July–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership election
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Turnout | 82.2% (members' vote) | ||||||||||||
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The July–September 2022 Conservative Party leadership election was triggered by Boris Johnson's announcement on 7 July 2022 that he would resign as Leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, following a series of political controversies.
In the
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK, Johnson and his government had instituted public health restrictions, including limitations on social interaction, that Johnson and some of his staff were later found to have broken. The resulting political scandal (Partygate), one of many in a string of controversies that characterised Johnson's premiership, severely damaged his personal reputation. Johnson won a confidence vote by Conservative MPs in June 2022. The situation escalated with the Chris Pincher scandal in July 2022, and between 5 and 7 July, more than 60 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries, trade envoys, and party vice-chairmen resigned in what was the largest mass resignation in British history. Many previously supportive MPs called for Johnson to resign. This brought about a government crisis, culminating on 7 July, when Johnson announced that he would resign as party leader. Johnson also announced that he would remain as prime minister until a successor was elected.[1]
Voting took place between 13 July and 2 September. After a series of MP ballots, the list of candidates was narrowed down to
Background
Brexit and the 2019 leadership election
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Mayor of London European Union referendum Foreign Secretary Party leadership campaigns Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
First ministry and term
Second ministry and term
In popular culture
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In the aftermath of the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, David Cameron resigned the office of prime minister and was succeeded by Theresa May. As prime minister in the aftermath of the referendum, May began to negotiate a withdrawal agreement with the EU. After triggering Article 50, a legal process that started the UK's formal departure from the EU, she called an early general election, aiming to secure a larger Conservative majority to support her proposals for Brexit.[7] However, the result of the election was a hung parliament, with the Conservatives losing their majority.[8] To continue governing, May negotiated a confidence-and-supply agreement with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).[9] In December 2018, the Conservative Party triggered a vote of no confidence in May. She told Conservative MPs that she would resign after the UK's withdrawal from the EU, and before the next election. She survived the vote with 200 Conservative MPs voting for confidence and 117 voting for no confidence.[10] The leader of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn, called a vote of no confidence against May in the House of Commons, which she survived by 325 votes to 306. May was unable to pass her Brexit withdrawal agreement through several Parliamentary votes, and announced her resignation in May 2019.[11]
Ten Conservative MPs were nominated in the 2019 leadership election and they were: former
2019 general election
As prime minister, Johnson initially had a majority of a single vote. He lost this when the Conservative MP
Johnson sought an early general election, but was initially unsuccessful as a majority of MPs wanted to remove the possibility of the UK leaving the EU without a deal.[17] After Benn's bill became law despite Johnson's opposition, he agreed an extension to the UK's withdrawal date and negotiated revisions to the withdrawal agreement. He went on to put forward the Early Parliamentary General Election Act 2019, which passed and resulted in the 2019 general election.[18] The Conservative Party won a majority of eighty, with 365 seats. This was its largest majority since that of Margaret Thatcher in 1987, and the largest share of the vote since Thatcher's 1979 victory.[19][20] They gained seats in the north of England that had been held by the Labour Party for decades.[21]
COVID-19 pandemic and Partygate
Less than two months after the 2019 election, cases of
Beginning in December 2021, the media reported that there had been
Conservative Party rules mean that a confidence vote is triggered by 15% of MPs sending letters to Graham Brady, who chairs the 1922 Committee. There were reports that the threshold would be reached imminently in January 2022.[39] The Guardian reported that several Conservative MPs were waiting until Gray's report into the alleged parties before deciding whether to send letters to Brady.[40] The Conservative MP Christian Wakeford defected to the Labour Party on 19 January 2022, saying that Johnson and the Conservative Party were "incapable of offering the leadership and government this country deserves".[41] The New Statesman reported that some Conservative MPs were delaying sending letters to Brady after Wakeford's defection demonstrated that division in the Conservative Party benefitted Labour.[42] Around the same time, the Conservative MP William Wragg said that his party's whips were using blackmail and threats of withdrawing funding in MPs' constituencies to secure their votes.[40] Another Conservative MP, Nus Ghani, said that a whip had told her that her practice of Islam was discussed when deciding to fire her from her ministerial role in 2020.[43] Wragg and Ghani were vice-chairs of the 1922 Committee, which was said to be considering reducing the period after an unsuccessful vote of no confidence before which a new vote could be triggered from twelve months to six months. The Times reported these as all being serious threats to Johnson being able to remain in his position.[44]
Sunak was thought by some cabinet ministers to be "plotting against" Johnson.
