2020 United States presidential election: Difference between revisions

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<!--Please only include people who have at least one source that speculates primarily on the candidate, and one additional source where the candidate states he/she is not running-->
<!--Please only include people who have at least one source that speculates primarily on the candidate, and one additional source where the candidate states he/she is not running-->
* [[Gary Johnson]], [[List of Governors of New Mexico|Governor]] of [[New Mexico]] 1995–2003; Libertarian [[Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016|nominee]] for President [[Gary Johnson presidential campaign, 2012|in]] [[United States presidential election, 2012|2012]] and [[Gary Johnson presidential campaign, 2016|in]] [[United States presidential election, 2016|2016]]<ref>{{citeweb|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/962251/catching-up-with-a-beast-of-a-skier.html|title=Journal Washington correspondent catches up with ‘a beast of a skier’|date=March 5, 2017|first=Michael|last=Coleman|work=[[Albuquerque Journal]]|accessdate=March 13, 2017}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/357168-gary-johnson-ruling-out-2020-bid-it-does-boil-down-to-two-political-parties|title=Gary Johnson ruling out 2020 bid: 'It does boil down to two political parties'|date=October 25, 2017|first=Olivia|last=Beavers|work=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]]|accessdate=October 29, 2017}}</ref>
* [[Gary Johnson]], [[List of Governors of New Mexico|Governor]] of [[New Mexico]] 1995–2003; Libertarian [[Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016|nominee]] for President [[Gary Johnson presidential campaign, 2012|in]] [[United States presidential election, 2012|2012]] and [[Gary Johnson presidential campaign, 2016|in]] [[United States presidential election, 2016|2016]]<ref>{{citeweb|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/962251/catching-up-with-a-beast-of-a-skier.html|title=Journal Washington correspondent catches up with ‘a beast of a skier’|date=March 5, 2017|first=Michael|last=Coleman|work=[[Albuquerque Journal]]|accessdate=March 13, 2017}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/357168-gary-johnson-ruling-out-2020-bid-it-does-boil-down-to-two-political-parties|title=Gary Johnson ruling out 2020 bid: 'It does boil down to two political parties'|date=October 25, 2017|first=Olivia|last=Beavers|work=[[The Hill (newspaper)|The Hill]]|accessdate=October 29, 2017}}</ref>
* [[Austin Petersen]]{{efn|group=note|name=a|This individual is not registered to the political party of this section, but has been the subject of speculation or expressed interest in running under this party.}}, candidate for [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]] from [[Missouri]] in [[United States Senate election in Missouri, 2018|2018]]; candidate for President in [[Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016|2016]]<ref name=Petersen1/><ref name=PetersenDecline/>
* [[Austin Petersen]]{{efn|group=note|name=a|This individual is not registered to the political party of this section, but has been the subject of speculation or expressed interest in running under this party.}}, candidate for [[United States Senate|U.S. Senate]] from [[Missouri]] in [[United States Senate election in Missouri, 2018|2018]]; candidate for President in [[Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2016|2016]]


=====Convention Site=====
=====Convention Site=====
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*** Candidates in this section should not have expressed interest via social media
*** Candidates in this section should not have expressed interest via social media
-->
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* [[Dwayne Johnson]], actor, producer, and semi-retired professional wrestler from [[Florida]]<ref name=DJohnson1/><ref name=DJohnson2/><ref name=DJohnson3>{{cite web|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/entertainthis/2017/12/17/rock-president-dwayne-rock-johnson-explains-he-wants-serve-people/959725001/|title=The Rock explains why he wants to be president: 'To serve the people'|date=December 17, 2017|accessdate=January 17, 2018|first=Bryan|last=Alexander|work=[[USA Today]]}}</ref>
* [[Dwayne Johnson]], actor, producer, and semi-retired professional wrestler from [[Florida]]<ref name=DJohnson3>{{cite web|url=https://www.usatoday.com/story/life/entertainthis/2017/12/17/rock-president-dwayne-rock-johnson-explains-he-wants-serve-people/959725001/|title=The Rock explains why he wants to be president: 'To serve the people'|date=December 17, 2017|accessdate=January 17, 2018|first=Bryan|last=Alexander|work=[[USA Today]]}}</ref>
<gallery perrow="5" mode="packed" heights="175">
<gallery perrow="5" mode="packed" heights="175">
File:Dwayne Johnson 2, 2013.jpg|{{center|'''[[Dwayne Johnson]]'''<br>from [[Florida]]}}
File:Dwayne Johnson 2, 2013.jpg|{{center|'''[[Dwayne Johnson]]'''<br>from [[Florida]]}}
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=====Potential candidates=====
=====Potential candidates=====
* [[Bob Iger]], businessman from [[California]]<ref name=Iger1/><ref name=Iger2/><ref name=Iger3/>
* [[Bob Iger]], businessman from [[California]]
<gallery perrow="5" mode="packed" heights="175">
<gallery perrow="5" mode="packed" heights="175">
File:BobIgerHWOFJune2013.jpg|{{center|'''[[Bob Iger]]'''<br>from [[California]]}}
File:BobIgerHWOFJune2013.jpg|{{center|'''[[Bob Iger]]'''<br>from [[California]]}}

