Paul Samuelson

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Paul Samuelson
Samuelson c. 1970–1975
Born
Paul Anthony Samuelson

(1915-05-15)May 15, 1915
DiedDecember 13, 2009(2009-12-13) (aged 94)
EducationUniversity of Chicago (BA)
Harvard University (MA, PhD)
Spouses
Marion Crawford
(m. 1938; died 1978)
[4]
Risha Clay
(m. 1981)
[5]
Academic career
Institution
Public goods
AwardsJohn Bates Clark Medal (1947)
Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences (1970)
National Medal of Science (1996)
Information at IDEAS / RePEc

Paul Anthony Samuelson (May 15, 1915 – December 13, 2009) was an American economist who was the first American to win the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. When awarding the prize in 1970, the Swedish Royal Academies stated that he "has done more than any other contemporary economist to raise the level of scientific analysis in economic theory".[6]

Samuelson was one of the most influential economists of the latter half of the 20th century.

Economics: An Introductory Analysis, first published in 1948.[10] It was the second American textbook that attempted to explain the principles of Keynesian economics
.

Samuelson served as an advisor to President

Biography

Samuelson in 1997

Samuelson was born in

Hyde Park Career Academy
).

Samuelson attended University of Chicago as an undergraduate, earning a Bachelor of Arts degree in 1935. He said he was born as an economist, at 8:00 am on January 2, 1932, in the University of Chicago classroom.[7] The lecture mentioned as the cause was on the British economist Thomas Malthus, who most famously studied population growth and its effects.[13] Samuelson felt there was a dissonance between neoclassical economics and the way the system seemed to behave; he said Henry Simons and Frank Knight were a big influence on him.[14] He next completed his Master of Arts degree in 1936, and his Doctor of Philosophy in 1941 at Harvard University. He won the David A. Wells prize in 1941 for writing the best doctoral dissertation at Harvard University in economics, for a thesis titled "Foundations of Analytical Economics", which later turned into Foundations of Economic Analysis. As a graduate student at Harvard, Samuelson studied economics under Joseph Schumpeter, Wassily Leontief, Gottfried Haberler, and the "American Keynes" Alvin Hansen.

Samuelson moved to MIT as an assistant professor in 1940 and remained there until his death.[15] Samuelson's biographer argues that a central reason for Samuelson's move from Harvard to MIT was the anti-Semitism that was famously widespread at Harvard at the time. In a 1989 letter to his friend Henry Rosovsky, Samuelson blamed anti-Semitism in Harvard economics above all on chair Harold Burbank, as well as on Edward Chamberlin, John H. Williams, John D. Black, and Leonard Crum.[16]

Samuelson's family included many well-known economists, including brother

Larry Summers
.

During his seven decades as an economist, Samuelson's professional positions included:

  • Assistant professor of economics at MIT, 1940; associate professor, 1944.
  • Member of the Radiation Laboratory 1944–45.
  • Professor of international economic relations (part-time) at the
    Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
    in 1945.
  • Guggenheim Fellowship from 1948 to 1949
  • Professor of economics at MIT beginning in 1947 and
    Institute Professor
    beginning in 1962.
  • Vernon F. Taylor Visiting Distinguished Professor at Trinity University (Texas) in spring 1989.

Death

Samuelson died after a brief illness on December 13, 2009, at the age of 94.[17] His death was announced by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.[13] James M. Poterba, an economics professor at MIT and the president of the National Bureau of Economic Research, commented that Samuelson "leaves an immense legacy, as a researcher and a teacher, as one of the giants on whose shoulders every contemporary economist stands".[17] Susan Hockfield, the president of MIT, said that Samuelson "transformed everything he touched: the theoretical foundations of his field, the way economics was taught around the world, the ethos and stature of his department, the investment practices of MIT, and the lives of his colleagues and students".[18] His second wife died in 2019.