June 2022 confidence vote
On 6 June 2022, following the Platinum Jubilee of Elizabeth II, Graham Brady announced that the threshold of 54 letters of no confidence had been met and that a vote of confidence in Johnson would be held in the evening of the same day.[50] A majority of Conservative MPs voted confidence in Johnson to continue as party leader. More than 40% of Conservative MPs voted no confidence, which The Guardian described as "a larger than expected rebellion".[51]
Confidence vote of Boris Johnson | ||
Ballot → | 6 June 2022 | |
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Confidence | 211 / 359 (59%)
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No confidence | 148 / 359 (41%)
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Government crisis
In late June 2022, the Conservative MP Chris Pincher resigned as deputy chief government whip after allegations were made that he had groped two men.[52] Johnson initially refused to suspend the whip from him, and his spokesperson defended his initial appointment, saying Johnson had not been aware of allegations against him.[53] More allegations of groping were made against Pincher. The former permanent secretary to the foreign office Simon McDonald wrote that Johnson had been personally briefed on previous allegations against Pincher in 2019.[54] On 4 July, Johnson admitted that he had known about allegations at the time he appointed him.[55] Several ministers resigned on 5 July, including the chancellor of the Exchequer Sunak and the health secretary Javid.[56] Several politicians who had been discussed as potential leadership candidates, including Truss, expressed their continuing support for Johnson.[57] The journalist Tim Shipman wrote in The Times that the transport secretary Grant Shapps, who had kept records of supporters in the earlier confidence vote, told Johnson that he could only guarantee 28 votes of confidence if a new vote were called.[54]
Johnson appointed the prospective leadership candidate Nadhim Zahawi as chancellor, with reports that Zahawi had threatened to resign unless he were given the role.[58] He appointed Michelle Donelan as education secretary, Zahawi's previous role.[59] Many more ministers resigned on 6 July.[60] Several Conservative MPs, including the levelling-up secretary Gove, told Johnson he should resign.[61] Johnson fired Gove the same day, citing disloyalty.[62] The next day, Zahawi and Donelan called for Johnson to resign, with Donelan herself resigning from the cabinet.[63] A poll by YouGov showed that 59% of Conservative Party members wanted Johnson to resign.[64] Johnson announced his pending resignation on the same day, 7 July, saying a new leader would take office before October 2022.[65][66] He would stay on as prime minister until his successor's election. Several Conservative MPs said he should step down as prime minister, and Keir Starmer, the leader of the Labour Party, said he would call a parliamentary vote of no-confidence in the government if Johnson did not quickly resign as prime minister.[67]
Election details
The process for the 2022 leadership election was approved by the 1922 Committee on 11 July.[68] Nominations opened and closed on 12 July, with each candidate needing to have nominations from at least 20 Conservative MPs to reach the first ballot.[68] Johnson, as the departing leader, was not eligible to run in the ensuing contest.[69]
The first MP ballot was held on 13 July. Under the new rules enacted for the election, candidates would need to have at least 30 votes from MPs to avoid dropping out, eliminating Health and Social Care Select Committee chair Jeremy Hunt and Chancellor of the Exchequer Nadhim Zahawi, who accrued 18 and 25 MP votes respectively.[68] In each subsequent round, beginning with the second on 14 July, the candidate with the fewest votes were to be eliminated.[68] The third ballot took place on Monday 18 July, to eliminate one more candidate, and results were announced at 8 pm. The fourth ballot, reducing the field to three, was held on 19 July, with results presented at 3 pm, and the fifth on 20 July, with the final two names known at 4 pm.[70] Finally, with only two candidates remaining, Conservative Party members were to vote to choose the next party leader on a one-member-one-vote basis, with the candidate receiving the majority of the votes winning.[71][69]
A series of 12 public hustings were held for a 7-week period between July and August.[72][73][74] Voting among Conservative Party members officially closed on 2 September.[75]