Revision as of 01:46, 7 March 2018

United States presidential election, 2020
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2016
 November 3, 2020
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538 members of the
Electoral College

270 electoral votes needed to win
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The electoral map for the 2020 election, based on populations from the
2020 United States Census
.
Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The United States presidential election of 2020, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2020, will be the 59th quadrennial U.S. presidential election. Voters will select presidential electors who in turn will either elect a new president and vice president through the electoral college or re-elect the incumbents. The series of presidential primary elections and caucuses are likely to be held during the first six months of 2020. This nominating process is also an indirect election, where voters cast ballots selecting a slate of delegates to a political party's nominating convention, who then in turn elect their party's presidential nominee.

President

2016
, is eligible to seek re-election. The winner of the 2020 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2021.

Background

Procedure

Further information: United States presidential election § Procedure

Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the President and Vice President.[1]

The

Constitution states that an individual can not be elected to the presidency more than twice. This prohibits former Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama from being elected president again. Former presidents Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush
, both having only served one term, are not constitutionally prohibited from being re-elected in the 2020 election.

Demographic trends

The age group of what will then be people in the 18 to 45-year-old bracket is expected to represent just under 40 percent of the United States' eligible voters in 2020. It is expected that more than 30 percent of eligible American voters will be nonwhite.[2]

Simultaneous elections

The presidential election will occur at the same time as elections to the

redistricting of Congressional and state legislative districts. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting (although some states have redistricting commissions), and often a party that wins a presidential election experiences a coattail effect that also helps other candidates of that party win election.[3] Therefore, the party that wins the 2020 presidential election could also win a significant advantage in the drawing of new Congressional and state legislative districts that would stay in effect until the 2032 elections.[4]

Advantage of incumbency

An incumbent president seeking re-election usually faces no significant opposition during their respective party's primaries, especially if they are still popular. For Presidents

1992 Republican primaries
, but only received a handful of delegates; Bush too subsequently went on to lose in the general election to Clinton.