Fields of interest

As professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Samuelson worked in many fields, including:

Impact

Samuelson is considered one of the founders of

neo-Keynesian economics and a seminal figure in the development of neoclassical economics. In awarding him the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences
, the committee stated:

More than any other contemporary economist, Samuelson has helped to raise the general analytical and methodological level in economic science. He has simply rewritten considerable parts of economic theory. He has also shown the fundamental unity of both the problems and analytical techniques in economics, partly by a systematic application of the methodology of maximization for a broad set of problems. This means that Samuelson's contributions range over a large number of different fields.

He was also essential in creating the neoclassical synthesis, which ostensibly incorporated Keynesian and neoclassical principles and still dominates current mainstream economics. In 2003, Samuelson was one of the ten Nobel Prize–winning economists signing the Economists' statement opposing the Bush tax cuts.[19]

Aphorisms and quotations

Stanislaw Ulam once challenged Samuelson to name one theory in all of the social sciences that is both true and nontrivial. Several years later, Samuelson responded with David Ricardo's theory of comparative advantage: "That it is logically true need not be argued before a mathematician; that is not trivial is attested by the thousands of important and intelligent men who have never been able to grasp the doctrine for themselves or to believe it after it was explained to them."[20]

For many years, Samuelson wrote a column for Newsweek. One article included Samuelson's most quoted remark and a favorite economics joke:

To prove that Wall Street is an early omen of movements still to come in GNP, commentators quote economic studies alleging that market downturns predicted four out of the last five recessions. That is an understatement. Wall Street indexes predicted nine out of the last five recessions! And its mistakes were beauties.[21]

In the early editions of his famous, bestselling economics textbook Paul Samuelson joked that GDP falls when a man "marries his maid".[22]

Publications

The competitive price system adapted from Samuelson, 1961

Foundations of Economic Analysis

Paul Samuelson's book

doctoral dissertation, and was inspired by the classical thermodynamic methods.[23]
The book proposes to:

  • Examine underlying analogies between central features in theoretical and applied economics and
  • Study how
    operationally meaningful
    theorems
    can be derived with a small number of analogous methods (p. 3),

in order to derive "a general theory of economic theories" (Samuelson, 1983, p. xxvi). The book showed how these goals could be parsimoniously and fruitfully achieved, using the language of the mathematics applied to diverse subfields of economics. The book proposes two general hypotheses as sufficient for its purposes:

  • Maximizing behavior of agents (including consumers as to utility and business firms as to profit) and
  • Economic systems (including a market and an economy) in stable equilibrium.

The first tenet suggests that all actors, whether firms or consumers, are striving to maximize something. They could be attempting to maximize profits, utility, or wealth, but it did not matter because their efforts to improve their well-being would provide a basic model for all actors in an economic system.[24] His second tenet focuses on providing insight on the workings of equilibrium in an economy. Generally in a market, supply would equal demand. However, he noted that this isn't always the case and that the important thing to look at was a system's natural resting point. Foundations presents the question of how an equilibrium would react when it is moved from its optimal point.[24] Samuelson was also influential in providing explanations on how the changes in certain factors can affect an economic system. For example, he could explain the economic effect of changes in taxes or new technologies.

In the course of analysis, comparative statics, (the analysis of changes in equilibrium of the system that result from a parameter change of the system) is formalized and clearly stated.

The chapter on welfare economics "attempt(s) to give a brief but fairly complete survey of the whole field of welfare economics" (Samuelson, 1947, p. 252). It also exposits on and develops what became commonly called the Bergson–Samuelson social welfare function. It shows how to represent (in the maximization calculus) all real-valued economic measures of any belief system that is required to rank consistently different feasible social configurations in an ethical sense as "better than", "worse than", or "indifferent to" each other (p. 221).

