2011 Peruvian general election

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2011 Peruvian general election
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Presidential election
10 April 2011 (first round)
5 June 2011 (second round)
 
Nominee Ollanta Humala Keiko Fujimori
Party PNP Force 2011
Alliance Peru Wins
Running mate Marisol Espinoza
Omar Chehade 		Rafael Rey
Jaime Yoshiyama
Popular vote 7,937,704 7,490,647
Percentage 51.45% 48.55%
Results of the second round by region (left) and province (right). Darker shades indicate a higher vote share.
President before election

Alan García
APRA

Elected President

Ollanta Humala
Peru Wins

Congressional election
10 April 2011
All 130 seats in the Congress of Peru
66 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader % Seats +/–
Peru Wins Ollanta Humala 25.27 47 +47
Force 2011 Keiko Fujimori 22.97 37 +24
Possible Peru Alejandro Toledo 14.83 21 +19
APGC Pedro Pablo Kuczynski 14.42 12 +10
ASN
Luis Castañeda Lossio
 10.22 9 −36
APRA Alan García 6.43 4 −32
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by region
Politics of Peru
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Congress of the Republic
President
Alejandro Soto Reyes
Judiciary

Supreme Court of the Republic
President Javier Arévalo Vela [es]

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flag Peru portal

General elections were held in Peru on 10 April 2011 to elect the President, the Vice Presidents, 130 members of Congress and five members of the Andean Parliament. As no presidential candidate received a majority in the first round, a second round was held on 5 June to determine the successor of outgoing president Alan García. Former army officer Ollanta Humala narrowly defeated Keiko Fujimori, daughter of imprisoned former President Alberto Fujimori.[1] Humala was sworn in as the 94th President of Peru on 28 July.

Background

After the third presidential term of Alberto Fujimori, new rules were established to curtail presidential authority.[clarification needed] The outgoing president is now forbidden to run for reelection until five years have elapsed since the end of a presidential term.

Peruvian politics adhere to a multi-party system, in which no one political group has a majority in Congress. This has led recent administrations to form loose alliances while in office to govern effectively. Such multi-party system has been in place ever since the administration of President

1992 dissolution of Congress
.

The elections are organised by three groups. First of all the

ONPE (National Office of Electoral Processes). The last organisation is the JNE
(National Jury of Elections), they are looking into the legality of the elections and the campaign plans.

Presidential candidates

The election campaigns started early in the summer of 2010. During most of 2010, polls were led by two right wing political parties: Solidaridad Nacional (National Solidarity), led by former mayor of Lima

Luis Castañeda Lossio and Fuerza 2011 (Force 2011), led by ex-president Alberto Fujimori's daughter, Keiko Fujimori. In November 2010, Alianza por el Gran Cambio (Alliance for the Great Change) launched the candidacy of the former prime minister Pedro Pablo Kuczynski. Claiming a more centrist stand are, APRA the ruling party and Peru Posible (Possible Peru), under the leadership of former Peruvian President Alejandro Toledo.[citation needed
]

The left-wing politician Ollanta Humala is supported by the Peruvian Nationalist Party.[2]

The Fuerza Social[3] and Cambio Radical[4] do not have presidential candidates. The incumbent Alan García's American Popular Revolutionary Alliance[5] is also not fielding a candidate in the election.[6]

Political Party or Group Presidential candidate Candidate for First Vice President Candidate for Second Vice President
Peru Wins Alliance
Ollanta Humala
Marisol Espinoza
Omar Chehade
Force 2011 Alliance
Keiko Fujimori
Rafael Rey
Jaime Yoshiyama
Possible Peru Alliance
Alejandro Toledo
Carlos Bruce
Javier Reátegui
Alliance for the Great Change
Pedro Pablo Kuczynski
Máximo San Román
Marisol Pérez Tello
National Solidarity Alliance
Luis Castañeda Lossio
Augusto Ferrero Costa
Carmen Rosa Núñez
Justice, Technology and Ecology
Humberto Pinazo
Wilson Barrantes
Víctor Girao
National Awakening Party
Ricardo Noriega
Martina Portocarrero
Roberto Villar
Peruvian Fonavista Party
José Ñique de la Puente
Andrés Alcántara
Cecilia Grados Guerrero
National Force Party
Juliana Reymer
Julio Macedo
Sergio Gallardo
Ahead Political Party
Rafael Belaúnde Aubry
Luis Destefano
Sixto Vilcas
Voluntarily Withdrawn
Political party Candidate Withdrawal
Name for President for 1st Vice-president for 2nd Vice-president Date Motive
American Popular Revolutionary Alliance
APRA 		Mercedes Araóz Fernández Javier Velásquez Nidia Vílchez 17 January Internal Party disputes
Social Force
Fuerza Social 		Manuel Rodríguez Cuadros Vladimiro Huaroc Elva Quiñones 18 March Mr. Rodríguez claimed lack of credibility of electoral process