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Foreign Secretary
Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
Ministry and term
Bibliography
Post-premiership
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On 5 September, it was announced that Liz Truss would become the Conservative leader and thus prime minister the next day.[76] On 13 July, Johnson stated he plans to visit Queen Elizabeth II and resign on Tuesday 6 September, with the new prime minister likely to be appointed by the Queen later the same day.[77] On 31 August, Buckingham Palace announced that the audiences to accept Johnson's resignation and appoint the new prime minister would take place at Balmoral Castle in Aberdeenshire, rather than Buckingham Palace as in the past.[78]
Campaign
On 6 July 2022, more ministers resigned than in any single day in modern history following criticism of the prime minister Boris Johnson's handling of the Chris Pincher scandal.[79] This resulted in Boris Johnson's resignation statement on 7 July 2022 outside 10 Downing Street. Johnson appointed ministers to replace those who had resigned, some of whom were accused of being unsuitable and designed to "sabotage his successor's first weeks in office".[80] A poll of Conservative members by YouGov showed that the defence secretary Ben Wallace was the favourite to win.[81] However, on 9 July, he announced that he would not be running.[82] Wallace had been endorsed by the Conservative MPs Graham Stuart and David Mundell.[83]
Rehman Chishti, the MP for Gillingham and Rainham, announced he was running on 10 July, saying he offered a "fresh start" and advocating "aspirational conservatism".[95] He said lower taxes were important.[96] He ended his campaign on 12 July, endorsing Tom Tugendhat, and then Rishi Sunak.[97][98][99]
Jeremy Hunt announced his candidacy in The Sunday Telegraph on 10 July. Before he entered politics, he taught English in Japan, worked in public relations and founded a publishing business.[100] He became the MP for South West Surrey in 2005 and supported the UK remaining in the EU during the 2016 membership referendum.[100] Hunt had not served as a minister in Johnson's government, but had previously served as Foreign Secretary under May and as health secretary for several years under David Cameron and May. He criticised Johnson for investing in infrastructure instead of "wealth creation", and proposed policies including a moratorium on business rates in deprived areas and a cut to corporation tax to 15% instead of a proposed rise to 25%.[101] He said he would maintain the rise in National Insurance rates and would not cut personal taxation until he "[got] the economy growing".[100] He pledged to legalise fox hunting and to maintain the government policy of sending refugees to Rwanda, saying he hoped to expand the programme to other countries.[102][103] Hunt said he would appoint the MP Esther McVey as his deputy prime minister for "broad appeal".[104] He was eliminated in the first round of voting and endorsed Rishi Sunak.[105][106]
Penny Mordaunt, the international trade minister, announced she was running on 10 July on social media.[114] The video included footage of Oscar Pistorius, an athlete who was convicted of murder, and the British Paralympian Jonnie Peacock, who requested to be removed.[115] A new version of the video was published with clips of Pistorius and Peacock removed.[116] She worked in public relations before becoming the MP for Portsmouth North in 2010.[117] The Telegraph described her as a "socially liberal Brexiteer".[118] Several Conservative activists criticised her pro-transgender stance, including saying that trans women are women and that trans men are men.[119] Along with Tugendhat, Mordaunt was seen as a candidate who could appeal to Scottish Conservative MPs.[118] She was eliminated in the fifth round of voting and endorsed Liz Truss.[120][121]
Liz Truss, the foreign secretary, announced her candidacy in The Daily Telegraph on 10 July.[135] Before becoming an MP, she worked as an accountant. She was elected as the MP for South West Norfolk in 2010 and supported the UK remaining in the EU during the 2016 membership referendum.[136] She said she would cancel a planned rise in corporation tax and reverse the recent increase in National Insurance rates, funded by delaying the date by which the national debt is planned to fall, as part of a "long-term plan to bring down the size of the state and the tax burden".[136] Her team said she was influenced by the former president of the United States Ronald Reagan and the former chancellor of the Exchequer Nigel Lawson.[137]