Economics

Samuelson is also author (and from 1985 co-author) of an influential principles textbook,

Economics, first published in 1948 (19th ed. as of 2010; multiple reprints). The book sold more than 300,000 copies of each edition from 1961 through 1976 and was translated into forty-one languages. As of 2018, it had sold over four million copies. William Nordhaus joined as co-author on the 12th edition (1985). Sometime before 1988, it had become the best-selling economics textbook of all time.[25][26]

Samuelson was once quoted as saying, "Let those who will write the nation's laws if I can write its textbooks."

Second World War, it helped to popularize the insights of John Maynard Keynes
. A main focus was how to avoid, or at least mitigate, the recurring slumps in economic activity.

Samuelson wrote: "It is not too much to say that the widespread creation of dictatorships and the resulting World War II stemmed in no small measure from the world's failure to meet this basic economic problem [the Great Depression] adequately."[28] This reflected the concern of Keynes himself with the economic causes of war and the importance of economic policy in promoting peace.[29][30][31]

Samuelson's book was the second to introduce Keynesian economics to a wide audience, and was by far the most successful. Canadian economist Lorie Tarshis, who had been a student attending Keynes's lectures at Harvard in the 1930s, published in 1947 an introductory textbook that incorporated his lecture notes, titled Elements of Economics.[32][33][34]

Other publications

There are 388 papers in Samuelson's Collected Scientific Papers. Stanley Fischer (1987, p. 234) writes that taken together they are "unique in their verve, breadth of economic and general knowledge, mastery of setting, and generosity of allusions to predecessors".

Samuelson was co-editor, along with William A. Barnett, of Inside the Economist's Mind: Conversations with Eminent Economists (Blackwell Publishing, 2007), a collection of interviews with notable economists of the 20th century.

Criticisms

Textbook influences in higher education

Samuelson's textbook was a watershed in introducing the serious study of business cycles to the economics curriculum. It was particularly timely because it followed the Great Depression. The study of business cycles along with the introduction of the Keynesian approach of aggregate demand set the stage for the macroeconomic revolution in America, which then diffused throughout the world through translations into every major language. Generations of students, who then became teachers, learned their first and most influential lessons from Samuelson's Economics. It attracted many imitators, who became successful in different niches of the college market.

The text was not without criticism. While it praised the "mixed economy" of market and government, some found that too radical and attacked it as socialist. As a precursor to criticisms of Samuelson's Economics textbook,

William F. Buckley, Jr., in his 1951 book, God and Man at Yale, devoted an entire chapter, attacking both Samuelson's and Tarshis' textbooks. For Samuelson's book, Buckley drew from the Educational Examiner and credited it as an "excellent review of Samuelson's text." ("Note to Chapter Two." p. 234)[36][a] For Tarshis' book, Buckley drew from Merwin K. Hart's organization to wit: "I am also grateful to the National Economic Council for its telling analysis of the Tarshis." ("Note to Chapter Two." p. 234)[36] Buckley essentially characterized both as – in the words of Paul Davidson – "communist inspired".[36][34]
Buckley, for the rest of his life, defended the criticisms set forth in his book.

Economic growth of USSR

One criticism – of a concept that Samuelson added to his Economics textbook – was the comparison of

real GNP parity between 1977 and 1995. Each subsequent edition extrapolates a date range further in the future until those graphs were dropped from the 1985 edition (12th ed.).[38]

Phillips Curve

Samuelson, together with

Phillips Curve. The curve suggested that unemployment and inflation were inversely related; with the advent of stagflation in the 1970s some economists including Milton Friedman and Friedrich Hayek
attacked the economics based on the Phillips Curve as questionable or mistaken.

Memberships

List of publications

Samuelson, Paul A. (1966), Vol. 1 → via Google Books, 1937–mid-1964.
Samuelson, Paul A. (1966), Vol. 2 → via Google Books, 1937–mid-1964.
Samuelson, Paul A. (1972), Vol. 3 → via Google Books, mid-1964–1970.
Samuelson, Paul A. (1977), Vol. 4 → via Internet Archive (registration required), 1971–76.
Samuelson, Paul A. (1986), Vol. 5 → via Google Books, 1977–1985 Description → via
Samuelson, Paul A. (2011), Vol. 6[permanent dead link], 1986–2009. Description → via Wayback Machine
Samuelson, Paul A. (2011), Vol. 7[permanent dead link], 1986–2009.