Alejandro Toledo is a former president.

Keiko Fujimori campaign ran on support of the status quo

free-market policies,[2] however she was seen as hindered because of her ties to her father Alberto Fujimori,[7] who is in prison for corruption and human rights crimes following a crackdown on the Túpac Amaru Revolutionary Movement in the 1990s, following the Japanese embassy hostage crisis in 1996–1997.[2]
In addition, her campaign has been criticized for vote-buying.[8]

Pedro Pablo Kuczynski, a former prime minister, is also known as "El Gringo" because he has U.S. citizenship[9] and is of European descent. His support was seen as limited outside Lima because of his support amongst the country's elite.

Ollanta Humala, who had once led a military revolt in 2000 that was quickly put down, softened what was seen as his anti-capitalist tone to look more moderate along the lines of Brazil's former president

sol and the Lima Stock Exchange
's flagship index main stock index fell over the two weeks before the first round of the election on speculation that Humala would raise mining taxes, increase state subsidies and/or tighten control of such "strategic" sectors as electricity.

Opinion polls conducted in late May 2011 showed Fujimori and Humala in a statistical tie in a runoff vote scheduled for 5 June 2011, with one point separating the two candidates.

better source needed
]

Support for the second round

Some of the candidates and parties eliminated in second round have expressed their support for one of the contestants in the run-off election.

Alliance for the Great Change candidate P. P. Kuczynski declared that he would vote for Fujimori,[11] as well as his running mate Máximo San Román and ally Humberto Lay (National Restoration), whereas Humanists' leader Yehude Simon declared his support for Humala.[12]

The Possible Peru Alliance and its candidate Alejandro Toledo also announced support for the "Peru Wins"-candidate[13] in exchange for a participation in Humala's aspired government.[14]

National Solidarity leader Luis Castañeda on the other hand uttered his backing for the Force 2011 frontwoman.[15]

APRA does not have a clear party line yet but former Prime minister Javier Velásquez inclined to Keiko Fujimori's side.[16]

Nobel laureate writer Mario Vargas Llosa, liberal presidential candidate of 1990 and opponent of Alberto Fujimori, stated that he would "never vote" for Fujimori's daughter and warned the nation of a "return to dictatorship" that came up with a victory of Keiko.[17] He, personally, would vote for Humala, "unhappily and with fear" but as the lesser evil.[18]

Debates

First round

Date[citation needed] Host[citation needed] Location[citation needed] Moderator[citation needed] Subject[citation needed] Highlights
3 March El Comercio El Comercio headquarters
Lima 		Juan Paredes Castro Education, security, social inclusion and free subject The eleven presidential candidates presented their proposals.[19][20] Alejandro Toledo won the newspaper poll.[21]
13 March Jurado Nacional de Elecciones Colegio Médico
Lima 		Federico Salazar Varied
3 April Asociación Civil Transparencia Sheraton Hotel
Lima 		José María Salcedo Varied Only the top five candidates are to be included. This has caused various criticisms from other candidates, who argue that the debate is undemocratic and exclusive. Political analysts agreed that the 5 main candidates didn't make new proposals.[original research?]

Second round

Date[22] Host[22] Location[22] Moderator[22] Subject[22] Highlights
29 May National Jury of Elections Marriott Hotel
Lima 		José María Salcedo Varied Presidential hopefuls Ollanta Humala and Keiko Fujimori squared off in a bitter final debate on Sunday in Lima, one week before general elections that will decide the Andean country's next president.[23]

Opinion polls

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2011 Peruvian general election

Results

Leading candidate by region in the first round.
Leading candidate by region in the second round.