General election polling

National
Trump vs. Biden
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Joe Biden Others Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 42% 51% – 7%
CNN/SSRS[6] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 37% 59% 2% 1%
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 38% 53% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 54% – 6%
Politico/Morning Consult[9] 1,993 November 9–11, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 46% – 20%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 56% – 6%
Zogby Analytics[11] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 41% 50% – 9%
Emerson College[12] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 42% 51% – 7%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 53% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 51% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[15] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 54% – 7%
Public Policy Polling[16] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 54% – 5%
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 54% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[18] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 40% 54% – 6%
Public Policy Polling[19] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 40% 54% – 6%
Trump vs. Blumenthal
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Richard Blumenthal Undecided
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 19%
Trump vs. Booker
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Cory Booker Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 42% 46% 11%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 50% 10%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 49% 13%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 47% 13%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 19%
Public Policy Polling[15] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 45% 15%
Public Policy Polling[16] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 43% 17%
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 46% 15%
Public Policy Polling[18] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 42% 42% 17%
Public Policy Polling[19] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 42% 45% 13%
Trump vs. Clinton
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Undecided
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 42% 47% 11%
Trump vs. Cuban
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Mark Cuban Undecided
Emerson College[12] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 43% 36% 22%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 42% 20%
Public Policy Polling[20] 941 February 21–22, 2017 ± 3.2% 41% 40% 19%
Trump vs. Delaney
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump John Delaney Undecided
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 38% 24%
Trump vs. Franken
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Al Franken Undecided
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 38% 46% 16%
Public Policy Polling[18] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 43% 43% 14%
Public Policy Polling[19] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 41% 46% 13%
Trump vs. Gillibrand
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Kirsten Gillibrand Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 42% 15%
YouGov[21] 865 January 9, 2018 – 43% 41% 16%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 47% 14%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 48% 14%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 42% 18%
Trump vs. Harris
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Kamala Harris Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 43% 15%
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 41% 42% 16%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 39% 45% 16%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 41% 19%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 39% 39% 22%
Zogby Analytics[22] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 38% 41% 21%
Public Policy Polling[15] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 40% 41% 19%
Public Policy Polling[16] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 42% 18%
Trump vs. Johnson
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Dwayne Johnson Undecided
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 37% 42% 21%
Trump vs. Kennedy
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Joe Kennedy III Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 43% 46% 12%
Trump vs. Obama
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Michelle Obama Undecided
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 42% 49% 9%
Zogby Analytics[11] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 44% 47% 9%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 41% 51% 9%
Trump vs. Sanders
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Others Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 44% 48% – 8%
CNN/SSRS[6] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 39% 58% 3% 1%
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 52% – 10%
YouGov[21] 856 January 9, 2018 – 43% 48% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 53% – 6%
Politico/Morning Consult[23] 2,586 November 16–19, 2017 ± 2.0% 36% 42% – 22%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 38% 53% – 9%
Zogby Analytics[11] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 40% 51% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 51% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 38% 51% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[15] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 52% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[16] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 41% 51% – 8%
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 52% – 9%
Public Policy Polling[18] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 41% 50% – 8%
Public Policy Polling[19] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 41% 52% – 7%
Trump vs. Warren
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Public Policy Polling[5] 687 February 9–11, 2018 ± 3.7% 44% 44% 12%
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 50% 10%
Public Policy Polling[24]
(for a Warren-aligned PAC) 		620 January 9–10, 2018 ± 3.9% 43% 49% 8%
Public Policy Polling[8] 862 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% 42% 51% 7%
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 40% 50% 9%
Zogby Analytics[11] 1,514 October 19–25, 2017 ± 2.5% 43% 45% 13%
Emerson College[12] 820 October 12–14, 2017 ± 3.4% 44% 44% 12%
Democracy Corps/Greenberg Research[25] 1,000 September 30 – October 6, 2017 – 42% 54% 4%
Public Policy Polling[13] 865 September 22–25, 2017 ± 3.3% 41% 47% 12%
Public Policy Polling[14] 887 August 18–21, 2017 ± 3.3% 40% 45% 15%
Zogby Analytics[22] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 37% 46% 17%
Public Policy Polling[15] 692 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.7% 42% 49% 9%
Public Policy Polling[16] 692 June 9–11, 2017 ± 3.7% 43% 46% 11%
Public Policy Polling[17] 692 May 12–14, 2017 ± 3.7% 39% 49% 12%
Public Policy Polling[18] 648 April 17–18, 2017 ± 3.9% 42% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling[19] 677 March 27–28, 2017 ± 3.8% 43% 48% 9%
Politico/Morning Consult[26] 1,791 February 9–10, 2017 ± 2.0% 42% 36% 22%
Trump vs. Wilson
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Frederica Wilson Undecided
Public Policy Polling[10] 572 October 27–29, 2017 ± 4.1% 39% 42% 19%
Trump vs. Winfrey
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Oprah Winfrey Others Undecided
CNN/SSRS[6] 1,005 January 14–18, 2018 ± 3.7% 39% 54% 6% 2%
Quinnipiac University[27] 1,212 January 12–16, 2018 ± 3.4% 39% 52% – 9%
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 46% 54% – 0%
Public Policy Polling[24]
(for a Warren-aligned PAC) 		620 January 9–10, 2018 ± 3.9% 43% 44% – 13%
NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist[28] 1,092 January 8–10, 2018 ± 3.0% 39% 50% – 11%
YouGov[21] 856 January 9, 2018 – 43% 47% – 10%
Rasmussen Reports[29] 1,000 January 8–9, 2018 ± 3.0% 38% 48% – 14%
Zogby Analytics[30] 1,531 March 27–29, 2017 ±2.5% 36% 46% – 18%
Public Policy Polling[31] 808 March 10–12, 2017 ± 3.4% 40% 47% – 12%
Trump vs. Zuckerberg
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Mark Zuckerberg Undecided
Zogby Analytics[7] 847 January 12–15, 2018 ± 3.4% 40% 41% 19%
Zogby Analytics[22] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 40% 43% 16%
Public Policy Polling[15] 836 July 14–17, 2017 ± 3.4% 40% 40% 20%
Trump vs. Zuckerberg vs. Scarborough
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Mark Zuckerberg Joe Scarborough Undecided
Zogby Analytics[22] 1,300 August 4–7, 2017 – 36% 34% 18% 12%
Pence vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Mike Pence Democratic candidate Undecided
Opinion Savvy[32] 762 August 16–17, 2017 ± 3.5% 40% 52% 8%
Trump vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Democratic candidate Others Undecided
NBC News/Wall Street Journal[33] 900 December 13–15, 2017 ± 3.6% 36% 52% 3% 9%
Politico/Morning Consult[23] 2,586 November 16–19, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 44% – 21%
Politico/Morning Consult[9] 1,993 November 9–11, 2017 ± 2.0% 34% 48% – 18%
Politico/Morning Consult[34] 1,990 October 26–30, 2017 ± 2.0% 36% 46% – 18%
Opinion Savvy[32] 763 August 16–17, 2017 ± 3.5% 41% 52% – 8%
Gravis Marketing[35] 1,917 July 21–31, 2017 ± 2.2% 39% 48% – 13%
Politico/Morning Consult[26] 1,791 February 9–10, 2017 ± 2.0% 35% 43% – 23%
Statewide
California California

