.0% | 268 | 38 | 306 |
| Source: [3] | |||||
Primary polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Different Candidate |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | Sep 10–13, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| Siena College | Aug 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Siena College | Jun 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 54% | 40% | 6% |
| Siena College | May 7–11, 2023 | 810 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| Siena College | Mar 19–22, 2023 | 802 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 51% | 7% |
Republican primary
The New York Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the Connecticut primary.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 131,621 | 82.1% | 91 | ||
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 20,718 | 12.9% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 6,435 | 4.0% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,624 | 1.0% | |||
| Total: | 160,398 | 100.0% | 91 | 91 | |
| Source: [4] | |||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[5]
|
Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections[6]
|
Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]
|
Solid D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | Solid D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[9] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[10] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
| Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
| Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
| Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siena College | April 15–17, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
| Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
| Siena College | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
| Siena College | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
| SurveyUSA | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
| SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in New York
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023). "Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.
- ^ "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. April 15, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
- ^ "New York Presidential Primary". The AP. Retrieved April 1, 2024.
- Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