Nadhim Zahawi, whom Johnson had appointed as chancellor of the Exchequer after Sunak resigned on 5 July, was reported to have been working on a leadership campaign with the support of the political strategist Lynton Crosby and his allies, and to have accepted the role of chancellor instead of resigning to "as a way to get his message across" on cutting taxes.[146] He announced his candidacy on 9 July.[147] Before entering politics, he co-founded the polling firm YouGov and worked in the oil industry. He became the MP for Stratford-on-Avon in 2010 and supported the UK leaving the EU in the 2016 membership referendum.[148][149] He said he would increase defence spending, as well as "protecting [children] from damaging and inappropriate nonsense being forced on them by radical activists".[150] He announced he was considering cutting corporation tax, income tax and National Insurance, funded by 20% cuts to every government department.[151] On 9 July, The Independent reported that HM Revenue and Customs were investigating his tax affairs, after the case had been transferred to them from the National Crime Agency's International Corruption Unit. Zahawi's spokesperson denied any wrongdoing and said he was "not aware of any formal investigation".[148] Zahawi said he was "being smeared" and promised to publish his accounts annually if he became prime minister, but said releasing his previous accounts would not be "right".[151] He was eliminated in the first round of voting and endorsed Liz Truss.[105][152]
Stephen Bush, writing in the Financial Times on 11 July, described two lanes in the leadership context. There is an establishment lane, where Sunak has led ahead of candidates including Hunt, Javid, Shapps or Tugendhat. There is then a right-wing lane, where Truss has led ahead of candidates including Badenoch, Braverman, Zahawi or Patel. He characterised Mordaunt as between the two sides.[153] Tara John of CNN noted several candidates going to lengths to display their anti-transgender positions, despite polling indicating that it is not a particularly important issue to the British public. Stonewall CEO Nancy Kelley called this "disproportionate and scary".[154]
Candidates
Nominated
Eight candidates were confirmed on 12 July, having gained the support of at least 20 other Conservative MPs:
Candidate | Political office and constituency | Campaign | Date declared | Campaign progression |
Proposer/ seconder |
Ref. |
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Kemi Badenoch |
(2017–present) | Website |
8 July 2022 | Eliminated after fourth ballot | Lee Rowley Julia Lopez |
[155][87][88] |
Suella Braverman |
Attorney General for England and Wales (2020–2022) MP for Fareham (2015–present) |
Website |
6 July 2022 | Eliminated after second ballot; endorsed Liz Truss | David Jones Miriam Cates |
[156][93][94] |
Jeremy Hunt |
Chair of the Health and Social Care Select Committee (2020–2022) MP for South West Surrey (2005–present) |
Website |
9 July 2022 | Eliminated after first ballot; endorsed Rishi Sunak | Esther McVey Anthony Mangnall |
[157][105][106] |
Penny Mordaunt |
Minister of State for Trade Policy (2021–2022) MP for Portsmouth North (2010–present) |
Website |
10 July 2022 | Eliminated after fifth ballot; endorsed Liz Truss | Andrea Leadsom Craig Tracey |
[158][120][121] |
Rishi Sunak |
Richmond (Yorks) (2015–present)
|
Website |
8 July 2022 | Defeated at the Members' vote | Dominic Raab Mel Stride |
[159][3] |
Liz Truss |
South West Norfolk (2010–present) |
Website |
10 July 2022 | Won at the Members' vote, becoming party leader and thus Prime Minister | Simon Clarke Thérèse Coffey |
[160][3] |
Tom Tugendhat |
Chair of the Foreign Affairs Select Committee (2017–2022) MP for Tonbridge and Malling (2015–present) |
Website |
7 July 2022 | Eliminated after third ballot; endorsed Liz Truss | Anne-Marie Trevelyan James Daly |
[161][144][145] |
Nadhim Zahawi |
Chancellor of the Exchequer (2022) MP for Stratford-on-Avon (2010–present) |
9 July 2022 | Eliminated after first ballot; endorsed Liz Truss | Brandon Lewis Amanda Milling |
[150][105][152] |
Withdrew
The following MPs announced that they would seek the leadership of the Conservative Party but subsequently withdrew from the race before they could be nominated:
Candidate | Political office and constituency | Campaign | Declared | Withdrew | Endorsed | Ref. |
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Rehman Chishti |
Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for North America, Sanctions and Consular Policy (2010–present)
(2022) MP for Gillingham and Rainham |
10 July 2022 | 12 July 2022 | Tom Tugendhat, then Rishi Sunak | [162][97][98][99] | |
Sajid Javid |
Secretary of State for Health and Social Care (2021–2022) MP for Bromsgrove (2010–present) |
Website |
9 July 2022 | 12 July 2022 | Liz Truss | [157][112][113] |
Grant Shapps |
Secretary of State for Transport (2019–2022) MP for Welwyn Hatfield (2005–present) |
9 July 2022 | 12 July 2022 | Rishi Sunak | [125][127] |
Publicly expressed interest
The following Conservative Party politicians publicly expressed interest in running for the leadership but did not stand:
- Steve Baker, MP for Wycombe[163] (endorsed Braverman then Truss)
- Basildon and Billericay (endorsed Mordaunt then Sunak)[164]
- Jake Berry, MP for Rossendale and Darwen[165][failed verification] (endorsed Tugendhat then Truss)[166]
- South Swindon and Secretary of State for Wales (endorsed Sunak then Truss)[167]
- Secretary of State for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport[168](endorsed Truss)
- Priti Patel, MP for Witham and Home Secretary[169][failed verification]
- better source needed] (endorsed Truss)
- Ben Wallace, MP for Wyre and Preston North and Secretary of State for Defence[82] (endorsed Truss)
- North Herefordshire[171](endorsed Badenoch)
Declined
The following Conservative Party politicians have been speculated as potential candidates for the leadership but declined to stand:[citation needed]
- David Davis, MP for Haltemprice and Howden (endorsed Mordaunt then Sunak)
- Simon Clarke, MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland and Chief Secretary to the Treasury (endorsed Truss)
- James Cleverly, MP for Braintree and Secretary of State for Education (endorsed Truss)
- Tobias Ellwood, MP for Bournemouth East[172] (endorsed Zahawi then Mordaunt)
- Michael Gove, MP for Surrey Heath[173] (endorsed Badenoch then Sunak)
- Matt Hancock, MP for West Suffolk[174] (endorsed Sunak)
- Mark Harper, MP for Forest of Dean[175] (endorsed Sunak)
- Gillian Keegan, MP for Chichester and Minister of State for Care and Mental Health[176] (endorsed Sunak)
- (endorsed Truss)
- Esther McVey, MP for Tatton[104] (endorsed Hunt, running mate)
- Dominic Raab, MP for Esher and Walton, Secretary of State for Justice, Lord Chancellor, and Deputy Prime Minister[180][181][182] (endorsed Sunak)
- Alexander Stafford, MP for Rother Valley (endorsed Truss)
Endorsements
Timeline
Candidate status | |
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Candidate on membership ballot | |
Candidate eliminated during MP ballots | |
Candidate withdrew | |
Events | |
Boris Johnson announces resignation | |
Nominations close | |
MP ballots | |
First televised head-to-head debate | |
Postal ballots distributed to party members | |
Final leadership hustings | |
Results announced |
Debates
No. | Date and time | Location | Programme | Broadcaster | Presenter(s) | Viewers (millions) |
Candidates | Ref. | ||||
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P Participant O Out of race (eliminated or withdrawn) H Debate halted N No debate | Badenoch | Mordaunt | Sunak | Truss | Tugendhat | |||||||
Prior to the final ballot of Conservative MPs | ||||||||||||
1 | 15 July 2022, 7:30 pm |
Here East, Stratford, London |
Britain's Next PM: The Conservative Debate |
Channel 4 | Krishnan Guru-Murthy | 1.85 | P | P | P | P | P | [183][184] |
2 | 17 July 2022, 7pm |
Riverside Studios, Hammersmith, London |
Britain's Next Prime Minister: The ITV Debate |
ITV | Julie Etchingham | 3.06 | P | P | P | P | P | [185][186] |
3 | 19 July 2022, 8pm (cancelled) |
London |
N/A | O | N | N | N | O | [187][188] | |||
Following the final ballot of Conservative MPs | ||||||||||||
4 | 25 July 2022, 9pm |
Victoria Hall, Stoke-on-Trent | Our Next Prime Minister | BBC One | Sophie Raworth | 3.70 | O | O | P | P | O | [189][190] |
5 | 26 July 2022, 6pm[a] |
Ealing Broadcast Centre, Ealing, London |
The Sun's Showdown: The Fight for No.10 |
The Sun and TalkTV |
Kate McCann
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0.14 | O | O | H | H | O | [191][192][193] |
- ^ After the host Kate McCann fell ill, the debate was halted approximately halfway through the planned one-hour runtime and was not resumed.