Trump vs. Gillibrand

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Kirsten Gillibrand Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 22%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 53% 14%

Trump vs. Harris

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Kamala Harris Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 33% 53% 13%

Trump vs. Garcetti

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Eric Garcetti Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 46% 21%

Trump vs. Hanks

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Tom Hanks Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 31% 56% 14%

Trump vs. Zuckerberg

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Mark Zuckerberg Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 31% 50% 19%

Trump vs. Winfrey

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Oprah Winfrey Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] 909 January 7–9, 2018 ± 3.3% 32% 56% 12%
Florida Florida

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 828 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.4% 39% 48% 14%
Indiana Indiana

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 603 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 45% 39% 17%
Kentucky Kentucky

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 402 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%
Michigan Michigan

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Joe Biden Undecided
Zogby Analytics[38] – September 2017 – 35% 52% 13%

Trump vs. Sanders

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Bernie Sanders Undecided
Zogby Analytics[38] – September 2017 – 36% 54% 10%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[38] – September 2017 – 37% 46% 17%
Zogby Analytics[37] 803 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.5% 35% 51% 14%
Missouri Missouri

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 604 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 40% 46% 14%
Montana Montana

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 403 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 45% 39% 17%
North Carolina North Carolina

Trump vs. Biden

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Joe Biden Others Undecided
Meredith College[39] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8% 1%

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Others Undecided
Meredith College[39] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 48% 40% 12% 1%

Trump vs. Gillibrand

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Kristen Gillibrand Others Undecided
Meredith College[39] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 46% 36% 18% 1%

Trump vs. Winfrey

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Oprah Winfrey Others Undecided
Meredith College[39] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 48% 38% 12% 2%

Trump vs. Cooper

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Roy Cooper Others Undecided
Meredith College[39] 618 January 21–25, 2018 ± 4.0% 45% 43% 11% 1%
North Dakota North Dakota

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 403 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 47% 36% 17%
Ohio Ohio

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 805 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.5% 40% 44% 16%
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 813 August 17–23, 2017 ± 3.4% 38% 46% 16%
Texas Texas

Trump vs. Cuban

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Mark Cuban Undecided
Public Policy Polling[40] – December 28, 2017 – 44% 47% 9%
West Virginia West Virginia

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 401 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.9% 43% 40% 17%
Wisconsin Wisconsin

Trump vs. Warren

Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Donald Trump Elizabeth Warren Undecided
Zogby Analytics[37] 603 August 17–23, 2017 ± 4.0% 37% 48% 15%

Nominations

Republican Party

Further information:
Republican Party presidential primaries, 2020

Donald Trump is eligible to run for re-election and intends to do so.