President

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Luis Castañeda Lossio
National Solidarity Alliance1,440,1439.83
José Ñique de la PuenteFonavistas of Peru37,0110.25
Ricardo NoriegaNational Awakening Party21,5740.15
Rafael Belaúnde AubryForward Party17,3010.12
Juliana ReymerNational Force Party16,8310.11
Humberto PinazoJustice, Technology, Ecology11,2750.08
Manuel Rodríguez CuadrosDecentralist Social Force Party9,3580.06
Total14,647,163100.0015,428,351100.00
Valid votes14,647,16387.7115,428,35193.70
Invalid/blank votes2,052,57112.291,038,0466.30
Total votes16,699,734100.0016,466,397100.00
Registered voters/turnout19,949,91583.71
Source: JNE

Congress

PartyVotes%Seats
Peru Wins3,245,00325.2747
Force 20112,948,78122.9737
Possible Peru Alliance1,904,18014.8321
Alliance for the Great Change1,851,08014.4212
National Solidarity Alliance1,311,76610.229
American Popular Revolutionary Alliance825,0306.434
Radical Change347,4752.710
Fonavistas of Peru170,0521.320
Decentralist Social Force Party108,2000.840
Forward Party42,2760.330
National Force Party37,6330.290
National Awakening Party30,1900.240
Justice, Technology, Ecology17,4780.140
Total12,839,144100.00130
Valid votes12,839,14476.87
Invalid/blank votes3,862,47523.13
Total votes16,701,619100.00
Registered voters/turnout19,949,91583.72
Source: JNE

Andean Parliament

PartyVotes%Seats
Peru Wins2,740,14727.022
Force 20112,353,67423.211
Possible Peru Alliance1,498,78414.781
Alliance for the Great Change1,413,78513.941
National Solidarity Alliance954,6199.410
American Popular Revolutionary Alliance638,6756.300
Radical Change195,4411.930
Fonavistas of Peru158,8771.570
Decentralist Social Force Party65,2650.640
Justice, Technology, Ecology49,8690.490
Forward Party36,1930.360
National Force Party35,0140.350
Total10,140,343100.005
Valid votes10,140,34360.71
Invalid/blank votes6,563,23439.29
Total votes16,703,577100.00
Registered voters/turnout19,949,91583.73
Source: JNE, ONPE

Reactions

Fujimori congratulated Humala on his victory after admitting defeat.[24]

States
  •  Bolivia – After the first-round, President Evo Morales sent a letter to Humala congratulating him and said of those who voted for him did so "to advance with the transformation of their nation and its institutions...Receive in my name, from the government and from the Bolivian people, a fraternal and revolutionary salute."[25]
  •  Colombia – President Juan Manuel Santos called Humala the next day to congratulate him for his "victory in the electoral vote that consolidates the Peruvian democracy. Santos reiterated Colombia's commitment to continue working at the strengthening of relations between the two countries and of all Latin America."[26] This was despite concerns in Colombia of being "surrounded by leftists."[27]
Finance Minister
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's electoral victory. However, the Bogotá Stock Exchange indices also fell.[28]
Economic

The Lima Stock Exchange index also plunged the following day[29] amid concerns of Humala's economic policies and cabinet ministers.

Government formation

Former president Alejandro Toledo was set to be in talk with Humala to join his government in some form. However, in mid-July he quit the talks, though he said legislators from their two parties would vote together on some issues.[30]

About a week before his inauguration Humala introduced a cabinet line-up that was positively received by financial markets and the business community because most appointees were read as "moderate" and "establishment" figures who thus allayed apparent fears of radical change. His cabinet line-up includes:

Appointee[31] Position
Ollanta Humala President
Marisol Espinoza First Vice President
Omar Chehade Second Vice President
Salomon Lerner Ghitis
 Prime Minister
Rafael Roncagliolo
Foreign Minister[32]
Miguel Castilla
 Economy and Finance Minister (Incumbent Deputy Finance Minister)
Carlos Oliva Deputy Finance Minister[33]
Laura Calderon Deputy Economy Minister
which?
])
Daniel Mora Defense Minister
Oscar Valdes
Interior Minister[34]
Francisco Eguiguren
Justice Minister[35]
Miguel Zalazzi Caillaux Agriculture Minister[36]
Alberto Tejada
Health Minister[37]
Patricia Salas
 Education Minister[35]
José Luis Silva Martinot
Foreign Commerce and Tourism Minister[35]
Rudecindo Vega Labour Minister[35]
Carlos Paredes Rodríguez
Transport and Communications Minister[35]
Ricardo Giesecke Environment Minister[35]
Kurt Burneo Development and Social Inclusion Minister[38]
Kurt Burneo Production Minister
Carlos Herrera Energy and Mines Minister
René Cornejo Housing, Construction and Sanitation Minister[35]
Susana Baca Culture Minister[39]
Aída García-Naranjo
Women and Social Development Minister[35]
Julio Velarde Central Reserve Bank of Peru President (incumbent)

On 18 August, the cabinet authorised the creation of the Ministry of Development and Social Inclusion whose function would be to implement the social programmes of the government to promote "social inclusion." The ministry was created to turn the social programmes into productive tools for the benefit of the poor and that one of its objectives would be to create the conditions so that beneficiaries of the Juntos[clarification needed] programme use subsidies for "financial leverage" so as to improve their quality of life.[40]

As a result of Humala's appointees, which came in contrast to concerns he would introduce changes that could hurt Peru's economic growth, Peru's sol-denominated bonds increased as yields fell from 7.84 percent for maturities in due in August 2020 to 6.12 percent. The bond prices gained 0.29

windfall profits tax after consultations with companies.[41]

Reaction

In reaction to the perceived "moderate" appointments the

Southern Copper and Cia. de Minas Buenaventura SA had previously warned against a tax on sales, which could make the mining industry less competitive and affect the US$42 billion in planned mining investment.[45] Southern Copper said that it expected a "positive result" from consultation talks on the proposed new windfall tax levy on mining companies. Financial Planning Manager Raul Jacob said that the government would continue to support new mining projects like the US$1 billion Tia Maria copper mine. "We think the government will establish the taxation but will maintain the cost-competiveness [sic] of the mining industry. [The company is] confident that good investment conditions, stability, social inclusion and growth will prevail in Peru."[46]

However, his softening stance on regulating and taxing the mining sector[47] caused consternation amongst some of his original supporters. Mario Huaman, the head of the General Workers' Confederation (the largest labour union in Peru, who also endorsed Humala) said that: "We're worried. We'll listen very carefully to what he says in the coming days and see if he shares our views. Then we'll decide our plan of action, our plan to fight. He promised change." Renee Ramirez, the general secretary of the Education Workers Union said that: "The new government has built up such great hopes that if it doesn't follow through there'll be a big divorce. We're not going to keep quiet. We threw our weight behind Humala but we didn't write him a blank check."

Alvaro Vargas Llosa, a senior fellow at the Washington, D.C.-based Independent Institute and son of Mario Vargas Llosa said that "He has to find a way to keep the base close while not letting it dictate economic policy." Erasto Almeida, a political analyst at Eurasia Group added that if his opinion rating drops further or the economy slows that Humala "could be tempted later on in his mandate" to adopt less market-friendly policies.[45]

Indigenous groups, such as AIDESEP in the Amazon, have expressed disappointment with Humala's move away from the left amidst his campaign promises to champion the

Amazon. Alberto Pizango, the head AIDESEP, said that "The [indigenous] communities had entrusted this government to oversee a real, profound change. But Humala has altered his discourse, leading the people to say this government will just be more of the same." He also criticised the appointment of Herrera because of the latter's approval of petroleum concessions when he first held the ministerial post in 2000.[48]

Former President Alan García chaired his final cabinet meeting on 27 July.[49] At it he said:[50]

I wanted to thank all of the ministers, also the regional presidents have put in a great deal of effort into their jobs, and mayors who are those who develop directly and closely with the people. [I am convinced that] when you put zeal aside, history will recognise what these ministers achieved with their effort. Much will have to be done for our country, but I think that the path chosen was the correct one, and the perseverance and the dedication was necessary. A salute to Peru, to the youth of Peru, to the poor of Peru, to the authorities of Peru, and as a follower of Haya de La Torre all I wanted to do was make a government that gives bread with freedom. A salute to Peru, to its future and success."