See also

Notes

Explanatory annotations

  1. Gustavus Demetrious Crain, Jr. (1885–1973), founder of Crain Communications
    .

References

  1. ^ Business Cycles and Depressions: An Encyclopedia, p. 361, at Google Books
  2. ^ De Vroey, Michel; Malgrange, Pierre (2012). "From The Keynesian Revolution to the Klein–Goldberger model: Klein and the Dynamization of Keynesian Theory". History of Economic Ideas. 20 (2): 113–36.
  3. .
  4. ^ "Marion Crawford Samuelson". The New York Times. February 15, 1978. Retrieved October 1, 2023.
  5. ^ "Risha Clay Samuelson: Obituary". The Boston Globe. June 4, 2019.
  6. ^ a b Frost, Greg (December 13, 2009). "Nobel-winning economist Paul A. Samuelson dies at age 94". MIT News. "In a career that spanned seven decades, he transformed his field, influenced millions of students and turned MIT into an economics powerhouse"
  7. ^ a b c d e "Paul Samuelson: The last of the great general economists died on December 13th, aged 94", The Economist, December 17, 2009
  8. ISSN 1941-1383
    .
  9. .
  10. .
  11. .
  12. Newspapers.com
    .
  13. ^ . Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  14. .
  15. .
  16. .
  17. ^ a b "Nobel economics laureate Samuelson died at 94". Reuters. December 14, 2006.
  18. ^ "Economics revolutionary Paul Samuelson dies aged 94", The Daily Telegraph, December 14, 2009
  19. ^ "Economists' statement opposing the Bush tax cuts". April 3, 2003. Retrieved October 31, 2007.
  20. ^ Samuelson, Paul (1969). "The Way of an Economist". In Samuelson, P. A. (ed.). International Economic Relations: Proceedings of the Third Congress of the International Economic Association. London: Macmillan. pp. 1–11.
  21. ^ Samuelson, Paul (September 19, 1966). "Science and Stocks". Newsweek. p. 92.
  22. ^ "The Trouble With GDP". The Economist. April 30, 2016. Retrieved October 22, 2018.
  23. ^ Liossatos, Panagis, S. (2004). "Statistical Entropy in General Equilibrium Theory", (p. 3). Department of Economics, Florida International University.
  24. ^
    S2CID 206525085
    .
  25. ^ Rosalsky, Gregory Ellis (March 14, 2018). "Freeing Econ 101: Beyond the Grasp of the Invisible Hand". Behavorial Scientist (non-profit digital magazine). Broad Street, Lower Manhattan. Retrieved April 23, 2021.
  26. .
  27. ^ "Paul Anthony Samuelson: The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics | Library of Economics and Liberty". www.econlib.org. Retrieved April 26, 2016.
  28. Mankiw, Gregory (January 10, 2009). "Is government spending too easy an answer?"
    . The New York Times.
  29. .
  30. .
  31. ^ "Paul A. Samuelson Biographical".
  32. OCLC 989388561. Retrieved April 23, 2021 – via Internet Archive
    .
  33. (article).
  34. ^ (article).
  35. (article).
  36. ^ .
  37. . the optimistic forecast of time before the Soviet overtaking is 23 years; the more pessimistic time to overtaking in the max-max world is 36 years. The non-overtaking trajectory is constructed on the specification that something reduces Soviet growth in out years below what simple extrapolation would have it.
  38. .
  39. ^ "Paul Anthony Samuelson". American Academy of Arts & Sciences. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  40. ^ "APS Member History". search.amphilsoc.org. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  41. ^ "Paul A. Samuelson". www.nasonline.org. Retrieved December 15, 2022.

Further reading

External links

Awards
Preceded by
Laureate of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics

1970
Succeeded by