His reelection campaign has been ongoing since the beginning of his term, leading pundits to describe his tactic of holding rallies continuously throughout his presidency as a "never-ending campaign".[42] On January 20, 2017 at 5:11 PM, he submitted a letter as a substitute of FEC Form 2, for which he had reached the legal threshold for filing, in compliance with the Federal Election Campaign Act.[43]

Beginning in August 2017, reports arose that members of the Republican Party were preparing a "shadow campaign" against Trump, particularly from the moderate or establishment wings of the party.

2018 midterm elections may lead to an influx of ambitious politicians vying to reclaim the nomination from Trump, as Arizona Senator John McCain has said that "[Republicans] see weakness in this president." Maine Senator Susan Collins, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie have all expressed doubts that Trump will be the 2020 nominee, with Collins stating "it's too difficult to say."[45][46] Meanwhile, Senator Jeff Flake has claimed that Trump is "inviting" a primary challenger by the way he is governing.[47]

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Donald Trump 		June 14, 1946
(age 78)
New York City, New York
2000
New York 		August 19, 2016
Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing
 [48]

Other declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Jack Fellure 		October 3, 1931
(age 92)
Midkiff, West Virginia 		Retired engineer
2016
West Virginia 		November 9, 2016
FEC Filing 		[49]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Potential convention sites

Bids for the National Convention were solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced early the following spring. The winning bid will be revealed in the summer of 2018.

Endorsements

Donald Trump
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Governors
Statewide officials
Other government officials
Party officials
Individuals
Organizations

Primary election polling

National
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Tom Cotton Ted Cruz Jeff Flake Nikki Haley John Kasich Mike Pence Mitt Romney Marco Rubio Ben Sasse Donald Trump Others Undecided
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[121] 1,313 December 15, 2017 – January 15, 2018 ± 2.0% – – – – – – – – – 75% 25% –
Emerson College[122] 198 January 8–11, 2018 – – – – – – – – – – 68% 18% 14%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps[72] 370 January 8–11, 2018 – – 4% 1% 4% 3% 11% 5% 5% – 62% 0% 5%
Public Policy Polling[8] 284 December 11–12, 2017 ± 3.3% – – – – – – – – – 70% 24% 6%
– 21% – – – – – – – 64% – 15%
– – 16% – – – – – – 74% – 10%
– – – – – 22% – – – 62% – 15%
– – – – 19% – – – – 70% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[10] 183 October 27–29, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – 57% 36% 8%
– 27% – – – – – – – 57% – 16%
– – 14% – – – – – – 70% – 16%
– – – – – 28% – – – 53% – 19%
– – – – 24% – – – – 66% – 11%
Public Policy Polling[13] 268 September 22–25, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – 61% 27% 12%
– 15% – – – – – – – 68% – 17%
– – – – – 21% – – – 59% – 21%
– – – – 18% – – – – 68% – 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[123]
(Trump-aligned) 		1,500 August 2017 ± 2.5% 1% 14% – – 10% – – – 1% 50% – 24%
Public Policy Polling[14] 275 August 18–21, 2017 – – – – – – – – – – 57% 29% 13%
– 22% – – – – – – – 62% – 17%
– – – – – 24% – – – 52% – 23%
– – – – 21% – – – – 68% – 11%
Opinion Savvy[32] 221 August 16–17, 2017 ± 6.6% – 12% – – 15% 65% – – – – – 8%
220 – – 8% – 17% – – – – 68% – 7%
Marist Poll[124] 361 August 8–12, 2017 ± 5.2% – – – – 23% – – – – 64% 3% 10%
– – – – – 33% – – – 56% 3% 8%
Statewide
New Hampshire New Hampshire
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error John Kasich Mike Pence Donald Trump Others Undecided
University of New Hampshire[125] 157 January 28 – February 10, 2018 ± 7.8% – – 60% 18% 23%
University of New Hampshire[126] 191 October 3–15, 2017 ± 7.1% – – 47% 23% 30%
American Research Group[127] 600 August 4–6, 2017 ± 4.0% 52% – 40% – 8%
41% 27% – – 32%