Public reaction
Date(s) administered |
Poll source |
Sample size |
Badenoch | Mordaunt | Sunak | Truss | Tugendhat | Don't Know | |
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Britain's Next PM: The Conservative Debate | |||||||||
15 July 2022 | Opinium[194] | 1,159 | 12% | 12% | 25% | 6% | 36% | 9% | |
Britain's Next Prime Minister: The ITV Debate | |||||||||
17 July 2022 | Opinium[195] | 1,001 | 12% | 17% | 24% | 15% | 19% | 13% | |
Our Next Prime Minister | |||||||||
25 July 2022 | Opinium[196] | 1,032 | – | – | 39% | 38% | – | 23% |
Public hustings
Following the fifth ballot of Conservative MPs on 20 July, the final two candidates, Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss, were invited to take place in a series of hustings organised by the party. Each of the twelve events were held in a different nation or region of the UK, except for one extra in South West England and none in the East Midlands.[197]
Opinion polling
Sunak vs. Truss
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Rishi Sunak |
Liz Truss |
Will not vote |
Don't know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–25 Aug | techneUK | 801 Conservative Party members | 33% | 59% | 8% | |
36% | 64% | N/A | ||||
12–17 Aug | YouGov | 950 Conservative Party members | 34% | 66% | N/A | |
16–17 Aug | Conservative Home[a] | 961 Conservative Party members | 28% | 60% | 3% | 9% |
8–13 Aug | Opinium | 570 Conservative Party members | 39% | 61% | N/A | |
12 Aug | techneUK Archived 12 August 2022 at the Wayback Machine | 272 Conservative Party members | 33% | 60% | N/A | 7% |
5 Aug | techneUK Archived 12 August 2022 at the Wayback Machine | 261 Conservative Party members | 36% | 56% | N/A | 8% |
3–4 Aug | Conservative Home[a] | 1,003 Conservative Party members | 26% | 58% | 1% | 12% |
29 Jul – 2 Aug | YouGov | 1,043 Conservative Party members | 31% | 69% | N/A | |
26% | 60% | 2% | 11% | |||
27–29 Jul | techneUK Archived 12 August 2022 at the Wayback Machine | 807 Conservative Party members | 43% | 48% | 9% | |
20–21 Jul | YouGov | 730 Conservative Party members | 38% | 62% | N/A | |
31% | 49% | 6% | 15% | |||
18–19 Jul | Conservative Home[a] | 845 Conservative Party members | 42% | 49% | N/A | 9% |
18–19 Jul | YouGov | 725 Conservative Party members | 35% | 54% | N/A | 10% |
12–13 Jul | YouGov | 879 Conservative Party members | 35% | 59% | N/A | 6% |
11–12 Jul | Conservative Home[a] | 929 Conservative Party members | 34% | 51% | N/A | 14% |
6–8 Jul | Opinium | 493 Conservative Party members | 37% | 33% | 8% | 22% |
6–7 Jul | YouGov | 716 Conservative Party members | 38% | 43% | N/A | 19% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Sunak vs. Truss vs. Johnson
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Boris Johnson |
Rishi Sunak |
Liz Truss |
Don't know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12–17 Aug | YouGov | 950 Conservative Party members | 46% | 23% | 24% | 7% |
29 Jul–2 Aug | YouGov | 1,043 Conservative Party members | 40% | 23% | 28% | 9% |
25 Jul | Deltapoll | 1,588 Conservative Party voters | 40% | 29% | 24% | 7% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Party members
- Preferred leader
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Kemi Badenoch |
Suella Braverman |
Jeremy Hunt |
Sajid Javid |
Penny Mordaunt |
Rishi Sunak |
Liz Truss |
Tom Tugendhat |
Ben Wallace |
Nadhim Zahawi |
Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20–21 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 730 | 24% | 3% | 4% | – | 20% | 11% | 13% | 9% | – | 2% | 13% |
16 July 2022 | ConservativeHome | N/A | 851 | 31% | – | – | – | 18% | 17% | 20% | 10% | – | – | 3% |
13–14 Jul 2022 | techneUK | N/A | 238 | 9% | – | – | – | 23% | 34% | 21% | 5% | – | – | 8% |
12–13 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 879 | 15% | 5% | 4% | – | 27% | 13% | 13% | 8% | – | 1% | 14%
Don't know on 8% None of the above on 6% |
12 July 2022 | techneUK | N/A | 248 | 4% | 2% | 15% | – | 15% | 29% | 19% | 4% | – | 4% | 10% |