Inauguration

Prior to his inauguration on 28 July, Humala's popularity fell in opinion polls after he suspended his brother Alexis Humala from Gana Peru following allegations of corruption in relation to deals with Gazprom. His approval rating of 70% fell to 41%.[51]

For inauguration day itself Lima's main downtown square was scheduled to be open without security restrictions. Javier Sanguinetti, police chief for the Lima region, said that his office was working with the tourism police department and that 10,000 police officers would be deployed at popular tourist attractions around Lima on 28 and 29 July.[52]

Former President Alan García was not scheduled to attend the event because, according to him, the inauguration "is to hear the new president's message" and that although he attended

Grand National Party[65] and Chinese President Hu Jintao's special envoy Minister of Agriculture Han Changfu.[66]

Piñera, who was welcomed by outgoing Economics Minister Ismael Benavides

bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the event.[67]

Garcia left the presidential palace after he passed on the presidential sash to Humala.[70] Before wearing the sash, Humala also made a speech in which he promised "to fight for social integration, particularly of the poorest."[32] He also said that he would not alter the existing market-oriented policies and would keep trade policies intact; he added that he provide a minimum pension for all Peruvians over the age of 65 and raise the minimum wage. "We want the term 'social exclusion' to disappear from our language and lives forever. Economic growth and social inclusion will march together." In tackling social conflict and drug trafficking he said that the United States is a "strategic partner."[70] He also quoted South Africa's Nelson Mandela when he argued that there cannot be a democracy where misery and "social asymmetry" persist."[71] However, he broke with tradition when he did not travel to Congress to attend the inauguration.[70] During the swearing-in ceremony he was shouted down by the "Fujimoristas" (supporters of Keiko Fujimori and her father Alberto) after he said that was taking power" in the spirit of the 1979 constitution:[71] "The constitution of 1979, the last constitution of democratic origin, which many have not respected and that's why it has been forgotten, is for me a true inspiration for its national and democratic content."[64]

Initial initiatives

On 25 August, the Congress gave its vote of confidence in approving the Council of Ministers after Prime Minister Salomon Lerner Ghitis spoke to the Congress by a vote of 90 in favour, zero against and 33 abstentations, all of whom were from Fuerza 2011.[72] Tejada expressed his satisfaction and gratitude at the recognition of the "technical support" for the government's programmes and goals. "We call on Peruvians to be confident that President Ollanta Humala is setting the beginning of a new phase of growth with social inclusion in the history of Peru, respecting human rights and freedom of speech."[37] The initiatives were backed by the National Confederation of Private Business Associations (CONFIEP) as confirmed by President Humberto Speziani who said that "Overall we agree with all ten policies announced by the Cabinet, which is headed by Salomon Lerner. [Ghitis' goals are] "necessary to grow with social inclusion."[73]

One of Humala's first tasks amongst his promises for social inclusion was to start the implementation of a two-stage 25% increase in the monthly minimum wage to 750 sol and unveiling a pension increase for those older than 65.[74]

Humala also sought to create a national flag carrier airline in cooperation with private investment, especially to such unprofitable domestic markets as the hinterlands of the Andes and the Amazon.[75]

During the first month of Humala's presidency, an agreement was reached with mining companies that would increase taxes by up to three billion sols a year however, Carlos Herrera said a new royalty rate had not been set as yet. Prime Minister Salomon Lerner Ghitis said that "this tax will not affect investment or companies' competitiveness."[76]

Amongst his initial social policies, modeled after Brazil during the tenure of Lula da Silva, were: a non-contributory basic pension of about US$90 per month for the elderly who lack other provisions, a state-run child-care programme, an increase in scholarships for poor students who want a university education and the expansion of a conditional cash transfer scheme for the poor. However, he said that such programmes would be introduced gradually, hence, according to government officials, the cost for the following year would be a more moderate figure of US$275m.[77]

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External links

Candidates
Post-election
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