Democratic Party

Further information:
Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2020

After

Deputy Chair in order to lessen the divide. Meanwhile there has been a general shift to the left in regards to college tuition, healthcare, and immigration[citation needed] among Democrats in the Senate, likely to build up credentials for the upcoming primary election.[130]

Perez has commented that the 2020 primary field will likely go into double-digits, rivaling the size of the

2016 GOP primary, which consisted of 17 major candidates.[131] Speculation also mounted that Democrats' best bet to defeat President Trump would be to nominate their own celebrity or businessperson with no government experience, most notably Oprah Winfrey after her memorable speech at the 75th Golden Globe Awards.[132]

The topic of age has been brought up among the most likely front-runners: former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren, and senator Sanders; who will be 77, 71, and 79 respectively on election day (Biden turning 78 before inauguration). Former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid described the trio as "an old folks home," expressing a need for fresh faces to step up and lead the party.[133]

Declared major candidates

The candidates in this section have held public office or been included in a minimum of five independent national polls.

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

John Delaney 		April 16, 1963
(age 61)
Wood-Ridge, New Jersey 		U.S. Representative from Maryland since 2013
Maryland 		July 28, 2017
Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing
 [134]

Other declared candidates

Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Jeff Boss 		May 20, 1963
(age 61) 		Conspiracy theorist
Candidate for
2014
New York 		August 5, 2017
(Website) 		[135]

Harry Braun 		November 6, 1948
(age 75)
Compton, California 		Renewable energy consultant and researcher
Democratic nominee for
2016
Georgia 		December 7, 2017
FEC Filing 		[136]

Rocky De La Fuente 		October 10, 1954
(age 69)
San Diego, California 		Businessman and political activist
2016
New York 		January 9, 2017 [137]

Geoffrey Fieger 		December 23, 1950
(age 73)
Detroit, Michigan 		Attorney
Democratic nominee for
1998
Michigan 		January 13, 2017 [138]

Robby Wells 		April 10, 1968
(age 56)
Bartow, Georgia 		Former college football coach
Candidate for President in
2016
North Carolina 		May 24, 2017
(Website) 		[139]
Andrew Yang
 January 13, 1975
(age 49)
Schenectady, New York 		Entrepreneur
New York 		November 6, 2017

(Website)
FEC Filing 		[140]

Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Potential candidates

Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Potential convention sites

Bids for the National Convention were solicited in the fall of 2017, with finalists being announced early the following spring. The winning bid will be revealed in the summer of 2018.

Endorsements

John Delaney
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Andrew Yang
Individuals