12 July 2022 | ConservativeHome | N/A | 842 | 19% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | – | 4% | 10%
Other on 6% Grant Shapps on 2% Priti Patel on 2% |
6–9 Jul 2022 | Opinium | N/A | 493 | – | – | 9% | 10% | 10% | 25% | 21% | – | 12% | 6% | 59%
Dominic Raab on 12% Michael Gove on 8% Priti Patel on 8% Someone else on 9% Don't know on 24% None of the above on 0% |
6–7 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 716 | – | – | 5% | 4% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 39%
Don't know on 12% None of the above on 9% Steven Barclay on 1% |
3 July 2022 | ConservativeHome | N/A | 755 | 6% | – | 6% | 3% | 16% | 5% | 14% | 7% | 16% | 7% | 21%
Steve Baker on 6% Dominic Raab on 5% Michael Gove on 4% Priti Patel on 2% Sir Graham Brady on 2% Mark Harper on 1% |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
- Head-to-head
YouGov have asked Conservative Party members which candidate they would vote for under various head-to-head scenarios.
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Kemi Badenoch |
Suella Braverman |
Jeremy Hunt |
Penny Mordaunt |
Rishi Sunak |
Liz Truss |
Tom Tugendhat |
Ben Wallace |
Nadhim Zahawi |
Would not vote |
Don't know |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
18–19 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 725 | 48% | – | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
56% | – | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | ||||
46% | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||
– | – | – | 51% | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | ||||
– | – | – | 42% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | 10% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 35% | 54% | – | – | – | – | 10% | ||||
12–13 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 879[a] | 30% | – | – | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 10% |
49% | – | – | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 11% | ||||
37% | – | – | – | – | 54% | – | – | – | – | 10% | ||||
44% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | – | – | – | 14% | ||||
– | 25% | – | 63% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | ||||
– | 42% | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | ||||
– | – | 16% | 77% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13% | ||||
– | – | 25% | – | 57% | – | – | – | – | – | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | 67% | 28% | – | – | – | – | – | 6% | ||||
– | – | – | 55% | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | 9% | ||||
– | – | – | 64% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 10% | ||||
– | – | – | 70% | – | – | – | – | 18% | – | 12% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 35% | 59% | – | – | – | – | 6% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 39% | – | 48% | – | – | – | 12% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | – | 41% | – | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 57% | 36% | – | – | – | 7% | ||||
6–7 Jul 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 716 | – | – | 23% | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% |
– | – | 18% | – | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | ||||
– | – | 25% | – | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | 20% | ||||
– | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | 58% | – | – | 20% | ||||
– | – | – | 40% | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | ||||
– | – | – | 34% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 26% | ||||
– | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 48% | – | – | 26% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 38% | 43% | – | – | – | – | 19% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | 51% | – | – | 19% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 48% | – | – | 26% |
- ^ The head-to-heads which included Zahawi, Braverman or Hunt were shown to a random half of the sample.