Primary election polling

National
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe Biden Cory Booker Sherrod Brown Julian Castro Hillary Clinton Andrew Cuomo Al Franken Kirsten Gillibrand Kamala Harris Jason Kander Joe Kennedy III Amy Klobuchar Terry McAuliffe Michelle Obama Tim Ryan Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Oprah Winfrey Mark Zuckerberg Others Undecided
Rasmussen Reports[308] 1,000 February 27–28, 2018 ± 3.0% 25% 4% – – 9% – – – 4% – – – 2% – – 12% 4% – – 25% 17%
Civis Analytics[309] – January 19, 2018 – 29% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 27% – 17% – 27% –
Harvard CAPS/Harris[310] 441 January 13–16, 2018 – 27% 4% – – 13% 2% – 1% 4% – – – – – – 16% 10% 13% – – 10%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times[121] 1,699 December 15, 2017 – January 15, 2018 ± 2.0% 28% 3% – – 19% – – 2% 5% – 4% 1% – – 1% 22% 11% – – 4% –
RABA Research[311] 345 January 10–11, 2018 ± 5.0% 26% – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 21% 18% 20% – – 15%
Emerson College[122] 216 January 8–11, 2018 – 27% 3% – – – – – 3% 2% 4% – 2% – – – 23% 9% – – 9% 19%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/Democracy Corps[72] 440 January 6–11, 2018 – 26% 6% – – – – – – – – – – – – – 29% 14% 8% – 12% 6%
Zogby Analytics[312] 682 October 30, 2017 – 19% – – – – 2% – 1% 3% – – 1% 2% 22% – 18% 8% – 4% – 20%
Zogby Analytics[313] 356 September 12, 2017 – 17% – – – – 3% – 3% 6% – – 1% 1% – – 28% 12% – 7% – 23%
Rasmussen Reports[314] 1,000 February 8–9, 2017 ± 3.0% 15% 8% – – 17% – 6% – – – – – – – – 20% 16% – – 20% –
Public Policy Polling[315] 400 December 6–7, 2016 ± 4.9% 31% 4% 2% 0% – 2% 3% 3% – – – – – – – 24% 16% – – – 14%
Statewide
Iowa Iowa
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Cory Booker Julian Castro Andrew Cuomo Kirsten Gillibrand Kamala Harris Amy Klobuchar Martin O'Malley Sheryl Sandberg Howard Schultz Undecided
Public Policy Polling[316]
(for an O'Malley-aligned PAC) 		1,062 March 3–6, 2017 – 17% 4% 8% 3% 3% 11% 18% 4% 1% 32%
New Hampshire New Hampshire
Poll source Sample size Date(s) Margin of error Joe Biden Cory Booker John Delaney Kirsten Gillibrand Kamala Harris John Hickenlooper Amy Klobuchar Martin O'Malley Tim Ryan Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Mark Zuckerberg Others Undecided
University of New Hampshire[125] 219 January 28 – February 10, 2018 ± 6.6% 35% 3% 0% 2% 1% – 0% 1% – 24% 15% – 4% 15%
University of New Hampshire[126] 212 October 3–15, 2017 ± 6.7% 24% 6% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 31% 13% 2% 5% 11%

Third-party, independent, and unaffiliated candidates

Libertarian Party

Further information:
Libertarian Party presidential primaries, 2020
Declared candidates
Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Zoltan Istvan 		March 30, 1973
(age 51)
Los Angeles, California 		Transhumanist, journalist, entrepreneur, and Libertarian futurist
Transhumanist nominee for President in
2018
California 		November 25, 2017
(Website) 		[317]

Adam Kokesh 		February 1, 1982
(age 42)
San Francisco, California 		Libertarian and anti-war political activist
Candidate for
2010
Indiana 		July 18, 2013
(
Campaign • Website)
FEC Filing
 [318]
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Potential candidates
Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Convention Site

On December 10, 2017, the Libertarian National Committee chose Austin, Texas as the site of their 2020 national convention. The convention will be held between May 22–25, 2020.[323]

Green Party

Further information: Green Party of the United States
Potential candidates
Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Independent or unaffiliated

Declared candidates
Name Born Current or previous positions State Announced Ref

Lawrence Jackson 		August 30, 1985
(age 38)
Los Angeles, California 		Former football player
California 		November 23, 2017
FEC Filing 		[327]

Dan Rattiner 		August 15, 1939
(age 84)
New York City, New York 		Journalist and newspaper publisher
New York 		April 24, 2015 [328]

Kanye West 		June 8, 1977
(age 47)
Atlanta, Georgia 		Rapper, singer, songwriter, record producer, fashion designer, and entrepreneur
California 		August 30, 2015 [329]
Withdrawn candidates
Individuals who have publicly expressed interest

Individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for President within the last six months.

Potential candidates
Declined to be candidates

The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Maps

  • The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state.
    The 50 states plus DC, scaled according to the number of electors in each state.

See also

  • United States gubernatorial elections, 2018
  • United States gubernatorial elections, 2020
  • United States Senate elections, 2018
  • United States Senate elections, 2020

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j This individual is not registered to the political party of this section, but has been the subject of speculation or expressed interest in running under this party.

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