Public
- Preferred leader
Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Rishi Sunak |
Liz Truss |
Tom Tugendhat |
Jeremy Hunt |
Sajid Javid |
Penny Mordaunt |
Suella Braverman |
Nadhim Zahawi |
Kemi Badenoch |
Grant Shapps |
Michael Gove |
Ben Wallace |
Dominic Raab |
Don't Know |
Other |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 August 2022 | Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now | NA | 2,263 | 27% | 16% | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | 57% | NA |
11 July 2022 | Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now | NA | 2,019 | 11% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | NA | NA | NA | 52% | 13% |
6–7 Jul 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,687 | 13% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | NA | 2% | NA | NA | 3% | 3% | 4% | 28% | 32% |
Results
Candidate | MPs' 1st ballot: 13 July 2022[213][214] |
MPs' 2nd ballot: 14 July 2022[215][214] |
MPs' 3rd ballot: 18 July 2022[216][214] |
MPs' 4th ballot: 19 July 2022[217][214] |
MPs' 5th ballot: 20 July 2022[218][214] |
Members' vote 22 July to 2 September 2022[2][3][219] | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | ± | % | Votes | ± | % | Votes | ± | % | Votes | ± | % | Votes | % | % Votes cast | |
Liz Truss | 50 | 14.0 | 64 | +14 | 17.9 | 71 | +7 | 19.8 | 86 | +15 | 24.1 | 113 | +27 | 31.6 | 81,326 | 47.2 | 57.4 |
Rishi Sunak | 88 | 24.6 | 101 | +13 | 28.2 | 115 | +14 | 32.1 | 118 | +3 | 33.1 | 137 | +19 | 38.3 | 60,399 | 35.0 | 42.6 |
Penny Mordaunt | 67 | 18.7 | 83 | +16 | 23.2 | 82 | −1 | 22.9 | 92 | +10 | 25.8 | 105 | +13 | 29.3 | Eliminated | ||
Kemi Badenoch | 40 | 11.2 | 49 | +9 | 13.7 | 58 | +9 | 16.2 | 59 | +1 | 16.5 | Eliminated | |||||
Tom Tugendhat | 37 | 10.3 | 32 | −5 | 8.9 | 31 | −1 | 8.7 | Eliminated | ||||||||
Suella Braverman | 32 | 8.9 | 27 | −5 | 7.5 | Eliminated | |||||||||||
Nadhim Zahawi | 25 | 7.0 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||
Jeremy Hunt | 18 | 5.0 | Eliminated | ||||||||||||||
Votes cast[rounding 1] | 357 | 99.7 | 356 | −1 | 99.4 | 357 | +1 | 99.7 | 355 | −2 | 99.4 | 355 | 0 | 99.2 | 141,725 | 82.2 | 100 |
Spoilt ballots | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | +1 | 0.3 | 2 | +1 | 0.6 | 654 | 0.4 | |
Abstentions
|
1 | 0.3 | 2 | +1 | 0.6 | 1 | −1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 30,058 | 17.4 | |
Registered voters | 358 | 100.0 | 358 | 0 | 100.0 | 358 | 0 | 100.0 | 357 | −1 | 100.0 | 358 | +1 | 100.0 | 172,437 | 100.0 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
- Qualification
- Rehman Chishti, Sajid Javid and Grant Shapps failed to secure the backing of at least 20 Conservative Party MPs to qualify for the first ballot.[97][112][127] Eight candidates qualified for the first ballot.[220]
- First ballot
- The MPs' first ballot was held on 13 July 2022. Nadhim Zahawi and Jeremy Hunt failed to reach the required support of 30 MPs.[221][105] There was one abstention, namely Gavin Williamson, who arrived too late to vote.[222]
- Second ballot
- The MPs' second ballot was held on 14 July 2022.[223] Suella Braverman, with 27 votes, had the fewest votes and was eliminated from the leadership race.[93]
- Third ballot
- The MPs' third ballot was held on 18 July 2022.[224] Tom Tugendhat, with 31 votes, had the fewest votes and was eliminated from the leadership race.[144]
- Fourth ballot
- The MPs' fourth ballot was held on 19 July 2022.[225] Tobias Ellwood had lost the Conservative Party whip, making him ineligible to vote.[226] Kemi Badenoch, with 59 votes, had the fewest votes and was eliminated from the leadership race.[87]
- Fifth ballot
- The MPs' fifth ballot was held on 20 July 2022. The Conservative Party whip was temporarily restored to Tobias Ellwood, allowing him to vote.[227] Penny Mordaunt, with 105 votes, had the fewest votes and was eliminated from the leadership race.[120]
- Members' vote
- The final ballot, in which all Conservative Party members were eligible to vote, took place from 22 July to 2 September, with the results announced on 5 September.[228][229] Liz Truss was declared winner, with 81,326 votes to Rishi Sunak's 60,399.[230][231] In her victory speech, Truss thanked Johnson and stated that she would cut taxes.[232] Truss was congratulated by world leaders including German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, president of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.[233]
See also
Notes
- ^ Due to rounding errors the sum of percentages may deviate.
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